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USDJPY Jumps 60 pips In Seconds On Apparent Intervention

Tyler Durden's picture




 

While we have no confirmation yet, the USDJPY juts jumped by 60 pips from post-earthquake low levels to 81.20 on what appears a Bank of Japan intervention. The last time we had confirmed intervention was on October 31 last year, when the pair was trading at 52 week lows of 81.30. 30 pips from the previous trigger point would makes sense for Shirakawa to say "enough." If this was indeed an intervention, we hope to bring you just how much USD the BOJ purchased. Indicatively, in 2010 each intervention cost the BOJ a few hundred million. And with the effect already wearing off, the half life (pardon the bad pun) on interventions is now the lowest it has ever been.

 

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Tue, 03/15/2011 - 13:23 | 1056300 John Law Lives
John Law Lives's picture

What a connected world we live in.

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 14:01 | 1056451 brian0918
brian0918's picture

I put some of my retirement into AGQ yesterday for the first time, and it's now down almost 9%.

 

Silver bitchez!

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 14:11 | 1056497 william the bastard
william the bastard's picture

michele carouso cabrerra (hate bitches w hyphenated names) looks like see had a face transplant.

 

It don't help bitch! You can't fix stupid!

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 14:12 | 1056499 william the bastard
william the bastard's picture

michele carouso cabrerra (hate bitches w hyphenated names) looks like see had a face transplant.

 

It don't help bitch! You can't fix stupid!

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 14:13 | 1056501 william the bastard
william the bastard's picture

michele carouso cabrerra (hate bitches w hyphenated names) looks like see had a face transplant.

 

It don't help bitch! You can't fix stupid!

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 15:22 | 1056811 LFMayor
LFMayor's picture

yes, we've heard.    So, did she not enjoy "Behind the Green Door" when you took her on that first date, or what?

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 13:25 | 1056314 scratch_and_sniff
scratch_and_sniff's picture

This yen buying wont continue in my opinion, it really does makes no sense now. OK we had some repatriation flows but when they wear off i can see it sliding, a lot. The whole flight to safety thing deserves a rethink, since the country is in meltdown and all that!

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 13:28 | 1056330 markelshark
markelshark's picture

Think of all the yen that is going to be spent in the rebuilding process though. It makes sense especially since exports will be down in the near term.

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 13:29 | 1056340 scratch_and_sniff
scratch_and_sniff's picture

Exactly, yen being spent on raw materials which they have absolutely none of!

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 15:41 | 1056927 johny2
johny2's picture

I think they may spend some of those foreign reserves and treasury holdings to buy the raw materials.

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 17:28 | 1057320 markelshark
markelshark's picture

labor is almost always the largest cost.

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 13:32 | 1056349 Cdad
Cdad's picture

Outside of the CHF, I see nothing that is working as a flight to safety play.  The market is in liquidation mode.  Just as soon as stupid, last in, hockey helmet wearing NYSE brokers recommence selling the Roach Motel [SPY], it should become apparent. 

Buy VXX before it gets back through $36. 

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 14:26 | 1056551 alien-IQ
alien-IQ's picture

it's gonna be a tough to keep the /ES above 1270 if the USD ticks up. Notice how every time the /Es threatens to break below 1270 it is quickly corrected by shanking the USD.

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 13:31 | 1056341 smeagol
smeagol's picture

woosh.. blink and you missed it. short scalp missed.. here's hoping for a repeat.

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 13:32 | 1056355 eurusdog
eurusdog's picture

It happened last night as well. 2300 EST the USDJPY took off and then lost all night. THis intervention will not hold either.

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 13:37 | 1056372 Orly
Orly's picture

60-pips on an intervention or rumour of intervention?  Prolly not.

More like the rumour that crossed the wire that the Nikkei would be down for the rest of the week, meaning that the Japanese markets wouldn't suffer any further losses.

Last time there was a real intervention, the USDJPY pair jumped over 300-pips.  That would be more expected.

:D

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 14:07 | 1056479 bbq on whitehou...
bbq on whitehouse lawn's picture

You have always been a sharp tool in this shed.

But i would take a step back from the manic FX market.

There are deeper issues at play such as: what does one do with liabilities and derivatives holdings.

Whales are vary slow moving and so are giraffes on the savana. Best to keep things quiet and conduct business on the private market. In my most humble of opinion's.

Fast and furious. :)

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 14:12 | 1056504 Orly
Orly's picture

In that case, you should get long USDJPY before the Fed announcement.

:D

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 13:43 | 1056395 iota
iota's picture

I was expecting a bounce off 80.62, but not that much.

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 13:49 | 1056401 Franken_Stein
Franken_Stein's picture

Meanwhile shares of German companies in the business of alternative energy seeing gains  of up to 80 %.

 

Conergy: +85 %

Solarworld: +16,25 %

Nordex: +13,47 %

Q-Cells: +11,08 %

 

 

 

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 13:50 | 1056412 defn8Dog
defn8Dog's picture

Magnetic ink supplies are being airlifted in to BOJ.

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 13:53 | 1056426 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

The dollar is getting crushed today.  It has given back almost everything from last night.  I think it happily accepted those few minutes of life.

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 14:16 | 1056518 bbq on whitehou...
bbq on whitehouse lawn's picture

Shh the dollar is like a library, has everything you dont want and some of what you need.

For many over 60 the dollar is more then paper and less then gold. It's more stable then nothing when thats all thats left.

The US is its people as much as its people are stable.

See the dollar not as a price, but as a; personality.

A rural personality. Opening doors and welcoming to strangers. This is the dollars "street cred".

The Fed is abuseing it; still it remains. Good luck.

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 14:22 | 1056531 Orly
Orly's picture

Cryptic 4X.

I don't know why, but I kinda like it!

 

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 14:20 | 1056525 tiger7905
tiger7905's picture

Looks like the Japanese are starting to think of unloading US bonds, was only a matter of time.

http://goldandsilverlinings.com/?p=246

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 15:09 | 1056747 pazmaker
pazmaker's picture

....and the  EUR/USD back over $1.40....can you say ouch!

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 15:20 | 1056808 Orly
Orly's picture

Watch the touch of the declining trendline.  When it hits, sell AUDUSD hand-over-fist.

:D

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 17:29 | 1057298 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 Still playing that aud/usd dive? I think you got your drop a day early. What happens if eur/usd breaks up on that 1.4050 level and blows out those stops? The eur/aud leg has been intereresting!

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 17:30 | 1057326 Orly
Orly's picture

Still waiting.  Good thing is I'll have plenty of time to get in when it does happen.

:D

 

Tue, 03/15/2011 - 17:36 | 1057348 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

Good for you. Just don't fade the trade. I got some to. eur/aud.

Wed, 03/16/2011 - 02:03 | 1059552 TexDenim
TexDenim's picture

Thank goodness politicians believe in free markets and let them do their work (NOT!).

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