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There is no market for Treasuries outside of the government itself. You have unlimited demand for treasury debt from the Fed so you have nearly unlimited upside to bonds as bond rates near absolute zero.
Why would anyone in their right mind bet against that? Rates are going to go as low as the Fed wants them to go. Housing is the big problem and the Fed has to do everything it can to boost housing prices because absent rising prices the banks are all broke, the government is completely broke and the fed itself is broke because it has assumed trillions of Fannie and freddie junk.
Selling USTs is suicide but so might buying them be. Better to bet the consequences - dollar worth nothing so you need real things and not stocks.
Kyle Bass made a great point that should shake the foundation of all sock purchasers. The number one stock market over the past 10 years has been Zimbabwe's. Their stock prices have exploded just as their currency value has dropped to zero.
Real assets the the play - gold, land, farm commodities and anything thats value is tied to dollars or any fiat currency is worthless.
MHFT at least 50% underwater on TBT reco last year:
USB still targeting a third higher:
And he keeps coming back for more,
same error made in Japan.
That's right, I'll short you all the TBT
you want....Come and get me.
Actually, I think you're wrong...I'm going
to short a big load of TBT in here.
Madhedgefundtraders always forgets
the friggin wheels are coming off the global
economy. China next.
And we're friggin Japan
Is it a coincidence that the FED does not include Food and Energy in their Inflation factors? Food and Energy could go up 100% and it would not be considered by the FED as inflation. I think they need to put Food and Energy back into the Inflation figures. Just what is it outside of Food and Energy that the FED is trying to inflate anyway?
"Just what is it outside of Food and Energy that the FED is trying to inflate anyway?"
Housing, stocks, bonds, toxic assets...
A Visit to the Insane Asylum
A Visit to the Insane Asylum
Excuse me, but I'd like some royalties on this title. You'll be hearing from my lawyer. :>)
Shameless self promotion below.
Whole financial world just a big Hopium den.
There is a treasury bubble to be sure. My problem with TBT is that I don't believe there are any 20+ year treasuries left - it's becoming undefined.
My hypothesis for why they aren't issuing any long treasuries is that they know the only buyer at this price is the Fed. If they were to issue these in any quantity, beyond what the Fed is buying, then real inflation expectations would show up in the price.
you said u retired :(((((
# market is essentially betting that inflation will remain at zero for another decade.
arent u tired saying stupid things???
do you think u'are smarter than boys at PIMCO
hey stupid THERE'S A THING CALLED FEDERAL DEFICIT .. it's running 1.7 trln $$$per anum.. so EVDERybody w/ 2 bits of brains understood eternity ago
that FEDS cant allow rates go up cause it will choke whats called recovery
and will increase debt servicing.. so IN THAT CASE fed wiLL BE forced to
print money aka QE v 2,3,4,...n
so whats the point of NOT BUYING debt now
instead do it later..??? at least now its orderly everybody knows that..
please shut up already....
'Dont you know the Pimpco boyz are way smarter than you'! So said the silly little rabbit, right before hes dropped in the stew pot.
BTW silly rabbit, youll get no never-ending Q/E's, as is the standard accepted wisdom among Hoium addicts such as yourself, and I bet you dont even see Q/E2.
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