Weekly Chartology: Mind The Russell 2000 Gap

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Sun, 01/30/2011 - 11:54 | 917742 Xibalba
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Saturday, January 29, 2011

Is Something Serious Up at Treasury?

On Sunday, Treasury Secretary Geithner will have dinner at Treasury with former secretaries of the Treasury.

What's up with this? There was no indication on the weekly Treasury schedule, put out just a day ago, that this dinner was planned. Very unusual.

On top of that, the Treasury put this notice out at 9:00PM on a Saturday night. Sure looks like a rushed meeting to me.

http://www.economicpolicyjournal.com/2011/01/is-something-serious-up-at-treasury.html
 

Sun, 01/30/2011 - 14:00 | 917992 Motorhead
Motorhead's picture

I guess they won't be eating gold for dinner, hehe.

Sun, 01/30/2011 - 14:21 | 918039 asdasmos
asdasmos's picture

No, but they will garnish their food with salt, pepper and of course, Dollar confetti.

Sun, 01/30/2011 - 12:08 | 917753 Sam Clemons
Sam Clemons's picture

While reading this, I can actually feel the rainbows being shot up my ass.

 

 

 

Sun, 01/30/2011 - 17:58 | 918634 dizzyfingers
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You are a fount of pithiness! xoxo

Sun, 01/30/2011 - 20:04 | 918779 slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

 

rainbows, indeed, Sam!

that's when i realized i had

a) wet my pants laughing, plus,

b) i'd fallen face down, and couldn't get up, AND

c) the sun had come out.

i sure hope the porridge isn't too warm for goldilocks!

and that the bears don't come home while she's resting and rip off her head and shit down her neck, just because they're so envious of her beautiful hair, of course.

but this is a lot of bull for an apprentice cat herder to handle.

cat #1:  gov't train(s) careening off the rails.

ans.#1: trust us; doesn't matter, these 500 are headquartered in the caribbean, like the FED.

cat #2:  accounting reports?  what accounting standards?

ans.#2: trust us;  if any discrepancies develop, during some future audit, we'll get back to you ASAP.

cat #3: adjusted for inflation?

ans.#3: trust us; there IS no inflation above what we know to be acceptable (1-2%).

cat # 4: what have the insiders been up to with these stocks?

ans.#4: trust us, they may have taken some money off the table, but that's just because they needed to buy forklifts and airplanes to move to paraguay, next month, as planned since 2008.

cat #5: what is the downside risk to investing here?

ans.#5: trust us; with QE, the danger is to be in a defensive position, and miss this move to 1500!

disclaimer: i have been so wrong, so many times, that if you believe one thing i say, ever,

you might turn into a cat and be a little hard2herd, yourself!

Sun, 01/30/2011 - 12:10 | 917756 RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

Note the volume surge off the lows.

I'll probably be buying this on Monday.  Note that I refuse to play the "Double Whammy" or "Triple Whammy" ETF's because virtually action junkie will be piling in and out those the next few months, causing all kinds of price distortions.

I only play the straight ETFs.

Second firm close over the 21-day.  That's a pretty good signal

Sun, 01/30/2011 - 13:17 | 917865 Everyman
Everyman's picture

Robo, do you think this will be an extended down for 1-4 months, or quick marketwide drop with your analysis of the charts?

What is the VIX indicator you use or do you use it for this type of call?

Sun, 01/30/2011 - 23:32 | 919227 slewie the pi-rat
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I only play the straight ETFs.

 

i'm speechless.

Sun, 01/30/2011 - 12:13 | 917759 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

Anybody picked up on the news that China is going the build the biggest city on earth?

The Bohai Economic Rim will be turned into 1 city and will be the cream in city planning, state of the art communication systems, state of the art transport systems....

  • Nine current cities melded to make single 'megalopolis'
  • New city will be 26 times size of Greater London
  • 150 infrastructure improvements: energy, water, telecommunications
  • 3,100 miles of railway to be laid to connect the cities
  • Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1350483/Largest-city-world-China-build-metropolis-twice-size-Wales.html#ixzz1CXHYwVhC

    AND WILL BE ABLE TO HOUSE 260 MILLION PEOPLE WHEN COMPLETED!!!

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1350483/Largest-city-world-China-build-metropolis-twice-size-Wales.html

    http://www.geenstijl.nl/archives/images/megacitygalore.jpg

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bohai_Economic_Rim

     

    Sun, 01/30/2011 - 13:15 | 917856 Lndmvr
    Lndmvr's picture

    Then round up the americans, ship em over in the empty superships, Give em a job at $2/ hour, ship 300 million chinese to the US to dig up gold?

    Sun, 01/30/2011 - 18:01 | 918645 dizzyfingers
    dizzyfingers's picture

    Didn't I just see something about China's empty cities?

    And China's shortage of water?

    And some problem with with expansion of deserts?

    Will the new one be named Las Vegas East?

    Sun, 01/30/2011 - 12:14 | 917760 Tic tock
    Tic tock's picture

    Equities are based on one thing, that golem at the FRBNY doing what it does, rain or shine, printing money...if you want to do something right, best to do it yourself, eh.

    Sun, 01/30/2011 - 12:25 | 917773 Grand Supercycle
    Grand Supercycle's picture

    Just updated my S&P 500 Financial Index chart.

    http://stockmarket618.wordpress.com

    Sun, 01/30/2011 - 12:50 | 917805 raya123
    raya123's picture

    Correct on the S&P, but dead wrong on gold and gold stocks, which just bounced off the bottom and is now trading inversely to the euro and will do so for the next several months.

    Sun, 01/30/2011 - 17:35 | 918591 Bill Lumbergh
    Bill Lumbergh's picture

    I concur with the poster above that gold and silver should do well in the long-run despite pull-backs along the way.  Similar to other K-Wave Winters equities will decline while the real price of gold and mining shares should end higher.  I never understood why so many forecasters were either outright deflation or inflation and not allowing for precious metals to do well regardless.

    Sun, 01/30/2011 - 12:29 | 917778 ZeroPower
    ZeroPower's picture

    Basically Kostin's team suggests long financials, tech, energy.

    Underweight in cons staples and health care.

     

    Also, 1500 SPX eoy is a decent target - assuming we have a slight (and justified) correction for the next week(s) that means a LOT of choppiness in 2011.

    Sun, 01/30/2011 - 12:34 | 917782 centerline
    centerline's picture

    Hmmm...

    Corporate leaders really smoking the good stuff? Or maybe they do in fact see the train wreck coming and are preparing accordingly. Of course preparations would mean squeezing every ounce of blood possible from the organization to boost margins and stock prices, so they can flip options and cash out as quickly as possible. What would that look like? Well, I would think it would look like hiring freezes, reduced benefits, outsourcing, slashed cap-ex budgets, M&A instead of organic growth/expansion, lots of insider selling into a background of rising equity prices, etc.

    Sun, 01/30/2011 - 12:38 | 917788 RobotTrader
    RobotTrader's picture

    Good market wrap by Gary Kaltbaum.

    He says major top already in place, with foreign markets already in "private bear markets".

    http://archives.warpradio.com/btr/InvestorsEdge/012818.mp3

    Sun, 01/30/2011 - 12:55 | 917813 ZeroPower
    ZeroPower's picture

    How many times since 09 have there been people calling tops? May '10, November..

    These are all intermediate-term hiccups.

    To pack up and close shop (i.e short) here would be just want the bulls want - they are still in control until the trend says otherwise.

    Sun, 01/30/2011 - 12:40 | 917794 ArkansasAngie
    ArkansasAngie's picture

    (2) We forecast S&P 500 will rise roughly 17% to reach 1500 at year-end 2011.


    Repeat after me ... there is no inflation.

    What a complete crock of odoriferous material

     

     

    Sun, 01/30/2011 - 12:40 | 917795 Caviar Emptor
    Caviar Emptor's picture

    How virtuous cycles turn viscious:

    -Too much print, print, print can come back an bite you in the ass. It worked in the past when the dollar was stronger, when price imbalances with the developing world were wider and wen there hadn't been so much depletion of natural resources. A Goldilocks economy was possible where it was possible to export inflation to the under-developed world in return for cheap imports made with cheap labor and cheap resources. Now the tipping point has been reached where more liquidity simply has far less of an impact on consumer buying power but raises the cost of remaining natural resources and the cost of once cheap labor as under-developed economies become  developING. Simple. Goldilocks is beginning to squawk about her porridge. 

    -Building an import-dependent economy to keep domestic wage inflation at bay might make Goldilocks happy at first, but long term the gutted domestic productive economy can no longer sustain itself. Trade balance (minus bogus Treasury debt purchases by foreign CBs) becomes a joke. Competing nations get handed their bargaining chips. And worst of all, domestic consumers can no longer afford the price structure of middle class existence. 

    There are more such cycles that once the Fed sorcerers marveled at that have tunred on their own creators. 

    Sun, 01/30/2011 - 12:59 | 917819 snowball777
    snowball777's picture

    They should either start labeling this shit as comedy or draw up charges for fraud.

    Sun, 01/30/2011 - 13:00 | 917821 Rogerwilco
    Rogerwilco's picture

    Just keep telling yourself that deficit spending at 10% of GDP and ZIRP can go on forever. Win the future, together we thrive, we are the people we have been waiting for, the chocolate ration has been increased 25%.

    Booyah!

    Sun, 01/30/2011 - 13:02 | 917824 Robslob
    Robslob's picture

    The outside world always feels the effects before we do...maybe something wicked this way comes...worse, we deserve it.

    Dig in for 2 years...the end will be near when the big boys cannibalize themselves...

    Sun, 01/30/2011 - 13:39 | 917929 Buyemall
    Buyemall's picture

    Thanks

    Sun, 01/30/2011 - 22:37 | 919105 ThirdCoastSurfer
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    " A full month into the Hollywood calendar, ticket sales are down 24% from last year, while attendance has sunk 25% from the same time a year ago, according to Hollywood.com."

    Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!