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The Weekly Peak: Is Silver The Next Gold?

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Submitted by Abigail Doolittle of Peak Theories Research

Is Silver The Next Gold (pdf)

 

 

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Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:14 | 587589 eigenvalue
eigenvalue's picture

In order to break the historical high, silver really has a long way to go.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:27 | 587620 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

anyone seriously interested in silver should read about and understand the delivery situation that the COMEX is in. JPM and HSBC are believed to be holding massive, galactic sized short positions -- to over 1 billion ounces of silver at this point. Amassed over the years to control the price.

Now, longs are taking delivery. In a very large way, and JPM/Comex/the Fed does not, i repeat, does NOT have the silver to deliver in these quantities

In short what those in the silver market have always known -- that some day this was all going to explode -- is happening NOW.

Let's not even go into the CTFC's role here.

Anyway, if you'd like to follow this looming catastrophe read Harvey Organ blog. Every day, he tracks the flow of delivery notices and actual inventory at the Comex........

and.....it seems the shelves are bare.

and the more people that know, the more people are refusing to knuckle under to the manipulated "attacks" that JPM stages in the marketplace.

that was what was literally sickening at the CTFC hearings. they had a whistleblower WHO TOLD THEM WHEN AN ATTACK WOULD BE STAGED, DESCRIBED IT IN DETAIL, AND THEN SAT WITH THEM AND WATCHED IT HAPPEN -- PROVIDING COLOR COMMENTARY -- and what did the CTFC do?

Nothing.

And a day later, a car attempted to take out Andrew Maquire in a hit and run in downtown London.

Its that bad in the silver market.

Don't sell into the fake prices.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:32 | 587629 Irwin Fletcher
Irwin Fletcher's picture

+++ I'll add that Harvey Organ did a nice summary of some of the comex terms yesterday (Sep 16), for those unfamiliar.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:50 | 587657 Goldilikes permabear
Goldilikes permabear's picture

got any good links to info about jpm silver manipulation? 

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:51 | 587662 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

google Andrew Maquire...that will get you started.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:03 | 587690 oddjob
oddjob's picture

Read Jim Willie.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:20 | 587893 JLee2027
Fri, 09/17/2010 - 13:22 | 588154 BlackChicken
BlackChicken's picture

Jim Willie just released another article on Kitco, Jon Nadler must be in a tizzy over it.

Here is the link: http://www.kitco.com/ind/willie/sep162010.html 

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 14:42 | 588319 akak
akak's picture

Anything that causes Jon Nadler discomfort and grief is a good thing. I hope Satan has a very special, especially warm, and gold-lined corner of Hell reserved for that lying, despicable SOB.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 22:30 | 589060 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

Pan-Galatic Gargle Blaster:  Like having your brains smashed out with a large gold brick, wrapped with a slice of lemon!

It's so blindingly obvious why Gold and Silver are rising in price -- the odds of fiat currency default(s) are approaching 1:1!!

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 13:27 | 588155 BlackChicken
BlackChicken's picture

Edit: removed duplicate post again; only hit the save button once.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:28 | 587911 silvertrain
silvertrain's picture

youtube is also loaded with tons of material..

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 13:08 | 588121 Keri at Bankste...
Keri at Bankster Report's picture

I wrote this on the subject, which focuses on the CFTC's BPRs (Bank Participation Reports), and what they tell us about HSBC and especially JPM:

http://banksterreport.blogspot.com/2010/04/real-v-paper-will-cftc-stand-up-for.html

There is a huge schism between paper silver and real COMEX deliverable bars.  If you research the Hunt Brother's and "Silver Thursday" in 1980, you'll find that though the COMEX price of silver was printing at $50/oz, this price was only translating in the real (physical) world to 1000oz deliverable COMEX bars--in other words, it was a premium on the specific bars needed to legally satisfy the contracts (1000 generic rounds does not satisfy a COMEX contract).  It was a classic "limited-quantity available" squeeze, because there were waaaay more paper contract than there were deliverable bars.  (We are in the same situation today, of course.)  Incidentally, this is why some people today take possession of COMEX deliverable bars.  There are many opinions on this issue.  And remember, silver is a very small market (which is why JPM has been able to keep such a solid grip on it).  Its really rather exciting!

Be sure to check out the other links too to Harvey Organ, too.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:19 | 587591 Bigger Dickus
Bigger Dickus's picture

Platinum is the next gold. It has relatively higher production costs than silver and gold. The only reason it is not at $3000+ is because it is not regarded as money yet - just an industrial commodity.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:51 | 587663 Internet Tough Guy
Internet Tough Guy's picture

Plat will never be money. It's an industrial metal.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:57 | 587674 Bigger Dickus
Bigger Dickus's picture

You just sit and watch.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 14:57 | 588349 VeloSpade
VeloSpade's picture

You are such a dick.

Sat, 09/18/2010 - 08:31 | 589405 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

Plat's not leveraged. So it spikes like a fucking sonic the hedgehog when rich people start going broke. They are currently working on about a 2800 to 3200 dollar spike on it.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:25 | 587746 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

Have you never played D&D? 

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:39 | 587782 dark pools of soros
dark pools of soros's picture

+3 magical portfolio

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 12:50 | 588071 jomama
jomama's picture

win

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:22 | 587899 Black Friday
Black Friday's picture

XPD #964 and XPT #962 are the ISO currency codes for palladium and platinum respectively, they are already considered a currency.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:59 | 587833 Spitzer
Spitzer's picture

nothing is the next gold.

silver feels cheap compared to gold.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:05 | 587846 silvertrain
silvertrain's picture

 Ill give you that..I does feel cheap when compared to Gold, It acually feels cheap when compared to Copper..

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 13:30 | 588167 Keri at Bankste...
Keri at Bankster Report's picture

Copper is another story, isn't it?  Its been almost 30 years since Congress authorized the Treasury to cease its use in pennies (it is still in nickels, which are 75% copper and 25% nickel) because Treasury couldn't afford it.  Its so sad: first we couldn't afford to keep our worthless paper money based on gold, then we lost silver, then we lost copper, and today, nickels even cost a little more to make than they are worth!  And at the current copper prices, a pre-1982 penny is worth well over face value. Here's the breakdown:

At $3.00/lb, a penny is worth 195% over face.

At $3.52/lb (today's price), a penny is worth 227% over face.

At $4.00/lb, a penny is worth 260% over face.

At $5.00/lb, a penny is worth 325% over face.

Penny Arbitrage, baby! http://banksterreport.blogspot.com/2009/12/penny-arbitrage-us-dollar-and.html

(BTW, don't melt pennies because Congress made it illegal.  Of course, Congress also made melting silver coins illegal after the introduction of clad, but that has since been lifted.  Also, pre-1982 pennies are 5% zinc, and you do NOT want to be messing with zinc fumes in your backyard.  That said, by all means, fill up that Arrowhead jug!  Its a good hedge: always worth at least a penny.)

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:14 | 587872 romanko
romanko's picture

it doesn't feel 60x cheaper, maybe 15x cheaper

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 15:58 | 588022 kathy.chamberli...
kathy.chamberlin@gmail.com's picture

has anybody heard of American Gold Exchange.  My reccomendation is to buy bullion coins. is this a sound idea?

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 15:59 | 588461 kathy.chamberli...
kathy.chamberlin@gmail.com's picture

edit comment

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:05 | 587844 Treeplanter
Treeplanter's picture

Might be nice to have a few shares of SWC.  They seem to be a good platinum group miner in Montana.  I sold mine and regret it.  Platinum has the advantage right now of being off the radar screen of JPM and GS.  But silver seems to the best bargain.  Still a very low price in relation to what is expected of it. 

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 13:08 | 588088 GoinFawr
GoinFawr's picture

Re: Platinum has the advantage right now of being off the radar screen of JPM and GS

 

Just before Platinum dropped from around 1700 to 1500 a few months back, GS was calling it 'the new gold', so not entirely off their radar.  But it's true I haven't seen anything since (about Platinum, anyway) from those sources of misinformation.

Regards

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:15 | 587592 weinerdog43
weinerdog43's picture

Thank you for your report Abigail.  However, I think you should include some information about the massive short positions held by JP Morgan and others.  In other words, while the silver market does look very promising, it is also heavily manipulated and therefore subject to big swings.  Ultimately, I think that the paper shorts will be overwhelmed, but the silver market is not for the fainthearted.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:43 | 587644 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

um, they are being overwhelmed now. only with the collusion of the British and American "regulators" are the Comex and the LBMA still standing. If you are thinking of shorting silver now, you're tap dancing on a landmine.....

 

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:45 | 587651 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

you know what's been fascinating about what's been happening this past week at the Comex in gold and silver has been the complete -- and i mean total -- mainstream media blackout on any indication that anything out of the ordinary is happening.

given the incredible reprecussions that will result when these two "operations" in gold and silver fail -- and the implications for the US taxpayer, cause you know Ben will print up the cash to cover JPM's losses -- you'd think that someone somewhere other than ZERO would be covering this.

on the other hand, the hit rate on zero hedge is skyrocketing. so news is getting out.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 13:36 | 588178 sagerxx
sagerxx's picture

"what's been fascinating about what's been happening thispast week at the Comex in gold and silver has been the complete -- and i mean total -- mainstream media blackout on any indication that anything out of the ordinary is happening."

This.

Attachez vos chapeaux, ya'll!

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:21 | 587737 weinerdog43
weinerdog43's picture

If you are thinking of shorting silver now, you're tap dancing on a landmine.....

 

Good grief, no.  My point was that Abigail never mentioned what's going on over at the CRIMEX.  One should take delivery or stick with CEF or PHYS. 

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:30 | 587912 DosZap
DosZap's picture

Given that Rep Weiner(a Real Wiener, and Henry Waxman(alias porkus pigus) are holding hearings next week dragging Goldline people in, and Ex Employee's (to be the stooges,to rat Goldline out on pushing Investemnt grade shit, and Confiscatory scares in selling practices),like everyone else does in any business, look for the Gov't, to start really getting nasty on Gold, and before it's done PM's of any stripe.

Theses pricks are in leauge with the Devils, and they will do anything to prop up the Treasuries, and FRN's.

And the #1 Enemy to both is Gold & Silver,PM's.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 12:42 | 588059 weinerdog43
weinerdog43's picture

Look, you may not care for Waxman or Weiner, but Goldline is one of the worst ways to buy metals.  They are trying to sell 'antique' coins.  That's fine, but when you misrepresent what you are selling, then that is a crime under almost every state's deceptive business practices act.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 15:08 | 588361 -Michelle-
-Michelle-'s picture

Oh, I don't know.  The first gold purchases we made were a couple of bars from Goldline.  It was a completely pleasant experience; good price, shipped quickly, and no pressure to purchase anything else.

Since then, we've switched to a local coin shop to stay off the radar, but I don't see what the big deal is with them.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:16 | 587595 famousamos
famousamos's picture

I was expecting a take down in silver this week.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:22 | 587897 JLee2027
JLee2027's picture

They certainly tried.  Buying too strong right now.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:32 | 587921 DosZap
DosZap's picture

One Word,

ASIA..............(China in particular)

And it's just going to get worse.They can control the US market unless we have J6P getting into the act, taking delivery, but not the world market.....and their just in not enough Sliver to go around.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:16 | 587596 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

This is all well and good but silver is rallying because the Comex is having significant problems making delivery. Period.

Industrial uses. Jewelry. That's all very nice. But there is no gold left in the silver vaults at the Comex. This is all that matters. 

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:43 | 587647 Popo
Popo's picture

Is there ever gold in silver vaults?

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:47 | 587802 CrockettAlmanac.com
CrockettAlmanac.com's picture

Check the electrum vault.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 20:51 | 588928 goldsaver
goldsaver's picture

Is silver the new unobtanium?

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:00 | 587834 Treeplanter
Treeplanter's picture

There was when Homer Simpson ran the forklift.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 15:01 | 588354 Big Corked Boots
Big Corked Boots's picture

There's some silver in my gold vault.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:53 | 587669 Internet Tough Guy
Internet Tough Guy's picture

I think you are right; silver is up due to delivery problems. Silver isn't hitting new record highs daily like gold. Except for the delivery problems silver trades with the industrial metals, because it is one.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:32 | 587743 Al Gorerhythm
Al Gorerhythm's picture

Silver will rise as each and every of the US$200 billion worth of OTC silver derivatives, is exposed as a worthless price suppressing piece of shit that it is. ( Thank you Jason Hommel for exposing the BIS figures).

None of the international banks are solvent and none of them trust each other to honor their contracts for delivery or to return money lent. That's why there are reports of the LBMA being raided.

That's why silver is going up!

That 300 lb. canary is chirping like shit!

Buy, hand over fist. This ship of fools is going down, bow first, screws at "Full Ahead". 

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 12:13 | 587995 JLee2027
JLee2027's picture

Buy, hand over fist. This ship of fools is going down, bow first, screws at "Full Ahead". 

A most interesting analogy.


Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:12 | 587832 mrgneiss
mrgneiss's picture

You think "delivery problems" aren't really a major issue?  Do you think you can just open a new silver mine overnight if there are supply issues?  Not to mention the fact that silver supply from mines is relatively inelastic due to about 2/3's of it coming from base metal miners responding to price cues from base metals as to whether or not up production.  Not to mention the fact that industrial silver demand is relatively inelastic (ie doesn't respond to price cues) due to the fact that it is often a minor but unsubstitutable and crucial component of the products its used in.  Investment demand has doubled for each of the last four years.  Scrap supply is flat, but will probably increase, even though some experts think a large percentage of the silverware with high percentages of pure silver (unlike silverware today) was sold into scrap in the early 80's.

Does this sentence make any sense: "Oil is up due to delivery problems, which are long term, but it doesn't make for a bullish case" ?

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 13:15 | 588137 Keri at Bankste...
Keri at Bankster Report's picture

Can we have a volunteer to watch the contango/backwardation charts on silver for us? 

A volunteer other than JPM, or anyone at COMEX? :) 

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:07 | 587855 Treeplanter
Treeplanter's picture

It doubles as currency as well.  Many languages have silver as the same word for money.  

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 17:44 | 588677 Goldfinger
Goldfinger's picture

Guess what "Zloty" means?  Too bad neither it nor USD of have any connection to the meaning. (USD/PLN)..

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:37 | 587933 DosZap
DosZap's picture

ITG,

Bro, Silver was money really before Gold.In ancient Egypt, it was prefered over Gold, they used it as money, and mixed some gold into their coinage.

Silver & Gold have been REAL money for a minimum of 3000yrs.

Nearly every major world empire at one time used both...........and most went to hell, because they over spent, and debased their silver/gold money.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:57 | 587935 DosZap
DosZap's picture

*

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 22:37 | 589067 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

Silver coins are like poker chips, but heavy (and shiny!)

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:17 | 587598 99er
99er's picture

Chart: SI

Long-term...yes; short-term...no.

http://www.screencast.com/t/ZTQ1NjZh

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:18 | 587600 frankTHE COIN
frankTHE COIN's picture

I can only be killed with a silver bullet.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:08 | 587859 Treeplanter
Treeplanter's picture

You and the Clintons.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:18 | 587601 bronzie
bronzie's picture

Jason Hommel is the most optimistic silver supporter I have read

He talks about the possibility of silver's price matching or even surpassing the price of gold - hard to imagine but who knows

The supply-demand situation for silver is far more favorable (if you like prices going up, anyway) than it is for gold

I'm holding my two silver coins until at least $80/oz (which is a given IMO) but won't be surprised by $600/oz silver - Jason talks about silver being priced in the thousands of dollars per ounce

Grab some popcorn - the show will be interesting

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:12 | 587865 Treeplanter
Treeplanter's picture

Bronzie, today would be a good day to buy 500 silver coins.  They come in a nice little very heavy box.  This may be the last dip for a while. Then melt the butter and pop the corn.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 13:41 | 588187 BlackChicken
BlackChicken's picture

In the past I made larger orders (500+ coins/order) through www.tulving.com

They had excellent prices (low premium), locked in orders, and free over night shipping.  Has anyone else had good experience with them?

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 15:05 | 588357 Big Corked Boots
Big Corked Boots's picture

+1 on Tulving. But I'm not saying what I bought, based on his relatively high minimum purchase requirements.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:58 | 587964 CitizenPete
CitizenPete's picture

Hmmm... I actually traded some gold holdings a year ago for more silver, so get get me wrong when I ask...

 

Didn't Hommel de-hoard Ag in a massive way over a year ago ?

 

Just saying...

 

 

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:58 | 587965 CitizenPete
CitizenPete's picture

Hmmm... I actually traded some gold holdings a year ago for more silver, so don't get me wrong when I ask...

 

Didn't Hommel de-hoard Ag in a massive way over a year ago ?

 

Just saying...

 

 

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 12:16 | 588003 bronzie
bronzie's picture

I don't follow Jason very closely - I can't stand his religious bullshit

I'm not aware of Jason dis-hoarding silver

according to him, he started selling physical silver because of the lack of supply from other sources - iirc, he was buying 1000 oz bars and having them processed into smaller sizes at the mint

I wouldn't call that dis-hoarding

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:23 | 587607 Johnny Dangereaux
Johnny Dangereaux's picture

Fundamental #7   Massive JPM short position--Screw you Blythe!

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:24 | 587613 strannick
strannick's picture

 

And at the CFTC, Omalia, Sommers and Dunn fiddle while America burns

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:24 | 587614 goldsaver
goldsaver's picture

Correct. If you purchase 20,000 worth of gold at 1200 an oz and it reaches historical highs, how much money do you profit?

Roger: Well, its already reached that

Correct. If you purchase 20,000 worth of silver and it reaches historical heights, how much do you profit?

Roger: 30,000, but wouldnt that mean that the dollar is worthless?

Correct.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:10 | 587667 MilleniumJane
MilleniumJane's picture

Historically, gold and silver have been used as a hedge against inflation.  Even if the dollar is worthless, at least holders of precious metals can maintain while those who left their money in banks lose big time.

 

With the casino gulag still running, I am more willing to risk my money in precious metals than trust the criminals who are running the banks and stock market.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 13:03 | 588106 goldsaver
goldsaver's picture

I was trying to spoof the youtube comedy skit. I am 60% silver, 20% gold and 20% dollars, so yeah, Im a PM bug. BTW, yipee, my first junking!!!! ;-))

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 20:55 | 588937 goldsaver
goldsaver's picture

Ok, couldn't help myself...ordered 200oz more from APMEX this morning. I'm worst than my wife and her shoes...

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:05 | 587698 Al Gorerhythm
Al Gorerhythm's picture

Spanked it! 

;-)

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:39 | 587636 taraxias
taraxias's picture

Gold is the next gold.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:55 | 587671 Internet Tough Guy
Internet Tough Guy's picture

Exactly. Some rare earth metal may have a better year than gold from time to time, but only gold is the monetary choice of central banks.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 13:52 | 588211 DavidPierre
DavidPierre's picture

See new comments:

Peak Rare Earths is Upon Us.

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/peak-rare-earths-upon-us#comment-588203

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 19:17 | 588779 TheGoodDoctor
TheGoodDoctor's picture

Until there is no gold supply left. Then silver becomes the next gold. I think that Scientific American thing posted this past weekend had silver running out in 2029 and gold in 2030.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:57 | 587675 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

Alloyed with silver and copper. Electrum Bitches!!!

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:13 | 587867 Treeplanter
Treeplanter's picture

Can't lose when you quote Lisa Simpson.  

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:49 | 587656 chistletoe
chistletoe's picture

I don't care how much paper they offer me.

I'm not selling.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:46 | 587796 dark pools of soros
dark pools of soros's picture

so you're going to trade it for a boat?? or what?  what is you plan?  do you not need any money at all ?  fat pension taking care of the interweb access and smokes?

 

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:16 | 587877 Treeplanter
Treeplanter's picture

Chis is still making a good living off B&Es.  With all the cops getting laid off the competition from Mexico is getting fierce.  Where's the damn Israeli style fence?

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 12:02 | 587969 CitizenPete
CitizenPete's picture

If they ever did put up that Zionist style fence, then you can use your gold to buy apples, grapes and broccoli at 20x normal price.   Unless you want to pick it yourself.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:24 | 587908 bronzie
bronzie's picture

there will come a time to trade out of the precious metals and into other asset classes

stocks when dividends reach the 6-8% level

long-term bonds when interest rates reach 15-20%

income producing real estate when the rent-to-price ratio overshoots its long-term mean to the downside

right now it is time to sit back and wait while all asset categories are re-priced relative to gold

remember that Jesse Livermore said it never was his thinking that made him the big money, it was his sitting (ie, take a big position and wait for the primary trend to fully express itself)

in case you aren't paying attention, the ONLY bull market right now is in the precious metals - Richard Russell calls it the "greatest, least loved, and least recognized primary bull market in history"

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 12:11 | 587990 Calculated_Risk
Calculated_Risk's picture

Thanks for that.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:56 | 587673 Kina
Kina's picture

[JPM and HSBC are believed to be holding massive, galactic sized short positions -- to over 1 billion ounces of silver at this point.]

 

These guys are well and truly fucked. The cat is out of the bag, too many know silver is under valued, and well there being not much else to safely invest in silver offers the prospect of wealth preservation and returns.

 

And the knowledge that banks are desperate to keep the price down is an altert that this stuff must have a strong upside.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 15:35 | 588408 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

I'm sure they are fully back-stopped by Helicopter Ben.

Whatever that's worth.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:58 | 587676 fredquimby
fredquimby's picture

Gold is for sure the next gold, but I just bought 6 kilos of silver at bullionvault, just in case!!

http://www.bullionvault.com/#sutski123

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:17 | 587880 Treeplanter
Treeplanter's picture

What would Sideshow Bob do?  Buy Silver!

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 12:03 | 587970 DosZap
DosZap's picture

Fred,

I checked them out they are solid, but.Do not ask for Physical delivery, you will get fudgepacked Bawney Fwank style. TEN(10%?)..............of total holdings value?, my ass.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 12:04 | 587973 CitizenPete
CitizenPete's picture

I noticed the link was to your click account... not too blatant.

 

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:06 | 587677 ArrestBobRubin
ArrestBobRubin's picture

Silver will rise for many reasons, but the rise of the price of gold is the main one. Bear in mind that the Gold/Silver ratio has varied over the years. Where it used to be about 12 to 1, more recently that ratio runs between about 60 to 70 to 1.

So at 2,000 gold, Silver will be lifted along with it, well north of where it is today.

The other key thing to know about silver is just how much the industrial use side is growing. New uses in healthcare/pharma and apparel (yes apparel: the anti odor anti microbial items utilize AG) to name just 2 mean that the already limited above group silver is being used up fast.

2 other things to know: The above ground supply is at an nearly alltime low, and some geologists think that Silver is the 1st element form the periodic table that could go extinct.

Never underestimate what Hi-Ho will do in the near future. Rich Dad Robert Kiyosaki has called it the investment of our lifetimes. Learning all that I have, I'm onboard with both feet since about $15 p/oz.

Buy American Silver Eagles from www.bulliondirect.com and buy best of breed miners to take advantage on both sides as the secular PM Bull continues this historical climb to who knows where.

 

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 12:09 | 587982 DosZap
DosZap's picture

Want EAGLES, get them for less at APMEX................

Personally I would prefer not to pay the premiums for Eagles/mapes.

Silver is silver,and rounds/bars from a known mint, is a/ok by me.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 13:19 | 588145 ColonelCooper
ColonelCooper's picture

I agree with the exception that when wearing my Mad Max helmet I tend to believe that Eagles and pre '64's will be more likely to be trusted by the neighbor I want to buy feeder calves from.  I buy both.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 13:32 | 588173 iDealMeat
iDealMeat's picture

Just picked some up..  Put it on my CHASE CC and got the points..

Feels really good.. try it..

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 16:04 | 588470 kathy.chamberli...
kathy.chamberlin@gmail.com's picture

g r o s s, both using the name chase CC and your meat circle.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 09:58 | 587678 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

looks like JPM is trying to shake down silver holders now. 20.55 is the support. if you don't have any, you might want to jump in.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:04 | 587697 romanko
romanko's picture

two interesting tidbits:

 -"5 times more gold than silver exists above ground today"

 

-"in per capita terms, namely, how much there is if evenly divided among the earth's 6.5 billion inhabitants. For each man, woman and child, there exists 0.15 of an ounce."

  

http://www.midasletter.com/commentary/09012001_Real-Silver-Availability.php

 

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:28 | 587755 bronzie
bronzie's picture

"For each man, woman and child, there exists 0.15 of an ounce."

and I've got two ounces so that means at least 12 people won't get ANY!!!

got silver?

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:19 | 587889 Treeplanter
Treeplanter's picture

Snooze ya lose.  Says so in the scriptures.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 12:12 | 587994 DosZap
DosZap's picture

bronzie,

2ozs?,best get your ass in gear.

When Gold goes thru the roof, silver will be non existent.

J6P, will snarf up what's left, and what will be avail in either, will be so high Premium wise, you will likely be left in the cold.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 12:29 | 588029 bronzie
bronzie's picture

three is obviously the holy number - I have one gold coin and two silver ones

Monty Python - The Holy Hand Grenade

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xOrgLj9lOwk

Cleric: And the Lord spake, saying, "First shalt thou take out the Holy Pin. Then shalt thou count to three, no more, no less. Three shall be the number thou shalt count, and the number of the counting shall be three. Four shalt thou not count, neither count thou two, excepting that thou then proceed to three. Five is right out. Once the number three, being the third number, be reached, then lobbest thou thy Holy Hand Grenade of Antioch towards thy foe, who, being naughty in my sight, shall snuff it.

 

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 19:31 | 588804 TheGoodDoctor
TheGoodDoctor's picture

The question is, if there is 5 times more gold than silver above ground wouldn't silver have to be 5 times as expensive as gold?

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 22:23 | 589049 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Sure, for the 5 months or so that it would take for current production levels to catch up the above ground supply to that of gold.  This is not to mention new production that would come online at such prices.

Something like that might happen, but it would be the result of an industrial user panic, and would signal a blow off top.

I plan to sell silver for gold in increments.  When I can get an oz of gold for ten oz of silver, then again at 2 oz silver for one oz gold, then again at parity, then again at 2 oz of gold for one oz silver, then blow the last of my load at 5 oz gold for 1 oz silver.  If we don't see such levels, I will keep my silver.  It's worth holding in an of itself. 

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:06 | 587704 OpenEyes
OpenEyes's picture

Amazing how Au and Ag have been hammered this morning.  I was happily drinking a cup of coffee at 7:30 this morning and seeing Gold at $1,281 and Silver at $20.91.  then, magically, around 8am both started sliding downhill.  This happens like clockwork.  I've always suspected that some of the larger multi-nationals might be making a killing buying and selling gold to themselves every night/morning.  Seems as if it goes up overnight and is hammered down every morning.  Doesn't really matter that much to me, I'm not trading, just accumulating and holding regardless.  But, frustrating to watch nonetheless.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:10 | 587712 romanko
romanko's picture

that would be when the new york market opens... no coincidence there

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:36 | 587776 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

yeah, funny how it happens at just that time ....like clockwork, isn't it?

this wouldn't be so infuriating if the CTFC weren't literally and very obviously averting its eyes and essentially colluding in the fraud...

even more rage inducing is the fact that you know Ben will bail out JPM with taxpayer dollars when this all blows to high heaven.

socialize the losses, the peasantry will never know.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:58 | 587828 romanko
romanko's picture

sometimes the smackdown happens 30 or 45 minutes into the session - all that means is that the NY boys are stuck in some Starbucks line getting their non-fat-soy-lattes

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:34 | 587923 ArrestBobRubin
ArrestBobRubin's picture

You are 100% correct. But the price is ratcheting up inexorably. What was a base of 20.50 is now 20.70.

Sure there will be some takedowns along the way, but the ratchet is one-way over the long term.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 12:42 | 588058 boiow
boiow's picture

8 am,  they must be desperate to get up that early.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:07 | 587705 Kina
Kina's picture

And there is the CTFC well aware of criminal manipulation, cheering them on as they masturbate to pictures of BenB in drag.

 

Question is. Which of this group of crims put the contract out on Maguire? And what of the person who tried to kill him? No word?

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:37 | 587780 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

again, this was an "event" that never happened. sootland yard picked up the driver....but no name was ever released, no charges filed.....

yeah. think about that one. they probably buried under the national security blanket, right?

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:56 | 587824 MilleniumJane
MilleniumJane's picture

"Question is. Which of this group of crims put the contract out on Maguire? And what of the person who tried to kill him? No word?"

 

I know!  I have never seen a news story drop dead as fast as that one.  What I saw were two small blurbs in the propoganda media.  I have had to fish for details from the alternative news.  Very disturbing.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:22 | 587898 Treeplanter
Treeplanter's picture

Henry Waxman is about to start an investigation into how you found out about those pictres of BenB.  Quoting the congressman, "Masturbation is sacred."

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:32 | 587764 Michael Victory
Michael Victory's picture

Good stuff as usual from Abigail.

 

~MV

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:01 | 587785 overqualified
overqualified's picture

Look at the chart here:

http://webabuser.blogspot.com/2010/09/physical-silver-imports-skyrocket-in.html

It shows a perfect correlation of silver price with China net silver imports.

China IS MAKING SILVER PRICE importing big time physical bullion!

And... since October 2009, China stopped exporting physical silver!!!

Good bye JPM!

 

P.S. while you are at it: Web Bot prediction: Silver Will Go to Parity With gold

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:30 | 587916 bronzie
bronzie's picture

silver at 1:1 with gold will be another point at which it might make sense to trade from silver into other asset categories - or at least trade some silver for gold (if there is any physical gold available at that point!)

the web bots are fascinating - if you aren't already, add George Ure to your daily reading list: urbansurvival.com

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 15:22 | 588392 Big Corked Boots
Big Corked Boots's picture

The first rule of Web Bot predictions is, don't talk about Web Bot predictions. It creates a feedback loop, making the thing less accurate, and at a minimum causes clif high to have to exclude websites with Web Bot data that would otherwise provide useful info (like this one).

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 15:41 | 588418 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Just wait until the HFT programmers start listening to the bots. Then you'll see some feedback.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 23:10 | 589110 Trial of the Pyx
Trial of the Pyx's picture

holy fuck

 

I never considered that, it could rend the very fabric of spacetime

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:42 | 587786 fiddler_on_the_roof
fiddler_on_the_roof's picture

silver physical longs are weak hands. Unlike Gold longs who
get the help of Indian brides and other Asian societies, CB(nowadays)
Silver only has the support of Industries. Hence it can be driven down
Of course CB's don't have silver, but their proxies - hedged miners do.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:43 | 587789 FranSix
FranSix's picture

Keep in mind when considering Silver that it was demonetized long ago, for real reasons.  There is also the gold/silver ratio, and when Silver is performing against gold, that's a sure signal that a boom in in progress.  

Since we're in a long-term bear deflationary market with inflationary booms/busts as we go along, Silver will always benefit.  But its not gold from the simple fact that its lease rate is substantially different.  I think this will be borne out as time progresses, that Silver will follow somewhat in Gold's wake.  If it were an inflationary boom in a bull market with high interest rates, then very likely Silver will outperform.

Somebody always looks to the silver when the inflationary aspect is most pressing.  The boom that's in progress is probably the corporate high yield bond boom since the 2008 bust.

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=HYG&p=W&b=5&g=0&id=p30337602177&a=19644...

Remember that Dorothy lost her silver shoes in the original printed text of The Wizard Of Oz.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:02 | 587839 CrockettAlmanac.com
CrockettAlmanac.com's picture

Dorothy lost her silver slippers and the scarecrow was "Crucified on a Cross of Gold," but the Cowardly Lion did nothing but roar about it.

The expansion of silver production in the American west stressed the bi-mettallic standard set by government regulation. But would the free market have demonetized silver or just refactored its value against gold?

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:35 | 587927 bronzie
bronzie's picture

silver is primarily produced as a by-product of mining the industrial metals

in a deflation / depression / declining economy / peak western living standards type environment, the demand for the base metals will decline and therefore the supply of silver will be reduced

less supply, more investment demand as people try to protect themselves

buying silver is win-win in any environment I can think of

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:46 | 587798 trav7777
trav7777's picture

Until/unless silver production peaks, it won't be the next gold.  Silver production may be on a peak plateau but only time will tell.  If it goes into supply decline, its price metrics should match what gold did after the same event.

I concur with the earlier poster on Platinum.  Pt production is 5% of annual gold production.  Far rarer, even denser, and with industrial uses.  Wondering why morons like Jewbini and Douchinger don't call for stockpiling it instead of gold.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:24 | 587906 Johnny Dangereaux
Johnny Dangereaux's picture

Silver production might peak for a while if/when Mexico blows up. Also check out www.runtogold.com    He gives detailed comparisons of PM spreads. Latest post=Buy Whites/sell Yellow   An enterprising Exchange might find that a futures contract priced in the G/S ratio would get some biz....wait, I should patent that one...shhh...

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:47 | 587804 flacon
flacon's picture

Finally an article about SILVER!

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 10:49 | 587809 famousamos
famousamos's picture

So a couple of months ago the SEC was investigatin JP Morgan for silver manipulation. I read somewhere that the short position has actually increased something like 30% this last month. Where can one see if the short position has increased or decreased for the the current month? And any views on JPMorgan - have they temporarily stopped? 

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:15 | 587876 spartan117
spartan117's picture

They are trying very hard to shake the tree, but no one is blinking.  You'd think silver would correct, as it has so many times in the past, but it seems to be defying gravity lately.  I keep waiting for a correction to make a purchase, but the paper sellers are not very motivated lately. 

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:42 | 587937 ArrestBobRubin
ArrestBobRubin's picture

Spartan, in light of ongoing developments, I suggest you're far better off to dollar cost average starting today rather than wait for a "correction" that may never materialize.

Silver has miles to go, so what if you "save" a few bucks now? Of course it depends on your expectations and horizon, but for most people who want to get in on PM it's just better to get onboard and buy what you can afford month in and month out.

 

 

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 11:30 | 587918 Treeplanter
Treeplanter's picture

Request: could some excellent computer adept give us a link to Jerry and the Boys doing The Loser?  "You know I'm only in it for the gold."  Feel like celebrating this push through the  cartel's stacked deck.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 22:52 | 589082 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

"Come to daddy on an inside straight...":

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SvZJZkJi1g8

Ask and ye shall receive.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 12:08 | 587979 wafflehead
wafflehead's picture

what was the last silver high 21 point... ?

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 12:10 | 587985 CitizenPete
CitizenPete's picture

Silver? silver...  you don't need no stinkin silver

 

http://i11.tinypic.com/2s92cl3.gif

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 12:16 | 588002 Calculated_Risk
Calculated_Risk's picture

There will be another dip this fall/winter, probably November into December.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 12:33 | 588035 bronzie
bronzie's picture

will that dip be before or after silver hits the $28 level?

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 12:56 | 588092 mrgneiss
mrgneiss's picture

Yes............it will dip, and the dip will be from 25 to 22.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 18:10 | 588708 Calculated_Risk
Calculated_Risk's picture

I hope not :/

I'm thinking the next low will be in the $20/oz range...

But demand is strong, and it's decoupled from the market..

If I'm lucky/hoping it'll hit $18/oz, it did show some resistance int the $18/oz range  for a few months. So it may happen... silver can be volatile.

 

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 13:51 | 588207 ArrestBobRubin
ArrestBobRubin's picture

I calculate that risk and raise you 100 Silver Eagles

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 14:21 | 588269 Cui Bono
Cui Bono's picture

ITG- Re:Au & Ag as money.... so you're sayin' skinheads aren't allowed in Mohawk Town?

 

Anarchy burger....hold the government please.... Friggin love those guys!

CB

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 16:42 | 588539 Black Friday
Black Friday's picture

I live a stones throw from the Royal Canadian Mint so I decided to go and check out their boutique today and maybe pick up some silver bullion.

Well...they didn't have any. They said they are waiting...(they seemed more confused than anything) then they gave me a business card so I could call back.

They did have $39.00, 1 ounce silver maples in "mint" condition though hahaha.

I know it's not their main business but to not have any silver bullion in the official shop of the official Canadian mint is a little fishy.

Fri, 09/17/2010 - 16:55 | 588566 romanko
romanko's picture

The Royal Canadian Mint is such a joke. Did you ever see that Rick Mercer episode when he visited. Their vault has one steel shelving unit with a tiny stack of good delivery bars. Did you know that Canada's gold reserve comes in at 78th amoungst nations, at a whopping 3.4 tons!

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gold_reserve

 

Thu, 10/07/2010 - 05:43 | 631575 Herry12
Herry12's picture

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