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Welcome To The Casino, We Got Fun And Games... But No Liquidity All Of A Sudden

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Billions were made and lost in half an hour.

 

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Tue, 08/25/2009 - 10:34 | 47299 Deficient Market
Deficient Market's picture

Uh oh, power outage, someone forgot to instal HAL9000's backup power unit...

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 10:54 | 47334 mgarrett84
mgarrett84's picture

Thats ok, the JCN10^9000 is ready to replace the HAL

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 10:38 | 47302 molecool
molecool's picture

Whatever it was - it got me excellent fills on my puts.

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 10:41 | 47306 Sqworl
Sqworl's picture

GS made it payment to SEC fine!!  Let the games continue!

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 15:06 | 47757 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

lol.

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 10:41 | 47308 max2205
max2205's picture

Da Players are out celebrating the godfathers reappointment and the prosect for tons more in taxpayer supplied bonuses in the future.  they be smoking the green shoots now that they have cured.

 

We are really non confirming new highs, I suspect a air lock elevator drop to scare some bulls out of their positions soon.

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 10:43 | 47314 lettuce
lettuce's picture

smoking the green shoots to reach new highs...awesome.

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 10:44 | 47317 Cheeky Bastard
Cheeky Bastard's picture

http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/08/bank-holding-companies-ranked-by-commercial-real-estate-loans/

This is a good article to bookmark and follow the future +/- swings.

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 11:04 | 47348 chunkylover42
chunkylover42's picture

Very nice table, Cheeky, thanks for forwarding.  The next logical question is: at what value are these loans being carried? 

That is why the BBT/Colonial thing makes me nervous.  37% writedowns shouldn't be happening at this point.  We all know the banks have crappy CRE on their balance sheet and are probably avoiding the losses.  But by how much?

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 11:07 | 47354 deadhead
deadhead's picture

most sources that I read say CRE loans are carried at par. 

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 14:18 | 47683 chunkylover42
chunkylover42's picture

That's all I've seen as well, which just blows my mind.  No way that's justifiable, even in mark-to-fantasy-land.

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 11:41 | 47394 AnonymousMonetarist
AnonymousMonetarist's picture

IndyMac at 37 cents and even that pricepoint was suspect.

When structured vehicles blow you can get blutarskied ...0.0

So a slice of a nothin' is nothin' baby.

I'm dying for the FED audit if it happens .. cause have always believed that in fact for certain transactions, yes viriginia there is no collateral.

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 12:01 | 47423 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Oh my, MetLife has some exposure!

If they haven't written down, one might opine they will be the next AIG.

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 16:32 | 47945 Haywood Jablowme
Haywood Jablowme's picture

Ironic seeing how Metlife's old guy is now the main man runnin' things at AIG...

Wed, 08/26/2009 - 00:52 | 48460 texpat
texpat's picture

Fuck Cheeky?!?! All the banks are wearing giant bombs shaped like commercial real estate!

Wait, wait, there's a bank not represented... guess which one... oh-oh

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 10:50 | 47322 MinnesotaNice
MinnesotaNice's picture

Could coincide with story out at 10:16am on Bubblevision... Economy in Much Worse Shape Than Expected:  White House

http://www.cnbc.com/id/32551478
Tue, 08/25/2009 - 10:51 | 47328 Deficient Market
Deficient Market's picture

This was on CNBS? Must have been some screwup, maybe this was supposed to go to GS's esteemed customers, but they mixed up the memos and sent them the daily tout (early of course) so they went BuyBuyBuy into the opening, while the rest of the market sold when the story hit CNBS? Now it all makes sense...

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 10:56 | 47338 MinnesotaNice
MinnesotaNice's picture

Oh I think GS got it before everybody because it look like the slide started around 10:05am...

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 10:51 | 47326 Eduardo
Eduardo's picture

Well Abby tell ya how it is gonna be in this video. A staircase

At about 4:50: the market will go up in a staircase pattern.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?play=1&video=1206767531

They cannot only "predict" where the s&p 500, oil and everything else is going to be in a year but also how it is going to get there. Isn't that cool?

They get some soft taken away from them, they wake up the FBI and at the very next day the guy is under surveillance and soon after he is in jail. Good that the manipulative soft go back to the right hands. But if they give trading tips to their fav clients. Barely anything happens.

While in the same bizarro world their own economist cannot get himself to sound bulish

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 11:14 | 47340 Eduardo
Eduardo's picture

Forgot to include the video of Goldman's economist:

http://www.clipsyndicate.com/video/playlist/1778/1071006?title=bloomberg

 

Also let me add that the staircase rally seems to be the better one from a maipulative pointof view. Every time you get a plateau wait for the short side to load so when you force them to cover they help into creating the next step ...

Thank you Goverment Sachs, and Ben Bernanke you are so well trimmed so thank you too!.

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 11:43 | 47397 AnonymousMonetarist
AnonymousMonetarist's picture

They should only let in Abby at the Barron's Roundtable to serve drinks for Hickey, Faber and Zulauf.

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 14:09 | 47478 asdfg (not verified)
asdfg's picture

Cheney: Forget it, he's rolling. 
Benny: And it ain't over now. 'Cause when the goin' gets

good articles; good articles 4 slow news day ..http://www..
hat tip: finance news & finance opinions

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 10:52 | 47329 They steal from...
They steal from us everyday's picture

Pimp juice, pimp juice...

I am talking my pimp juice, yeah my pimp juice...

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 20:32 | 48244 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

Pimp juice is a derivation of Juice. Juice is using cruel acts to make people afraid of you so you can dominate them. Pimp juice is like slapping whores and such. The juice system is a ponzi scheme. You have to keep doing more cruel things to maintain it until you eventually reach a line you won't cross.

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 10:54 | 47335 Spartacus
Spartacus's picture
Redbook: US Retail Sales -0.7% First 3 Wks Aug Vs July

Why this news is not on Bloomberg?

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 11:08 | 47356 deadhead
deadhead's picture

my view is that a number of outlets are discounting Redbook as WalMart is out.

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 10:55 | 47336 mdtrader
mdtrader's picture

Somebody knew and that's why futures were well bid from overnight lows around 1020, despite China being down ect. Once the number came out, it was time for those in the know to cash in.

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 10:56 | 47337 tradertim
tradertim's picture

i just visit this site to see TD's pretty colored charts.

 

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 10:56 | 47339 chunkylover42
chunkylover42's picture

You mean that's not normal??

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 11:04 | 47350 Deficient Market
Deficient Market's picture

I believe this is now known in TA as the flying finger formation. It was last seen right after the FOMC minutes on the Dollar index. It is meant to send the market the following message - "screw you, we can take this market whichever way we want"

So the short answer is yes, this is normal.

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 11:06 | 47351 Eduardo
Eduardo's picture

LOL

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 11:00 | 47343 rapier
rapier's picture

Obama kind of threw them a curve with the late day reappointment. The boys are tired and now they have to rally one more day to substantiate Ben's acendency to Maestro status. Oh hell, what's one more day.  Besides, the boys and girls over at Crapvision are pissed to the point of calling out the Teabaggers with guns every time the S&P is down 1 point. Eternal rally is becoming an existential necessity.

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 11:08 | 47357 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

can you say short

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 11:18 | 47365 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

Who said buy and hold doesn't work as a strategy... as long as its between 4am - 10am.

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 11:27 | 47372 matthylland
matthylland's picture

Thought today was going to be like yesterday....pump and dump, but I guess not quite...

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 11:33 | 47386 Deficient Market
Deficient Market's picture

It was a pump and dump, except on a much shorter time frame. The time frame is now being determined by Moore's law, so it will exponentially keep getting shorter and shorter, until our mere human eyes will not be able to notice the pump and dump. That's when consumer confidence will skyrocket past 5000 as the market and economy will seem to run on pure magic!

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 11:28 | 47374 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

For trading purposes, I never even look at anything less than the daily bar. Trying to time the intraday swings is playing their game.

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 11:32 | 47382 Sancho Ponzi
Sancho Ponzi's picture

OT: Goldman’s Hatzius Says Fed Balance Sheet Could Hit $4 Trillion

“Rates need to stay low,” he said. The Fed “could become more aggressive in purchasing assets. They have not gotten a lot of bang for the buck on that policy so far.”

Translation: The Fed needs to buy $ 2 trillion more of toxic crap at ridiculous prices to help get GS and the other banksters out of this mess

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 11:40 | 47392 glenlloyd
glenlloyd's picture

Your translation is correct, and I can tell you right now that's going to end badly.

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 11:46 | 47401 AnonymousMonetarist
AnonymousMonetarist's picture

But he opined recession is over, oh if only I could be the ball in the Goldman rugby huddle.

 

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 12:03 | 47434 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

False. Liquidity did not disappear: the average SPY inside size (average of bid size and ask size) was:
09:40-10:00 17.4K shares (on the way up)
10:00-10:20 16.3K shares (on the way down)

Liquidity does not bring freedom from volatility. Liquidity allows large trades to cause minimal volatility and thus low market impact cost.

You're making it appear that you don't know what liquidity is.

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 14:09 | 47477 asdfg (not verified)
asdfg's picture

think a lot of this is going on. still books the income, calls it a short term accounts receivable and on the surface, everything is normal.

good articles; good articles 4 slow news day ..http://www..
hat tip: finance news & finance opinions

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 12:15 | 47482 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

My favorite part of that video is when Larry Kudlow commended Abby J on her wonderful predictive track record. Didn't she think the S&P would be above 1500 at the end of 2008?

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 13:35 | 47643 Jeanbon
Jeanbon's picture

Today has to be the day where the market kicks 

The FED's ass, 

The Bull's asses

and all those folks asses who now suddenly appear and

try to push up stocks as much as they can.

 

Today has to be the reversal day. It just has to be!

 

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 13:46 | 47659 Anonymous
Anonymous's picture

there isn't going to be a reversal until all the hopes and expectations of a reversal are dimmed.

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 18:44 | 48130 Digital Gunfire
Digital Gunfire's picture

Want a good laugh ?

Go check out Michael moore's trailer of his new movie about Wallstreet

http://www.michaelmoore.com/

He has quite a few bags to fill...

 

 

Tue, 08/25/2009 - 20:35 | 48250 docsdoc
docsdoc's picture

This might be the only MM film I will enjoy seeing...

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!