Why The Pacific Decadal Oscillator Means Five More Years Of Very Bad Fed Luck

Tyler Durden's picture

Your rating: None

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Fri, 02/25/2011 - 14:43 | 997478 truont
truont's picture

All other tropical storms must bow before La Nina!


Fri, 02/25/2011 - 19:07 | 997888 ZerOhead
ZerOhead's picture

Ty... it's called Pacific decadal oscillation.

We are heading into a 15 year cooling trend before it bottoms. Not 5.

And a deep solar minimum may take this sucker down even further. Crop failures are pretty much going to be an ongoing phenomenon for at least the next 20-30 years.

Oh... and global warming? The global satellite temps are now back to where they were 30 years ago.

See fer yerself!


Meanwhile Al Gore and the 'tards' back at IPCC say the planet is melting up!


Do some research for yourself to see who is lying.

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 21:30 | 998744 Spigot
Spigot's picture

Any system that undergoes change from one relative extreme to another, in a period rhythm, is an oscillator. The term oscillation describes the dynamic of the system. The term oscillator describes the system itself.

Sat, 02/26/2011 - 09:30 | 999494 blindfaith
blindfaith's picture

ah, oscillation is like a dog shaking the water off his back, and oscillator is the how.

Like ol' George Carlin said, mother nature is going to shake us off her back like a dog shakes off water.

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 14:51 | 997495 plocequ1
plocequ1's picture

Well then, I guess i better order my new and improved Macbook pro now on credit before we are doomed, Or should i wait a couple of months?

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 14:53 | 997506 knukles
knukles's picture

Hell, do one now and one later.  Catch up with all the new factory loaded auto obsolecent apps. 

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 14:56 | 997512 plocequ1
plocequ1's picture

I have one now. Trust me, It comes delivered with a clean slate. No filth.

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 15:01 | 997520 Harmonious_Diss...
Harmonious_Dissonance's picture

Better pick up a few extra batteries for SURE: Laptop batteries never last, thats what sours me on the electric car.

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 16:08 | 997723 asdasmos
asdasmos's picture

Marc Faber McAlvany Interview 23 February 2011.


 - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3uEbhPuoTx0

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 14:50 | 997502 Eagle1
Eagle1's picture

Strongly recommend you read the Browning Newletter by Evelyn Browning Garriss if you are at all interested in climate and the affairs of men.

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 15:20 | 997581 velobabe
velobabe's picture

men have affairs? whod da think†

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 15:22 | 997588 velobabe
velobabe's picture

men have affairs? whod da think†

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 14:55 | 997508 treemagnet
treemagnet's picture

On a completely seperate topic - how do you explain CDS (Portugal for example) spreads to a woman - like my wife?  I've tried, maybe I'm not smart enough.

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 15:00 | 997521 knukles
knukles's picture

Easier to explain to a woman why administering oral sex is beneficial to her.
Believe me.

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 15:17 | 997564 johnQpublic
johnQpublic's picture

a CDS in those terms is this:


honey ,you give me oral...you then guess whether i will ejaculate in your mouth

if you are wrong...you get anal

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 15:17 | 997565 Rodent Freikorps
Rodent Freikorps's picture

It is a good source of protein?

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 15:20 | 997584 johnQpublic
johnQpublic's picture

depends which end you inject it from...see above

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 16:17 | 997747 knukles
knukles's picture

JQ and Rodent... you guys are awesome!

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 16:23 | 997779 A Man without Q...
A Man without Qualities's picture

tell her it's the cost of insuring against a loss, where the loss equals the probability of a default times by the loss given default.  

If she doesn't know what probability is, give her a die, tell her to roll it a thousand times and count the number of times she rolls a 6.

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 14:57 | 997513 Harmonious_Diss...
Harmonious_Dissonance's picture

This is quite intruiging! So you are saying the the fractional reserve, centrally planned, money printing, wealth funneling, modern banking embodiment of money, the means for economic activity, is unnatural? Well I certainly agree and hope nature will PURGE the abomination from the Universe!



Fri, 02/25/2011 - 14:57 | 997514 Ancona
Ancona's picture

That's why I live where I do. Even with the LaNina, we have had incredibly milkd weather, and zero landfalling hurricanes last year.

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 14:58 | 997516 hellopahello
hellopahello's picture

sell sell sell.....................

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 15:00 | 997519 Fortunes Favor
Fortunes Favor's picture

...Fed's (and the global banker cabal's) ridiculous monetary policy...

 Medes and Persians are at the Gates  http://rosenthalcapital.com/blog/2011/02/rosenthal-rant-medes-and-persians-are-at-the-gates/

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 15:05 | 997532 Bleeping Fed
Bleeping Fed's picture

So you're saying that until 2016 all bad news can be blamed on snow?

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 15:07 | 997539 knukles
knukles's picture

No, on seasonal adjustments for snow.

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 15:19 | 997571 Pure Evil
Pure Evil's picture

Nope again, we blame it on the Great ChairSatan's inability to control the weather.

It all revolves around Uncle Good Time Bennie.

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 15:15 | 997556 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

and Rain and Sunshine and Wind and Volcanoes and Earth shakes and Lightning and Solar flares and Oil and Gold and Silver and China and Russia and Europe and England and YOU!



Fri, 02/25/2011 - 15:18 | 997567 Bleeping Fed
Bleeping Fed's picture

Me?  I didn't do nuttin.  Except BTFD of course.

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 15:12 | 997547 Judge Judy Scheinlok
Judge Judy Scheinlok's picture

Does any one no fi topcallingtroll is still shrot equity. hehe. ouch.

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 16:07 | 997725 Ancona
Ancona's picture

Looks like someone hit coctail hour a bit early today.  ;-)

Sat, 02/26/2011 - 01:30 | 999153 topcallingtroll
topcallingtroll's picture

No i.got out yesterday. I cant call shit anymore. Top or bottom calls.

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 15:14 | 997553 gwar5
gwar5's picture

It's all about the PDOs baby -- climate has nothing to do with carbon dioxide which is just essential plant food floating in the air. And PDOs are determined by the sun the cycles and ocean currents.

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 15:20 | 997577 Bleeping Fed
Bleeping Fed's picture

And we all know it's bad for plants to have more plant food in the air.

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 15:59 | 997690 helicity
helicity's picture

Yeah, you've single-handedly upended the basic radiation physics which we've understood for 50 years. Sure dude!


Fri, 02/25/2011 - 15:17 | 997559 Sean7k
Sean7k's picture

Maybe we need to keep a count on all the predictors of future economic behavior- funny, none of them work, but we keep coming up with more. 

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 15:19 | 997570 Rodent Freikorps
Rodent Freikorps's picture

Don't forget the Sun.

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 16:08 | 997729 helicity
helicity's picture

Betting on the reversal of the PDO oscillation is a bit of bigger gamble than UBS would like you to believe. One can never know when there's a true reversal of the index, as even during the 20-30 yr cycles, reversals still happen. One can see it more easily with the Wikipedia graph, which is finer:




Fri, 02/25/2011 - 18:04 | 998099 InconvenientCou...
InconvenientCounterParty's picture

Voice of reason on statistics is a good thing to have. Gotta admit, it sure does appear to be rolling over.

of course, I might be influenced by the snow advisory down to sea level in Cali today.

Sat, 02/26/2011 - 01:54 | 999181 KinorSensase
KinorSensase's picture

and on to the big climate picture.  change happens.  so it goes.



Fri, 02/25/2011 - 16:30 | 997797 DarkAgeAhead
DarkAgeAhead's picture

And hedging for the next 50 years, check the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment.


Of particular interest here is the Summary for Decisionmakers and conclusion #3 regarding ecosystem services.

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 16:50 | 997864 topcallingtroll
topcallingtroll's picture

What would happen if we had another "year without a summer" here in the USA? I believe the last one was 1816 but not sure. Google it. It seems to happen about every two hundred years.

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 18:28 | 998176 Things that go bump
Things that go bump's picture

That was due to Krakatoa blowing its top.  Something needs to spew a lot of soot into the atmosphere to get that sort of effect.  It was abnormally cool the summer Mount St. Helen blew and after Pinatubo erupted too.  The climate effects were well documented.  

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 18:41 | 998233 A Texan
A Texan's picture

No, Krakatoa was in 1883; Tambora in Indonesia was in 1815.   It was the biggest volcanic eruption in recorded history, and the only eruption rated a 7 on the Volcanic Explosivity Index since 180 AD. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mount_Tambora   http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Krakatoa 

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 18:51 | 998268 Things that go bump
Things that go bump's picture

Sorry, you're right.  My memory is not what it once was.  

Sat, 02/26/2011 - 00:43 | 999070 snowball777
snowball777's picture

Does China count?

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 19:29 | 998412 MrSteve
MrSteve's picture

Local climate changes have influenced the quality of life for a long time, including the ergot poisoning in wet weather in northern Europe. The mind-altering quality of spores growing in rye bread was only recently appreciated and blessed by science, courtesy of the late Dr. Tim.

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 19:58 | 998507 Things that go bump
Things that go bump's picture

Ergot was also a traditional abortifacient and suspected to be a teratogen

Fri, 02/25/2011 - 20:11 | 998541 Things that go bump
Things that go bump's picture


Sat, 02/26/2011 - 00:41 | 999052 snowball777
snowball777's picture

How dare you leave Dr. Hoffman out of the discussion; 1 bad trip penance.

Tiny Dr. Tim found the light down Mexico way.

Sat, 02/26/2011 - 01:28 | 999150 topcallingtroll
topcallingtroll's picture

Because of the possibility of a year without a summer such as 1816, it is not unreasonable to store six months of wheat vitamins salt and sugar. These are cheap and properly stored will last indefinitely. You can pass it along to your grandkids. A years supply of 1500 calories per day would be less than 500 dollars. You can supplement with tree bark (cambium), wild greens, insects, cats and dogs for variety. The army survival manual says that cat and dog livers are especially valuable nutrition.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!