Fibozachi's blog

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[1] The S&P 500 meets key trendline resistance on day 55 of a Fibonacci time cycle as exponential moving averages cluster ... [2] daily, weekly and monthly support / resistance levels for the US Dollar ... [3] Crude Oil futures trace out a tricky wedge formation

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Tuesday's relentless sell-off across US equity markets marked an undeniable end to the continuous series of higher lows that had been intact since July 2009; closing below 1,044.50 on the S&P 500 Cash, bulltards can no longer claim that the primary trend of equities remains bullish. With ZMH the only S&P 500 issue closing higher, could GETCO be anticipating a large order from Mr. Market for a new hip? Joking aside, what can we expect after such an all-encompassing technical rout?

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Weekly technical profiles of Ashford (AHT), Ares Capital (ARCC), Alleghany (AYE), CF Industries (CF), Cummins (CMI), Complete Production Services (CPX), Estee Lauder (EL), National Bank of Greece (NBG) & QQQQ UltraShort (QID) with explicit trade setups

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Weekly technical profiles of Gamestop (GME), Waters (WAT), Liberty Media (LINTA), JetBlue (JBLU), Radioshack (RSH), Exelon (EXC), Monsanto (MON), H&R Block (HRB) & China North East Petroleum (NEP) with explicit trade setups

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With an initial bailout of Greece 'out of the way', many market pundits will proudly proclaim the bear market slain. An initial pop monday morning will likely stoke fears of "missing the next leg up." Friday's end-of-day buying surge into the close raises the odds that the market begins the week with strength, but the real test will come when the S&P 500 cash (INX) tests 1,200 and the DJIA (INDU) 11,000. The US Dollar (DXY) plotted a daily FNH (failed new high) this past Thursday at 81.91 before rolling over. Barring a 3-day reversal pattern back up above 81.6, Uncle Buck will likely digest his gains into mid-May after having rallied for four months straight. Ten explicit stock trade setups for GNW, LNC, PFG, RDC, IBB, EMR, HST, AONE, SKYW & APWR.

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Last week, one of our 3 bullish candidates, DNR, was the 2nd greatest gainer (+11.2%) across the S&P 500. For this week, our scans say energy complex up, consumer discretionary down. The energy patch, utilities included, appears primed to pump higher. Weekly charts with explicit trade setups ~ DELL, NKE, PCLN, F, BIG, HD, HAS, MAT, UNG, CNX, AES, FE, MFE & QID.

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One of our daily scans returned an oddball pattern at the end of last week that is extremely rare and extremely interesting from a technical perspective; 4 consecutive "filled white" candles. The culprit: none other than Boeing, the big BA, who just yesterday completed an "ultimate-load wing up-bending test on the 787 Dreamliner" with "positive initial results." Though analysis of the data for the long-delayed Dreamliner will take several weeks to sift through, we took a few snapshots and present a technical profile for the big BA and Continental Airlines (CAL), which stood out as another utterly fugly issue ripe for reversal.