Marc To Market's blog

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France Seeks Forbearance





France may ask for more time to reach its fiscal objectives.

 
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Imported Deflation and a New Currency War?





Japan is not exporting deflation to the euro area.  Here's why.  And the dollar's role a the major reserve asset remains quite stable despite the perennial forecasts of its demise. 

 
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ECB and US Jobs Dominate the Markets Next Week





The start of Q2 2014.  US economy to strength.  Japan's to weaken.  Euro-area is barly growing, while the UK continues apace.   

 
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Dollar Mixed to Start Q2





A look at the price action in the foreign exchange market, within the context of fundamenal developments.

 
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The Word from the Bundesbank





What is the Bundesbank thinking? 

 
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Squaring the Circle: A QE for the ECB





If the idea is to anticipate what an adversary does, it behooves us, even if we do not believe in QE on moral grounds or on efficacy grounds, to consider how the ECB can have QE, which it appears under increasing pressure to do.  Here is such a course. 

 
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Thoughts on the Week Ahead





A dispassionate discussion of the major forces impacting the investment climate in the week ahead. 

 
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Russia: Economic Vulnerabilities





Russia's military action in Crimea was out of weakness.  He was afraid having a potentially hostile power on his border and losing his naval base in Crimea.  He is at risk of repeating mistakes of the Soviet Union in not taking market forces seriously enough.  

 
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Dollar Bears Tread Carefully, Better Tone Coming





A near-term outlook for the dollar against the major foreign currencies.  

 
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Russia and its Dollar Reserves: Going Nowhere Fast





Dispassionate analysis of Russia/Crimea and the threat of Russia dumping its dollar holdings.  Much posturing.  Many point to US bluster have tough time identifying Russia's bluster.  Let me help.  

 
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