Monetary Metals's blog

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This week, the prices of the metals mostly moved sideways. There was a rise on Thursday but it corrected back to basically unchanged on Friday. The gold basis was up slightly and cobasis is down with our calculated fundamental price is all but unchanged around $1,360. In silver, the basis is basically unchanged but the cobasis went up a bit. The silver market got just a bit tighter, and our calculated fundamental price is up more than 30 cents to about a quarter above the market price. Not exactly “bet the farm with leverage territory”, but definitely not “short this dog” either.

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This week, the prices of the metals moved up on Monday. Then the gold price went sideways for the rest of the week, but the silver price jumped on Friday. We see a higher price of gold along with greater scarcity (i.e. cobasis, the red line), which means the price of gold is being pushed up by buyers of physical metal, not by buyers of futures (which would push up the basis, and reduce scarcity). In silver, the story is a bit less compelling. The scarcity of the metal is holding (not increasing), as the price rises. This implies there is some good demand for physical, and the price action had futures market assistance.

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This week, the prices of the metals went up, with the gold price rising every day and the silver price stalling out after rising 42 cents on Tuesday. The gold-silver ratio went up a bit this week, an unusual occurrence when the prices are rising

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For 90 min, the panicky speculator herd stampeded. Then market makers reasserted control. No, not over price--of spread! They did not manipulate the price of gold upwards. They decarried gold, that is, sold spot and bought futures.

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I gave a 45-minute presentation on Yield Purchasing Power at American Institute for Economic Research in Great Barrington, MA on October 14, 2016. I am grateful to the Institute for recording video of my presentation plus extended Q&A.