Phoenix Capital Research's blog
There is not one single example in history in which QE has successfully created jobs. The UK has engaged in QE equal to over 20% of its GDP and hasn’t seen a real recovery in employment. Similarly, Japan has employed QE equal to nearly 25% of its GDP and GDP growth continues to slow while unemployment stays elevated.
A Jackson Hole meeting without the Fed Chairman is like having a performance of Hamlet without Hamlet himself in it. Why would the single most important Central Banker not attend one of the biggest economic meetings of the year?
We’ve seen this kind of divergence between stocks and the economy before in 2008. We all know how that ended.
This more than anything else shows that the claims that QE and Central Bank money printing generate real economic growth are false.
The is the key area to watch. If Gold continues to correct, then we could go to $1200. But Gold should hold up here as ong as the long-term trendline remains intact.
Investors take note, a false breakout is an extremely dangerous thing. If the stock market is in fact failing to maintain its upward breakout, we could see a sharp reversal similar to that of Gold (Gold has lead stocks for much of the post-2008 period).
All in all, the markets are falling for the same ploy they’ve fallen for dozens of times in the last few months: more political promises from those who cannot and will not do what is needed to solve the region’s problems.
Gold Doesn't Pay a Dividend... But It Doesn't Commit Fraud, Steal Depositor Funds, Lie Under Oath, etc.Submitted by Phoenix Capital Research on 04/19/2013 15:31 -0400
Gold doesn’t blow stock bubbles. It doesn’t manipulate data. Gold doesn’t control interest rates to benefit the big banks at the expense of everyone else. Gold doesn’t lie under oath, nor does it channel the public’s money into foreign banks.
Get that “extra space” to move ready, Mr. Draghi. Your promise to provide unlimited buying of bonds might get put to the test!
The German stock market, the DAX, has officially taken out its trendline from the June 2012 low when European Central Bank President Mario Draghi promised “unlimited bond buying” to support Europe.
Corporate Revenues Miss, a False Breakout in the S&P 500, and Europe's Canary in the Coalmine is Out ColdSubmitted by Phoenix Capital Research on 04/17/2013 10:45 -0400
Investors take note, the markets are sending multiple signals that things are not going well in the world. Stocks are always the last asset class to realize this.
Investors take note, the global economy appears to be contracting again. China’s recent GDP miss is the just the latest in a series of economic surprises to the downside. And stocks are always the last asset class to realize this.
According to Central Banker thinking, if something doesn’t work for 20 years the only answer is to do even more of it. So the Bank of Japan attempted a “shock and awe” move with an unprecedented QE equal to $1.2 trillion. Japanese bonds, already strained as investments by the demographic and economic issues plaguing Japan, have since become extremely volatil
As Cyprus has shown us, when push comes to shove, rule of law goes out the window. I fully expect that when things get really bad in the financial system the money grabs will come fast and furious. Foreign accounts, including possibly even Gold held aboard, will come under attack. Heck, the US got Switzerland to throw its 300-year-old banking secrecy out the window…
By downplaying inflation you can overstate growth. All economic growth in the US accounts for inflation via a “deflator” measure. If GDP grows 3% and inflation was 2%, then real growth was 1% in very very simple terms.