Phoenix Capital Research's blog

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Can We Retake the Trendline?





As noted last week, the markets will likely rally into the Fourth of July. Most “analysts” will view this as a sign that the initial drop down from two weeks ago was a fluke and it’s time to “buy the dip.”

 
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We’ve Passed #1, In #2… Next Up Comes the Big Drop





 

All market collapses follow a particular pattern. We're passed #1, into #2... next up is #3.

 
 
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Real Disposable Income is Falling at 2008 Rates





 

That is a truly staggering collapse in incomes. The last time we say anything even close to this was in the third quarter of 2008.  

 
 
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The Single Largest Driver of the US Economy is About to Collapse





 

 Anyone who is banking on consumers to continue spending as they have is out of their mind.

 
 
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The Markets Are No Longer Buying What Central Bankers Are Selling.





 

The global Central Banks are in damage control mode. The big story here is China, then Japan then the US. But all of them are losing control of the markets.

 
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The Great Global Rig is Ending...





 

The markets are beginning what could in fact be an epic meltdown.

 
 
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Is the Great Crisis Finally Here?





 

The technical damage from yesterday’s bloodbath was severe. I’ve been warning readers of Gains Pains & Capital that we were heading for a serious collapse. Yesterday’s action was just the beginning.

 
 
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The Bond Implosion Has Officially Begun





 

This is just the start. I warned my clients subscribers in our most recent issue that higher rates were coming noting a collapse in bonds in Europe and the emerging market space.

 
 
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Bernanke Spells "Recovery" F-A-I-L-U-R-E





The Fed has spent TRILLIONS of Dollars and failed to deliver anything resembling economic growth. The number of people who are of working age who are actually working has barely budged since the 2009 low.

 
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The Only Thing Certain About Today's Fed Release





 

The Fed is known to leak key information to insiders, so for certain “someone” will know before the rest of us.

 
 
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What the Bond Market Says About the Likelihood of the Fed Tapering





 

With that in mind, I suggest keeping a close eye on the bond markets. These will be the “tell” of what the Fed is likely to announce.

 
 
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Can Bernanke Keep the Rally Going?





 

So let’s see what happens on Wednesday. The markets will likely rally until then on hopes of more juice from Bernanke. But if he should disappoint at all (read: not announce something more or at least strongly hint at doing so) then buckle up.

 
 
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Why the Fed Cannot "Exit" Successfully... Without a Market Crash





Bernanke claims the Fed can successfully exit its current strategy. He’s lying. Or he’s adhering too strongly to economics and ignoring human nature.

 
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The Bulls Ignore Japan's Implosion and Pray For More Money Printing





 

The markets in the US have entered a mania in which investors look for any and all excuses to push the markets higher.

 
 
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The Two Charts That Have Central Bankers Terrified





$1.4 trillion in QE bought a bear market for Japan. Good luck to the rest of the QE crowd.

 
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