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Buckle Up... Because It's Game Over For the Fed

Phoenix Capital Research's picture




 

The Fed is done. Finished. Kaput. It literally has nothing left in its arsenal save a massive QE plan. And that will only come if there’s systemic collapse or a major bank goes under (announcing a massive QE program without catastrophe will insure that everyone, including Congress turns against the Fed in a major way).

 

We’ve had ZIRP, we had QE 1, we had QE lite and QE 2. We now have the Fed trying to lower long-term interest rates… at a time when Treasuries are trading at all time highs.

 

This is akin to buying Tech stocks in late 2000 or buying Housing stocks in late 2007. The US debt market is officially in a bubble… and the Fed wants to spend $400 billion trying to make it bigger.

 

This will end the way all bubbles end: with a BANG. Only this time around the BANG will involve the US, the largest economy in the world, defaulting on its debts.

 

Bernanke will be the one they pin this on. He and possibly even the Fed itself are finished. Bernanke willfor certain be stepping down within 12 months. Whether or not the Fed is dissolved depends on how much the politicians try to pin everything on the Fed.

 

Remember, only one thing kept us back from the abyss in 2008. That was the Fed. The Fed is now out of ammo for this round of the Crisis. Indeed, one could easily argue that the Fed itself is insolvent: with $50 billion in capital and $2.8 trillion in assets, the Fed is leveraged at 56 to 1. Lehman Brothers was leveraged at 30 to 1 when it went bust.

 

Again, the Fed is finished. The primary backstop for stocks and the financial system in general is gone. We’ve already wiped out one year’s worth of gains in a matter of weeks. And this is just the beginning. The markets are realizing that it’s Game. Set. Match for Central Bank intervention.

 

What’s coming will see stock market Crashes, sovereign defaults, bank holidays and bank runs, civil unrest, and more. This mess is going to make 2008 look like a picnic.

 

If you have yet to prepare yourself for what’s coming, my Surviving a Crisis Four Times Worse Than 2008 report can show you how to turn the unfolding disaster into a time of gains and profits for any investor.

 

Within its nine pages I explain precisely how the Second Round of the Crisis will unfold, where it will hit hardest, and the best means of profiting from it (the very investments my clients used to make triple digit returns in 2008).

 

Best of all, this report is 100% FREE. To pick up your copy today simply go to: http://www.gainspainscapital.com and click on the OUR FREE REPORTS tab.

 

Good Investing!

 

Graham Summers

 

PS. We also feature four other reports ALL devoted to helping you protect yourself, your portfolio, and your loved ones from the Second Round of the Great Crisis. Whether it’s my proprietary Crash Indicator which has caught every crash in the last 25 years or the best most profitable strategy for individual investors looking to profit from the upcoming US Debt Default, my reports covers it.

 

And ALL of this is available for FREE under the OUR FREE REPORTS tab at: http://www.gainspainscapital.com.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Fri, 09/23/2011 - 10:27 | 1700844 mikem54321
mikem54321's picture

Once a week...two years...104 times now...THIS IS IT! End of the world!.... BUY MY NEWSLETTER AND BE SAVED! Good Investing! Gee...ZH please make This shill a banner ad.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 07:47 | 1700364 NuYawkFrankie
NuYawkFrankie's picture

Ahhhemmmmm... cough... cough.... calling Phoneix Research....

If it's as bad I you say -and you might well be right  - then how on earth can you possibly give Bernanke another 12 months? I would have thought a commensurate punishment for the criminal disaster you describe would be being shot at dawn!

 

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 07:27 | 1700308 duckhook
duckhook's picture

I am surprised that Phoenix is continuually allowed to just push his newsleeter;however let me defend some of his comments.

The Fed has only three natural advocates.the large banks,Wall St.and some politicians in DC.Most people in the country have no idea of what they do or that it is not officially part of the government.But there are an increasingly large number who are shocked at the Fed's actions.For the first time in history a FED chairman has become the subject in a Presidential debate.And the latest QE3 and it is obviously QE3 came right after the republicans sent the Bernank a letter asking him not to do so.This was an overt politcal move by the Republicans,but a very smart one.The criticism of the Republicans is coming only from those thatIi mentioned above.If anything goes wrong with the

Fed's new QE3,then the republicans can easily blame the FED.make no mistake about it ,if Mr Perry or even Mr romney become the Republican candidate ,then Bernacke is going to become increasingly a subject in the debate.Maybe Obama will try to defend him,but that is loasing cause.If we are lucky the candiadtes will demand a complete and trnsparent audit of the FED and then the jig is up for the FEd.They will still not be officially part of the goverenment,but Congress will have them on a short leash

The latest action by the Fed smacks of desperation and the market knows it.And the reaction of the markets comes as complete surprise to the FED.The Fed's economists predicted at most a 25 basis point drop in long term rates from a depression level era low.We have more than that in less than 48 hours.My question is what is the FED going to do when Greece defaults and it will and the European banks come under that much more pressure.FLood the market with liquidity.The fed has been very very stupid in starting QE2 and QE3.There was absolutely no reason to start firing from both holsters and run low on ammunition when the big bad guy,sovereign default is just around the corner.The ironic thing about the fed's ploicies is that the biggest backer of Fed action and the one group which is addicted to extremely interest rates,i.e.Wall St is the one group which is going to suffer the most as margins disappear and markets go further south.Before this is over look for Wall st.to have shred %70 of its jobs and compenstion for those left to go down by over %50 

The only people spending money are the top 5or 10%.When the negative welth effect kicks in,it is this group which is going to cut back spending the most,By then we willbe officiallr mired in a depression and bernacke will be villfies everywhere.Do not be surprised if bernacke is indicted before this is over.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 06:33 | 1700259 ReeferMac
ReeferMac's picture

Ya know, I appreciate the content, but my word, this guy is such a fucking shill...

Ease up on the pimping the product Bro. If you're such a good investor, why do you need my 39.95 every month so bad?

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 06:24 | 1700252 iNull
iNull's picture

Doncha know you got to serve somebody: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FavBDpg91gA&feature=related

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 05:52 | 1700235 honestann
honestann's picture

The only "abyss" that existed in 2008 was for a pack of predator-criminals at huge, papered, long-favored financial companies.  We should have HELPED them fly over the "abyss" into the magma, because they destroyed the freaking world economy.

End the federal reserve.
End the federal government.
End fiat, fake, fraud, fiction, fantasy, fractional reserve debt-based toilet-paper non-money.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 07:22 | 1700309 Landrew
Landrew's picture

End the Federal government? And do what, a collection of self-interested States? Oh, you want the Eurozone brought here? FU

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 16:41 | 1703193 honestann
honestann's picture

What happened to the USSR?  In case you didn't know, it vanished, and the world is much better off for that event.  If the USSA vanishes, the world will be even better off.  The federal government of the USSA in concert with the federal reserve, are simply a pack of predators destroying everything honest, ethical, productive and individualistic on earth.  To say we'd be better off without them is a massive understatement.

Your logic REQUIRES a one world government.  According to your logic, otherwise "self-interested countries" will cause chaos and disaster.  That is exactly opposite of the truth.  What the world needs is 7-billion sovereign and self-interested individuals, and ZERO bogus, arrogant, destructive, "fictitious entities" like governments, corporations and other organizations.  The fact is, the world today is:

predators DBA government
predators DBA corporations
predators DBA central banks

Those "organizations" are merely names to confuse people, and convince them to submit to the vile predators who in fact they are.

I most certainly do not want the eurozone or north-american-union.  I do not support predators, and ALL large organizations are simply names for packs of vile predators.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 05:30 | 1700227 freemktspls
freemktspls's picture

Gezus titty fucking christ, these guys are muppets. I'd rather get investment advice from CNBC that these guys. They seem to have forgotten to NEVER GO FULL RETARD.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 06:35 | 1700261 johnQpublic
johnQpublic's picture

heres my report...and its free

 

short everything

for subscribing members...

short everything more

 

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 02:26 | 1700130 falun bong
falun bong's picture

Tyler, Phoenix needs to go, vote off the island

BTW LBMA dealers say there are Eastern bullion buyers of SIZE between $1715-1750, CBs are leasing out trying to raise some cash and the bars are going from West to East never to return

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 16:26 | 1698728 Vendetta
Vendetta's picture

The fed has set up shop in the nice new and shiny Shanghai World Financial Center.

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 16:18 | 1698677 falak pema
falak pema's picture

If the FED is finished as far as printing and asset levitation then the DAy of the ECB is here. Its a question of central banking hydraulic circuits. When the level falls in one cylinder under market pressure pushing it down, it transmits to a rise of liquid level in the other cylinder. So its either the FED who wins or its the ECB, there are no other reserve currency printers to fill the world liquidity gap. 

No more bullets in FED means the printing gun in ECB will open full throttle along with surrogate SNB... the roller coaster keeps moving on.

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 15:37 | 1698423 HANKREARDON
HANKREARDON's picture

End of the Fed!? Wishful thinking, nothing more. Central planners will not leave us be until after all out collapse.  Food and ammo folks, food and ammo.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 08:22 | 1700479 StrangerThanFiction
StrangerThanFiction's picture

And also condoms.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 06:38 | 1700266 johnQpublic
johnQpublic's picture

and booze....gonna need all the booze you can get

 And that's the only thing I need is *this*. I don't need this or this. Just this ashtray... And this paddle game. - The ashtray and the paddle game and that's all I need... And this remote control. - The ashtray, the paddle game, and the remote control, and that's all I need... And these matches. - The ashtray, and these matches, and the remote control, and the paddle ball... And this lamp. - The ashtray, this paddle game, and the remote control, and the lamp, and that's all *I* need. And that's *all* I need too. I don't need one other thing, not one... I need this. - The paddle game and the chair, and the remote control, and the matches for sure. Well what are you looking at? What do you think I'm some kind of a jerk or something! - And this. That's all I need

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 15:20 | 1698328 Money 4 Nothing
Money 4 Nothing's picture

But, but... we still have a printer!.. Everything will be okay right?

Hal? Hal! 

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 14:57 | 1698220 YesWeKahn
YesWeKahn's picture

Good stuff. I really like to hear "end the fu ck ing fed"/

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 14:41 | 1698139 LookingWithAmazement
LookingWithAmazement's picture

Finally, Armageddon! But no, Summers gives one small way out:

"It literally has nothing left in its arsenal save a massive QE plan. And that will only come if there’s systemic collapse or a major bank goes under."

Again no Armageddon. There's always the printing press, no matter what. Boring world we live in.

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 14:40 | 1698130 snakehead
snakehead's picture

Ah, the second Phoenix Capital Rehash spam post of the day.  Bugger off.

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 14:25 | 1698038 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

Where's WF Banzai...gotta be ginnin' up somethin' special today.

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 16:41 | 1698787 gangland
gangland's picture

you can also check him out on twitter http://www.flickr.com/photos/expd/5907779005/  @williambanzai7

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 14:22 | 1698025 Random_Robert
Random_Robert's picture

Dude, I soooooo want to be named Fed Chairman some day.

I would lower all kinds of interest rates and buys all kinds of bonds and shit... just like that Bernana-ke Republic guy, and everyone would stop what they are doing to watch me talk about all the shit I'm buying and selling so that they can have a good excuse to panic and do what they know they are supposed to do...

It would be sweet convincing the world that printing unlimited amounts of currency and buying unlimited amounts of suspect government paper is deflationary.

I think I'm up to the task.

 

 

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 14:25 | 1698040 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Reminds me of Richard Pryor's old movie, Brewster's Millions.

I wonder what sort of reward The Bernank is going to get?

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 06:41 | 1700270 johnQpublic
johnQpublic's picture

think mussolini's reward

 

a nice necktie

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 14:19 | 1698013 Haddock
Haddock's picture

Taking this bombshell into account, have you re-written your reports, or do they hold good in any scenario?

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 14:11 | 1697969 IQ 145
IQ 145's picture

Phoenix Capital Research will go out of business before the FED does; and for the best of all possible reasons; incompetency.

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 14:24 | 1698037 tempo
tempo's picture

The sky is falling, the sky is fallin and I have the only answer. The FED when cooperating w other Central banks (EU/China/Japan/Brazil) have infinite liquidity. Wait and see. This is only the first inning and a buying opportunity. If this is the end, the we will be at war within months.

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 14:04 | 1697936 CompassionateFascist
CompassionateFascist's picture

Dollar, T-bills are/will be last port in the storm for another few months, until they burn away too. I hope. For maximum chaos - and eventual system change - we need economic collapse to coincide with 2012 electoral/political crisis....which is also shaping up nicely as Repub Pty is heading for a TP/Rino split that may well "re-elect" Zero with way < than 50% of the vote. 1860----------->2012.  

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 14:03 | 1697933 dcb
dcb's picture

I will celebrate with the best of them when bernanke is done, as it should mean the end of the banking cartel domination of the united states. But, alas I assure you, that they wil find another stooge to easily take his place.

 

Yeah, the posts by this guy are about the worst on ZH, not even interesting or informative. I give reggie some grief, but I can always learn from the guy. Nothing here to be seen

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 14:03 | 1697929 CapitalistRock
CapitalistRock's picture

Blah blah blah. That one was written for the uneducated masses. Bernanke is fully prepared to print to buy all sorts of assets, even private assets. All you have to do is read what he wrote years ago and spoke about before becoming fed chairman. This isn't hard to figure out. Currency debasement is simply going to hit us faster.

Own gold.

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 13:58 | 1697911 scrappykoala
scrappykoala's picture

Did he write that article just for the last paragraph?

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 14:19 | 1698015 Logans_Run
Logans_Run's picture

He always does!

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 14:09 | 1697956 pupton
pupton's picture

Scrappy, since you've only been here for a couple of weeks I'll assume you haven't seen this guy's posts before.  Yes, he writes lots of sensationalist, "the sky is falling" crap to get your attention and then shoves his marketing in your face and directs you to his newsletter/report.  He might be a genuis for all I know, but I can't get past the annoying marketing that is this guy.  Graham/AKA Phoenix Capital posts are all the same.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 07:36 | 1700338 garcam123
garcam123's picture

So why is he permitted to continue to spam the board?

 

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 13:54 | 1697899 pupton
pupton's picture

Thanks for the entertainment and the reminder about your newsletter...almost forgot.

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 13:43 | 1697869 High Plains Drifter
High Plains Drifter's picture

the fed is finished...........yeh sure keep telling yourself that....

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 13:57 | 1697908 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

They'll never be finished as long as they have the printing press. We are finished

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 14:19 | 1698011 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

That's what I was going to say. What is so hard to understand about this? As long as dollars are still accepted as payment, they will conjure up as many as necessary. To expect them to stop just because it is destroying everything, is to not understand why and how we got here in the first place.

All CBs will print away in a race to the bottom, with ZIRP clearing away any debt service issues. They can't do it all at once, otherwise the sheeple would wise up and hyperinflate the currency out of existence. So, they baby-step it along, with each new crisis creating the mandate for the next round of printing.

The only thing I can see stopping this madness is the public moving to alternative currencies in black-markets (along with direct barter). Which I why I advocate everyone holding some quantity of junk silver. It may be the only avenue to prevent the impoverishment of the 99% not benefiting from central banking.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 06:00 | 1700238 DaBernank
DaBernank's picture

And silver's on sale now! Thanks, JPM.

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 14:22 | 1698027 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Oh, and as far as the Fed being in danger due to extending their duration on Treasurys, well that is purely a free market perspective, not a political market one. It will matter little once lending for profit is eliminated by ZIRP, as all loans will be gov backed.

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 13:51 | 1697863 RunningMan
RunningMan's picture

Phew. Because I was getting impatient given this same call was made by Phoenix Capital for the last two years...although the market was slow to react since the bottom fell out of the economy late last year.

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 14:06 | 1697942 Mae Kadoodie
Mae Kadoodie's picture

Has anyone ever subscribed to their reports? WTF is he advising us to do already? I'm tired of being teased by this guy.  Should we all chip in a dollar and find out what the hell to do?   We're dying here...c'mon people!

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 12:05 | 1701597 SilverTech
SilverTech's picture

Yeah, I'd like to know too.

It's a scary time and it's tempting to send off for the report and just shirk responsibility for my financial future. 

I wish somebody (else) would cough up the cash and return a detailed report!

Failing that, I think I'll trust Eric Sprott and buy silver. Industrial demand may collapse, but at least the govt. probably won't seize silver (as opposed to gold). Countries may seize silver mines, though.

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 13:39 | 1697852 Sutton
Sutton's picture

Maybe QE 2(NO Jobs and 115 dollar oil and raging food costs) was Ben's Kursk.  The last  great offensive the Wehrmacht could ever mount.  After it unwound it was a remorseless push to Berlin and the Bunker.

And Janet is Eva Braun.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 06:22 | 1700251 iNull
Thu, 09/22/2011 - 14:03 | 1697935 steelhead23
steelhead23's picture

Janet who?  I think the better WWII analogy would be Stalingrad.  Never retreat - fight to the bitter end.  Also, if this destroys Bernanke, I think we might just see what we have all been dying to see - banksters doing frogmarches as Obama would wish to portray himself as Ceasar, parading his captives before him.

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 15:51 | 1698488 Azannoth
Azannoth's picture

1st on the list was battle for Moscow = qe1

2nd Stalingrad = qe2

3rd Kursk = this

4th .. = the bunker, I wonder if Ben will shoot himself in the face? I would like to see that :)

Thu, 09/22/2011 - 13:56 | 1697905 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

Herr Hitler, the Americans and English have landed in Sicily

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