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Geithner: The Truth Could Cause Significant Damage

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By Wolf Richter   www.testosteronepit.com

The charade: Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner spoke before the House Financial Services Committee—chaired by Spencer Bachus, who'd declared in an interview last December that in "Washington, the view is that the banks are to be regulated, and my view is that Washington and the regulators are there to serve the banks."

Geithner was speaking on behalf of the Financial Stability Oversight Council, which he chairs. Established in July 2010, it was to come up with strategies that would ensure that the financial crisis wouldn't show up on our TV screens as reruns.

Now the reruns are here. Only the banks are bigger, the problems larger. The "solution" of the financial crisis—shifting trillions of dollars in risks and losses to taxpayers and central banks—is backfiring. What was largely a private-sector drama now engulfs entire countries. And while there are plenty of exciting financial subplots in the U.S., for the moment, the Eurozone is front and center.

"A severe crisis in Europe could cause significant damage by undermining confidence and weakening demand," Geithner said (Reuters).

Confidence! A series of bank "stress tests" were supposed to suffuse us with a cozy sense of confidence in the banking sector—despite all the very obvious issues that were piling up left and right. The last desperate stress test was held in July in Europe. Dexia, which had already been bailed-out in 2008, passed with flying colors. Three months later, it goes kaput (Euro Tidbit: The Lies of 'Stress Tests'). Other banks will follow.

If inspiring confidence isn't based on facts and transparency, it's a con game. And if the facts are awful, trying to pull a bag over our collective heads isn't going to help.

Geithner could have admitted, for example, that keeping Greece's economy afloat long enough to get us through the next election would only increase the magnitude of its problems. The Greek economy has been taken hostage by a political vote-buying machine funded by cheap euro debt. It needs to be restructured in ways that are not going to be pretty or necessarily predictable. It should be up to the Greeks to decide how to do that. And it should be bondholders that pay, not taxpayers.

"The critical imperative is to ensure that the governments and the financial systems under pressure have access to a more powerful financial backstop," Geithner said.

The ultimate "backstop" behind governments and financial systems? The printing press. Print trillions and bail out bondholders, Geithner pressured the ECB—though it has already printed enough to buy $211 billion in crappy Greek, Irish, Portuguese, Italian, and Spanish bonds. That wasn't sufficient for him. He wanted trillions. He failed to mention the damage these types of policies are doing to the real economy in the U.S. Inflation has whacked the purchasing power of the middle class and has created a hellish scenario for savers and fixed income investors. Credit markets are now controlled by the Fed and not by market participants. Housing has become a complex government program. Even stock markets are impacted by this flood of money. And the essential cleansing process that comes with failures has been stifled.

Apparently, it hasn't occurred to Geithner that governments and central banks need to stay out of the markets so that market participants can determine appropriate price levels via the chaos of trading. If Greek debt becomes worthless, it should be allowed to go that route. If U.S. housing has further to fall, let it find its bottom quickly so that things can move forward. If Italy needs to pay 8% to borrow money for ten years, discipline will descend on its government. If stocks go south, let CEOs figure out what to offer investors to entice them back. Concerted efforts by central banks and governments to set minimum price levels and depress yields hearken back to the good ol' days of the Soviet Union. It's not a fertile feeding ground for optimism, the lifeblood of a strong economy.

Capitalism, free enterprise, and even democracy require a belief in the future. Optimism may take a temporary hit when stocks or housing or bonds crash, but we all know that's part of the deal, and if they're allowed to bottom out quickly, optimism will return. But governments and central banks have conspired to reverse the slide by creating credit bubbles and other mechanisms that are already causing more damage and blowups. After enough of these kinds of setbacks, optimism might cede to an increasingly dour social mood—and not just in the US.

Winners and losers of the Fed's policies: Inflation As A Solution—Hosing The Middle Class.

Wolf Richter   www.testosteronepit.com

 

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Fri, 10/07/2011 - 09:35 | 1749364 Big Corked Boots
Big Corked Boots's picture

If you mention "corruption" in a board room, then you are the one who is eliminated. Speaking from personal experience.

Fri, 10/07/2011 - 10:00 | 1749456 Smiddywesson
Smiddywesson's picture

Oh yes, nothing is more punished, and unforgiveable, than the truth.

Thu, 10/06/2011 - 22:40 | 1748377 rlouis
rlouis's picture

I was in a coffee shop this morning and heard a guy talking - a bit radical for me, but what he said was this - we know the politicians and government are corrupt, they use false flag operations and terrorism and murder throughout the world.  The only way to change the system is to use their tactics.  Take out 1 politician a day or week until they pass laws that benefit the 99% - not the 1 %

Thu, 10/06/2011 - 23:11 | 1748465 indygo55
indygo55's picture

Funny thing,,, I was talking to someone who was making that same point. Play their game. It is a dangerous one but the one they understand. Know thy enemy. He was ex military and was serious and had a plan.

Thu, 10/06/2011 - 22:11 | 1748302 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Freedom, transparency and a hands-off government are all that we need to bring the USA roaring back.  Will that happen?  I do not see it happening...

Great writing Wolf, I will read everything you write, just like I now read everything of Bruce Krasting.  H/T!

Thu, 10/06/2011 - 22:02 | 1748278 gina distrusts gov
gina distrusts gov's picture

sooner or later it will descend to vigilante justice  far from a good outcome but inevitable when the whole system is totally corrupt

Thu, 10/06/2011 - 21:40 | 1748224 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Fine summary.  The one thing Ben and Timmy are never interested in is free markets, or freedom of any kind.

Where are the special prosecutors for these clowns?

Thu, 10/06/2011 - 21:40 | 1748223 sangell
sangell's picture

When I was a kid there was a singing cowboy who had local TV children's show. He ended it one day by observing that if 'you showed him a man who doesn't have a penny to his name but still had a smile on his face, he'd show you a grinning idiot!'. I thought that was funny if a bit much for a kid's show but the wisdom of that remark is all too appropriate these days as we listen to politicians speak of 'confidence' and ringfencing banks with liabilities that dwarf the GDP of the nations they are domiciled in.

Thu, 10/06/2011 - 20:42 | 1748095 eddiebe
eddiebe's picture

Golden boy sez: You can't handle the truth!

Thu, 10/06/2011 - 20:16 | 1748045 israhole
israhole's picture

This vampire needs to hang.

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