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The Great American Debt Flow

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By EconMatters

The public debt of the United States has increased by over $500 billion each year since fiscal year (FY) 2003, and as of September, 2011, the gross debt was about $14.7 trillion, of which closed to $10 trillion was held by the public and about $4.6 trillion was intragovernmental holdings (e.g. Social Security, Medicare, etc. which some believe should not be included as part of the national debt).  The gross debt is about 98% of the U.S. GDP in 2011, and debt held by the public at 67% of GDP.

The U.S. is hardly the lone ranger on this great quest of debt accumulation.  According to the IMF Fiscal Monitor published in April 2011, general government gross debt-to-GDP ratios are rising substantially in most advanced economies over the period of 2010 to 2015.  IMF now projects that ratio would reach 107.3% by 2016 for the advanced economies, vs. 30.1% for the emerging countries.  Moreover, deficits in the United States, along with Japan, are expected to increase by at least 3% of GDP between 2007 and 2016.

However, the high debt level and the recent sovereign credit downgrade (albeit controversial) so far has not affected the U.S. borrowing rate benefiting primarily from the Euro Zone sovereign debt crisis.  The U.S. bond yields are still at record low levels, which has befuddled PIMCO the Bond King.  Treasuries have returned 9.8% this year, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch Indexes as reported by Bloomberg. Ten-year notes have returned 18%, while 30-year bonds have returned 36%.

This anomaly in the bond market also temporarily blunted the urgency of an in-house debt cleaning.  Government is no different from an ordinary household in that when in serious debt trouble, you cut spending while trying to expand revenue stream.  But the Federal Reserve said on Sept. 21 that it would buy longer-term debt to lower borrowing costs and downgraded the economic outlook, while some experts see the U.S. is already in a double dip recession.

And as protests and strikes in Europe would attest that austerity measures, high unemployment rate, and diminishing household income tend to form a volatile mix.  From that perspective, the infographic is a scary reminder that America is at a treacherous debt crossroad, and most signs seem to suggest that things could get even more difficult from here on out.  

 

The Great Flow of US Debt

Created by: MBA Online

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Sun, 09/25/2011 - 12:03 | 1707594 dizzyfingers
dizzyfingers's picture

And let's find out if it's cheaper to pay direct and cut out the USgov middlemen.

Sat, 09/24/2011 - 13:33 | 1705472 johnQpublic
johnQpublic's picture

no shit

i'll write the check today for my fair share, if .gov promises to never talk to me again

no more debt, spending, infrastructure,'benefits','entitlements' in my name ever again.period.

they can have the money, but then they need to fuck off down the road

Sat, 09/24/2011 - 22:58 | 1706593 krispkritter
krispkritter's picture

Fuck that. .Gov has 6 figures of mine in my special SS 'account'. I'll pay off my debt and I want the rest straight from Ft. Knox, in gold.  Oh look, is that a umicorn? What's this? Skittles? Weeee! /sarc off  But like you say, tell Sam to fuck off unless he wants to tax consumption to pay fordefense...

Sat, 09/24/2011 - 12:35 | 1705310 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

you dont even have a government to collect it......we will just wait you out, until you all go bankrupt

Sat, 09/24/2011 - 14:14 | 1705610 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

WE DO NOW! :)

I'll take payments through paypal.

ZH has 2 million readers...

100 bucks each...

minus paypal fees...

= ENOUGH FOR ME! :)

Sat, 09/24/2011 - 12:11 | 1705235 tawdzilla
tawdzilla's picture

i did not sign up for these debts, the politicians did...make them pay the bill, not me.

Sat, 09/24/2011 - 17:10 | 1705979 ping
ping's picture

I've just had a dark thought: every penny the USA lent Britain in WW2, America made us pay back. Every single powdered egg packet was paid for. Every bullet and parachute. I think it was all paid off by the year 2000. Funny how no-one in the USA complained that was unfair, that 'joe public' in Britain hadn't done anything wrong and shouldn't be saddled with debt.

So I want my freaking money. [Imagine a really fierce, grim emoticon here.]

Sat, 09/24/2011 - 23:00 | 1706599 CompassionateFascist
CompassionateFascist's picture

Come and get it, you warmongering limey fuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuck.

Sun, 09/25/2011 - 07:21 | 1707058 ping
ping's picture

How warmongering, drinking-straw-dick? It's a non-sequitur. There's no connection. I suggest you stick to what Americans are best at, milking your dinosaurs and riding herds of 50ft Oprah Winfrey to work. 

Sat, 09/24/2011 - 18:20 | 1706089 Alpha Monkey
Alpha Monkey's picture

Your grim emoticon has swayed me. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BeP6CpUnfc0

Sat, 09/24/2011 - 13:58 | 1705531 BigJim
BigJim's picture

Ah, but through the dark miracle of majoritarian democracy... you did sign up for these debts. It works like this:

Did you vote for the winning party? Then you can hardly complain about what they're doing - you helped get them into power. Shut up and pay 'your' taxes.

Did you vote for the losing party? Then you expected everyone else to have to obey a government you would have elected. Therefore, you approve of the system. Shut up and pay 'your' taxes.

Did you refuse to vote? Then you did nothing to change the system, so you can't complain about what the system does in your name. Shut up and pay 'your' taxes.

Clever, huh? Of course, by this reasoning... as our government is just doing the will of the people, then terrorists are justified killing civilians, because civilians are the government. For some reason this is not an angle discussed much in the MSM when covering terrorism.

Sat, 09/24/2011 - 23:29 | 1706633 New_Meat
New_Meat's picture

BJim:

"For some reason this is not an angle discussed much in the MSM when covering terrorism."

They have said "One man's Terrorist is another man's "Feeedom Fighter."

That requires discrimination in one's opinion and point of view.

"Discrimination" has been dehumanized in certain venues and discussions.  Yet, in all real business (excepting e.g.: Solara, and the geeenie nonsense) it is the basis of sound and well-challenged judgement).

But, ... well ... shooters are charged with exacting exercise of "discrimination" with respect to their targets.  It separates them.

- Ned

Sat, 09/24/2011 - 20:21 | 1706339 Georgesblog
Georgesblog's picture

A U.S. citizen is:

an imported statutory person.

an alien in the state of legal residence.

a shareholder in the Federal corporation, and liable for the debts of the corporation.

a voluntary agent of the corporation, through receiving wages or operating under license, in commerce.

property of the Federal corporation, by and through the legal trust that is U.S. citizenship.

It's in Black's Law Dictionary.

You could look it up.

 http://georgesblogforum.wordpress.com/2011/07/03/blacks-law-dictionary-o...


Sat, 09/24/2011 - 15:53 | 1705843 richard in norway
richard in norway's picture

this has always been my arguement, that in a democracy no one is inocent, but i have never seen it written down before

Sat, 09/24/2011 - 23:02 | 1706604 CompassionateFascist
CompassionateFascist's picture

All are guilty, but some are guiltier than others.

Sat, 09/24/2011 - 18:59 | 1706142 BigJim
BigJim's picture

That's because when you see it written down, you realise just how absurd it is.

Sat, 09/24/2011 - 14:28 | 1705640 JuicedGamma
JuicedGamma's picture

You can always emigrate to Mexico.  Good luck!

Sat, 09/24/2011 - 15:02 | 1705738 BigJim
BigJim's picture

Canada might be better... or Australia, or New Zealand...

Sat, 09/24/2011 - 12:10 | 1705232 ivars
ivars's picture

h, and here is the oldest and most miserable one-DJIA and correspondingly, economy forecast made in Feb6, 2011:

http://saposjoint.net/Forum/viewtopic.php?f=14&t=2626&start=0#p30485

Whole 2012 AND 2013 will be a recession in the USA (and many other places)-that was clear long ago. Greece starts it -fine, does not change the overall picture.

 

So Obama stands no chance to be reelected. Third party will have a good chance since both other screwed it up totally

Sat, 09/24/2011 - 17:17 | 1705991 anony
anony's picture

You forget that no matter what theBamster does or doesn't do, (just like Clinton and hillary Rodman) 42% of the VOTERS in this country, will vote for him again, even if he kills one of their family.  

The partisans in this country are dogmatic about their candidate, it simply becomes a matter of attracting another 11% for theBamster and Viola! he's in again.

He will get the votes to squeak by next year, even if the country is in a Depression, another 9/11 or worse event happens, or if---- by some really wondrous miracle---the economy begins a return to normalcy.

It's in the bag, and if Intrade has a bet going yet, I'm taking the other side of all bets that theBamster will lose.

Not that it matters since the country is ungovernable for the benefit of a very tiny 1%. 

 

Sat, 09/24/2011 - 13:31 | 1705467 DosZap
DosZap's picture

ivars,

Third party will have a good chance since both other screwed it up totally

Not the way it works here,the two parties have set up so many hurdles and roadblocks, it's almopst impossible to start a 3rd party,much less get them set up in time to vote.

It's a rigged game.

Sat, 09/24/2011 - 23:16 | 1706615 New_Meat
New_Meat's picture

and, well, purported "third party" actually has worked against its "intended outcome" c.f.

- Wallace in '68, results in Nixon

- H in '92, resluts [sic] in Clinton,

- Nader in FLA in '00, steals just enough that even the NYT can't  hang "voter fraud" on W,

- Kerry "Can I get me a huntin' liscence heah?" in OH--pissing off enough AMCITS to kill his bid for the state.

- Ned

{OK, I made up the last one, but u get the picture.}

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