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Preparing For the Coming US Debt Default Pt 1
We have officially entered Round Two of the Financial Crisis.
Round One took place from 2007-2008, consisting largely of private debt (derivatives, credit default swaps, etc) taking down private companies (banks, financials, insurance companies), etc. The US Government response to this was to nationalize various entities (mortgages, insurance, etc) and to shift this debt onto the public’s balance sheet.
The Fed and other Central Bankers like to dress these moves up in fancy language and financial terms, but in reality they all boil down to one of three strategies:
1) Printing money/ pumping it into bankrupt financial entities.
2) Shifting garbage assets from the private sector onto the public sector’s balance sheet.
3) Creating more debt
In plain terms, the world’s Central Bankers, particularly the US Federal Reserve, bet the farm that their countries could swallow trillions in garbage assets without bond investors catching on and demanding higher yields (interest rates).
They’re wrong.
Debt Defaults for the Holidays
Remember, the world was already awash with debt BEFORE the Crisis began. Indeed, excessive debt was what caused ROUND ONE of the Crisis. For decades, world economies, most notably the developed ones (Japan, the UK, Europe, and the US) were spending beyond their means via various social entitlement programs.
Central bankers opted to try and fix these debt problems by… issuing MORE debt.
It’s total insanity, but it worked temporarily because investors had not yet caught on that Round One of the Crisis was a “game changer.” Remember, the monetary interventions, bailouts, and stimulus plans implemented between 2007-2009 were unprecedented. In just three years we spent more money than WWI, WWII, and the New Deal combined. So it’s no surprise that it took a couple years for the “dumb money” to catch on.
Which they did with a vengeance in late 2009.
Every debt transaction involves two parties: a lender and a borrower. The latter can only go into debt if the former is willing to lend to him/ her. However, if the borrower keeps borrowing, at some point it becomes clear to the lender that he/she is never going to get his/ her money back. When this happens, lenders:
1) Lend for a much shorter time period (hopefully insuring that they get their money back before the inevitable bust).
2) Demand higher interest on the loan to compensate for the risk.
3) Stop lending to the borrower.
Lenders did all three of these to financial entities during Round One of the Financial Crisis (2007-2008). As stated previously, the Government response to this was to shift the private sector debt that was scaring lenders away onto the public’s balance sheet.
Please note, they DID NOT pay off the debt or let the entities default (solutions that would have SOLVED the problem), they simply moved the debt from one place to another.
Because of this, the structural issues plaguing the world’s financial markets (balance sheets/ solvency) were not fixed. Consequently, lenders’ confidence was not restored. Consequently, lenders have begun questioning/ re-assessing ALL debt worldwide.
Small wonder then that countries with weaker global economies (those whose economic activities were largely based on tourism, real estate, financial speculation, etc) soon began to suffer from a lack of investor confidence.
Indeed, Round Two of the Crisis, the Sovereign Debt Round, began over Thanksgiving of 2009 when Dubai had a “virtual default,” asking for a six-month extension on $60 billion worth of its debt.
The issue then spread to Greece over Christmas 2009. It will not end there. As is know known, Greece’s debt levels are anything but unique. Indeed, Ireland, Spain, and the UK all are running comparable deficits. Italy actually has a higher Debt-to-GDP ratio. And Germany and the UK are only a couple of years off from having Greek-level Debt-to-GDP ratios themselves.
Eventually, these issues will hit the US’s shores. Indeed, if Greece’s numbers are “Crisis Worthy” investors should consider that the US’s fiscal condition is in fact AS BAD IF NOT WORSE than Greece’s.
The US is expected to run a $1.7 trillion deficit in 2011. Assuming that the GDP numbers are accurate (they’re not, but that’s an article for another time), the US economy is in the ballpark of $14 trillion. This means we’re running a deficit equal to 12.3% of GDP. That’s RIGHT next to Greece.
Then of course, you’ve got our Debt-to-GDP ratio. If you ignore unfunded liabilities like Social Security and Medicare, the US already has a Debt-to-GDP ratio of 98.1%. That’s only slightly off of Greece’s Debt-to-GDP of 112%.
Throw in Fannie and Freddie’s mortgage debts (Uncle Sam own $5 trillion of these now too), and we’re already well over a Debt to GDP of 112% (actually it’s 130% or so). And when you include Social Security and Medicare ($45 trillion) this puts total US Debt-to-GDP at 421% ($59 trillion of Debt on a GDP of $14 trillion).
In plain terms, the very same issues that took down Greece and much of Europe exist in the US. Which is why, if you haven’t already taken steps to prepare for the coming Crisis, you need to do so NOW.
You can download my FREE report devoted to showing in painstaking detail how to protect yourself and your portfolio from the coming ROUND TWO of the Financial Crisis (round one wiped out $11 TRILLION in wealth).
I call it The Financial Crisis “Round Two” Survival Kit. And its 17 pages contain a wealth of information about portfolio protection, which investments to own, which to avoid, and how to take out Catastrophe Insurance on the stock market (this “insurance” paid out triple digit gains in the Autumn of 2008).
Again, this is all 100% FREE. To pick up your copy today, go to http://www.gainspainscapital.com and click on FREE REPORTS.
Good Investing!
Graham Summers
PS. We also offer a FREE Special Report on the inflation situation in the US. This other FREE Special Report, The Inflationary Disaster explains not only why inflation is here now, why the Fed is powerless to stop it, and three investments that absolutely EXPLODE as a result of this.
All in all its 14 pages contain a literal treasure trove of information on how to take steps to prepare AND profit from what’s to come. And it’s all 100% FREE.
To pick up your copy today, go to http://www.gainspainscapital.com and click on FREE REPORTS.
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Squeaky buns time!
There will be no default.
There was never more than political rhetorical dross that says so, aided, abetted, promoted and pimped by talking heads with nothing else to keep the eyeballs and earballs of the proletariat glued to media, living in fear that their "Social Security" checks won't ever again arrive in their bank accounts.
Plan accordingly. 100% guaranteed. Few things in life are this easily predictable.
I'll expect an apology from all who say there is any chance of one or that there will be a default.
agree no default, but it will be worse.
its same play book as in argentina, increase debt load to the point where it almost totally collapses, leaving just enough goverment to be considered legitimate in the eyes of the citizens, then parade around puppet elected citizens to offer the nations assets in repayment for debt. they may sell the social security adminstration(remember privatizing S.S) may sell the national railway,roadway, national forests, shit may even sell the statue of liberty.
look in greece right now, puppet popandreao, is sellin some islands tollways, airports, etc,,,,,,
“we default, we would not have enough money to pay all of our bills – bills that include monthly Social Security checks, veterans’ benefits, and the government contracts we’ve signed with thousands of businesses.”
This statement by O'Bama speaks volumes about his moral character, which appears to be { }. That he would stoop to that kind of Henry Paulson level to get his way, by holding the most vulnerable hostage, in effect using them as human shields, should be a warning sign for everyone, come the next election. They should vote for the other robot.
)))))))sports guy chest bump!!(((((((((
You may be right zero govt. but at the same time I wonder if the banks were hurting as much as they say they were. After all, their bonuses were pretty hefty after flushing this country's economy down the toilet.
The Euro will fail and there will be a flight to dollars. At this point, back up the truck and jack out the credit cards to buy all the metals you can get your hands on. I assume you already have your lead on hand......
Remember the Dollar is the short position of Gold and there will be a dollar rally and swoon in the price of the metals....
The critical sentence in Hudson's article: " Wall Street knows that to get sufficient Congressional votes to roll back the New Deal, Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid, a Democratic president needs to be in office."
This is all ye need to know.
"'Beauty is truth, truth beauty," - that is all
Ye know on earth, and all ye need to know.'--Keats
With what's coming down the pike, I'd like to know where is the best place to ride out the storm: in the country where there is less dependence on 'state infrastructure', or urban areas where there may be more remnants of services to get us through?
I would say the country for sure, unless the urban area is dominated by one ethnic group and you are part of that ethnic group. Those services in the urban area will probably be the first to go. Come to think of it, the best place to be in terms of safety might be right next to a military base.
We're fucked. It will be hard to just get by like many say they will do--grow a garden, shut off the electric, etc when we have a gov't that will refuse to go away and make everything 10x harder than it needs to be. Fuck DC and wallstreet. Load the boat.
Solar panels & batteries will get you electricity without having to depend on the grid. A biomass gasifier/ gas turbine engine connected to a power generator can do the same. Biomass pellets (there is a m/c to make that) can be used in stoves for cooking. Solar cooker can do the same. For water, one can do rain water harvesting + a tube/bore well. Having a kitchen garden will get you the vegetables. If these things can be organised at a community level, then one can survive the crisis.
Going out on a limb, I'm going to say that basic utilities - electricity, gas, water - will be fine. They will be maintained until all else fails. I don't think it will get so bad that basic utilities fail.
That limb doesn't look very strong to me, Elvis. It's made out of pipe and wire from China and covered in imported oil. Very few people appreciate the amount of work and material it takes to keep those ssytem operational - nor how quickly they can break down. What's Plan B?
No budget with the Dems in control for 2 years. Repub plans all back ended; worthless. President has no plan on purpose so he can snipe at anything presented. This is a game. Orchestrated all along; even scripted. Obvious downgrade coming, regardless of any agreement. Police state ramping up; 20,000 troops brought back for crowd control. Another false flag coming? Bank holiday? Uber tax on PMs? Who the fuck knows; but something is in the wind; you can almost smell it.
"Shifting garbage assets from the private sector onto the public sector’s balance sheet."
Everybody here understands what that means, but it would be nice to emphasize, for the unenlightened, that it really means reducing freedom for you and all of your family by forcing you to pay for the bad bets of Walls Street bankers with endless government debt, taxes and fees.
In complete agreement. And how will that be accomplished????
All the IRAs and 401Ks and broken pension funds will be lumped together by government fiat and forced to buy those sludge bonds being held by the Treasury, complements of the Banksters! It is coming. I can just hear those vacuum cleaners whirring slowly, warming up, to suck the wealth out of those people who have been savers.
As I posted yesterday, what did they do without fiat? Remember the Dark Ages, 600-1000 AD? Back to the future. And what was valued? Food, farms, cattle, land, gems, gold, silver and young pussy (daughters!).
I've been reading a book about England prior to the Norman invasion. The so-called "Dark Ages" were actually somewhat of a golden age in England. There was a surplus of food. Government was mostly local. Disputes were settled by a council of local elders. You interacted with the King or your Earl only every now and then. To clarify one thing - daughters were not valued. They were basically given away to anyone who would take them. Except for noblewomen, who were given away to seek political advantage.
Yes but every American and their families have an 'Opt Out' policy option of paying the bills and debts of bankrupt bankers, bankrupt politicians and waging too many murderous illegal wars abroad. It's called:
Zero Tax
Yep, just stop paying your taxes, a few million of you should do the job. As Govt revenue (tax income) contracts by say 5% all the other debtors loaded on Govt piss their pants and the house of cards that s Govt implodes in extremely short order
don't complain/moan about what the US Govt does in your name. You have all the power you need to change the policy direction. Simply stop funding/fueling the lunacy
You go first! LOLOLOLOLOL
.
Just how do you stop paying your taxes, when your employer removes them from your paycheck before you even receive it?
Crisis,
Declare as many deductions as possible,legally.
Claim ZERO now, family of 4?,claim all 4.
If they do this, 20,000 troops, if they come against the citizens will be like a fart in a space suit.
20 million pissed off hunter, and shooters should cause at least a million troops to be deployed,(where we going to get them??) and how many are gong to be willing to break their Oaths,they are not stupid.
Talk about FUBAR. Taxes won't matter mass shootings, and lootings will start immediately.
have a word with your employer... keep having a word with your employer ...try to get him aboard
in the meantime wherever you can avoid paying taxes, such as sales tax... go to farmers markets, or even the black market.. here you'll learn to trade and develop relationships with small businesses which will hold you in good stead for the coming meltdown
you have all the power you need, do not just accept the Govts policies like a compliant zombie, send the parasitical scum packing
A debt agreement will NOT be reached by the deadline. This has been the PLAN from the beginning.
The US will follow the same track as Greece. IMF and Central Banks will demand AUSTERITY measures. Three ratings agencies have already downgraded the US to C minus, A+ and AA+.
http://money.usnews.com/money/business-economy/articles/2011/07/22/meet-3-ratings-agencies-that-have-already-downgraded-the-us
The Central Banks and hedge funds begin the task of negotiating the bailout of the US to "SAVE" the debt holders large hair cuts only if the US will bow to austerity measures.
The New World Order wishes to control the mighty US military and contain the local elites that dare challenge central control. The banksters will decide who wins and loses, further culling the herd.
The DEFAULT is the means to restructure the US into a global police force headed up by the United Nations. Within the cloud of financial chaos the NWO and the oligarchy which directs it will move country by country to force compliance through defaults and restructuring as they see fit.
This has been the PLAN from the beginning, we are now at this time and place.
The fight club has served ZH readers well to this point in time. My question to the brethren is what is PLAN B?
Plan B should be Plan A
Dispise the Devil and all his lies as they only lead to bondage, slavery and death.
Worship the Creator and submit to His will for your life. He only wants your love and love CANNOT be forced, it must be freely chosen or it aint love my freinds. That's how come satan was able to do as he pleases, he like us had the option to choose freely... and look what's thats done for us.
Follow GODS precepts which are based in Truth and Righteousness, seek His wisdom on everything. Talk to Him and he will reveal the truth to you, and lead, guide and direct your very thoughts and make them perfect.
When HE returns those that morn (because of the injustice, lies and striaght up evil that permeates our whole society) WILL REJOICE, as HE sets the scales of Justice in Perfect Balance.
Praise GOD for THAT DAY my friends! What a glorious day that will be when EVIL and LIES will be NO MORE and TRUE JUSTICE WILL BE SERVED. Praise GOD the Father!!! AMEN
I pray that YOU will be there also to rejoice because YOU have accepted JESUS's sacrifice to take your sins away... never to be mentioned again... only with Jesus can you be perfectly clean again and thus avoid the sentance we all deserve.
--------------------------------------------
I got my life together with the help of the book "Winning Every Battle" and I also study online with shepherd chapel every morning. I only strive to walk in the perfect will the Father which was designed for me since the beginning of time. For IF I am in His will THEN I cannot fail... even in death. "Winning!!!" Do you know HIS plan for your life? Do you want to be able to never fail? Join me in the deep end folks. Yep I've went off the deep end!!! Come join me the waters PERFECT!
PS We are in the end generation zerohedgers prepare for Justice. Which side of the scale will you be found in that day? It fast approaches.
Until your god stops enlisting pedophiles to spread his word you can fuck off.
Following any single path of another (even that of Jesus), excludes a world of pain, conflict, and wonder... life itself.
Where do I sign?
Unfortunately, this scenario sounds all too plausible.
Plan B is simply... Stop Paying Your Taxes
soon as you defund Govt all the NWO bollocks collapses too.. so long as everyone keeps funding Govt it and all its parasites will continue to piss on you and across the globe
don't moan or be fearful about Govt if you're sponsoring it with your own money.. do something about it, stop paying the morons wages, say 'No' to tax
And how do you say 'no to tax' exactly. Not realistic for most people is it. Here in the UK, even if you don't work and don't pay income tax, you'll pay 20% VAT on many of life's essentials like energy.
These guys who say don't pay your taxes are either exceedingly irresponsible or are trolls trying to see how many will bite. You don't want the IRS on your back--always declare all your income, and do not out and out cheat on deductions, although the income part is more important. With deductions, you are sort of playing the audit lottery, but with hiding income, you are playing the prison lottery. You do that and you render yourself vulnerable to all your enemies, some of whom you probably think are your friends. Not smart!
I put this opinion under a different article but it probobly seems more fitting to put it under this article. The Elite bankers are just secretly pumping money into the bond and stock markets just until after the debt ceiling is reached. This is so no one will be concerned about either of them. A false sense of security. Then they pull the plug on both and everything collapses, a controlled demolition of our bond and stock market. Just like what happened in the fall of 2008 when they flooded the economy with easy credit for 10 years or so prior, and then pull the plug on it. Everything collapsed. (Just my theory, but it could happen again).
Mailll, it always amazes me how we think the Elite (bankers) are such uber intelligent beings... we rule out the most obvious answer, that like the political elites they are fuking morons (stupid)
do you think they planned to go bankrupt in 2008, be bailed out and shift their shitty assets and debts to the public?
My view is they were uber-greedy, uber-short sighted and uber dumb and the bailouts were a desperate last-minute attempt to save their sorry arses (which is what it very much looked like it was)
these bankers are greedy morons that cannot see past their own noses, let alone have a Masterplan. Dumb and plain as mud
Sorry zero govt. but I put my reply in the wrong place, but it is at the top of this page I believe. I'll try not to let it happen again.
Zero Govt, agree that bankster/elites are 'greedy, short sighted, dense and not able to see the big picture'. They have been desperate to save themselves at all costs. My view: the ruler of this world is using them for a Masterplan that brings, at the very least, worldwide economic collapse, anarchy, swarm violence, death 'n destruction, major wars and govt intrusion into every facet of our lives. Here in America this it to be expected on the fed, state and local levels. Expect the unexpected. Expect and watch out for irrational and illogical thinking in all forms, i.e. offical govt decisions, from the elites, rulers and other people. Expect to encounter entities that can 'melt' your mind!
Something Big is Coming - it will be AWESOME. Best to get prepared. MOST IMPORTANT: get a hedge of protection set up around yourself, plus the ones you love and depend on, plus your property, plus your neighbors property and if possible, around your local community. Start to earnestly communicate with the True and Living God. Believe in the name of the One He sent to us, and in His name, ask for truth, wisdom and shrewdness. Obey His commandment to love the True and Living God and to love your neighbor as yourself. Forgive those who trepass against you. And, ask for a hedge of protection.
Who is this "ruler of the world" with the "Masterplan"? I'm thinking of becoming one of his minions. I'm going to try to be assigned to be the local ruler of Sicily or Santorini. Switzerland is nice too, but I might be too low on the minion totem pole for that.
The 'ruler of this world' is the entity who showed the Son of God all the kingdoms of the world in a moment of time, and said to him, "To you I will give all this authority and their glory, for it has been delivered to me, and I give it to whom I will. If you, then, will worship me, it will all be yours." When the Son of God refused, the 'ruler of this world departed from him until a more opportune time.
As a 1st assignment perhaps you might be allowed to sit and watch the Eternal Fire of Baba Gurgur near Kirkuk, Iraq - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:P3110004.jpg
Technical charts are useless when it comes to this because of the multiple issues that are pulling at PMs.
Could it be that we are on the verge of seeing gold and silver skyrocket???
I notice that silver has quietly breached the $40 level again.