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What Was That I Heard About Squids Raising Capital Because They Can't Trade?

Reggie Middleton's picture




 

Bloomberg reports Goldman Traders Lost Money 21 Days in 3Q:

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS),
which relied on trading for 62 percent of revenue so far this year,
recorded losses from that business on 21 days in the third quarter, the
most since the fourth quarter of 2008.

The
firm’s traders lost more than $100 million on one of the days,
according to the New York-based company’s quarterly filing with the
Securities and Exchange Commission. They produced more than $100 million
on nine days out of 64 total days in the quarter that ended Sept. 30,
the filing showed.

Well, you guys know where I stand on this, and I have warned you ad nauseum...the Squid Can't Trade!

thumb_image001_copyLearning to fly with tentacles instead of wings may prove difficult for the Squid!

Note: Subscribers can download the GS 3rd quarter review with the updated valuation opinion hereicon Goldman Sachs Q3 update Final (482.35 kB 2011-11-03 03:03:51)

In our Goldman Sachs update note, “Show me how to trade
(August 2011), we challenged Goldman Sachs’ ability to create alpha.
Besides Goldman’s apparent lack of skill in generating returns in
downward markets, we also presented an analysis on how its share price
is driven by momentum (equity markets) instead of the commonly accepted
metric of book value. Those who would have followed the traditional
school of thought (sell side) by bidding the price up instead of down
would have seen their capital erode by 9%; the stock is down 9% since
our most recent publication. Below are some of the extracts from our
previous note alongside updated charts including Q3 results to peruse
before we delve further into the quarterly results the BoomBustBlog way.

Bloomberg also reports Goldman Has $2.3B ‘Funded’ Credit Exposure to Italy which is probably why they are also reporting Goldman Sachs Said to Raise $1.1 Billion From ICBC Stake Sale. Bascially, it's time to rasie some capital. After all, BoomBustBlogger subscribers saw this coming 4 months ago.

As excerpted from Hunting the Squid, Part2: Since When Is Enough Derivative Exposure To Blow Up The World Something To Be Ignored?

So, what is the logical conclusion? More phallic looking charts of
blatant, unbridled, and from a realistic perspective, unhedged RISK
starring none other than Goldman Sachs...

 image006image006

And to think, many thought that JPM exposure vs World GDP chart was
provocative. I query thee, exactly how will GS put a real workable
hedge, a counterparty risk mitigating prophylactic if you will, over
that big green stalk that is representative of Total Credit Exposure to
Risk Based Capital? Short answer, Goldman may very well be to big for a
counterparty condom. If that's truly the case, all of you pretty, brand name Goldman counterparties
out there (and yes, there are a lot of y'all - GS really gets around),
expect to get burned at the culmination of that French banking party
I've been talking about for the last few quarters. Oh yeah, that
perpetually printing clinic also known as the Federal Reserve just might
be running a little low on that cheap liquidity antibiotic... Just
giving y'all a heads up ahead of time...

image009

There's plenty more where that came from....

I'm Hunting Big Game Today: The Squid On A Spear Tip

I demonstrate how the market,
the sell side, and most investors are missing one of the biggest
bastions of risk in the US investment banking industry. I will also...

 

Hunting the Squid Part 3: Reggie Middleton Serves Up Fried Calamari From Raw Squid

Hunting the Squid, part 4: So, What Else Can Go Wrong With Goldman Sachs? Plenty!

Hunting the Squid, Part 5: Sometimes Your Local Superhero Doesn't Look Like What They Show You In The Movies


 

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Wed, 11/09/2011 - 16:36 | 1862825 navy62802
navy62802's picture

Speaking of raising capital ... take a look at the gold plunge. Someone's liquidating as their losses mount.

Wed, 11/09/2011 - 16:34 | 1862818 El Viejo
El Viejo's picture

Are you picking up the restaurant Tab tonite Reg ???

Wed, 11/09/2011 - 16:39 | 1862847 Manthong
Manthong's picture

Better to pick up the bar tab.

Wed, 11/09/2011 - 16:26 | 1862763 TheMerryPrankster
TheMerryPrankster's picture

Time for record year end bonuses.

Wed, 11/09/2011 - 16:20 | 1862707 Dingleberry
Dingleberry's picture

Reggie had a quote awhile back that went something like" Goldman's business model is betraying their own clients".  Strong words.....but of course proven correct.  Therefore, when discussing this criminal cabal, one must no think in "normal" or "logical" terms.....nor, obviously, in ethical terms.  These fucks would destroy ANYONE, including THEMSELVES, if it made them some alpha.  Max Kaiser refers to them as "suicidal bankers".  If Goldman goes under, you can bet your ass that they THEMSELVES took out puts and CDSs against their own company.   

Wed, 11/09/2011 - 16:38 | 1862844 Stax Edwards
Stax Edwards's picture

They invented Kamikaze Kapitalism

Wed, 11/09/2011 - 15:43 | 1862497 Whatta
Whatta's picture

sheeeit, it is either:

1) they are intentionally NOT showing profits, or the crowds would get even more rowdy, or

2) the government - controlling the news cycle - is TAKING all the profits via trading through Gubermint Sacks in order to not have to covertly raise taxes to bail more TBTF corporates and sovereigns.

We are being screwed I tells ya', screwed. Manipulation is rampant now with the market swings. Governments are frontrunning the news cycles as "taxes" on citizens with the cash to play along.

Wed, 11/09/2011 - 16:25 | 1862755 TheMerryPrankster
TheMerryPrankster's picture

http://news.yahoo.com/goldman-faces-lawsuits-over-15-8-billion-mortgages...

 

(Reuters) - Goldman Sachs Group Inc faces lawsuits over $15.8 billion worth of mortgage securities, the bank said in a regulatory filing on Wednesday, a more than 30-fold increase from the amount disclosed three months earlier.

The aggregate figure, which is up from $485 million previously, does not represent how much money Goldman management estimates it may lose on the litigation. Goldman lifted that estimate of "reasonably possible" losses to $2.6 billion from $2 billion.

Wed, 11/09/2011 - 15:40 | 1862467 Forgiven
Forgiven's picture

I'm not surprised they can't trade Reggie.  They can't give sound advice either.  When the 'market' consists only of their algo bouncing a bait and switch trade to JPM's algo or DB's or whomever's, then they're not going to be making any money.  This 'market' has been a joke since the great bailout.

Wed, 11/09/2011 - 15:34 | 1862434 Piranhanoia
Piranhanoia's picture

How many of the what were 22 primary dealers are now visibly insolvent?   Are we up to 7 or 8?   (that we know of)

Wed, 11/09/2011 - 17:00 | 1862940 YHC-FTSE
YHC-FTSE's picture

21 now mate. Remember MF Global? 

 

Looks like almost all of them, or only hanging on by the lips suckling at the teat of governments. 

Wed, 11/09/2011 - 17:05 | 1862960 TheMerryPrankster
TheMerryPrankster's picture

Just puttin the "Mammary" back in primammary dealer.

Wed, 11/09/2011 - 14:54 | 1862043 ZerOhead
ZerOhead's picture

Have you considered the possibility that Goldman executives have perhaps bought $1T worth of GS Credit Default Swaps?

Wed, 11/09/2011 - 15:20 | 1862305 Reggie Middleton
Reggie Middleton's picture

To not get paid because there will be no credit event in the case of a GS collapse. Ask the EU officials. You see, once you start that bullshit, it becomes hard to stop it...

Wed, 11/09/2011 - 15:47 | 1862530 ZerOhead
ZerOhead's picture

It's just hard to see any way out of this current crisis that ends well.

Keep up the good work Reggie... it's much appreciated.

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