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Why Has Gold Turned Into Paper?

madhedgefundtrader's picture




 

One of the most amazing things that has happened in the global capital markets in the past month is that gold and silver have turned into equities. You know, those precious metals that are supposed to be a store of value and a safe haven during troubled times?

They have morphed overnight from hard assets into paper ones, with the barbarous relic nose diving $392 from $1,922, or 20%, in less than four weeks, while the white metal is off  nearly $24, or 48% from its April $49.90 top.

It is clear what is happening here. The biggest hedged funds, like the one run by the subprime hero, John Paulson, have gotten into big trouble with ill-advised holdings in financials and are unloading everything else to meet margin calls and expected redemptions. What are their largest remaining profitable positions? Gold and silver.

It’s no good reminding you all that I warned this was going to happen in my piece “Gold: I Told You So” at http://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/september-27-2011-2.html . I was certain that once the “RISK OFF” trade hit, there would be no place to hide and everything would go down together.

If you’re not out now, the damage is already done. At least my Macro Millionaire followers managed to coin it on the downside with some well-timed positions in out of the money puts, which they have already covered profitably.

That’s why the price action has been like a flash fire in a movie theater, frying the gold bugs in the process. The good news in all of this is that a big part of the drop is behind us. The bad news is that we may have three more months of such liquidations before we reach the bottom. Note to Indian subscribers: Will more of you please get married and provide some end user support under the distressed yellow metal? We are in the midst of the fabled Indian wedding season after all.

For those who wish to participate in Macro Millionaire, my highly innovative and successful trade mentoring program, please email John Thomas directly at madhedgefundtrader@yahoo.com . Please put “Macro Millionaire” in the subject line, as we are getting buried in emails.

To see the data, charts, and graphs that support this research piece, as well as more iconoclastic and out-of-consensus analysis, please visit me at www.madhedgefundtrader.com . There, you will find the conventional wisdom mercilessly flailed and tortured daily, and my last two years of research reports available for free. You can also listen to me on Hedge Fund Radio by clicking on “This Week on Hedge Fund Radio” in the upper right corner of my home page.

 

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Tue, 10/04/2011 - 15:19 | 1738310 Alea Iactaest
Alea Iactaest's picture

For his ego?

Tue, 10/04/2011 - 11:08 | 1737191 pupton
pupton's picture

Wouldn't you?  I'm not taking his side, but he's probably on a yacht somewhere phoning in orders to some nerd who posts this stuff.  He's building an alternate stream of income, or trying to at least.

Tue, 10/04/2011 - 10:42 | 1737067 DogSlime
DogSlime's picture

The problem is that his cahonas (along with his dick) are mounted on his shoulders.

Tue, 10/04/2011 - 10:29 | 1737015 Mountainview
Mountainview's picture

As we got only Twist instead of QE3 the market considers this as less monetary stimulating... There for Gold? Comos? Swiss Francs?

Tue, 10/04/2011 - 10:25 | 1736989 bill1102inf
bill1102inf's picture

bc gold is like a rabbit turd, or tulip, DUH!

Tue, 10/04/2011 - 11:34 | 1737289 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Really?  Where do I find an animal that shits out gold, and how to I plant it so that it reproduces?

Or if it's actually like housing, how do I build more gold?  

If it's like internet stocks, how do I IPO more gold?

Actually, come to think of it, I know the answer to the last question.  Create ETF's that are backed by metal that is already spoken for (perhaps multiple times), and take the cash from that ponzi scheme and buy physical gold and ship it to my private island.  Of course, that isn't really "IPO"ing gold, but buying it with the porceeds of illegal activities, but hey, it's all the same to bankers, right?

Tue, 10/04/2011 - 10:24 | 1736986 WALLST8MY8BALL
WALLST8MY8BALL's picture

My Name is Mad Hedge Fund trader. I own a mansion and a yacht. Im hunting wabbits heheheheheh

Tue, 10/04/2011 - 13:50 | 1737885 williambanzai7
williambanzai7's picture

ROTFLOL!

Tue, 10/04/2011 - 10:48 | 1737088 LowProfile
LowProfile's picture

"My Name is Mad Hedge Fund twader."

Fixed it for you.

Tue, 10/04/2011 - 12:43 | 1737620 WALLST8MY8BALL
WALLST8MY8BALL's picture

CHEERS!

Tue, 10/04/2011 - 10:51 | 1737104 Gavrikon
Gavrikon's picture

You forgot: Miwwionaiwe.

Tue, 10/04/2011 - 11:24 | 1737231 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

 

 

Why has gold turned into paper?

Here's a better question:

Why has MHFT turned into Robotrader?

Tue, 10/04/2011 - 14:21 | 1738007 akak
akak's picture

Here's a better question:

Why has MHFT turned into Robotrader?

At least he didn't state that the goldbugs had been "blowtorched" by gold's recent price decline.

Funny how so many holders of gold were putatively "fried", even as they sold nothing.

Tue, 10/04/2011 - 12:33 | 1737567 Hook Line and S...
Hook Line and Sphincter's picture

...and i had thought robo had disappeared to the BDSM tranny convention in SF.

Tue, 10/04/2011 - 11:18 | 1737226 4horse
4horse's picture

infwomercial

Tue, 10/04/2011 - 14:09 | 1737950 Snidley Whipsnae
Snidley Whipsnae's picture

My name is madhedgefundtrader ... and I need some more saps to subscribe to my info rag so I can finance myself in the way I would like to become accustomed to.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!