Is 16-Times-The-Charm For ECB BTP Interventions?

Tyler Durden's picture




While the disquieting calm (before the storm) of the last hour in European markets suggests traders sitting on their hands into a bazooka-ridden weekend, we thought a look at what happens when the ECB stops playing may help. Based on the velocity of price-jump, the last two weeks have seen at least 16 interventions by the ECB into the BTP market and still the price is down significantly. Most importantly, on the two occasions when the ECB has deemed to let free markets reign, we have seen BTP prices free-fall. Have a great weekend, Europe.

Most notably, the last two days have seen a clear focus of attention on France and Italy and Spain has been somewhat left in the dust. Spanish bonds are now 80bps wider on the week and its worth noting that EFSF spreads broke 200bps earlier this morning!!

Chart: Bloomberg

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Fri, 11/18/2011 - 11:59 | 1891340 Hansel
Hansel's picture

It's working!

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 12:00 | 1891347 Careless Whisper
Careless Whisper's picture

The Careless Whisper Morning Fight Club Update

 

VIDEO: Global Banker Cops (aka NYPD) Beat Man For Planting AMERICAN FLAG In Park

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mhQCpXM-Sm4#t=3m0s

Fight Club: NYC

http://www.nydailynews.com/new-york/protester-brandon-watts-pitch-a-tent...

Fight Club: Duangdong Province, CHINA

http://shanghaiist.com/2011/11/18/shoe-factory-strike-dongguan.php#photo-1

Nordstrom; Spend Time With Your Family; Regular Store Hours On Black Friday

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/business/fl-black-friday-retailers-20111116,...

Man Desperate For Job Responds To Fake Craigslist Ad; Found Robbed & Shot

http://pittsburghlive.com/x/pittsburghtrib/news/regional/s_767958.html

US Attorney Preet Bharara Makes Arrest In Stolen $11 Million Praetorian Global Fund; "...told lies, said money would be safe..."; Jon Corzine Dines On Grilled Branzino With Wilted Greens And Citrus At Frankies Spuntino

http://www.palmbeachpost.com/news/state/fort-lauderdale-businessman-ran-...

Newt Founded "Think Tank" Got $27 Million From Big Pharma

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/gingrich-think-tank-collected-mil...

Vatican Says IT Was Exploited; Sues Benneton

http://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/world/vatican-sues-over-pope-kissing-ad...

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 12:25 | 1891390 tickhound
tickhound's picture

Thx CW...

That Barnhardt Capital letter is getting discussion time on CNBS.  Kaminsky starting to speak regularly on corruption. 

Hi Gary!  Zh welcomes your Bill Miller bash rant too.  Here's to your continued de-conditioning.

 

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 13:03 | 1891574 eureka
eureka's picture

Ann Barnhardt is funny - but small potatoes, which is like Tyler bashing Europe - "happy weekend, Europe" - when the big and mushy potato in the fairy tale is GS-JPM-Wall Street-CIA-Pentagon i.e. US EMPIRE...

wouldn't it be great if everyone realizes that and took care of that before it's too late...?

Watch US crash and burn in the next chapter... 2012 & 2013...

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 13:18 | 1891612 tickhound
tickhound's picture

yes, clearly... But I just like it when a new fuse gets lit.  Too many to put out and all of them end at the same place.  KA-boOO... you never hear the rest.

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 12:27 | 1891454 Mugatu
Mugatu's picture

Its that damn Hansel again!  He's so hot now.

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 12:00 | 1891346 slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

16 candles

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 12:05 | 1891358 fuu
fuu's picture

It only took me 12 tries to get this right. Sorry, no flat feet boogie but it is in the same key.

It's 2009 Again

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 12:01 | 1891349 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Game: find the red box where the ECB got Silvio to step down. 

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 12:02 | 1891350 Yancey Ward
Yancey Ward's picture

Once started, you have to buy them all.  It really is that simple.

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 14:09 | 1891759 blu
blu's picture

Global Finances as Pokemon toys.

They'll have an animated cartoon out next.

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 12:04 | 1891357 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Bulls praying for bazooka weekend.  

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 12:08 | 1891367 WonderDawg
WonderDawg's picture

I'm wondering if equities being green this morning is a headfake, with an afternoon sell-off, or do people really want to be long going into the weekend?

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 12:11 | 1891372 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

What bad thing can happen over the weekend?  The next Italian bond auction is not till next Tuesday. 

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 12:13 | 1891393 HelluvaEngineer
HelluvaEngineer's picture

Iran strike, liquidity lockup, violent suppression of demonstrations.  What did I forget?

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 12:24 | 1891441 WonderDawg
WonderDawg's picture

Anything can happen. People are in a shitty mood, and it's getting worse.

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 12:31 | 1891471 Desert Irish
Desert Irish's picture

Greek army whooping it up in Athens???

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 14:11 | 1891763 blu
blu's picture

Friday afternoon is always a good time to announce management shakeups and "disappointing results".

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 12:06 | 1891363 YesWeKahn
YesWeKahn's picture

They really need someone like Bernanke's caliber, 600 billions and 8 billion daily without approval from the congress, without the permission from the people.

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 12:08 | 1891366 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Wir wollen unser Bazooka.   Und ein Panzer dazu.  

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 12:17 | 1891413 dcb
dcb's picture

btp??????????????

pleae say what that means (bonds the pigs)

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 14:13 | 1891768 blu
blu's picture

Italian bonds. The market for Italian debt is the poo poo. And without more debt to pay off their current debt (snicker) they fall off the solvency wagon.

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 12:20 | 1891428 DB Cooper
DB Cooper's picture

Like a juggler having a harder and harder time keeping all the plates spinning.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cpjj5JIIfwU

And he's French!

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 14:17 | 1891778 blu
blu's picture

Plates? Are you joking? We're way past plates.

On to the chainsaws.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VXVr564u1aw

At the end he shouts "I'm still alive!"

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 12:28 | 1891459 youngman
youngman's picture

Thats not an emergency...nor an accident...its a means to and end.....

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 12:42 | 1891498 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Bazooka rumor rally can come anytime today and mangle bear claws in a viscious metal trap.  

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 12:56 | 1891545 LookingWithAmazement
LookingWithAmazement's picture

Greece is almost out of the "crisis": the budget deficit will be only 5.2% in 2012, more austerity is not needed, says Venizelos. Bye bye crisis. The euro will survive. Boring world we live in.

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 15:53 | 1892143 Gief Gold Plox
Gief Gold Plox's picture

Are you suggesting that you believe Greek FinMin's forecast on their 2012 deficit? Seriously?

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 12:59 | 1891555 lineskis
lineskis's picture

Tyler, how do you know when the ECB stepped in? Source?

Thanks!

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 13:02 | 1891573 Snakeeyes
Snakeeyes's picture

US Government intervention in the housing market has been a failure, so why should the ECB intervention be any better?

Positive Signs For The Economy, But MBA Refi Apps Fall 20.97% and Purchase Apps Fall 14.97% – Obama Signs Growth of Government (FHA)

http://confoundedinterest.wordpress.com

Fri, 11/18/2011 - 23:14 | 1893375 mbtshoe
mbtshoe's picture

was almost out of the three ply Lehman's I picked up at a fire sale a couple of years back. I'll need something with the extra comfort a discerning gentleman like myself requires soonChristian Louboutin Heels Alexander Wang Shoes Christian Louboutin Sale Discount Christian Louboutin Shoes Womens UGG Boots
Alexander Wang Bag | Alexander Wang Shoes | Alexander Wang Rocco Alexander Wang Frankie Creeper Short crude oil. The world is swiming in oil as everything else. Its elevated price is just a scam. The probability of war is zero. Uncle Sam can´t go to war against Iran because both its flanks are insecure. The left flank goes to the Straits of Hormuz and if that is closed this means crude price $300 and Stalingrad for US forces in Iraq and other US vassal states in the gulf. As for the right flank that supply line goes through Pakistan. It´s shaky enough as it is.

Sat, 11/19/2011 - 02:24 | 1893627 sma
sma's picture

can someone tell me wtf is btp

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