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Several Exponential Charts
We'll let the charts do the talking this time.
Consolidated "developed world" relative devaluation...
Standalone devaluation and projected 1
Standalone devaluation and projected 2
Add China's money supply...
And China's reserves...
Which brings us to this. Will the exponential growth end? If not, following the yellow brick road.
Source: DB
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Is that your money supply or are you just happy to see me?
Excellent!
TOUCHDOWN FEDS !
6 pictures are worth a 1761.37 words ...
"The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function."
-Dr. Albert Bartlett
Professor Emeritus
Department of Physics
University of Colorado
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F-QA2rkpBSY&feature=my_favorites&list=FL4...
I first saw this a few years ago. I didn't personally need the math lesson, but he makes the point better than most that:
Anything compounded consistently will result in a bubble, or in the examples from nature, collapse.
Note this was uploaded just a few months before the 2007 top.
Well worth the 1-2 hours to view all eight segments.
"Well worth the 1-2 hours to view all eight segments."
Indeed.
It's the end of the world financial system as we know it.
Jim Rickards discusses the looming debt crisis and financial abyss. Time to get religion.
http://www.planbeconomics.com/2012/09/23/john-mauldin-and-jim-rickards-d...
Can't we just take away a few decimal places?
Si se fucking puede - just ask the Brazilians (1989-1991) (Cruzados, Cruzeros) and the Zimbabweans.
Got Ameros? No? Then some metals might be of interest?
It's truly amazing how long this bamboozlement has gone on, really amazing.
You can fool all the people some of the time, and some of the people all the time, but you CAN fool all the sheeple most every time.
Don't know about the rest of you, but I take offence at being labeled Sheele, Peons, and Peasants and I'm tired of taking it in the ass for their benefit.
Alt Metals - lead, jacketed, and HP.
The ride up the first big roller coaster hill is slow and steady, almost calming.
That's where we are right now...............
Yes, I totally agree, a must see for anyone who gives an owls ass.
YES!!!
For several decades I have been worrying about the insanity of apparently endless exponential growth, ending in overshoot, and thus, ending in catastrophic collapses. However, everyone that benefits from driving more exponential growth has all the money and power under that system to continue to do it ... whereas, the reality of overshoot, and then collapsing to chaos, ONLY "exists" now to the degree that one has enough intelligence, imagination and information to be able to see that.
Evolving a human and industrial ecology that does not automatically destroy itself appears to be practically impossible at the present time. We appear required to ride the roller coaster of doubling our population and activities one too many times, then, after it collapses, doing that again, and again, on some lesser scales, unless, perhaps, we finally evolved social and political means to stop doing that as badly, over and over again.
However, for now, those who benefit the most in the short-term from maximizing their own ability to defraud and rob have every advantage within the established systems to continue to do that more and more and more ... The biggest bullies' continue to be popular, and too many people still believe in their bullshit.
Learning more, to be able to imagine the future better, does not do anything much to prevent that still happening, as long as enough people contrinue to not want to do that, while small but powerful, groups work hard to make sure that collectively we never will do that.
There is a deliberate war against consciousness, to prevent people from understanding the mathematics of exponential growth. To quote another commenter, we are controlled by mathemagicians, not by mathematics.
We live our lives according to beliefs in Huge Lies, which got going by being backed up with violence. Thus, we have a fundamentally fraudulent financial accounting system, privatized fiat money-as-debt, which reduces understanding all of the rest of the real world to garbage in, garbage out. Everything we decide to do is done by using a bent rubber ruler, as our money system, to assess that decision.
There is no signs that will get any better. Instead, those who made and maintained that system are eager to gamble on starting a world war, with the risk of out-of-control use of weapons of mass destruction, in order to back up their demented bookkeeping system, where money in the bank could reproduce faster than anything else, like fish in the sea, or oil in the ground, or anything else actually real could!
Since we are controlled by trimphant frauds, we are rushing at exponential growth, towards overshoot, and collapsing to chaos, as fast as we possibly can! Those who are driving us all to do that CAN because they were the best at being dishonest and violent in the past, which has enabled them to have the social position and prestige that they enjoy today. By the time we discover how wrong we all were, it will be way, way too late!
At least after we are totally wiped out financially we won't be able to continuously drive our gas guzzling SUV's so the fucking planet just might get a respite because of that.
I'll spray as many CFCs into the ozone as I possibly can to compensate.
Pray tell, when are we going to start finding the SUV's that prehistoric man drove that got us out of the last ice age?
The huge and shiny SUV in the sky, all the day, bitchez.
Edit: driven by hooman belief (and most significantly by laws of physics)
''The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function''
I see ''The Risen Fractal''. My question to you is, is there meaning, yes or no? If you say ''yes'' please explain. If you say ''no'', is that not because you do not understand the exponential function still?
We will be all millionaires, bitchez.
Offish topic but related, Freebird in a hurry. Where can one buy a UTG in Miami area? Anyone, anyone...a..n...y..o...n...e... Bitchez
?
Brought one on amazon dot com this morning. Have used Fisch in the past. The prices of the Fisch are currently high and you may just opt for a UTG. Maybe with the latest salting scare the Fisch will become cheaper. They are plastic. When I scuba dive to where the boat sank I'll start testing with the UTG.
sorry, can't help you on that, but I am curious what a UTG is. Google just showed it as a company name.
Google does not cope well with context - search for "UTG gold silver", and it will become quickly apparent that it means Ultrasonic Thickness Gauge.
Epay has dozens of listings for them. Buy the one with velocity capabilities to test the density of your PM. Gold and tungsten havedifferent values.There are some that use gel toto block out ambient factors. The GM100 generic seems the most reasonable, unless you have a mini fort knox. MADE IN CHINA.
Thank you brethren
Obviously bet the Fed, ECB and BoJ is very risky. I would say that it is irresponsible and has many risks. However, we do not know which will be the consecuancias or when we begin to see them. For my part, I think there maintain investments and be alert to changing trends. Markets may begin to rise significantly. But then they could drop significantly. In both situations, we can make money. But we have to be in the market. People who decide to stay outside, you risk losing your wealth.
You Believe so, but, but, what happens when all markets freezes at the same time ? instantly .. one weekend on Sunday night you learn that your money is locked in a bank or in a financial instrument an there is a banking holiday following week and later on you can kiss and say goodby to your all money... it will blow out.. think about it...
Incorrect. There was no simulataneous possession, bitchez.
Incorrect. There was no simulataneous possession, bitchez.
The Spanish are rejoicing about it right now with MENA.
Huge rave dude.
There's smoke and sirens and shit. Must be pretty wild because the cops are beating the crap out of people and nobody...and I mean nobody is fighting back. Like watching a farmer tend a flock of geese.
Couple of the spanish Redditor's have connectivity established and are reporting if anyone wants to talk to them. Locations and redditor status are confirmed
They are reporting right now that the rave now has lasers lights and fire crackers are being reported.
http://www.reddit.com/r/worldnews/comments/10gnoy/spanish_congress_surrounded_spain_in_full_revolt/
Things are messy.
http://www.rightnow.io/breaking-news/spain-anonymous-hoyes25s_bn_1348574...
Tweets and texts and lots of media.
Something is happening in Italy. Looking for clean source to share.
Shit something in Argentina as well....how'd I miss that.
http://cnnespanol.cnn.com/2012/09/25/cristina-fernandez-de-kirchner-mi-pais-no-es-un-cuadro-de-futbol-es-una-nacion-soberana/
If you don't know Spanish or just don't want to read, the IMF told Argentina to get their economy in order in 3 months or else, Cristina told them that "EL FONDO MONETARIO INTERNACIONAL ES ARGENTINO" and that they were not like that with the economy of Spain or Greece. She also told the UN that USA is trying to commit "political assassination" against Argentina...weird I thought Argentina was off the shit list.
Someone needs oil badly if they are putting the screws to them. Expect oil to jump and car parts to get pricey.
Dood, what does Argentina, IMF and oil have in common ? NOT MUCH!
Argentina told the IMF to fuck OFF one night in december 2001. Did you miss the news?
They just told them to fuck off again , and they will tell them to FUCK OFF again in three month.
I personally dislike K the bitch very much. I also lost a million paper dollars on that original FUCK OFF. but it is nice to tell the IMF to fuck oFF. Greeks are pussies , i thought more of them.....
Argentina...appearently they won't hand over their books to the IMF.. Lagarde doesn't believe them. lol. Oh well, what does the IMF have to do with Oil. Well...well...wells. They don't drill themselves and there is production in Argentina. Tiny, but it's there.
http://www.bernama.com.my/bernama/v6/newsindex.php?id=697424
Bigger is better is what she said....
But getting fucked by a dollar? It’s only 6 inches long.
Inverse those charts to get the value of our economy.
Yeh, but ask Benny Boy - its how you use it
Ahh, another mystery solved... Behold the origin of the dollar...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_penis_size
Butt the thickness makes it almost painless.
...
Thats what you call currency debasement. Hold tight your gold and silver. It's going much much higher.
http://davidmorganblog.blogspot.ca/
Be happier if you would spend - Uncle Bennie
Ignore that the $ won't be worth shit in 4 months.
Maybe...but I suspect that, in the next two weeks, it will be worth more than equity hopium.
My silver just got a boner.
One of your best knukles, excellent!
DavidC
Fook Me!!!
Fight Club full movie now up on YouTube. Search "Fight Club full movie."
Ben, I think you've had enough Viagra! Bad Ben, baaad!
Shwing!
This chart does some talking
An IOU for Every Man, Woman, and Child
If ever there was a time to "End the Fed," surely this is it.
Indeed but even getting rid of bernanke would be a step in the right direction
HOT: Fed Prez Spills the Beans on the Excess Reserve Inflation Time Bomb
The Fed’s trickle-down economics
ODipshit luvs the Bernanke.
Ah, but what would Lord Mayor Rothschild say?
What do you suppose Lord Rothschild is saying now...about the enormous risk on the Fed's balance sheet?
My point, of course, is that this risk is the best tool we could ask for to rid ourselves of this disasterous institution, finally. Simply apply pressure to the leverage wound...and presto.
What risk is on the Fed's balance sheet? Everything they have is government backed. They own a lien on all US citizens future taxation.
WEEEEEeeeeeeee....*SPLAT*
Ludicrous speed
Caution, Darth Helmet gets motion sickness.
Hey...they can print faster than that...if they want to....
Exponentially Fucked Bitcheze!! Ha HA ..I said Bitcheze..(ok Down arrow myself)
Oh Yeah, Isn't it redundant to have the FED. and a Treasury?
You ever try a magic trick with just one hand?
Why don't you show the gold price since 1979 adjusted for inflation?
mo money mo problems
Ah its ok theres room on the graphs for them to get exponential-er.
the fed is sporting a tremendous woodie
It's lasted way more than four hours, so call the doctor! Paging Dr. Paul.
The Fed B/S chart...Is that how many shovels full of BS come out of the FED?
Even though I'm an accountant, every time I see B/S my mind thinks BullShit.
Can we get a chart of when charts matter?
FORGOT /sarc I guess?????
the end comes quickly in an exponential function.
http://www.drmillslmu.com/peakoil-1.htm
Olimpdick downhill, bitchez!
call me crazy but you know ETFs that seem to actually trade based on fundamentals and NOT algos? Russia.. I was looking at the direxion..RUSL/RUSS .. hey something that actually seems to trade like a "market" and not a rigged casino. anyone look at year chart of those and say im delusional?
"The Fund seeks daily investment results, before fees and
expenses, of 300% of the inverse (or opposite) of the performance
of the Market Vectors Russia Index. The Fund seeks daily
leveraged investment results and does not seek to achieve
its stated investment objective over a period of time greater
than one day. The Fund is different and much riskier than most
exchange-traded funds."
http://www.direxionshares.com/pdfs/RUSLRUSS_FS.pdf
You could make 300% in a day, or lose it all in a day as well.
Too spicy for me, but...
It's the Malthusian Growth Model!
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malthusian_growth_model
Hmm...I wonder if this exponential growth in central government bullshit could lead to a need for exponential population reduction?
Think...think...think...
Unfortunately that is our money being destroyed (I own gold & silver too) but if they keep this shit up we are going to pass go and move straight into MadMax Barter Town.
Guns, ammo, gold, silver, food, water you name it don't mean shit unless you can keep the Government out of your backyard.
We deserve what's coming for being too lazy to actually do something to stop it but everyone is going to get hurt on this one...everyone.
Nice to see you catching on. Firing a round is better than some bullshit ultrasound crap.
Got RedDot?
Except to those moron Paulistas.
Absolutely.
Private ownership of gold may be beneficial for those who own it in light of inflation and printing and a universal security; however, that prosperity could be short lived if economic policies cause a collapse of the currency.
And regardless the political ramifications, gold does not have the ability to save the economy because as a currency most people do not own it.
Bill Fleckenstein wrote in mid-January of 2011 that he did not believe there was deep participation in the gold market. Said Fleckenstein:
“On that subject, I thought Marc Faber's most recent Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, headlined, ‘The end game has begun,’ was most interesting.
“Marc started off by discussing this fact: As he does speaking engagements around the world in front of hundreds, if not thousands, of people at a time, when he asks how many own gold, just a few hands usually go up. I note this for the same reason he gives: ‘I'm asking myself -- and I have done so for the past few months -- why, 10 years into a bull market, the vast majority of people still don't own any gold?’”
http://money.msn.com/currency/why-gold-is-not-a-bubble-fleckenstein.aspx
Oldie, but goodie. Chris' story about how fast a stadium fills with water.
http://transitiontownsireland.ning.com/forum/topics/one-minute-from-midn...
It's the end of the world
Even gold was down
It was a buying opportunity. You deef?
Exponential is good, it means even the sheep will notice eventually.
The difference beween weimar and now is that in Germany people were told repeatedly that it was the dollar that was appreciating, and that more marks had to be printed so that people could still purchase things, which were rising rapidly in price.
At least now some of the sheeple will be able to understand the truth in time to save some of their wealth.
If C/Bs can no longer pull the inflation genie trick without dishoarding tons of gold, Might not that be the end of the road for Central Banking.
We can only hope
Nice runaway gap they got goin' there.
There is no retail, except for those 201Ks exiting when they feel good. It's algo amano algo now.
Nibble at the edges, dorks!
Be the Remoray ell, feel it.
This is traders heaven.
Everyting is up, good, right?
Tomorrow.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qRgs6c3VNaU
Gold is going lower, MUCH LOWER, just as George Soros said at $1565 on CNBC as he was replacing his (sold) position into panic liquidation by the NY/London hedge funds en route to a $200 uptick.
I am so bearish on gold it's scary so please sell into my $1,745 bid for 2m ounces.
Signed,
Wi Wa Go To Go Lowah So Wi Kah Buy.
(Stoopid Round eye bastahd)
Mucho loer. Not.
How about mucho lower? Not. Let them margin call paper gold all they want.
Please. Another low entry point.
Why should gold track the Fed BS and China FX reserves? I can see that it correlates but I don't see why.
Sentiment?
The Fed has said your $ is worth shit, and the rest of the world wants it to be worth more.
Who will win?
gold
tungsten, keep up
Johnny is that you?
Tell me, you're pulling my plonker Bastiat
Well no. I mean I see no economic reason. I can see the motivation to manipulate the price by the Fed and China but economically it seems gold should be tracking the M2 charts.
On an unrelated Breaking Wind Newz Story..
Our Head Keebler Elf Admits Failure
Christ, knew it involved cookies.
Actually with Christ it's wafers.
if them assets were worth what they say they are why ain't the banks selling them to the equity dopes on the little yellow bus. Oh, yea, they are, fed buys, prints, buys S&P, sell to dopes, exits gas soaked tomb, flicks lit match. Remember this though, if he is smarter then the shorts he's selling it to you.
God damn, they never learn. The equity boys really need to dress in leather and a ball gag when they fire up the Macs in the morning.
Signed:
Flat as a fritter and doing fine.
Milton Friedman...defend yourself. Daddy Bernanke destroys your theories! Mmonetary expansion is negatively correlated with commodity price inflation.
Can't help myself. Keep seeing these morons in Gaza in some funeral.
http://www.metacafe.com/watch/yt-_upy14pesi4/blu_82_daisy_cutter/
Problem solved.
blind hatred is such a disgusting, vile, ignorant thing.
There you go again. Dropping 'splody things on little brown people. Just stop it.
Chris Martensen...expo. growth...http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EXd66gP53fk
Benny Bernanke says if you thought these 3.5 years of debt accumulation and printing were impressive you ain't seen nothing yet,
The chart will bend backwards in time because it can't track the upward movement fast enough.
This is also why the BLS is always upwardly adjusting their numbers retroactively.
Forward with Obama, Mao and Lenin
Children are indeed running the adults role of managing the United States.
Robert Miles - Children [Dream Version]
And all the people care about is the football score and which imbecile TV show to watch.
I am living amongst the planet of the Apes.
But,....,But,.....,But, still not enough to build the Death Star while maintaining the Empire's Star Destroyer fleet.
A day or two left in this rally tops before a 500 point plunge
I expect some resistance at 1776.
I wish there had been some resistance in 1913.
Hmm, the Fed got a 100 year charter in 1913, I wonder when it will be up for renewal? Maybe someone should object around that time?
Some ideas, like fire, coins and integrated circuits, are both universal and useful. Other ideas, such as fractional reserve banking, are more useful to only a small percentage of people than to the larger percentage. Burdensome ideas are meant to be and will be replaced when the tools exist to replace them.
Bitcoins from the fire
I'd bet that the quantity of words in the federal registry + the words in the states' registry + the words in the counties' registry + the words in the city ordinances + the words in the bank / consumer privacy agreements track upward faster than gold. Probably would need to plot on a log.
33.94
So close and yet so far.
The ever-present hand of some kind of hybrid squid/Blythe oozing construct throwing the levers of the world.
Man, I'm going to be on some little rock in the middle of the South Pacific, when all these Central banks decide to tighten!
It's gonna be Armageddon!
Its not a panacea. But I'll be waiting here for you.
If you ain't got it now, you ain't got it. Geddit?
We wuz warned, sort of. We have had time to deleverage and refinance and get cheap mortgages. Years now in fact.
After this it's hyperinflate or default. Which and when is not something to bet on.
"Get low and stay low."
--Jason Bourne
It's Fed-assisted National Financial Suicide, courtesy of Dr. Ben Bernankevorkian.
Tyler,
How can the national debt be lower today than it was 30 days ago.
What are they hiding?
I know they want to put the ceiling fight off till after the election, but
really the debt is going down?
How many economic indicators are currently being manipulated to make all look rosey and bright?
Curt W... "how many indicators are currently being manipulated?"
Answer: All of them. It's game on in D.C., but it really doesn't matter
whether the reds or the blues win the White House. In the end, we the
tax-paying public lose. Maybe it's time for everyone to go on welfare.
It's time for hope and change again; I hope you can spare some change.
With all the pandering of Comrade Barack election noise thru the Clinton Global Initiative faction, one must keep all eyes distracted from the State Department blunders and a new Lewinskygate book.
http://www.clintonglobalinitiative.org/
Monica Lewinsky book details Clinton affair scandal
It’ll take another bit of propaganda to shift the proles to watch another manufactured event.
Hillary Clinton lies about landing at Bosnia trip
Hillary Bosnia Lie TRUE! New Footage-[Spoof version]
what if we keep paying dividends on excess reserves? wouldn't that keep inflation tame?
eh?
what if we keep paying dividends on excess reserves? wouldn't that keep inflation tame?
The biggest fucking buyer in the world? Front Run him.
How many licks does it take to get to the center of a great depression pop?
The world may never know.........what hits em that is...
Shit, what am I going to do with my fifty pounds of numismatic silver that I 'lost' in a sand storm? (we don't have many lakes out here other than dry ones) Wind was over 125 mph...amazing how shit blew away....lost my shirt, literally.
I was amazed at how fast that silver shit piled up over the years. My decision to get silver eagles for every year going back to the reinstitution of them, then the additional Morgans, the silver mint proofs...took a hell of a loss. Didn't claim it on the tax forms because I didn't claim the purchase. (same as the .45's, 12 ga double ought, .30 cal and the various tools that use them) A minor police report is all that was necessary.
Oh, that drug house three doors down from you? Talk to them, you may find sources of items of interest that you might wish to keep unrecorded. Things no one claims or knows about. Bring cash...definitely recommended.
Sorry been out of touch, putting the finishing touches on my "Bug In" house, which is now fully useable although needs a few more items.
It was nice to take a few weeks away from the markets, I kind of watched out of the corner of my eye, chuckling at the Ben shenanighans and rather than being mad, enjoyed the gold rush, and planning to capture some business.
I do think we get some minor immediate down to shake out the weak bulls, encourage the bears, and scare everyone before the true believers are rewarded into the election.
If stocks are down, Obama is out, it is that simple. I believe he will be out anyway, but for those expecting the end of the world as we know it, you will have to wait until next year. They will print, and they can print. It is not "pushing on a string" it is simply printing.
Stop in and have a look, all the old classics.
http://oahutrading.blogspot.com/2012/09/overall-view-and-few-trade-ideas...
A quick review shows some very disturbing trends.
An obvious uptrend in radiation is spreading across the country, with some areas seeing scary high levels. Something happened around Sept 17th.
Rule of thumb is that exposure to 100 CPM clicks per minute for a year results in a real risk of cancer, 500 CPM for 90 days is a real risk.
Many places are now up over 100,
25 is "normal" we just don't get that much lower. And back in the day, before Fuku, 50% to 66% of us got cancer, what will the new normal be.
Basic protective measures, air filters, anti-oxidants. Do them now if you are not on track.
http://nukeprofessional.blogspot.com/2012/09/radiation-going-up-slowly-a...
Your exponentail M2 will, at some point, necessitate my proficiency with a Springfield M1A.
bitchez...
Though these charts do say a lot for themselves, here's some more domestically-oriented contextual support worth reviewing:
http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2012/09/what-if-the-fed-has-it-all-wrong/?u...
IMPENDING SELL OFF...
Due to recent central bank intervention and short covering spikes, these daily charts are extremely overextended and significant correction expected very soon:
SPX, DOW, NASDAQ, NZDUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, COPPER, CRUDE, GOLD, SILVER. [USD strength will return]
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-12-24/market-analysis
http://trader618.com