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Blackhawk Ben Down: Stocks Have Now Faded QEternity

Tyler Durden's picture





 

8 days after the rapturous calls of all-in 'Ben's got yer back' so buy-everything (coz retail will support you now and don't forget the beta chase?), the S&P futures have fully retraced the 40 points of S&P spikeworthiness that Ben's FOMC QEternity statement provided. Treasury yields are already notably below pre-FOMC levels, as is Oil; and the USD is higher - as Gold holds gains too but is fading.

 

 

We can only assume that with all pretense of surprise factor gone now Bernanke has shot his wad, fundamentals (earnings) do matter once again...

 

and where to from here... 1417.75 then 1398.25 next in ES Dec12...

 


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Wed, 09/26/2012 - 09:58 | Link to Comment idea_hamster
idea_hamster's picture

   "Blackhawk Ben Down"

Have I said lately how much I love you guys?

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:00 | Link to Comment SilverTree
SilverTree's picture

Diminishing Fibonacci returns Bitchez!

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:02 | Link to Comment Precious
Precious's picture

Helicopters don't fly in outer space.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:05 | Link to Comment JPM Hater001
JPM Hater001's picture

"We're going to need more agents."

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:13 | Link to Comment Popo
Popo's picture

I'm trying to calculate the difference between infinity and 8 days.  Can anyone help?   :D

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 13:43 | Link to Comment 12ToothAssassin
12ToothAssassin's picture

How does S&P correlate with M2? There may be a lesson here...

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:22 | Link to Comment AnonymousCitizen
AnonymousCitizen's picture

Simple really. Rotate 90 degrees.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:25 | Link to Comment LULZBank
Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:28 | Link to Comment JPM Hater001
JPM Hater001's picture

Quality

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 16:43 | Link to Comment robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

Already posted by AC.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:17 | Link to Comment indygo55
indygo55's picture

But I thought he had "other tools"? We're gonna need more tools.

 

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:26 | Link to Comment LULZBank
LULZBank's picture

Everyone in the Fed is a tool.

Thu, 09/27/2012 - 03:45 | Link to Comment Colonel Klink
Colonel Klink's picture

My dad has a bitchin set of tools.  We can fix it!

-Jeff Spicoli

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:05 | Link to Comment flacon
flacon's picture

Silver is having a rough time too.... 

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:17 | Link to Comment GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

It's called rope-a-dope.......it just looks that way.

 

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:18 | Link to Comment TheSilverJournal
TheSilverJournal's picture

Sell equities and buy what?...bonds?

The market's not rolling over here and neither is silver. It's much more likely we'll see a nice rally. 10 year yields have fallen pretty steep relative to the very small sell off in equities. This shows how much pressure there is for the markets to move higher.

If the sell off is to continue, that means equities will be sold in exchange for bonds, driving yields even lower. Bonds are simply priced too high and the bond bubble will support the stock market.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:02 | Link to Comment Dr. Richard Head
Dr. Richard Head's picture

This, according to the Urban Dictionary, is known as a bang-over or post-coital remorse.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:06 | Link to Comment WhyDoesItHurtWh...
WhyDoesItHurtWhen iPee's picture

...... does this happen often?  Never heard of it.  ?

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:14 | Link to Comment Dr. Richard Head
Dr. Richard Head's picture

Back in my whaling days it did. 

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:03 | Link to Comment idea_hamster
idea_hamster's picture

Diminobinaccez!

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:04 | Link to Comment SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

Get ready for the final sag, going into taxmageddon.  Watch for Congressional lame-duck craziness.  Brace brace brace.

 

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:13 | Link to Comment DeadFred
DeadFred's picture

and he killed the Bernanke Put to get that much...

If the put is truly gone what will be the better trades when the market realizes that 'down' is once again in the playbook?

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:35 | Link to Comment RSloane
RSloane's picture

I will never ever understand why he destroyed the Bernanke put. It was serving his purposes so well. Did he shoot himeslf in the foot for a fungal infection?

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:35 | Link to Comment Bicycle Repairman
Bicycle Repairman's picture

Ben better up his game.  Taxmageddon is coming, he will have to act decisively and failure is not an option.

Thu, 09/27/2012 - 00:00 | Link to Comment hedgehog9999
hedgehog9999's picture

Taxmaggedon compounded by a worldwide recession and for sure a government gridlock no matter who wins. And this is already baked in,,,,,,, I haven't  listed the 10 or so possiible black or pink swans on the near horizon....................................... 

As some would say, reality is fast approaching bitchezz!!!!

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:09 | Link to Comment Mercury
Mercury's picture

More like: que the scramble for hard assets as capital preservation becomes the new black.

 

(Ahem...bitchez!)

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:35 | Link to Comment Muddy1
Muddy1's picture

"Blackhawk Ben Down: Stocks Have Now Faded QEternity",  as have gold and silver, look at the charts.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 09:58 | Link to Comment GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

My hot printed money....is no good?

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:09 | Link to Comment LongSoupLine
LongSoupLine's picture

transitory...

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:40 | Link to Comment XitSam
XitSam's picture

Time-release vaporization

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 09:59 | Link to Comment Fist full of CDOs
Fist full of CDOs's picture

We just lost the initiative

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:00 | Link to Comment GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Tim's trophy is a lot bigger than mine.....and he didn't have to do a damn thing to get it.

 

What gives?

 

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:00 | Link to Comment Debtonation
Debtonation's picture

Where's Obama, he needs to hold a press conference and threaten an SPR buyback to keep oil prices from going too low.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:02 | Link to Comment GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Where's Obama, he needs to hold a press conference

 

He just needs to kill Osama.......again.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:08 | Link to Comment krispkritter
krispkritter's picture

I just hope they don't hire the director from that 'Innocence...' movie to film it this time. I doubt there's any money in the budget to hire better though. What? We don't have a budget? Awesome! Someone call James Cameron and get a bank from China on the phone!

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:37 | Link to Comment RSloane
RSloane's picture

This is no lie. The US killed Osama four times. I would not take a fifth-time play off the books.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 09:59 | Link to Comment slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

"...with all pretense of surprise factor gone now Bernanke has shot his wad, fundamentals (earnings) do matter once again..."

"Other tools" will be hinted for further future  "accomodative measures" by a Hilsenroomer soon enough. ie. unsterilized Treasury purchases.  

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:06 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

with ZIRP and soon to be NIRP they are already monetizing everything in the paper world.  Please, wake the fuck up.  All paper promises are burning, period.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 09:59 | Link to Comment realtick
Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:00 | Link to Comment achmachat
achmachat's picture

that was fast!

my educated guess would have been 4 to 5 weeks!

does this count as some kind of keynesian black swan?

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:51 | Link to Comment Midas
Midas's picture

Must still be early in the morning.  I read that as "kenyan black swan."

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:00 | Link to Comment CosmicDebris
CosmicDebris's picture

<<<-----------------

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:04 | Link to Comment GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Sure.....what the hell?

 

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:22 | Link to Comment CosmicDebris
CosmicDebris's picture

Ben praying? too small?

Gonna change avatar again. Original post above was supposed to have arrows pointing to pic of Ben praying (or at least it looked like it). My bad.  It was too small to see his eyes closed with hands in prayer position.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:41 | Link to Comment RSloane
RSloane's picture

I like your avatar. I think people were junking Ben, not you.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 11:24 | Link to Comment CosmicDebris
CosmicDebris's picture

Oh.  lol.  Still getting used to commenting here. Thanks for the heads up!

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:04 | Link to Comment idea_hamster
idea_hamster's picture

Junked: I refuse to do as I'm told.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:07 | Link to Comment JPM Hater001
JPM Hater001's picture

*ring

*Drop food

 

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:08 | Link to Comment GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

 I refuse to do as I'm told.

 

....a rebel without a clause.

 

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:00 | Link to Comment Jason T
Jason T's picture

yet they succeeded in killing Bob Jenua?  lol 's stop loss at 1450.  

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:08 | Link to Comment kaa1016
kaa1016's picture

That's the problem with specific targets. A lot of times, it causes you to make the wrong move at the wrong time. I respect his discipline though. I think he will be proven very right with his downside target.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:01 | Link to Comment HD
HD's picture

Coming Soon:

QEinfinity 2

This time it's personal

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:07 | Link to Comment idea_hamster
idea_hamster's picture

Or, as Gregor Cantor would say:

QEfinity 2: This time, it's Aleph 1!


Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:13 | Link to Comment HD
HD's picture

I was going to go with QEinfinity 2: Ben's Revenge  but wanted to keep it simple.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:19 | Link to Comment slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

I like QETOTAL.  Figure if we have time locked, we also need size and extent.  

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:00 | Link to Comment Conman
Conman's picture

Cue deerinheadlights.jpg

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:01 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Paper-pushing fucknuts, meet reality.  Know the real value of your labor?  Time to find out, fucking bring it.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:03 | Link to Comment Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

You better turn the printer dial up to eleven Ben.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:21 | Link to Comment tocointhephrase
tocointhephrase's picture

warp speed in 5...4...3...

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:05 | Link to Comment ekm
ekm's picture

When are people going to understand that if there is only one buyer, The Fed + Primary Dealers, the market does NOT exist; nobody else is buying. Exactly like the JPM's whale that owned 70% of that specific market; no trading.

 

Why is this so difficult to understand?

QE = Security Buying = Less securities available for trading= Lower liquidity

Conclusion: QE = Lower Liquidity

 

Again, why is this so difficult to understand?

 

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:25 | Link to Comment Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

But what about the money that purchased the securities?

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:30 | Link to Comment ekm
ekm's picture

It's going to USTs, crude oil and gold. Mainly USTs though.

Mutual Funds are selling, primary dealers are buying. Mutual Funds former members are cashing out and paying down debt or needing the money for survival.

The problem for primary dealers: LACK OF SUCKERS.

 

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 13:12 | Link to Comment Precious
Precious's picture

Bernanke to Banks:

You take our paper which will become shit, and we'll take your morgages which are shit. That way it looks like we're at least doing something.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:44 | Link to Comment RSloane
RSloane's picture

Its sane, correct, and based in reality. Of course people will reject it. They were promised wiggle room, your statements don't give any.

Plus 1 to you Sir.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:54 | Link to Comment ekm
ekm's picture

Thx a lot, sir.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:05 | Link to Comment Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

People bought the rumer not knowing the program didn't start on day one.  From what I can tell the QEX MBS buying program will begin on Oct 10th, as the white paper states that the bulk of purchases will occur on the 8th business day of every month.

The paper also says they will buy $40B, or more if need be and purchases will go until the end of the month.

If you are not out of paper by Oct 10th, you should have been, because you were warned.

The Most Vague White Paper in Modern History:

http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/ambs/ambs_faq.html

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:15 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Correct, and have absolutely no effect on the real economy.  Simply make banks "appear" solvent again so bonuses can be maintained.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:06 | Link to Comment slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

We will close GREEN today and tomorrow.

QE4 is a 'coming.

 

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:08 | Link to Comment JPM Hater001
JPM Hater001's picture

I have an ounce says both are red.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:16 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Wake the fuck up, there is no "market".  Don't risk any physical.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:20 | Link to Comment GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Since you're pointed it out......we decided to put you in charge.

 

Have fun!

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:29 | Link to Comment JPM Hater001
JPM Hater001's picture

"Don't risk any physical."

I was talking pot.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:45 | Link to Comment XitSam
XitSam's picture

Pot: more physical than fiat.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 11:22 | Link to Comment markar
markar's picture

What's the difference? They both go up in smoke eventually.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:49 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

That is still a very real physical asset that one might not want to risk.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:20 | Link to Comment slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Done!

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:23 | Link to Comment Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Witness here...is that a gold or silver ounce?

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:30 | Link to Comment JPM Hater001
JPM Hater001's picture

See above.

 

You guys really need to get over everything being about metal.  Other things do get weighed in ounces you know.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:42 | Link to Comment Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

It's been 25 years since I smoked a joint...my mind doesn't work that way any more. Now when I see or hear the word ounce my mind naturally drifts to PMs.:)

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:52 | Link to Comment LULZBank
Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:32 | Link to Comment Pure Evil
Pure Evil's picture

Tungsten bitchezes!

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:35 | Link to Comment fuu
fuu's picture

Green?

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:35 | Link to Comment Terminus C
Terminus C's picture

Wolfram?

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:06 | Link to Comment GolfHatesMe
GolfHatesMe's picture

Looks like a day filled with Rowing at PPT today, better order lunch in

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:07 | Link to Comment orangedrinkandchips
orangedrinkandchips's picture

NEVER again will earnings or fundies matter....

PAST THE POINT OF NO RETURN....I liked what someone said yesterday about Ben shooting his wad. We all know he's not "dumb" and has access to unadulterated stats from here to QEternity, but HE SEES THE TRUTH....and is scared shitless.

 

Now all of a sudden Ben is bigger than the Pope or any other leader in the World......wtf?

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:08 | Link to Comment Arnold Ziffel
Arnold Ziffel's picture

Home prices may not return to peak until 2023

 

U.S. home prices dropped by a third from the start of 2007 to the start of 2012, according to Fiserv, an analytics firm.

Fiserv forecasts prices will bounce back an average of 3.7% a year for the next five years -- a rate that would still leave prices 20% below the peak. At that forecasted growth rate, the national average high of $238,000 would not be hit again until 2023.

 

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/home-prices-may-not-return-102600405.html

 

I think they are bing overly optimistic.....2023...too much supply and still building like crazy....

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:22 | Link to Comment Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Japan is still waiting for home prices to bottom 23 years after the peak.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:11 | Link to Comment Mitch Comestein
Mitch Comestein's picture

Lady market is ready for round two, but Ben is sleeping.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:11 | Link to Comment LULZBank
LULZBank's picture

 

8 days after the rapturous calls of all-in 'Ben's got yer back' so buy-everything (coz retail will support you now and don't forget the beta chase?), the S&P futures have fully retraced the 40 points

... and on the 10th day, the markets rose mysteriously and there was great rejoicing on the Wall Street...

The elders said "surely it cant be happening, this is unsustainable..."

And a voice on the CNBC said "Fear not... we will keep you happy, entertained and optimistic all the way down... into the gutter..."

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:12 | Link to Comment mendigo
mendigo's picture

When I was a kid in grade school I had to attend some geek conference were some precosious nerd presented a boring-ass disertation on the nature of a non-orthagnal coordinate system and the implications thereof. I did not pay attention and my only take away was that the kid was a geek.
I now believe that kid went on to become fed chairman and is experimenting on us with a skewed monetary system.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:13 | Link to Comment Dan Conway
Dan Conway's picture

Great Title!   "Blackhawk Ben Down"

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:17 | Link to Comment francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

Yom Kippur (Sept 25/26, 2012)

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:16 | Link to Comment Lost Wages
Lost Wages's picture

It took me so long to figure out what to do with this QE3 bizniz in regard to our 401K... I thought so long about it, everything went back to normal and I didn't change a thing.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:16 | Link to Comment TideFighter
TideFighter's picture

I'm not an electrician, but it seems the presses have gone from 110 to 220, 220 to 440, 440 to 880...

Is there a machine geared to run on that much juice?

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 21:30 | Link to Comment jerry_theking_lawler
jerry_theking_lawler's picture

you've got it all wrong...presses just run faster (feet per minute) not more voltage. its pretty simple, variable speed drive or higher speed motor and that baby will roll....up to a physical limit with roll speed(revolutions per minute) that will make any bearing known to man 'give up the ghost'.....

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:17 | Link to Comment Abraxas
Abraxas's picture

My instincts are telling me to buy more junior shares... must... resist...the urge...

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:25 | Link to Comment tocointhephrase
tocointhephrase's picture

Mind sharing which ones your trying to resist???

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 11:15 | Link to Comment Abraxas
Abraxas's picture

-

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:19 | Link to Comment PTDBDucks
PTDBDucks's picture

Nonsense.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:22 | Link to Comment Grand Supercycle
Grand Supercycle's picture

IMPENDING SELL OFF...

Due to recent central bank intervention and short covering spikes, these daily charts are extremely overextended and significant correction expected very soon:

SPX, DOW, NASDAQ, NZDUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, COPPER, CRUDE, GOLD, SILVER. [USD strength will return]

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-12-24/market-analysis

http://trader618.com

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:26 | Link to Comment tocointhephrase
tocointhephrase's picture

You forgot to write double post!!!

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:30 | Link to Comment Non Passaran
Non Passaran's picture

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-12-24/market-analysis

 

This supercycle extends into the future. It may even outlive the euro. Or at least Draghi.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:22 | Link to Comment marcusfenix
marcusfenix's picture

ahh...so now we know why Obama is suddenly running out of patience with Iran.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:22 | Link to Comment Hedgetard55
Hedgetard55's picture

Well, the Bernanke Bounce wasn't all that great to start with so...

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:24 | Link to Comment Dan Conway
Dan Conway's picture

That didn't take long for this QE to stop working (not that it ever intended to work).  Now those idiots at the Fed will apply the adage by many of history's worst business minds:  Make it up in volume! 

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:24 | Link to Comment XtraBullish
XtraBullish's picture

I give it another ten minutes until we get the Phoenix Capital "See? We told you so..."

 

Stocks wll rally 50 S&P points by November 2nd.

 

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:26 | Link to Comment Jethro
Jethro's picture

I wonder what the odds are that the government will mandate that 401Ks will have to purchase some amount of treasury swaps to try to bail them out?

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:26 | Link to Comment slightlyskeptical
slightlyskeptical's picture

That's because the market is realizing that QE3 is causing more leverage to be pulled out the markets than the Fed is putting in.  That is not a recipe for inflation and rising asset prices.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:33 | Link to Comment Snakeeyes
Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:38 | Link to Comment williambanzai7
williambanzai7's picture

CENTRAL PLANNING MAGAZINE

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:42 | Link to Comment GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Cat's been working out....he looks good!

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 10:50 | Link to Comment tradewithdave
tradewithdave's picture

True.  But the bacon market is heading up.  One man's trash is another man's Little Smokie. 

http://tradewithdave.com/?p=12399

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 11:09 | Link to Comment Zadok
Zadok's picture

Isn't this just a redux of 2008? It seems like at about this time stocks rolled over and after a suitable period of pain and fear, threats of various forms of catastrophic financial mutually assured destruction ensued. Apparently we need to change the presidential laundry as a distraction from the real problem of currency debasement and to keep the opposition hopping against the dominant media meme of the two party muppets.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 11:13 | Link to Comment Zadok
Zadok's picture

If so, than we can anticipate some useful pain and trumpeted fear followed by some financial farce given a platform to claim finanxial Armageddon if we don't do what the bankers want, give away sovereignty, etc, etc.

Wow, I am so impressed the second time around...

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 11:29 | Link to Comment Jethro
Jethro's picture

I'll just put this here....

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nfsb5HUFMQ0

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 11:40 | Link to Comment Bicycle Repairman
Bicycle Repairman's picture

QE3 is so small, it is essentially not much more than jawboning.  I think the Bernank hoped that the open-ended nature of QE3 would be enough.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 11:57 | Link to Comment the producers
the producers's picture

Does this mean Ben doesn't get to work for BAC next year as  "co-chair of special consultants" at $10 Million a year if O'Bummer gets ousted?

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 12:21 | Link to Comment GFORCE
GFORCE's picture

An October rout would be a classic going into elections but then it's a choice of two Wall St patsys anyway.

Wed, 09/26/2012 - 13:04 | Link to Comment TruthBeforeAll
TruthBeforeAll's picture

This is all my fault. I bought those 700 shares of GY and the fact that I'm a real person threw the whole market out of balance. I'm sorry.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!