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Daily US Opening News And Market Re-Cap: September 28

Tyler Durden's picture





 

From RanSquawk

  • After the release of the Spanish budget yesterday, focus remains on the country as today sees the release of Oliver Wyman's audit on the sector; expected to show a capital shortfall of EUR 60bln.
  • The European morning sees light volumes and little price action as participants look ahead to month- and quarter-end.
  • French budget provides few surprises, as the Socialist government looks to the highest earners in order to boost tax revenue, and forecasts 0.8% growth in 2013.

Market Re-Cap

The "mañana" approach to fiscal management, that Spain is known for, presented what is generally perceived as overly optimistic growth forecasts for 2013 and lacked details on structural reform resulted in another risk off session. As a result, Spanish stocks continued to underperform (IBEX seen lower by over 5% on the week), with 10y bond yield spread wider by around 12bps as market participants adjusted to higher risk premia. The state is due to sell 2s and 5s next week, which may also have contributed to higher yields. As a reminder, Moody’s review on Spain is set to end today, however there is a chance that the ratings agency may extend the review for another couple of months or wait until the stress test results are published to make an announcement. In other news, according to sources, Greece could return to its European partners for a Spanish-style rescue of its banking sector, as the country is looking to ease the burden via another writedown of its debts or a strong recapitalisation of its banks (no official response as yet). Going forward, the second half of the session sees the release of the latest PCE data, as well as the Chicago PMI report for the month of September.

Asian Headlines

As China heads into it's golden week market holiday, the Shanghai Composite closed higher by 1.5%, alongside the Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong, as participants seem satisfied with the PBOC's recent liquidity operations ahead of the trading break. On the other hand, the Nikkei 225 in Tokyo closed lower by 0.9% as the ongoing disputes over the Senkaku islands weigh upon exporters along with the continued elevated JPY strength. (RANsquawk)

US Headlines

N/A

EU & UK Headlines

The French 2013 budget has been released, showing little in the way of surprises, as the first socialist budget in 10 years shows an increase in real taxation on the higher earners.
French budget forecasts 0.3% GDP growth in 2012 and 0.8% GDP growth in 2013. (Newswires)
- French budget raises taxes on companies by EUR 8.8bln.
- French budget raises taxes on individuals by EUR 4.7bln.

Euro-Zone CPI Estimate (Sep) Y/Y 2.7% vs Exp. 2.4% (Prev. 2.6%)
- Driving factors are the increased inflation came from an increase in Spanish VAT and increasing the energy prices.

France and Germany are to present joint proposals to European commission on new financial transactions tax plan, and are seeking 9 EU nations to take part in the plans. (Newswires)

Equities

Core European bourses trade lower heading into the North American crossover, as markets look ahead to both month- and year-end at the today's close. Focus across the European asset classes remains on the Spanish banking sector, currently lower by around 1.5% in the IBEX-35, as the Oliver Wyman audit is still set for release today, expected to show a capital shortfall of EUR 60bln. US stock futures, after benefiting from yesterday's Spanish budget release, have erased much of the gains, indicating a lower open on Wall Street today.

According to an internal letter, Deutsche Lufthansa's CEO has said the company's savings programme will likely fall short, with the weaker global economy, higher fuel costs and the Eurozone crisis as the main catalyst for the forecast. Following the release, Deutsche Lufthansa shares trade lower by 1.5%, and have weighed upon the other European airliners, with IAG in the FTSE down 0.6%. However, after seeing initial downside, sector related stock Air France KLM trade higher after being upgraded to buy from neutral at UBS.

FX

GBP/USD trended lower throughout the session, largely driven by EUR/GBP cross which edged up to the 80.00 level on the back of touted month end demand from a European central bank. EUR/USD failed to top offers above 1.2960, but remains in positive territory and trade in close proximity to an intraday option expiry at 1.2910. (RANsquawk)

Commodities

Following the European open, WTI crude futures were trading higher inline with the Chinese stock rebound, however the energy complex has erased much of its gains to trade relatively flat heading into today's NYMEX pit open, moving in line with current European risk sentiment. Despite the recent weakness in the energy complex, spot gold and silver prices are retaining their value, assisted by the weaker USD-index today. (RANsquawk)

 


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Fri, 09/28/2012 - 08:27 | Link to Comment new game
new game's picture

all data point to only option availible: more pm(cost averaging)

g=1800???

s=35+????

paper short birage to keep below key resist.???

if so, no worry they buy phys at these lower highs. they are.

in the end their goal is same as mine: pm hedging dollar value loss.

only difference is they are making money on these swings and get storage fees to boot.

but as this goes on we see higher highs and lower highs.  just in the middle stages of secular bull pm run!

no worry here! remember jp wants the price higher due to there phys stockpile.

Fri, 09/28/2012 - 08:33 | Link to Comment disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Mañana it is. Has Zero Hedge ever offered a policy prescription even worthy of the term? Never that I can remember. Bow down to your Bankster Overlords then!

Fri, 09/28/2012 - 08:43 | Link to Comment firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

FRB balance sheet contract due to sells, MTM, or did they feel like releasing a contracting number?

Fri, 09/28/2012 - 08:44 | Link to Comment q99x2
q99x2's picture

The banksters are doing an audit in preparations to turn Spain into Greece and are moving the 2nd phase of national sovereignity marginalization over from Spain to Italy. Closing in on France.

Fri, 09/28/2012 - 09:03 | Link to Comment new game
new game's picture

all this leads to more money creation to keep solvent

and walla pm goes up

thank cbers and libtards!

Fri, 09/28/2012 - 09:24 | Link to Comment youngman
youngman's picture

IF...and its a big IF......if the ratings on the Spanish banks comes in bad....which I think it should...gold and silver should skyrocket again like yesterday....another 1-2% gain....also to end the quarter...

Fri, 09/28/2012 - 10:43 | Link to Comment Grand Supercycle
Grand Supercycle's picture

IMPENDING SELL OFF ......

Longs please be careful.

Due to recent central bank intervention and short covering spikes, these daily charts are extremely overextended and significant correction expected very soon:

SPX, DOW, NASDAQ, NZDUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, COPPER, CRUDE, GOLD, SILVER. [USD strength will return]

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-12-24/market-analysis

http://trader618.com

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!