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Europe Is Fixed?

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Italy's FTSEMIB is up 5% this week, Spain's IBEX +3%, Portuguese government bond spreads are 82bps lower, and EURUSD is 1.25% higher this week - all biggest bull moves in 6 weeks. It would appear that all is well and Europe is saved - who knew? Credit markets are running tighter in a hurry with subordinated financials and XOver leading the way (as uber-high-beta bets are on) and all European financial and corporate credit indices at post-roll tights (lowest risk in 3 weeks). FYI - European bank senior and subordinated credit risk is now at its lowest in a year - and almost 40% lower than its post-LTRO (remember the encumbrance and deposit outflows) highs. EURUSD is close to multi-year highs relative to swap-spreads - but Europe is fixed so that's ok (especially with Merkel popping over to Athens?). One last thing - the majority of all this strength occurred today.

 

EURUSD is 1.5 sigma rich to swap-spread fair-value as it soars this week...

 

European stocks surge on the week - though most was today (post-Merkel news)...

 

and European sovereign bond spreads plunged also...

 

and just for good measure - Europe's VIX is tracking closely its realized vol...

 

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Fri, 10/05/2012 - 11:56 | 2859900 Hippocratic Oaf
Hippocratic Oaf's picture

Everythings 'fixed'. 

Oh, that fixed

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 11:56 | 2859906 RSBriggs
RSBriggs's picture

Yeah - the US unemployment number kind of "fixed".  How do you just "find" 823,000 jobs that you didn't know people had??

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 12:01 | 2859925 icanhasbailout
icanhasbailout's picture

My cat is fixed too!

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 12:02 | 2859931 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Mrs Cog fixed me as well.

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 12:06 | 2859937 Dagny Taggart
Dagny Taggart's picture

Are you really fixed if you won't even eat sprouts Cog? I don't think she thinks you are all fixed. lol

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 12:07 | 2859945 markmotive
markmotive's picture

Your former engineer father is now flipping burgers...all good.

Oh, the timing? Yes, perfect isn't it?

http://www.planbeconomics.com/wp-admin/post.php?post=17734&action=edit&m...

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 12:11 | 2859957 Comay Mierda
Comay Mierda's picture

if EWI (MSCI Italy) breaks out above 13.50 and holds, i will buy it hand over fist.  super cheap

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 12:12 | 2859962 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

I told Mrs Cog "Beat me, hurt me, fix me real good. Just don't make me eat sprouts."

So far she has respected my wishes. I suspect that won't last long. :)

<Yes Dear, coming now. I was just talking to some nice lady on Zero Hedge who also hates sprouts.>

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 12:01 | 2859926 knukles
knukles's picture

Fixed?  Fixed?
Why would anybody ever have assumed anything in Europe was broken?

(except paul krugman who's long Armstrong Windows)

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 12:06 | 2859936 aint no fortuna...
aint no fortunate son's picture

I didn't know it was broken to begin with

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 12:10 | 2859956 azzhatter
azzhatter's picture

Well as long as they keep those borrowing costs under control they can just keep on borrowing

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 11:56 | 2859901 AC_Doctor
AC_Doctor's picture

Heil Obama!

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 12:10 | 2859950 TrustWho
TrustWho's picture

Considering this shithouse storing the western financial system will likely collapse over the next 4 years, should Obama be re-elected so he is sitting in the chair when the shit implodes?

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 11:58 | 2859911 GoldbugVariation
GoldbugVariation's picture

This will end in tears.

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 11:59 | 2859918 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

TLT time

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 12:01 | 2859921 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Watching AAPL at 50DMA through BATS.  The bots are defending this Maginot line, but I think unfortunately it is going to break before EOD>

Later postscript: we just broke. 

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 12:16 | 2859923 LouisDega
LouisDega's picture

Its all good. Tommy said im alright Spider.. What Tommy?.. Im not alright Spider?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v8wJt59Q6So

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 12:01 | 2859927 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

It's all fixed........until it isn't.......again.

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 12:02 | 2859928 larz
larz's picture

not completely fixed needs a paint job

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 12:02 | 2859929 Inthemix96
Inthemix96's picture

Europe is fixed?

It has been fucking fixed since the end of the second world war folk.  Fixed in the sense that the populations of Europe, all 500 million of us take a daily dose up the arse.

Fixed as in the banksters have us over a barrel is all.

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 12:04 | 2859935 Squid Vicious
Squid Vicious's picture

Gonna be a long cold winter over there, especially when NATO starts bombing Syria and Putin shuts off the gas pipelines...

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 12:17 | 2859978 Renewable Life
Renewable Life's picture

What!!!! Russia has a gas pipeline!!! Does that affect my fantasy football games.... No, ok then who gives a shit!!!! Not to mention there is a hottie this season on the Voice, and how can a Country be that powerful when I can't even find them on a map, all I see is the soviet union on my maps, and we defeated them in the cold war????

Oh, I gotta go update my Facebook page and check out who's fighting in the next UFC!

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 12:12 | 2859963 Vegetius
Vegetius's picture

 Europe fuck Yeah!!Coming again, to save the mother fucking day yeah.

or maybe not.

“What we should grasp, however, from the lessons of European history is that, first, there is nothing necessarily benevolent about programmes of European integration; second, the desire to achieve grand utopian plans often poses a grave threat to freedom; and third, European unity has been tried before, and the outcome was far from happy.”

— Margaret Thatcher,

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 16:03 | 2860884 falak pema
falak pema's picture

the lady who created the big bang of the city!

Acts speak louder than words, like her support of Pinochet. She and RR created the shadow banking monsta of today. They were the "catholic kings" of the current ponzi.

Amen to that! Now we have the financial inquisition like the Spanish Inquisition of old! 

Oh history...

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 12:21 | 2859991 TrumpXVI
TrumpXVI's picture

Gold is tanking, too.

That proves it.  Europe is fixed; permanently.

Well, THAT'S a big relief!

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 13:09 | 2860136 MillionDollarBoner_
MillionDollarBoner_'s picture

Nope...not in South African Rand...up 2% on the day...

Long wildebeest !:O)

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 13:00 | 2860098 Bastiat009
Bastiat009's picture

Europe is fixed, like neutered? I hope so because they really need to stop fucking things over there.

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 15:34 | 2860750 falak pema
falak pema's picture

no "Viagrad!"

Who provided the blue pills???

since yesterday!!! 

Could it be super MArio or....was it Mutti Merkel herself!!

Gedads!

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 13:07 | 2860122 MillionDollarBoner_
MillionDollarBoner_'s picture

The USofA will lead the world out of recession, once again!

Thanks 'merka!

USA...USA..USA!!!

sarc/off

Fri, 10/05/2012 - 13:10 | 2860138 Mesquite
Mesquite's picture

I hadn't even opened this thread, and was thinking how a Vet 'fixes' male dogs..

Yup...

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