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Latest Gallup Obama Poll Causes Another InTrade Flash Crash

Tyler Durden's picture


Gallup just announced the results of their latest poll and find Romney has overtaken Obama 49% to 47% among 'Likely Voters'. Obama still holds the lead among 'Registered voters' but this headline was enough to cause a dramatic crash (back under 60%) in Obama's odds on Intrade's market. Critically, the entire post-QEternity bump that Obama-believers had bought, has now been retraced as it seems the old adage "As Goes AAPL, So Goes Obama" is proving true...




InTrade Obama Odds plunged...


to catch back down to 'stocks' reality...


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Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:03 | 2871789 redpill
redpill's picture


Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:04 | 2871790 Ahmeexnal
Ahmeexnal's picture


Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:07 | 2871794 redpill
redpill's picture

What would your asshole militant anti-colonialist father say now, Barry?  Would he be happy your reign at the head of the Empire is coming to an inglorious close since you both managed to expand it and fuck it up all at the same time?  

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:09 | 2871818 vast-dom
vast-dom's picture


Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:20 | 2871859 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture



I voting for would give Chris Matthews something to have a thrill over.


If we're gonna turn into a third world country.....might as well have some fun doing it.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:20 | 2871860 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

Anybody running for DICK TATER?


Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:44 | 2871966 Pure Evil
Pure Evil's picture

Are you trying to tell me that Obama doesn't have a Plunge Protection Team covering the InTrade futures market?

Where's all those HFT algos when you need them?

I suppose Dear Leader won't be able to subpenny his way to another four years.

Wed, 10/10/2012 - 01:43 | 2873737 Freddie
Freddie's picture

Mullah Obummer has been trying to manipulate InTrade with Soros help.  People are sick of Mugabe 2. He and Apple are felching America towards a Dick-Tator-Ship.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:44 | 2871973 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Which asshole?

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 16:27 | 2872469 Long-John-Silver
Long-John-Silver's picture

A non-vote is a vote, for Obama and his legion of welfare surfs.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:23 | 2871870 Gully Foyle
Gully Foyle's picture


I'm a bit confused.

If Obama is merely a puppet, how can he fuck anything up?

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:32 | 2871907 RSloane
RSloane's picture

The 'dreams of his father' included abandoning his wife and son, beating up family members who couldn't defend themselves, and crawling into a bottle of whatever booze was on hand. At least when he passed out from drunkenness, he was harmless.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:38 | 2871932 redpill
redpill's picture

Only if you've lost your sense of smell.

Wed, 10/10/2012 - 01:47 | 2873741 Freddie
Freddie's picture

The "iconic" heroes of the Left in America and the world.  Incredibly incompetent marxist, islamic, affirmative action candidates who could not hold a job at McDonalds.

Someone interviewed the dumb f**kers who support dear Mullah at U of Wisc at Madison.  They asked them if they thought it was unfair that Obummer was unable to use his teleprompter at the debate.  The majority agreed they he should have been allowed to use TOTUS to help him.  

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:05 | 2871797 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture


Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:08 | 2871809 Dr. Richard Head
Dr. Richard Head's picture

Pew contacted me last night as I answered Not Likely To Vote this election. 

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:06 | 2871800 Aziz
Aziz's picture


Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:34 | 2871915 marathonman
marathonman's picture


Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:08 | 2871808 Ruffcut
Ruffcut's picture

My poll (pole) crawls in my ass everytime either name is mentioned.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:04 | 2871792 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

"to catch back down to 'stocks' reality..."  LOL, shouldn't the CONTEXT basket against which the market must evaluate Obama's value be more complex than just the S&P?

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:08 | 2871812 vast-dom
vast-dom's picture

Obama is percieved as TWICE the Prez, just as SP 500 has been lifted TWICE it's actual value. All makes perfect sense; no need to complicate things.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:22 | 2871864 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture



I beg to differ. That the S&P only doubled while the Fed balance sheet quadrupled suggests he's only 1/2 the worth of a typical statist.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:04 | 2871793 FL_Conservative
FL_Conservative's picture

I know I'd like to flush both turds (Obama and CRaapl).

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:07 | 2871806 BattlegroundEur...
BattlegroundEurope2011's picture

Who really cares? They are both cunts.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 16:38 | 2872502 Metalredneck
Metalredneck's picture

You say that like it's a bad thing.   I happen to like them.  Not the politicians.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:08 | 2871810 Hunter S. Thompson
Hunter S. Thompson's picture

It would sure be nice to be able to buy some options on InTrade but I can't becasue I am American. A big shout out to Harry "The Turd" Reid for making this all possible.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:08 | 2871811 walküre
walküre's picture

Wait. I'm confused. Romney has upgraded the moochers from 47% to 49%?

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:08 | 2871813 GrinandBearit
GrinandBearit's picture

And this really matters?

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:09 | 2871816 Inthemix96
Inthemix96's picture

So fucking what?

Which one of us on here cares?  Do we not all believe this is a shit-show then?  Fuck the two of them.

Damned if you do, and damned if you dont.  The lesser of two evils is still fucking evil.  Stop posting partisan bollocks when we all know the fucking score ZH.

Vote for a fucking fridge, or a dog, or an orange.  Anything but these two isreali cocksuckers

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:14 | 2871840 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Justy another new game in the casino.  No one said you actually had to play.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:23 | 2871869 john39
john39's picture

this stupid pole is irrelevant as it does not appear to factor in the elctoral college....  so what's the point? keep the sheeple sucked into a mind game by making it appear close...  who gives a shit, its fixed anyway and they are both fascist puppets.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:26 | 2871883 Gully Foyle
Gully Foyle's picture


Dude there are some here who are true believers. They think their opinions or thoughts matter.

There are a majority who are paid posters here to muddy the waters.

Only a handful, one hand, understand there is no choice that every decision has been made politically and economically and modeled until there is no angle not prepared for.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:33 | 2871912 Inthemix96
Inthemix96's picture

That right gully folly.

And then are people like me who have had enough.  Fuck this disgusting charade, what the fuck they want to prove now then?  That they are not lying isreali first fuckers?  Send your American first born to die on thier altar?

Wake up, get the with the program and fuck this two headed bastard for the swine he is.  In-human child killers.  Top to bottom, and if ZH isnt aware of this by now after posting four years of partisan bullshit, fuck this mate.

Bring it down bitchez.  Stop this shit as only the population can.  And stop posting bullshit.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:09 | 2871817 toms
toms's picture

we need a REVOLUTION!

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:09 | 2871819 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

If Obumer wins, S&P will go to Kostin-peg of 1250.  

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:10 | 2871821 Catullus
Catullus's picture

Yawn. Obama's got this in the bag. The incumbent nearly always wins in the US. They make this seem like these are blackjack odds that he wins. Its really 80% likely that he's going to win. In the end, even a voter who tries to take this decision seriously has got the option between the evil that you know versus the evil that you don't know. You don't go with the lesser of two evils, you go with the more certain of two evils. I say if you're going to vote, pick the empty suit who will become a lame duck 3 months after the election.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:30 | 2871894 Gully Foyle
Gully Foyle's picture


Obama was a placeholder selected to make Democrats happy.

Eventually he goes to the Un for the job that was Clintons until he was publicly humiliated. The crime wasn't the sex, it was the publicity.

I'm starting to think Romney will pull a John Roberts and move more, for lack of a better word, "left".

That is after he takes office.

Then when he needs to declare martial law in  a few major metropolitan areas few can complain and understand what that really means.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 15:26 | 2872203 Catullus
Catullus's picture

I think Obama is the Left's Ronald Reagan. He talks a big game and represents everything they believe in. But he doesn't actually do any of the things he says. Reagan was the same. Tough talk, against big government, "cut taxes", the welfare queen bullshit. It was all a lie. David Stockman gave the best perspective on it. They let the opportunists take over and worried about remaining in power.

In 30 years, lefties in this country will look back on the Obama years the same way full of shit conservatives have canonized Reagan. Not realizing that this is has how you get triangulated into marginalization.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 19:30 | 2872985 Nick Jihad
Nick Jihad's picture

Downvote all you like, but Cat is right. Reagan may have cut taxes, but he grew the federal government, big-time. And a tax cut without spending cuts, is really just a tax-postponement.


Tue, 10/09/2012 - 16:19 | 2872446 Element
Element's picture

Gerald Ford

Jimmy Carter

Daddy Boosh

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:12 | 2871827 Xibalba
Xibalba's picture

Ron Paul 2016

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:31 | 2871899 Gully Foyle
Gully Foyle's picture


Nader/McKinney 2016

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:13 | 2871836 Hunter S. Thompson
Hunter S. Thompson's picture

Anyone who is wasting their gas and time voting this election should write in their own name if it is allowed. Personally the best thing that could happen would be the lowest voter turnout ever.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:14 | 2871837 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Gotta love it when new games are installed at the casino.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:14 | 2871839 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Obummer out Mittens in makes no difference the debt machine and the war machine rolls on.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:18 | 2871853 redpill
redpill's picture

I'll miss Debt Brother.  But bring on Mitt Zombie!

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:18 | 2871855 Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

Except that someone will owe someone else a sandwich.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:38 | 2871935 RSloane
RSloane's picture

Yep. It makes me laugh to see people go up and down this board down-arrowing others who know there is no difference at all. There is no lesser of two evils. There are only two faces of the same coin.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:42 | 2871953 Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

Evil is indeed pretty much evil.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:45 | 2871977 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture


Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:44 | 2871970 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

It's funny to me too. So many of the junkers claim to be "awake" but when it comes to the party that they believe more closely aligns with their politics they get all defensive. Of course they will never idetify themselves with an argument , they prefer then anonymity of the red arrow. It's all good to me...junk away, I consider it an honor.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:54 | 2872029 RSloane
RSloane's picture

Yup. Its all deflection and emotional tirades wrapped in a flag.

+1 to you Sir

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:56 | 2872045 Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

You should have junked him - he really does like it.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 15:14 | 2872130 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Lol. +1

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 15:30 | 2872232 RSloane
RSloane's picture

I don't junk people unless they are emotionally unhinged and/or insist on typing in CAPS OR BOLD EVERYTHING THEY SAY.

+1 to you because I love the smell of pipe tobacco.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 16:00 | 2872380 Harbanger
Harbanger's picture

I agree, but anyone who doesn't understand the link between Progressivism, Big Govt and the NWO is fooling themselves.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:17 | 2871848 long-shorty
long-shorty's picture

well, at least the defense contractors are outperforming since the Romney debate win.

now he is calling for us to arm the Syrian opposition, since it worked so fucking well when we armed Bin Laden and Saddam Hussein. what could possibly go wrong?

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:36 | 2871925 redpill
redpill's picture

Libya as well.  Give a muzzie a fish and he's full for a day.  Give a muzzie an AK47 and he'll kill your ambassador.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:58 | 2872047 earleflorida
earleflorida's picture

last i checked ambassadorship's are political appointments/favors for high $$$ donors[fixing elections?, etc., etc.,] ... or guys like Illinois Gov.Rod B. that got overtly greedy losing out on all the graft in Pakistan and ending up in, 'no-holes-bar'd-n-lube-tube village'...

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 15:08 | 2872107 RSloane
RSloane's picture

Remember when we went into Libya Obama promised that it would only be "a matter of days and not weeks."? People were waving flags and cheering that we were helping to liberate the Libyan people and weren't we grand. A short time later our ambassador gets tortured to death after as it turns out now, there was plenty of warning and requests for help. Obama, Romney, it makes no difference, I'm sure we'll be 'liberating' another country in the ME soon who will in turn be equally welcoming.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 16:33 | 2872470 Element
Element's picture

The kikes will love him, a fricken fundy zionist mormon who believes the New Jerusalem will be built in Kansas!  So they won't even have to give that to him!  What's not to like here?  A guy like that will be up for any sort of stupid violent gobshite.  They just have to frame their crazy-shit for him in the sort of terms that he won't object to, and then he'll do any sort of bastard-act that they want.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:20 | 2871862 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture



That's a "Matterhorn" formation if I've ever seen one. 

I want to see a breakdown of the split of unregistered voters, including subsets of illegals, cartoon characters, post-mortem celebrities, and gastropods.  'cuz y'all know they'll be a-votin'!

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:40 | 2871943 redpill
redpill's picture

Remain seated, please. Permanecer sentados, por favor.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:23 | 2871871 adr
adr's picture

I'm more interested in the 12pm flash spike in natural gas futures. WTF!!!!

$.20 up in no time at all.

It looks like NatGas is becoming the most manipulated market of all. Look at the frickin weekly chart.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:26 | 2871881 Calidreaming
Calidreaming's picture

ibama =  icrash

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:27 | 2871884 Global Hunter
Global Hunter's picture

As we know it does not matter one bit who wins the election they both represent the same banking, pharma, oil, militairy industrial, media and corporate interests so the US elections comes down to:

Would you prefer your next president was:

A: the awkward mormon nerd


B: the ethnically exotic coke snorting homo.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:46 | 2871984 walküre
walküre's picture

The trouble with your perception is that you are comparing facts and possibly fiction.

Romney's resume is well known. He's super rich and made money by sucking others dry to the bone. He's also a Mormon and they're brainwashed freaks.

Obama is still a big question mark. After 4 years all the allegations above have to be proven to be correct.

The choice is voting for the devil you think you know vs. the devil?

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 16:10 | 2872420 juangrande
juangrande's picture

Careful now! You're givivg awkward nerds and coke snorting homos a bad name....

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:33 | 2871914 Cash Is King
Cash Is King's picture

If CONgress can kick the can down the road over and over and never accomplish anything, why can't we? I'm writing in "POSTPONE" on Nov. 6th until someone worth a shtt steps up and I can vote for! Whose with me?

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:36 | 2871922 e-man
e-man's picture

Another debate like the last one and Obama will be nicknamed Charlie Murphy.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:44 | 2871971 adr
adr's picture

Uh, I'd take Charlie Murphy over Obama. At least he's funny.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 15:09 | 2871928 Duke of Con Dao
Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:42 | 2871951 earleflorida
earleflorida's picture

Can't wait for Ryan v. Biden death-match.  Biden wearing the blue trunks in the left corner, and weighing in at 175lbs of high-octane bullshit, carrying a handicap of 41yrs of his 70yrs pol-baggage?-- And this scrawny, scrappy newcomer Ryan, wearing red-trunks in the right corner... weighing in at 150lbs of solid muscle... having a jaw-breaking uppercut accountable for his two-knockout career victories.

Prediction: Ryan by a knockout in the 1st round  

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:45 | 2871979 mayraluz
mayraluz's picture

Have to read story about obama donation loophole. Go to or daily use search engine.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:51 | 2872004 GFORCE
GFORCE's picture

Obama will win this. No doubt.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 14:52 | 2872011 Dr. Acula
Tue, 10/09/2012 - 15:11 | 2872121 Duke of Con Dao
Tue, 10/09/2012 - 15:15 | 2872138 Tracerfan
Tracerfan's picture

I have an October surprise coming.  It will be in the Middle East.

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 15:36 | 2872272 RSloane
RSloane's picture

What do you think is going to be the definitive October surprise in the Middle East?

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 18:15 | 2872772 Bear
Bear's picture

On October 11, Paul Ryan and Joseph Biden debate ... by  October 16, Mr. Biden will have some life threatening  medical diagnosis that will force him to withdraw from the campaign. If it happens on 10/16, they may have to cancel the debate, in order to 'regroup' and appoint Hillary as a Biden replacement ... +1 no debate, plus Clinton ... it's all good with October Surprises

Tue, 10/09/2012 - 18:19 | 2872785 news printer
news printer's picture

don't go there, U R needed here ;)

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