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The New Normal Trendlines

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Although we showed these earlier, we believe the charts showing the trendlines in the two most critical components of US household purchasing power deserve to be shown again, without much if any commentary necessary. Just because.

Average Hourly Earnings Annual % Change:

Real Disposable Income Annual % Change - August saw the first decline in 2012:

 

Housing "recovery" indeed...

 

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Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:21 | 2903925 kralizec
kralizec's picture

Winning?

/

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:23 | 2903929 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

I'm not sure the trend is our friend anymore.

 

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:25 | 2903934 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

We trend towards the end.

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:31 | 2903946 Rover
Rover's picture

This trend will not mend.

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:43 | 2903968 the not so migh...
the not so mighty maximiza's picture

Lets pretend this is not a trend.

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:50 | 2903990 March Hare
March Hare's picture

Lest go around the bend.

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 10:00 | 2904017 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

Cuz no more money can they lend.

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 10:12 | 2904044 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

The only thing left to do is....extend and pretend.

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 10:27 | 2904112 prains
prains's picture

lets all be friends  (.)(.)

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 10:34 | 2904133 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

As a Biflationista I take pride in these charts which confirm the core theory: that hyperinflationary forces are pulled down by the black hole of falling real median household income, employment, social mobility and expectations. Don't forget the mass overcapacity that was built up for 4 decades of "supply-side" which contributes to the deflationary forces

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:51 | 2903991 Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

To our doom we do wend.

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:56 | 2904000 I Want to Believe
I Want to Believe's picture

Oh shart, should have worn my Depends...

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 10:58 | 2904202 I am a Man I am...
I am a Man I am Forty's picture

I must recommend 

To each and every friend

Do not break or even bend

But prepare for the end

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 13:19 | 2904701 hidingfromhelis
hidingfromhelis's picture

As the puppets tend, the banksters shall rend.

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:55 | 2903996 London Banker
London Banker's picture

A trend is a trend is a trend

The question is Will it bend?

Will it follow its course or some unforeseen force

Make it come to an untimely end?

-- Sir Alec Cairncross

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:28 | 2903941 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

Dying

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:39 | 2903962 Stoploss
Stoploss's picture

LOL!!!  Looky, looky, looky, the central planning era for all to see.

It's all about the perspective.

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:48 | 2903981 Eireann go Brach
Eireann go Brach's picture

If you confine yourself to an hourly wage, you are a slave and you deserve what you get! Get off your fat ass and put down the remote and go and create something, be your own boss, use your brain, and pay yourself!

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 10:16 | 2904063 buchesky
buchesky's picture

The average hourly earnings trendline is just silly, and you should be embarrassed with that kind of analysis.  We experienced very high inflation in the 70s, so of course it was very high then.  To include that period as the beginning of some sort of downward trend does not make sense.  You need to normalize the chart to account for inflation among other things.  

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:22 | 2903927 d edwards
d edwards's picture

Charts show the 0bama recovery is a myth, lie, hoax.

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:28 | 2903945 youngman
youngman's picture

For the "Obama Phone Lady"......she thinks its great cause she got a free phone...its that simple for the 47%

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:42 | 2903967 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

The 47% will be pleased to note the price of crude is up.....a little thing we like to call WINNING!!!!

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:37 | 2903956 KidHorn
KidHorn's picture

Not to rain on your math challenged parade, but the graph shows the trend since 1960. Not the last 4 years.

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:23 | 2903930 Shizzmoney
Shizzmoney's picture

Looks like the only thing the recovery reocvered was "fail"

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:25 | 2903933 PUD
PUD's picture

There should be a little picture of a dumpster at the lower right corner.

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 10:15 | 2904061 Offthebeach
Offthebeach's picture

You get a lot of inefficiencies loading dumpsters. Volume is filled with fluff before weight limits are reached. Especially in a fails mix use economy. So, it's best to run failed muppets though chippers and blow remains into dumpster/compactors. Further downstream processing can recovry gold fillings, pacemakers, implants, fats and proteins for export to Chinese pig/fish farms to processed into "farm salmon" and served in fine New York restaurants, thus fully closing the financial/life cycle of the modern American Muppet serf.( Putting new meaning in the word, ' servant'. In as to be served up along with some grilled asparagus and white wine by the light of tattooed lampshades.)

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:26 | 2903938 youngman
youngman's picture

FORWARD.......lol

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:26 | 2903939 DogSlime
DogSlime's picture

Annual earnings now rising at 1%.  Thank heaven fuel/food prices are rising at much less than that... oh wait...  :(

 

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:33 | 2903950 malikai
malikai's picture

O/T, but what a beautiful OpEx stop hunt in silver this morning.

http://blog.quantsig.net/2012/10/19/silver-2/

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:40 | 2903960 timbo_em
timbo_em's picture

I assume it's gonna take an ever increasing force of government-driven propaganda to convince everyone that the US is on a path to prosperity even if the S&P 500 hits new all-time highs. And now let's bring back that chart from learnliberty.org that shows that mandatory spending already exceeds federal revenue.

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:39 | 2903961 evolutionx
evolutionx's picture

off topic

 

spanish yields at 6 month low!

 

http://www.cds-info.com/

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:40 | 2903963 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

"Beating expectations", all...   the... way... down...

 

Hedge accordingly (for example, copper is cheap, time to build another still).

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:42 | 2903965 Monedas
Monedas's picture

Liberalism is a moral "flat line" !

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 10:29 | 2904116 prains
prains's picture

and conservatism is a moral pitch fork, what's your point?

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:44 | 2903969 Pure Evil
Pure Evil's picture

It just shows that we're not being earth eco-friendly fast enough.

Quickly, everyone reduce their carbon footprint by self-immolating.

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 10:18 | 2904073 toady
toady's picture

Wouldn't that Increase your carbon footprint? At least in the near-term?

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:46 | 2903976 youngman
youngman's picture

A good enviromentalist commits suicide....

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 10:58 | 2904201 prains
prains's picture

if your yard looks anything like your face, I fully expect to see you on an episode of Hoarders crying over someone tryin to take away your 14th broken lawnmower

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:46 | 2903977 jbvtme
jbvtme's picture

i realized last nite that the google "pre-announcement" yesterday was faked so that they could halt the stock because of the snafu.  if they had presented the figures after hours the stock would have tanked into the open today with no credible reason for halting the slide.  dirty scum......

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:47 | 2903978 Wannabee
Wannabee's picture

Where is the chart for bankers and politicians income?

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:53 | 2903989 Pure Evil
Pure Evil's picture

Just flip the charts on the horizontal axis.

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 09:55 | 2903995 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

More money for the 1% to buy stocks with. 

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 10:21 | 2904088 Lost Wages
Lost Wages's picture

Yep.

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 10:06 | 2904032 Village Smithy
Village Smithy's picture

We are in deep. Too many people, not enough jobs=oversupply of labor=no pricing power. We will be taking what they're offering for many years. The tax burden must be reduced at the same pace as wages fall.

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 11:39 | 2904344 De minimus
De minimus's picture

Too many thieves, government and their "friends".

Sat, 10/20/2012 - 00:57 | 2906078 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

Despite consistent cover-up attempts, Malthus was not wrong.

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 10:08 | 2904033 docj
docj's picture

So, the moral to the story is that we never, ever actually recovered from the 1980 recession? That will come as quite a shock to many.

Interesting though that while "salaries" were ramping to the moon through the 60's and 70's, real disposable income growth was, essentially, no different than since the post-80 recession.

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 10:32 | 2904128 Offthebeach
Offthebeach's picture

Don't you get it? Debt is money, money is debt. The reason there is less/no money is that traitorous enemies of The Bernanke, Krudman and the like, are failing to do their serf/slave/muppets obligation to March heroically and cheerful forward into the Stalingrad( Now renamed The GS Metrodome )

All thrifters, preppers, off griders, home schoolers, gentleman farmers are traitors! Enemies of scientific progress. Backward financial peasants of dead economists!

Krugmanism must not be defeated!

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 10:07 | 2904036 Crtrvlt
Crtrvlt's picture

trickle down is working

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 10:35 | 2904144 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

It's the Trickle Me! Economy

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 10:43 | 2904170 FLUSA.com
FLUSA.com's picture

Year 2100 is gonna suck

Fri, 10/19/2012 - 11:48 | 2904363 Shizzmoney
Shizzmoney's picture

Jobs in the US paying less than $34,000 a year: 50 percent.

Jobs in the US paying below the poverty line for a family of four, less than $23,000 annually: 25 percent.

Youth employment: lowest level in more than 60 years.

Poverty-level wages, 2011: 28 percent of workers.

I dunno about you guys, but now I wanna to buy some GOOG stock!

http://www.thenation.com/blog/170678/week-poverty-what-we-talk-about-whe...

Sat, 10/20/2012 - 00:55 | 2906076 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

where's the amazing MillionDollarBonus_ to proclaim this is all a zerohedge sham and that as long as treasuries are down in yield & u3 is down with even more jobless that we're firmly in a recovery, with green shoots pushing right up through the anus like some Chinese bamboo torture and we should all bow down and worship the Federal Reserve?

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