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Hurricane Sandy Update

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Still unsure if to laugh off Sandy, memories of the overblown New York City panic over Irene still fresh, or if to sandbag the basement and first two floors of your house? Here is the latest on the storm courtesy of Jeff Masters' Wunderground blog, which at last check had the following characteristics: Wind: 75 MPH — Location: 29.0N -76.0W — Movement: NNE. In other words, slowly but surely approaching New York, with landfall still expected sometime Tuesday morning. One thing is certain: there will be at least some "boost" to Q4 GDP as a result of the quite a few broken windows, even as all domestic companies line up to blame Sandy for continuing to miss the top line and increasingly, their EPS numbers, some time in January.

First, some maps via Weather Underground:

Radar:

Satellite
5 Day Forecast
Surface Wind
Computer Model Forecasts:
Ensamble Models
Sandy remains a hurricane, slowly leaving the Bahamas

Reuters reports that the death toll from Sandy in the Caribbean is now up to 41 people as Hurricane Sandy continues its track toward the U.S. East Coast this afternoon, slowly leaving the Bahamas. States of Emergency have been declared in North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, and New York. The hurricane is just barely still a Category 1 with surface winds of 75 mph and a minimum central pressure of 971 mb. Ocean buoys off the coasts of Florida and the Carolinas are recording sustained winds of around 45 mph this afternoon, with gusts steadily increasing and now up to 60 mph. Sandy's rainfall, which is limited to the north and northeast parts of the storm, is reaching eastern Florida, though most of it is staying offshore.

Satellite loops show an asymmetric Sandy, with almost all of the thunderstorm activity on its north side. The hurricane still has a very clear center of surface circulation which you can see on visible and infrared loops. Though the hurricane is leaving the influence of an upper level low pressure area over western Cuba, water vapor imagery shows a large area of dry air being pulled into the storm from the south, which is leading to the lack of thunderstorm activity and contributing to the weakening that Sandy is experiencing right now. The hurricane's tropical storm-force winds now extend 240 miles from the center, and could grow to 400 miles from the center by the time it reaches the East Coast.


Figure 1. Visible/infrared satellite image of Sandy as it leaves the Bahamas this afternoon. The mid-latitude trough, which Sandy will interact with over the next few days, is seen approaching from the northwest. The cold front associated with this trough is draped from upstate New York south to Louisiana, and appears as a line of clouds draped across the Midwest and South in this image.

Forecast For Hurricane Sandy

As a tropical cyclone approaches land, the worst storm surge is almost always where the winds are blowing from ocean to shore, where the wind pushes the water toward and onto the shore. In the case of Sandy's potential track, this region is on the north side of the center. In this morning's GFS scenario, Sandy's center passes over eastern Long Island, Connecticut, and Rhode Island. This would result in the highest surge north of New York City: Rhode Island, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and possibly Maine. The ECMWF forecast from this morning is a bit further to the south. It's suggesting Sandy's center will meet land in New Jersey. This scenario opens up New York City, Long Island, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and southern coastal Mass. to the largest surge. In general, the places that will avoid the largest storm surge are those that are south of where the center of the storm makes landfall. The National Hurricane Center's forecast is similar to the ECMWF, but most importantly, its forecast is also to not focus on the exact point of landfall because of the size of the storm, and that widespread impact is expected.

The Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coasts should be prepared for a storm surge no matter their exact location. A large portion of the coast will feel the impact of up to 60 mph winds and heavy rain. According to the most recent H*Wind analysis from the Hurricane Research Division is that storm surge has a destructive potential of 4.8 out of 6.0, which is a slight increase from previous analyses. Wind damage potential is holding steady around 2.3 out of 6.0. NOAA's HPC is forecasting rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, and possibly more in coastal locations close to the core of the storm. Widespread power outages from Maine south to Virginia are likely, due to the combination of long-lived gale-force winds, leaves on trees, and rain that will moisten the soil and possibly increase the chances of falling trees. Snow in the Appalachians is also possible as the intense moisture meets the cold air being pulled south by the mid-latitude trough.


Figure 2. Departure of sea surface temperature from average for the Atlantic shows a large area of unusually warm waters up to 9°F above average off the U.S. mid-Atlantic coast.

Sandy to feed off near-record warm waters off the mid-Atlantic coast
During September 2012, ocean temperatures off the mid-Atlantic coast in the 5x10° latitude-longitude box between 35 - 40°N, 65 - 75° W were 2.3°F (1.3°C) above average, according to the UK Met Office. This is the 2nd greatest departure from average for ocean temperatures in this region since reliable ocean temperature measurements began over a century ago (all-time record: 2.0°C above average in September 1947.) These unusually warm waters have persisted into October, and will enable Sandy to pull more energy from the ocean than a typical October hurricane. The warm waters will also help increase Sandy's rains, since more water vapor will evaporate into the air from a warm ocean. I expect Sandy will dump the heaviest October rains on record over a large swath of the mid-Atlantic and New England.

Hurricane rains and climate change
Hurricanes are expected to dump 20% more rain in their cores by the year 2100, according to modeling studies (Knutson et al., 2010). This occurs since a warmer atmosphere holds more water vapor, which can then condense into heavier rains. Furthermore, the condensation process releases heat energy (latent heat), which invigorates the storm, making its updrafts stronger and creating even more rain. We may already be seeing an increase in rainfall from hurricanes due to a warmer atmosphere. A 2010 study by Kunkel et al. "Recent increases in U.S. heavy precipitation associated with tropical cyclones", found that although there is no evidence for a long-term increase in North American mainland land-falling tropical cyclones (which include both hurricanes and tropical storms), the number of heavy precipitation events, defined as 1-in-5-year events, more than doubled between 1994 - 2008, compared to the long-term average from 1895 - 2008. As I discussed in a 2011 post "Tropical Storm Lee's flood in Binghamton: was global warming the final straw?", an increase in heavy precipitation events in the 21st Century due to climate change is going to be a big problem for a flood control system designed for the 20th Century's climate.


Figure 3. Time series of the 15-yr running average (plotted at the end point of the 15-yr blocks) of the tropical cyclone Heavy Precipitation Index (red) and the associated 15-yr total of U.S. landfalling hurricanes from Atlantic HURDAT hurricane data base, from 1895 - 2008 (blue). Note the steep rise in heavy precipitation events from tropical cyclones over the past 20 years, which has not been accompanied by a corresponding increase in landfalling hurricanes. Image credit: Kunkel et al., 2010, Geophysical Research Letters.

 

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Sat, 10/27/2012 - 11:34 | 2923789 Turd Ferguson
Turd Ferguson's picture

Please don't fuck around with this storm. Unlike Irene, this storm will be deepening and strengthening as it moves in. The central barometric pressure is forecast to be the lowest ever recorded in the NE. The fetch of wind will come across almost the entire Atlantic and pile up enormous amounts of water into Jersey, Manhattan and Long Island Sound. 

http://maritime.about.com/od/Glossary/g/What-Is-Wind-Fetch.htm

Prepare now.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 11:36 | 2923797 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

Thanks Turd ~ I loaded up all my gold bars onto the Andrea Gail & headed out to the Flemish Cap to ride it out & do some swordfishing ... I'm sure me & my gold will be fine...

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:29 | 2923845 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 It just felt right. 

Cover of Gordon Lightfoot's "Edmonds Fitzgerald" - YouTube

 Awe, and I up-voted you.  You probably have a slight "narcosis", headache from diving too deep, whilst  inspecting your XAU.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:36 | 2923964 Gully Foyle
Gully Foyle's picture

Yen Cross

 

32 Down On The Robert Mackenzie Paul Gross

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_d-t0959C3A

32 down on the Robert MacKenzie

32 men on a Great Lakes boat
Quit the pier at Thunder Bay
28,000 tons of coal
On a cold November day
800 feet and 10 more long
80 feet across
The steel mills of Detroit
Our destination through the frost

At 2 AM on the 2nd
Waves were runnin' up to 40 feet
Winds were blowing 60 miles
Our engines crankin' heat
At 3:13 we took a wave
Our wheelhouse left behind
The radar slipped beneath the waves
And we were runnin' blind

Hear me call across the waves
If I don't come home tonight
I will make it home some day

CHORUS:

(Steel boats and iron men)
32 down on the Robert MacKenzie
(Steel boats and iron men)
32 down on the Robert MacKenzie
(Steel boats and iron men)
32 down on the Robert MacKenzie

A captain name of Phillips
Seekin' shelter from the storm
Turned us south of Bête Grise Bay
By way of Keewenaw point
But the wind was blowing at such a rate
We ended up driftin' north
A wave broke over a knife of rock
Six Fathom Shoal

MacKenzie she was cut in half
The stern she ram the baow
The men were calling metaljunk
Flames burned out of hell
Stern keept runnig on lights of blades
Not one man would be found
Captain's last transmission read
32 men down
32 men down

Hear me call across the waves
If I don't come home tonight
I will make it home someday

(Steel boats and iron men)
32 down on the Robert MacKenzie
(Steel boats and iron men)
32 down on the Robert MacKenzie
(Steel boats and iron men)
32 down on the Robert MacKenzie
Down Down Down Down Down Down Down Down

And they call across the waves
If I don't come home tonight
I will make it home someday

Yes, I call across the waves
If I don't come home tonight
I will make it home some day

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:25 | 2923851 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

Let's get Clooney out there right now so he can star in the sequel....

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:41 | 2923874 Dave Thomas
Dave Thomas's picture

It's probably nothing, I went all out and boarded up the house for Rita, drinking all that beer was a whole bunch of fun though.

You've probably got more of a chance of dieing from NYPD than a Noreaster.

"Noreaster" got a quaint ring to it, I wish that Peppride farm guy could say it.

 

 

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:56 | 2924018 WmMcK
WmMcK's picture

Long Dinty Moore.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 14:54 | 2924114 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

Long Narragansett...

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 23:39 | 2924529 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Chuck "Fuck Flyover Country & Get To Work Bernank" Schumer (D-NY) has put in a request for immediate emergency funding for his district/constituency (Wall Street/Flush Bankers & TBTF Types) of 250 bln USD of taxpayer funds per each 1/10th of inch of rain or 1/30th of an inch of snow that's now forecast to fall down upon Wall Street.

 

p.s. - More hyped up shit from Meteorology, Inc. Whenever there's a system like this, the Weather Channel & cable news lame stream networks double their ad rates in the areas where the "storm of the century" is allegedly going to strike. Although I'm oddly attracted to that Jill whatever chick with the nice rack on The Weather Channel. She should lube up and wear a bikini and red high heels for the mandatory llook-at-me-I'm-standing-in-between-two-buildings-to-enhance-the-wind-affect shots that the networks always utilize.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 00:11 | 2924830 Cathartes Aura
Cathartes Aura's picture

. . . media weather reporting, working as intended. . .

thanks Sir Evelyn!

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:55 | 2924014 WmMcK
WmMcK's picture

Man, I love this place! Just one good comment after another.
Please support this site if you feel the same.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 08:57 | 2925031 petolo
petolo's picture

Good idea Francis. Perfect  time to go boating and "lose" some gold.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 11:45 | 2923807 vast-dom
vast-dom's picture

please don't forget this little variable:

"Normally, when hurricanes approach the East Coast from Sandy’s angle, they are pulled safely out to sea by a semi-permanent low-pressure center near Iceland. This time around, that low pressure isn’t there. In fact, it’s been replaced by a high pressure so intense it only occurs approximately 0.2% of the time on average."

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 11:51 | 2923812 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

Iceland has been low pressure since they told the bankers to take a hike...

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 15:42 | 2924192 skipjack
skipjack's picture

I junked you for your stupid comment - "pulled safely out to sea"

 

I've spent too many years on the water to not dislike such ignorance.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 11:59 | 2923824 Cortez the Killer
Cortez the Killer's picture

You gotta be right one of these times ferguson

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:12 | 2923839 dwdollar
dwdollar's picture

It would be nice if it completely destroyed DC or NYC, but I think that's wishful thinking.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:17 | 2923846 realtick
realtick's picture

Hey Turd, you know what my cure for boredom is? Goofing on your infantile charts and waking your Turdites up to the possibility that precious metals can go down as well as up for long periods of time.

Instead of showing your hapless followers meaningless charts like this:

http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/sites/default/files/users/u2/10-26amgold2.jpg

why not grow a pair, man up and show them what the monthly chart looks like?

Never mind, I'll do it for you. You'd fuck it up anyway:

http://i48.tinypic.com/fyogg4.png

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:16 | 2923928 Gordon Freeman
Gordon Freeman's picture

Nice to see TF is not seen as the guru here...

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 14:54 | 2924115 realtick
realtick's picture

Why anybody would make a guru out of a guy who calls himself "Turd" is a total mystery to me.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 14:22 | 2924071 UGrev
UGrev's picture

Looks like a continual, and progressive move upwards to me from BL to TR

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 15:50 | 2924203 Seer
Seer's picture

"precious metals can go down as well as up for long periods of time."

Um... what's really fluctuating is fiat, not gold.

Also keep in mind that how things have been isn't necessarily indicative of what we might expect them to be.  We're facing a systemic change, something that neither you , TF or ANYONE can possibly predict the outcome of.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 12:31 | 2925348 IrritableBowels
IrritableBowels's picture

FAIL

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:32 | 2923859 Mr. Fix
Mr. Fix's picture

Good advice, I'm as ready as i'll ever be.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:36 | 2923862 aheady
aheady's picture

Hunkerin' down here on Chincoteague Island in Virginia. Nice knowing y'all for the last few years : )

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:05 | 2923903 Wynn
Wynn's picture

northern neck here. rather be here than where you're at. you know, that little tit of land is gonna break off one day. ya'll should then secede, and go with a gold backed currency. :)

happy hunkering

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:23 | 2923943 mercenaryomics
mercenaryomics's picture

Norfolk here, watching the waters rise.  

I just hope Sandy does something cool, like sink NYC.  

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:50 | 2924004 WmMcK
WmMcK's picture

Long Gulla Gulla Gold. Who goes first (to silver)?

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:40 | 2923873 Cheeky Bitch
Cheeky Bitch's picture

Cash is the most important thing to hoard in prep for . If power goes, so do ATMs and credit card readers.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:58 | 2923894 treasurefish
treasurefish's picture

No, it's not bitch.  Guns, water, and gasoline.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:04 | 2923901 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Cash as well.  All of the above.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:31 | 2923957 scatterbrains
scatterbrains's picture

Don't forget your generators..  niggas off the hook on craigslist last night and today. Must have gotten 300+ disperate emails for a small 2200 watt generator I listed. Prices are so good right now I decided to pull all 5 I had stacked in the corner of my barn and sold them all in 3 hours.  One didn't even run an I still got $300 on it.  There are no generators new or used anywhere on the east coast right now.  If you depend on a sump pump to keep your basement dry you might as well start your praying now.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:42 | 2923878 gruden
gruden's picture

Not to worry.  Just like they zapped Irene, Sandy will get zapped too.  It will suddenly and mysteriously lose strength before it hits landfall in DC or NYC.  Just like Irene.  These things aren't coincidence, as much as we would like to think.  There's much one can research about such things if one is willing to make the effort.  Then the eyes start to open and things start to make sense - in a very perverse way, of course.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 14:16 | 2924059 Randall Cabot
Randall Cabot's picture

Crypto-zionist nutball Alex Jones might be truthful on this one:

http://www.infowars.com/the-engineered-storm-of-the-century/

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 16:35 | 2924303 aphlaque_duck
aphlaque_duck's picture

http://www.reddit.com/r/sysadmin/comments/124cb0/heres_what_you_should_b...

"So here we are about 3 or 4 days away from what may be the worst storm for the Northeast since humans populated the area. I'm not kidding, that is a possibility. We know neither how strong this beast will be or exactly who will get the worst of it. Why? Because what is about to happen is unprecedented in the years that human have attempted to understand how the atmosphere works. Hurricanes have merged with colder air as an energetic jet stream interacts before. But perhaps not with the intensity of the factors coming into play this time."

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 18:38 | 2924494 Wile-E-Coyote
Wile-E-Coyote's picture

In the UK a Turd is slang for a lump of shit.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 07:02 | 2924983 WakeyWakey
WakeyWakey's picture

Well Sandy killed a British banker in the Bahama's. Let's hope it likes the taste of banker blood as it heads to Wall St.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 11:34 | 2923793 ShortTheUS
ShortTheUS's picture

 

Think of all the government expenditures that will be required to fix up the East Coast after this and start salivating over the nice inflated GDP it will bring for Q4.

It's a Keynesian's dream come true.

 

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 11:38 | 2923801 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

You didn't create that storm... HAARP did...

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 11:55 | 2923818 centerline
centerline's picture

With a little luck, they will get to try out some new FEMA techniques on the ghetto areas too.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 02:24 | 2924886 alex_g
alex_g's picture

Krugman is at the temple, praying his ass off...

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 11:37 | 2923800 lynnybee
lynnybee's picture

super info.  thank you !

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 11:40 | 2923803 greggh99
greggh99's picture

Damn you Krugman. I would have preferred the aliens.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 11:52 | 2923813 The big unzip
The big unzip's picture

This is our best chance for "hope and change" this year.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 11:53 | 2923815 Seize Mars
Seize Mars's picture

You guys are nuts. I am going to let it all unfold with no plans to get ready. Then, when I am desperate in the aftermath, I will make a panicked retreat into a public sports arena, where I will literally stand in my own excrement, angrily demanding that someone should...do something!

 

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 11:57 | 2923823 centerline
centerline's picture

Just as long as you promise to break and few windows and grab a nice flatscreen TV along the way to the stadium.  Everyone knows that natural disaster = free shit.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 14:24 | 2924075 UGrev
UGrev's picture

$200 nike's.. don't forget the nike's. 

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 15:58 | 2924218 Seer
Seer's picture

"Everyone knows that natural disaster = free shit."

Just as all the "prepared" folks (TPTB) know that perpetual wars = free shit.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 11:53 | 2923817 SilverDOG
SilverDOG's picture

If the BS was not so thick, correlation with weather pattern changes, and scientific reasons for would receive additional credit.

But no, more fear laden, false flag, safety and security rammed and flooded onto the masses of tardation. 

Frankly my dear, I don't give a damn.

Believe none of what you hear and half of what you see.

Today, belief 1% of what you see.

99.9% of the law is POSSESSION. Do you possess the delivered info?

I think not.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 11:56 | 2923819 Nobody For President
Nobody For President's picture

Give my regards to Broadway,
Remember me to Herald Square;
Tell all the gang at 42nd Street,
That I will soon be there.
Whisper of how I'm yearning
To mingle with the old time throng;
Give my regards to old Broadway,
And say that I'll be there e'er long.

 

Pucker up city boys, here comes nature.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:06 | 2923905 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Ha!

Nothing that Florida and Texas boys can't handle...

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 11:57 | 2923822 Rathmullan
Rathmullan's picture

Does tungsten float?

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:04 | 2923828 Piranhanoia
Piranhanoia's picture

Yes, on stars.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 14:10 | 2924046 CrazyCooter
CrazyCooter's picture

That comment is priceless!

Regards,

Cooter

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:01 | 2923826 SubjectivObject
SubjectivObject's picture

The assumed technically authoritative weather trauma portals keep citing the "phase" of the moon as being a factor in the height of the coincident tide. What's up with that?

Sounds more like one more recognizable keyword in a PR trauma campaign tailor made for the sound-bite-made-ignorant audience.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:28 | 2923853 BORT
BORT's picture

New or full moon equals highest tides of month

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:28 | 2923952 michael_engineer
michael_engineer's picture

Full moon implies that the moon is directly away and in line with the sun, where close to a straight line can pass through them. This means that the sun and moon tidal bulges line up with each other producing higher tides than when the sun and moon and earth are not lined up together. Got it?

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 14:14 | 2924053 CrazyCooter
CrazyCooter's picture

Picture here:

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/7/72/Lunar-Phase-Diagram.png

New moon is additive, full moon is subtractive, with the caveat that the moon is by far more influence due to its proximity than the sun. So, I think the point made stands in principal, but the details were slightly incorrect.

Not an expert, just making an observation from the picture.

Regards,

Cooter

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 15:35 | 2924182 wahrheit
wahrheit's picture

I used to saltwater fish a lot and like most other saltwater fisherman, timed my trips based on the tides and the moon phase.  michael_engineer has it right, the tides are highest during new and full moon phases.

When the tide comes in, it brings all the big fish in who feed on smaller fish that normally don't get eaten during lower tides.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 17:27 | 2924369 michael_engineer
michael_engineer's picture

There is a tidal bulge on each side of the planet from both the moon and the suns gravitational affects. The bulges line up when the earth moon and sun are in a straight line, so higher tides at full and new moons. Highest at new moon with a solar eclipse and full moon with a lunar eclipse.

Watch the active animation here : http://home.hiwaay.net/~krcool/Astro/moon/moontides/

http://www.google.com/search?q=tidal+bulges&hl=en&client=safari&tbo=u&tb...

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 14:23 | 2924073 SubjectivObject
SubjectivObject's picture

With the moon now nearing full, and at essentially full for the landfall, the earth in the middle with the sun on one side and the moon on the other, what would you interpret to be the net (vector) composite of gravitational effects upon the ocean?  Contrary to the mediated hysteria currently associating moon phase and intimating greater storm surge, I interpret that gravitational effects would be summed to their lowest during the full moon, hence a lowest potential contribution from high tides.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 17:42 | 2924417 michael_engineer
michael_engineer's picture

Don't try the math and science stuff at home by youself folks and by the seat of your pants. Otherwise your pants might catch fire like this guys did. What were you thinking Sub guy?

See the tidal bulge web pages I referenced above for how it really works.

Next time groogle the interwebs or open a book. You might also look around here to debunk some other things you may have questions about :

http://www.snopes.com/

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:04 | 2923830 One World Mafia
One World Mafia's picture

NJ governor Chris Christie made a big state of emergency announcement a little while ago. One of the first things he said was he was ordering the casinos to close. Never heard him say a word about the nuke plants.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:10 | 2923836 analyzer_66
analyzer_66's picture

nuclear reactors are water proof, thats why they put the generators for the water pumps in the basements of nuclear facilities, duh, like in Japan - where the plants were designed by GE !

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:35 | 2923861 Randall Cabot
Randall Cabot's picture

Hope Creek and Salem NJ nuke plants are both on the shore of the Delaware Bay and right on the strong side of Sandy's expected path near the eye http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?5-daynl?large#contents:

Go to google maps and paste Hope Creek, NJ here:

http://maps.google.com/

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:36 | 2923863 jonjon831983
jonjon831983's picture

Conveniently: "World’s Most Powerful Laser Beams to Zap Nuclear Waste"

http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-10-25/world-s-most-powerful-laser-...

 

Just need to concentrate it, ship it, n zap it.

Catchy.

 

"The Magurele research center, where the Romanian laser will be located, will consume about 10 megawatts of energy, enough to supply about 2,500 average U.S. households. Most of it will come from geothermal pumps installed at the site, where the laser is expected to become operational in 2017."

"The laser technology might also be used to reduce the time it take for atomic waste to lose its radioactivity from thousands of years to a few seconds. That could remove the need to build underground stores to keep waste secure for centuries."

"“It’s going to take almost 20 years until we would be able to do it, but right now many countries don’t see any solution in the near future,”

"The EU is basing the broject in eastern European countries to support science in former communist countries, where a tradition of research hasn’t prevented academics seeking better- paid posts outside the region." (Yes, because if it is operational, all the nuke waste will go out to east Europe)

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 14:20 | 2924064 CrazyCooter
CrazyCooter's picture

Or instead of SPENDING energy to destory nuclear waste, one could adopt LFTR (Liquid Thorium Flouride Reactor) and RELEASE energy destroying nuclear waste.

Youtube of technical preso here.

Oh, right ... common sense and nuclear in the same sentence ... my error, carry on.

Regards,

Cooter

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:11 | 2923837 yabyum
yabyum's picture

Let me know when Chis Christie orderd the donut shops closed, Then we will know the shit is going down.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:31 | 2923858 jonjon831983
jonjon831983's picture

Hesus... the riots would begin.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:12 | 2923838 Miss Expectations
Miss Expectations's picture

Perhaps he should call in the Fed so they can man the pumps.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:07 | 2923832 analyzer_66
analyzer_66's picture

yes,as a matter of fact, the pockets in your life vest are the best places for your tungsten as well as any lead that wasnt turned into gold by the magic of the bernak..

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:09 | 2923834 realtick
realtick's picture

Nice gifs.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:10 | 2923835 TheCanadianAustrian
TheCanadianAustrian's picture

Paul Krugman will be masturbating furiously next week.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 14:22 | 2924067 CrazyCooter
CrazyCooter's picture

I bet he is so excited right now he looks like Burns!

Regards,

Cooter

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:12 | 2923840 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

That is what I call, a thorough update! Nice work Tyler.:-)

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:21 | 2923848 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

Some say the end is near.
Some say well see armageddon soon.
I certainly hope we will.
I sure could use a vacation from this

Bullshit three ring circus sideshow of
Freaks

Here in this hopeless fucking hole we call la
The only way to fix it is to flush it all away.
Any fucking time. any fucking day.
Learn to swim, Ill see you down in arizona bay.

Fret for your figure and
Fret for your latte and
Fret for your lawsuit and
Fret for your hairpiece and
Fret for your prozac and
Fret for your pilot and
Fret for your cable and
Fret for your car.
Its a
Bullshit three ring circus sideshow of
Freaks

Here in this hopeless fucking hole we call la
The only way to fix it is to flush it all away.
Any fucking time. any fucking day.
Learn to swim, Ill see you down in arizona bay.

Some say a comet will fall from the sky.
Followed by meteor showers and tidal waves.
Followed by faultlines that cannot sit still.
Followed by millions of dumbfounded dipshits.

Some say the end is near.
Some say well see armageddon soon.
I certainly hope we will cuz
I sure could use a vacation from this

Silly shit, stupid shit...

One great big festering neon distraction,
Ive a suggestion to keep you all occupied.

Learn to swim.

Moms gonna fix it all soon.
Moms comin round to put it back the way it ought to be.

Learn to swim.

Fuck l ron hubbard and
Fuck all his clones.
Fuck all those gun-toting
Hip gangster wannabes.

Learn to swim.

Fuck retro anything.
Fuck your tattoos.
Fuck all you junkies and
Fuck your short memory.

Learn to swim.

Fuck smiley glad-hands
With hidden agendas.
Fuck these dysfunctional,
Insecure actresses.

Learn to swim.

Cuz Im praying for rain
And Im praying for tidal waves
I wanna see the ground give way.
I wanna watch it all go down.
Mom please flush it all away.
I wanna watch it go right in and down.
I wanna watch it go right in.
Watch you flush it all away.

Time to bring it down again.
Dont just call me pessimist.
Try and read between the lines.
I cant imagine why you wouldnt
Welcome any change, my friend.

I wanna see it all come down

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:40 | 2923871 Gooseleg
Gooseleg's picture

Here from the king's mountain view
Here from the wild dream come true
Feast like a sultan I do
On treasures and flesh, never few.

But I, I would wish it all away.
If I thought I'd Lose you just one day.

The devil and his had me down,
in love with the dark side I'd found.
Dabble in all the way down
up to my neck soon to drown.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 14:29 | 2924078 UGrev
UGrev's picture

+10,000 for the most awesome maynard

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:40 | 2923872 Gooseleg
Gooseleg's picture

dup

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:29 | 2923855 Freewheelin Franklin
Freewheelin Franklin's picture

I got a room at the Trump Taj reserved. I'm gonna sit back and watch it roll in. From the Jacuzzi, of course.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:45 | 2923867 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 You might want to pick up some waterproof, (KEVLAR ® body armor). "plate glass shards and all"...

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 19:17 | 2924534 Freewheelin Franklin
Freewheelin Franklin's picture

Oh, I already got shards. But they ain't glass.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:32 | 2923860 Rainman
Rainman's picture

Sunny and in the 80's here in southern Commiefornia....perfect...shorts, tank tops and flip flops.

Junk away !

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:52 | 2923888 mkhs
mkhs's picture

Isn't there a red flag warning (wildfires)?

 

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:45 | 2923882 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Don't swim with gold or silver but you might consider scuba diving at the FRBNY.

East Coast has all the fun. 5 days of continuous rain. CA gets none. Maybe a cloud and it rained 2ce in the last 200 days. Wish I could take off college and go to the east coast.

Well maybe we will get the big one earthquake. At least we can hope for that.

Sat, 11/24/2012 - 05:54 | 2923887 Negro Primero
Sat, 10/27/2012 - 12:56 | 2923892 jplotinus
jplotinus's picture

Irene hype? It wasn't hype for CT.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:02 | 2923898 GrinandBearit
GrinandBearit's picture

100% media hype, drama and fear mongering.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:09 | 2923912 Tenshin Headache
Tenshin Headache's picture

100% wrong.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:20 | 2923941 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

50 million people going to get some "hype" from Sandy, some more than others.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:56 | 2924017 GrinandBearit
GrinandBearit's picture

I will accept your apology sometime next week.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:08 | 2923900 Ralph Spoilsport
Ralph Spoilsport's picture

This bastard is going to aim right for us in SE Pennsylvania and dump on us for at least 24 hours. Power will probably be out for a while due to trees taking out power lines. The ground is pretty saturated already so we'll have flooding. A week ago we had a massive power outage because a tornado went through Quarryville, PA and took out the transmission lines coming from the Hydroelectric dams on the Susquehanna. People are looking at that as a practice session for Big Bad Sandy. Stores are mobbed and there are no D cell batteries to be had anywhere.

In other news, the Amish will be business as usual although there's a mad dash to get all the standing corn in before it gets flattened. They will probably have to work Sunday to accomplish this (a big no-no but money is money!). Help has already been offered by the "english" community who will use tractors and more modern equipment to help get their crops in before the big blow.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 14:01 | 2924026 Clycntct
Clycntct's picture

Now that's Big News. Weather beats Religion!

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:06 | 2923906 Rustysilver
Rustysilver's picture

I hope it flushes NYC and CT as they do canals in Amsterdam.

I'm in Ct.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 15:08 | 2924143 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

I'm in CT too bro. Hang in there.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:08 | 2923910 Tenshin Headache
Tenshin Headache's picture

Please note that much of the above was written by Angela Fritz, Ph.D. of wunderground.com (a truly excellent weather site), writing for Dr. Jeff Masters, who heads WU.

WU's main Hurricane Sandy page: http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at201218.html

Dr. Masters' blog: http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/article.html

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 20:06 | 2924599 newengland
newengland's picture

Yep. Fab site, that wunderground. Never heard of it before. Definitely belongs in the Fight Club :-D

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 00:29 | 2924839 Cathartes Aura
Cathartes Aura's picture

.

Both sites, however, are dwarfed by Weather.com and the other properties owned by the Weather Channel, which is owned by a consortium that includes Comcast, Bain Capital and the Blackstone Group. The Weather Channel sites draw almost 50 million visitors a month. But only half of Weather Underground’s users also use Weather.com in a given month, which might be considered a silent protest of sorts.

Every so often one of the bosses of the Weather Channel had tried to buy Weather Underground, company officials said, and every so often the site politely declined. But this time was different.

“In the past three years, we’ve gotten our act together and become a mature company,” Weather Underground’s president, Alan Steremberg, said in a telephone interview. “We’ve had amazing growth.” Now, he said, it was time to get help from a bigger company.

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/04/us/as-weather-channel-buys-weather-und...

 

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 09:10 | 2925037 tip e. canoe
tip e. canoe's picture

oops, i posted earlier that WU was bought by WCentral (the red shields), not WChannel (the magic panties).   thanks for the correction.

i'm beginning to wonder whether even the radar & satellite images can be trusted anymore.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:11 | 2923915 Miss Expectations
Miss Expectations's picture

Hurricane prep:

Put as many gallon bottles of water as will fit in your freezer.  Block ice should keep things cool for at least 3 days.

 

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:12 | 2923921 Nobody For President
Nobody For President's picture

Northern California weather:

Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. North northwest wind around 7 mph.

Pretty much the same through Monday, chance of rain Tuesday.

Think I'll go flying - will have 500 hours with another 1/2 hour.

Hang in there, East Coast BiTCHez!

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 15:06 | 2924139 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

Yep, Taxifornia has that whole "in the financial shitter/muni-bankruptcy" to worry about. I'll take our storm over that. Good luck!

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:15 | 2923923 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Can't the FED do something about this?

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:26 | 2923948 combatsnoopy
combatsnoopy's picture

Insurance companies selling flood insurance in Hoboken says, "Sure!"  Uncollateralized Carbon Credits good for emergency GDP hikes right before election.  Quick!  Call in the shills! 

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:15 | 2923925 treasurefish
treasurefish's picture

It is seriously friggin' cold here in Houston today with a high of 67 degrees!!!  I had to remember how to turn on the heater, and I'm all bundled up with my snuggie.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:17 | 2923927 Monedas
Monedas's picture

Maybe it will discourage lazy, welfare fuck Democrat voter turnout in a swing state or two ?     

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:46 | 2923988 TPTB_r_TBTF
TPTB_r_TBTF's picture

There are enough dead voters to take up the slack from the lazy ones not showing up.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 15:31 | 2924180 monad
monad's picture

Are you kidding? Soros is in charge of counting the votes. This is the end.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 21:01 | 2924667 toomanyfakecons...
toomanyfakeconservatives's picture

Will Diebold "deliver" the results again?

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 20:54 | 2924655 toomanyfakecons...
toomanyfakeconservatives's picture

First intelligent thing you've said, but the storm is a week early.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:19 | 2923937 blunderdog
blunderdog's picture

I wanna believe.  Seems like it's been quite awhile since we've had any major weather in NYC.

On the other hand, the mainstream media hasn't been correct about anything over the past decade, which makes me think it's all bullshit and this is just an ad-campaign.

I'm well-prepared, anyway, and have been for years.  There could be inconvenience for some of the locals.  Many of my neighbors aren't even sharp enough to wear boots when there's 5 inches of snow and slush on the ground.  Derp derp.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:24 | 2923945 Gordon Freeman
Gordon Freeman's picture

It's all bullshit, alright.  Gives everybody involved a chance to act tough.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:20 | 2923939 Fix It Again Timmy
Fix It Again Timmy's picture

Aging Nuke plants held together with bailing wire, duct tape and a prayer - blue skies and sunshine engineering specs meet Godzilla....

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ln8-Y-fIbqM

 

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:34 | 2923962 monad
monad's picture

The liberals don't like this, it blows their global warming/draught hysteria. Its hurricane season, bitchez. This might be good for the east coast snow sports industry.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 14:12 | 2924040 monad
monad's picture

Its going to rain. So what, rain happens. I've been through this a few times. Some trees might fall down, some low lying properties flood briefly, then guess what? The water recedes and everything dries up. Right now the insurance leeches are calculating how best to exagerate their fake claims & rob the rest of us at government point. Worry about them.

Consider this: after the wind strips the trees of all the leaves, the arctic wind that sweeps in across the great lakes is going to freeze your libtard asses off from now until there is enough snow on the ground to stabilize the temperature... at freezing, you hysterical, ignorant global warming suckers. White Christmas or 20 below. Just like this fake election.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:36 | 2923965 marcusfenix
marcusfenix's picture

well, I just saw something I never thought I would see...ever, my hometown of Syracuse NY is on the weather channel's map of projected damage from a direct impact by sandy, tropical storm force winds, 3-6  inches of rain ect. indeed it is in the red area labeled "take action now".

this is a tad surreal for us in upstate and central NY because we have always been to far inland to be effected by these storms in any serious way, but this one is looking like it's going to run right over the top of us. now we do get our fair share of shitty weather, blizzards, ice storms, wind storms, hail, lots of thunderstorms often with flash flooding in the spring and summer, even the occasional tornado.

but a hurricane? in central NY? 

if somebody had told me that was even remotely possible, I probably would have recommended that they do a little more research on how hurricane's work and why our geographical situation made us as close to hurricane proof as one could be outside of living in the middle of the country.

and yet here we are, every county in the state is under a state of emergency and I am fighting with my normalcy bias as to whether or not I should blow Fridays paycheck on a new genny, some plywood, bottled water and such.

strange old world we live in isn't it?   

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:40 | 2923974 lolmao500
lolmao500's picture

Meh this is Irene all over again... total hyped up BS by the MSM.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 23:29 | 2924803 Trimmed Hedge
Trimmed Hedge's picture

I lost power for 5 days cuz of Irene.. FIVE DAYS!!

And my area will be getting whacked cuz of Sandy...

 

Wanna trade places, Mr. B.S. Hypester?

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 13:48 | 2923998 Duke of Con Dao
Duke of Con Dao's picture

they are sandbagging the hell out of Red Hook. 

looks like it's time to check into my favorite Manhattan hotel - The New Ebony up in Harlem...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lNIj3UJz-X4

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 15:24 | 2924170 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

Gold should be stored at 15 meters below sea level. You don't want any amateur divers finding it.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 15:35 | 2924183 Duke of Con Dao
Duke of Con Dao's picture

here's Mitt on Sandy

YouTube - Nikola Tesla Romney

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 16:12 | 2924211 Money 4 Nothing
Money 4 Nothing's picture

Half man made, half nature, "Franken Storm"

HAARP > http://www.haarpstatus.com/status.html

Explaination of HAARP > http://www-star.stanford.edu/~vlf/publications/2008-03.pdf

Coincedence? > http://www.weca.org/SET/report/node6.html

Predicted storm surge > http://icons.wxug.com/hurricane/2012/oct27_surge_nyc_fct.gif

It will flood the fiancial district in DLM NYC.

 

 

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 16:00 | 2924225 wahrheit
wahrheit's picture

Predicted storm surge - possibly 9.4 feet, almost double that of Irene , from Masters' blog.  If Sandy hits NYC or nearby like Irene during a high tide, the subways will probably be flooded.  Shorting everything on Tue AM?

Full moon will peak at 19:50 UTC on Monday, 2:50PM in NYC and the high tide will be a few hours earlier at 8:32AM EDT, predicted 5.4 feet.  Sandy will probably be just offshore at this time.  The next high tide is 8:53PM that night at 4.7 feet.

I actually call it hitting DelMarVa around Ocean City.  I'd much rather it hit Wall St.

This is the year of the Halloween Storm and the Thanksgiving Riots.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 17:23 | 2924376 whoopsing
whoopsing's picture

This is going to be like a three tide cycle event.Its gonna be around awhile. South shore of Long Island here and a little granularity: the water is extremely warm for this time of the year (62 degrees ) and that means plenty of fuel for this storm If this thing strikes land to the south of here (Delaware etc.) the eastern tail just keeps driving the sea into the wedge formed by N.J. and CT.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 18:02 | 2924449 kita27
kita27's picture

This is it, its the real deal, pack 6 months of food in your bunkers and dont forget the guns. i predict it will hit most of the nuclear power plants causing a meltdown in every one, worse than Japan. I predict that the power grid will be taken offline and millions will be without electricity. i predict many of those who are not conspiracy nutters will be caught unprapared and will die in the streets. Their bodies will cause disease and the bird flu will then mutate and become a global pandemic. This will set off a whole chain of black swan events that i dont have time to get into.

prepare or die,

no kidding...

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 18:14 | 2924470 realtick
realtick's picture

Guess Who Spoke In September About A Hurricane Forming Over The US? http://chartistfriendfrompittsburgh.blogspot.com/2012/10/guess-who-spoke...

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 19:46 | 2924567 Cisco Kid
Cisco Kid's picture

It might have been overblown for NYC last time....but a few hours north it was a complete disaster...flash floods took away entire towns...this is a very serious threat...

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 19:50 | 2924573 newengland
newengland's picture

You're doing a great job, as per usual Tylers. Thanks for the charts, and links to the sites providing them which seem to be more accurate than 'accuweather', and main scream media. The boats started coming in on Thursday, as fishermen and maritime people know the waters off the NE better than geeks staring at screens, and politicos who blow hard with any passing wind.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 19:58 | 2924588 DeFeralCat
DeFeralCat's picture

Is this the only way left to stimulate our economy?

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 20:02 | 2924592 realtick
realtick's picture

NYC Buildings Are Occult - Look At The Citigroup Building http://chartistfriendfrompittsburgh.blogspot.com/2012/10/nyc-buildings-a...

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 20:27 | 2924626 marcusfenix
marcusfenix's picture

it appears sandy is, or will soon become a extra- tropical cyclone, which I think is what has everybody so twitchy, because unlike Irene which was a straight tropic hurricane and needed the open ocean warm air currents to feed it's heat engine, sandy will feed off the cold air coming down from Canada as well as the wet winter system coming in from the west.

sandy will have the energy it needs to maintain strength for a much longer time period over land than a "normal" tropical hurricane. so all the comparisons to an "over hyped Irene" really aren't relevant as sandy is another beast all together.

in other words, this time, it really is different. 

 

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 21:36 | 2924712 Plumplechook
Plumplechook's picture

75 mph - LOL.  That's a gentle zephyr where I come from.  This thing is Irene 2.0 with all the attendant hype and hysteria.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 00:14 | 2924834 Trimmed Hedge
Trimmed Hedge's picture

LOL... Where I come from, we get F4 & F5 tornadoes on a daily basis... Sometimes twice a day

We just go about our normal biz, we're so used to it.. Even sit out on the porch & watch the kids play out in the yard during the middle of it

Good times....

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 22:09 | 2924745 Jack Burton
Jack Burton's picture

Granted the wind speeds are not anywhere near disasterous. The storm size is huge and it is slow moving. The rain potential is not disasterous either, I seen 4-6 inch figures thrown about. Heck, last summer we had a 24 hour rain event of 14-20 inches where I live. There was minor flooding.

Until I see different, I don't see how this storm is any worse than a cat 1 hurricane. Maybe the weather guys know better, but I don't see the same disaster scenario that they do.

Of course I can always be wrong, it would not be the first time.

Sat, 10/27/2012 - 22:47 | 2924770 Wave-Tech
Wave-Tech's picture

 Got backup power?  A Tri-Fuel Generator is likely to come in handy for Sandy.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 06:09 | 2924966 BattlegroundEur...
BattlegroundEurope2011's picture

Alah Snackbar!!...well somebody has to say it ?

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 08:37 | 2925024 Uncle Remus
Uncle Remus's picture

cough*postpone election*cough

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