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In Advance Of Frankenstorm Sandy, NYC Suspending All Transit Services At 7:00 PM Sunday Through Wednesday

Tyler Durden's picture




 

It seems like it was only yesterday that the panic ahead of Hurricane Irene, which was a light breeze by the time it hit NYC, was being spread by various government agencies and every possible media. It is deja vu time, and moments ago, in order to be "fully prepared" ahead of Frankenstorm Sandy, NY governor Cuomo just announced that at 7:00 pm tonight, the New York Metropolitan Transit Authority, i..e., subways, buses and trains, is suspending all service at 7:00 pm (and 1,100 national guards are being activated) and will be halted until Wednesday at the earliest. This also means that tomorrow Wall Street will be a complete ghost town as everyone takes two days off, and the algos will be the only ones in charge (more or less as usual).

And an update on what is actually happening from the Wunderground blog:

Sandy's tropical storm-force winds now extend 450 nautical miles from the center on the northeast side of the hurricane. This is a very, very large storm, and I suspect the #1 spot (Olga of 2001) is in jeopardy, as well.

Top 12 Largest Atlantic Tropical Cyclones

These sizes were determined using the Extended Best Track dataset (Demuth et. al 2006).

Name, Year: Radius of tropical storm-force winds (nautical miles)

1. Olga, 2001: 600
2. Lili, 1996, 450
2. Sandy, 2012: 450
3. Tanya 1995: 400
3. Irene 1999: 400
3. Igor, 2010: 400
4. Wilma, 2005: 375
5. Felix, 1995: 360
5. Michael, 2000 360
5. Irene, 2005: 360
5. Irene, 2005 360
5. Florence, 2006: 360


High resolution MODIS visible satellite image of Hurricane Sandy on October 27, 2012.

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Sun, 10/28/2012 - 10:24 | 2925095 vortmax
vortmax's picture

The model projections for this thing are just downright scary--coupled with the MSM's bungling of the Irene situation last year, I'm willing to bet cry-wolf syndrome will claim a fair number of victims this time around.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 10:35 | 2925117 duo
duo's picture

Each run is scarier than the one before it.  The winds to the north of the storm (at 1000 ft) could be 80 MPH or higher, per the NAM model.

As the storm moves inland the winds will be blowing the whole length of Lake Michigan right into Chicago and Gary.

Let's hope those GE nuclear reactors have plenty of fuel for the back-up generators.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 10:57 | 2925154 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

How are the algos going to get to work if the trains & busses aren't running?...

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 11:18 | 2925188 CPL
CPL's picture

It's okay.

Follow Christie he knows where the food is.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 11:45 | 2925245 Cheesy Bastard
Cheesy Bastard's picture

I guess I'll have to ride my bike to Jersey if I want a big gulp.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 11:45 | 2925247 Dalago
Dalago's picture

The State and MTA would love to declare everyday a "state of emergency."  They get federal money when they do this.  MTA would love to shut down the entire system at the slightest sign of a fart wind to close their $2 billion pension liability.

 

Get money and shut down services.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 13:08 | 2925423 Papasmurf
Papasmurf's picture

Declare emergency, get bacon.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 11:45 | 2925248 markar
markar's picture

+10000 calories

Funny comment of the week

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 11:47 | 2925253 LetThemEatRand
LetThemEatRand's picture

And in the event you need to go Donner party as a last resort, it's not a bad idea to have him around anyway. 

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 11:55 | 2925276 CPL
CPL's picture

He's got a gammy leg.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 11:34 | 2925220 old naughty
old naughty's picture

Last time I heard, they burrowed through fibre optics at light speed. 

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 11:34 | 2925224 Jani
Jani's picture

+1 --- HAHA -- that really made me laugh out loud.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 11:40 | 2925234 Awakened Sheeple
Awakened Sheeple's picture

Kevin Henry, you're our only hope.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 12:55 | 2925404 fockewulf190
fockewulf190's picture

Monday is Skynets' big chance.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 11:42 | 2925239 impermanence
impermanence's picture

Sounds like a martial law drill.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 10:24 | 2925097 Wakanda
Wakanda's picture

That is a shit ton of airborne water.  It's gonna be a big rain.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 10:34 | 2925116 Mae Kadoodie
Mae Kadoodie's picture

If sea water gets into the subway system this will corrode the wiring.  Rust will be a big issue.  Can you imagine if a transportation system that supports 8 million were to ground to a halt for an extended period?  

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 10:49 | 2925143 CPL
CPL's picture

NYC is one of the biggest, most awesome machines on the planet.  It's a phenomnal place full of trillions of moving parts including the people.

 

If it were a nice little sport car, you'd want to put a tarp over it to protect it from the weather.  Today is meterologist paradise!!  There are some really interesting things happening.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 11:11 | 2925164 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Barkeep, I'll have what the gentleman on the floor was having.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 11:34 | 2925222 Schmuck Raker
Schmuck Raker's picture

+1

You're not drunk if you can lie on the floor without holding on.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 11:48 | 2925256 CPL
CPL's picture

An irishman is never drunk enough as long as they can hold onto a blade of grass and not fall off the earth.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 11:12 | 2925178 GOSPLAN HERO
GOSPLAN HERO's picture

Mayor Bloomberg sucks.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 11:40 | 2925237 Umh
Umh's picture

So; to keep the subway from halting they halt it. Must make sense to someone.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 11:47 | 2925254 cossack55
cossack55's picture

Don't you mean 8 million people that support a transportation system?

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 11:53 | 2925270 CPL
CPL's picture

I think you are under appreciating that system.  There are 8 million on that tiny island along with the 30 million surrounding the island providing services to it.  NYC has a bigger, in real net terms, population than all of Canada.  There is no city better engineered from the foundation and up.

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=llEpW8XxUp8

 

It might be corrupt and taken lumps, but nobody can overlook the sheer size of it as a project.  It's amazing from an engineering perspective.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 13:18 | 2925437 A Lunatic
A Lunatic's picture

It is also quite a dump when there are no Sanitation Engineering services for three days............

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 16:36 | 2925827 CPL
CPL's picture

Yup.  I found the constant smell of garbage and shit around the same as Paris.  Do not miss working downtown at all.  Filtered air in the offices or the "fresh" air at lunch.  I couldn't begin to imagine how bad it would smell.

 

Good luck to all in the path. 

Stay safe and I hope to chat with you all again.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 18:48 | 2926063 Captain Planet
Captain Planet's picture

Correction CPL: there are 8 million people across the 5 boroughs. There are at most 2.5 million residents of Manhattan. 

the 30 million person area includes all of long island, much of northern NJ, Westchester and south western Connecticut. Parts of PA and upstate NY counties are included in that number.

That being said, I reckon 20 million plus people will be without power at some point across the eastern seaboard by Tuesday morning. The number could reach 40 million if the snow fucks up Appalachia and Ontario.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 10:25 | 2925098 Fix It Again Timmy
Fix It Again Timmy's picture

"History shows again and again how nature points up the folly of man
Godzilla!" - Blue Oyster Cult

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 10:30 | 2925108 spanish inquisition
spanish inquisition's picture

Great opportunity for a martial law test run.. practice run?..... Maybe more of a Defcon like step up in force of an already existing martial law.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 10:52 | 2925147 flapdoodle
flapdoodle's picture

The big question: will HAARP be able to save the Obama presidency??

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 11:19 | 2925190 Manolo
Manolo's picture

;))  Still working on that model....tough One, had some glitches lately...

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 13:31 | 2925462 Pure Evil
Pure Evil's picture

Nothing can save the Obama Presidency, whether he gets re-elected or not.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 11:43 | 2925240 Whoa Dammit
Whoa Dammit's picture

I think this time things may get out of hand. Lots of folks are probably aleardy putting on their looting shoes. And Bloomies army has probably already got itchy trigger fingers. Not a good combo.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 13:32 | 2925463 Pure Evil
Pure Evil's picture

Can't let 450 million rounds of ammo go to waste.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 16:39 | 2925832 CPL
CPL's picture

It still hasn't been delivered.  Bullets aren't made in the us, packaged yes, India and Pakistan are the hub for that.  They have a terrible shortage of coal, diesel, everything...ORI has discussed it a couple of times.  Anycase, someone answered the RFP, but since lower bidder wins...well...a lot of things aren't coming.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 10:32 | 2925114 Robslob
Robslob's picture

Thankfully our "Patriotic HFT programs" will show up regardless...

 

Rain or shine, snow or sleet, we deliver your market!

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 10:43 | 2925131 PrintingPress
PrintingPress's picture

Until the power goes off. 

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 11:09 | 2925170 pragmatic hobo
pragmatic hobo's picture

or the market goes down.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 11:09 | 2925172 dark pools of soros
dark pools of soros's picture

What if only the power to view them goes off yet they are still trading with each other in a true dark shadow pool? What will happen after two days of out of control skynet trading? Dow 6million? Nasdaq at 45?

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 19:08 | 2926108 Papasmurf
Papasmurf's picture

Lighten up into the Dow 6M rally.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 16:43 | 2925842 CPL
CPL's picture

Correct.

 

Can I have massive underlying electrical infrastructure problems, cascading failures and nuclear plant age/maintenance for 200 Alex.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 10:38 | 2925122 koaj
koaj's picture

if ou have FB, please follow:

 

http://www.facebook.com/easternpaweatherauthority?fref=ts

 

http://www.facebook.com/JerseyShoreHurricaneNews?ref=ts&fref=ts

 

http://www.facebook.com/bobweatherman.burger?ref=ts&fref=ts

 

not plugging...all in NJ, on the shore or in eastern PA...very good sources for models, updates, etc

 

be safe all...scary stuff

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 13:09 | 2925424 mkhs
mkhs's picture

Who are you and what is this facebook?

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 10:44 | 2925135 machineh
machineh's picture

Kurgman says, "Help Sandy help you -- smash some windows before it gets here!"

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 10:45 | 2925136 PUD
PUD's picture

5' of snow predicted in Virginia and W.Virginia....unreal

I'm on Cape Cod and this morning the tide at the harbor was nearly to the brim with only a 20kt East wind

Tomorrow it will be moon tide with a whole day of 70kt winds

I predict many of the beach front roads and homes will not be there Tuesday

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 10:52 | 2925146 CPL
CPL's picture

Holy crap.  Build a massive snow fort, take pictures and submit it.

 

http://artofmanliness.com/2010/12/09/how-to-build-an-impenetrable-snow-fort/

 

Build it, and they will come.  Tell the girls it's your fort and they aren't invited.

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 13:52 | 2925494 Papasmurf
Papasmurf's picture

When the frost is on the pumpkin . . .

Sun, 10/28/2012 - 20:25 | 2926282 JethroBodien
JethroBodien's picture

How at risk are the Hamptons?  This is coming from someone who is not familiar with the area.

 

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