In Advance Of Frankenstorm Sandy, NYC Suspending All Transit Services At 7:00 PM Sunday Through Wednesday

Tyler Durden's picture

It seems like it was only yesterday that the panic ahead of Hurricane Irene, which was a light breeze by the time it hit NYC, was being spread by various government agencies and every possible media. It is deja vu time, and moments ago, in order to be "fully prepared" ahead of Frankenstorm Sandy, NY governor Cuomo just announced that at 7:00 pm tonight, the New York Metropolitan Transit Authority, i..e., subways, buses and trains, is suspending all service at 7:00 pm (and 1,100 national guards are being activated) and will be halted until Wednesday at the earliest. This also means that tomorrow Wall Street will be a complete ghost town as everyone takes two days off, and the algos will be the only ones in charge (more or less as usual).

And an update on what is actually happening from the Wunderground blog:

Sandy's tropical storm-force winds now extend 450 nautical miles from the center on the northeast side of the hurricane. This is a very, very large storm, and I suspect the #1 spot (Olga of 2001) is in jeopardy, as well.

Top 12 Largest Atlantic Tropical Cyclones

These sizes were determined using the Extended Best Track dataset (Demuth et. al 2006).

Name, Year: Radius of tropical storm-force winds (nautical miles)

1. Olga, 2001: 600
2. Lili, 1996, 450
2. Sandy, 2012: 450
3. Tanya 1995: 400
3. Irene 1999: 400
3. Igor, 2010: 400
4. Wilma, 2005: 375
5. Felix, 1995: 360
5. Michael, 2000 360
5. Irene, 2005: 360
5. Irene, 2005 360
5. Florence, 2006: 360


High resolution MODIS visible satellite image of Hurricane Sandy on October 27, 2012.

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vortmax's picture

The model projections for this thing are just downright scary--coupled with the MSM's bungling of the Irene situation last year, I'm willing to bet cry-wolf syndrome will claim a fair number of victims this time around.

duo's picture

Each run is scarier than the one before it.  The winds to the north of the storm (at 1000 ft) could be 80 MPH or higher, per the NAM model.

As the storm moves inland the winds will be blowing the whole length of Lake Michigan right into Chicago and Gary.

Let's hope those GE nuclear reactors have plenty of fuel for the back-up generators.

francis_sawyer's picture

How are the algos going to get to work if the trains & busses aren't running?...

CPL's picture

It's okay.

Follow Christie he knows where the food is.

Cheesy Bastard's picture

I guess I'll have to ride my bike to Jersey if I want a big gulp.

Dalago's picture

The State and MTA would love to declare everyday a "state of emergency."  They get federal money when they do this.  MTA would love to shut down the entire system at the slightest sign of a fart wind to close their $2 billion pension liability.

 

Get money and shut down services.

Papasmurf's picture

Declare emergency, get bacon.

markar's picture

+10000 calories

Funny comment of the week

LetThemEatRand's picture

And in the event you need to go Donner party as a last resort, it's not a bad idea to have him around anyway. 

old naughty's picture

Last time I heard, they burrowed through fibre optics at light speed. 

Jani's picture

+1 --- HAHA -- that really made me laugh out loud.

Awakened Sheeple's picture

Kevin Henry, you're our only hope.

fockewulf190's picture

Monday is Skynets' big chance.

impermanence's picture

Sounds like a martial law drill.

Wakanda's picture

That is a shit ton of airborne water.  It's gonna be a big rain.

Mae Kadoodie's picture

If sea water gets into the subway system this will corrode the wiring.  Rust will be a big issue.  Can you imagine if a transportation system that supports 8 million were to ground to a halt for an extended period?  

CPL's picture

NYC is one of the biggest, most awesome machines on the planet.  It's a phenomnal place full of trillions of moving parts including the people.

 

If it were a nice little sport car, you'd want to put a tarp over it to protect it from the weather.  Today is meterologist paradise!!  There are some really interesting things happening.

kaiserhoff's picture

Barkeep, I'll have what the gentleman on the floor was having.

Schmuck Raker's picture

+1

You're not drunk if you can lie on the floor without holding on.

CPL's picture

An irishman is never drunk enough as long as they can hold onto a blade of grass and not fall off the earth.

Umh's picture

So; to keep the subway from halting they halt it. Must make sense to someone.

cossack55's picture

Don't you mean 8 million people that support a transportation system?

CPL's picture

I think you are under appreciating that system.  There are 8 million on that tiny island along with the 30 million surrounding the island providing services to it.  NYC has a bigger, in real net terms, population than all of Canada.  There is no city better engineered from the foundation and up.

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=llEpW8XxUp8

 

It might be corrupt and taken lumps, but nobody can overlook the sheer size of it as a project.  It's amazing from an engineering perspective.

A Lunatic's picture

It is also quite a dump when there are no Sanitation Engineering services for three days............

CPL's picture

Yup.  I found the constant smell of garbage and shit around the same as Paris.  Do not miss working downtown at all.  Filtered air in the offices or the "fresh" air at lunch.  I couldn't begin to imagine how bad it would smell.

 

Good luck to all in the path. 

Stay safe and I hope to chat with you all again.

Captain Planet's picture

Correction CPL: there are 8 million people across the 5 boroughs. There are at most 2.5 million residents of Manhattan. 

the 30 million person area includes all of long island, much of northern NJ, Westchester and south western Connecticut. Parts of PA and upstate NY counties are included in that number.

That being said, I reckon 20 million plus people will be without power at some point across the eastern seaboard by Tuesday morning. The number could reach 40 million if the snow fucks up Appalachia and Ontario.

Fix It Again Timmy's picture

"History shows again and again how nature points up the folly of man
Godzilla!" - Blue Oyster Cult

spanish inquisition's picture

Great opportunity for a martial law test run.. practice run?..... Maybe more of a Defcon like step up in force of an already existing martial law.

flapdoodle's picture

The big question: will HAARP be able to save the Obama presidency??

Manolo's picture

;))  Still working on that model....tough One, had some glitches lately...

Pure Evil's picture

Nothing can save the Obama Presidency, whether he gets re-elected or not.

Whoa Dammit's picture

I think this time things may get out of hand. Lots of folks are probably aleardy putting on their looting shoes. And Bloomies army has probably already got itchy trigger fingers. Not a good combo.

Pure Evil's picture

Can't let 450 million rounds of ammo go to waste.

CPL's picture

It still hasn't been delivered.  Bullets aren't made in the us, packaged yes, India and Pakistan are the hub for that.  They have a terrible shortage of coal, diesel, everything...ORI has discussed it a couple of times.  Anycase, someone answered the RFP, but since lower bidder wins...well...a lot of things aren't coming.

Robslob's picture

Thankfully our "Patriotic HFT programs" will show up regardless...

 

Rain or shine, snow or sleet, we deliver your market!

PrintingPress's picture

Until the power goes off. 

dark pools of soros's picture

What if only the power to view them goes off yet they are still trading with each other in a true dark shadow pool? What will happen after two days of out of control skynet trading? Dow 6million? Nasdaq at 45?

Papasmurf's picture

Lighten up into the Dow 6M rally.

CPL's picture

Correct.

 

Can I have massive underlying electrical infrastructure problems, cascading failures and nuclear plant age/maintenance for 200 Alex.

koaj's picture

if ou have FB, please follow:

 

http://www.facebook.com/easternpaweatherauthority?fref=ts

 

http://www.facebook.com/JerseyShoreHurricaneNews?ref=ts&fref=ts

 

http://www.facebook.com/bobweatherman.burger?ref=ts&fref=ts

 

not plugging...all in NJ, on the shore or in eastern PA...very good sources for models, updates, etc

 

be safe all...scary stuff

mkhs's picture

Who are you and what is this facebook?

machineh's picture

Kurgman says, "Help Sandy help you -- smash some windows before it gets here!"

PUD's picture

5' of snow predicted in Virginia and W.Virginia....unreal

I'm on Cape Cod and this morning the tide at the harbor was nearly to the brim with only a 20kt East wind

Tomorrow it will be moon tide with a whole day of 70kt winds

I predict many of the beach front roads and homes will not be there Tuesday

CPL's picture

Holy crap.  Build a massive snow fort, take pictures and submit it.

 

http://artofmanliness.com/2010/12/09/how-to-build-an-impenetrable-snow-fort/

 

Build it, and they will come.  Tell the girls it's your fort and they aren't invited.

Papasmurf's picture

When the frost is on the pumpkin . . .

JethroBodien's picture

How at risk are the Hamptons?  This is coming from someone who is not familiar with the area.