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The Market's Verdict: Buy Stocks, Buy Bonds, Buy Gold

Tyler Durden's picture


Since early this morning when Germany dropped its nasty econ bomb, the US has been bid. It's not like Europe was sold, it's just that US Treasuries, US Equities, and US-denominated Gold have been on a tear (as the USD has been sold). Equity volumes remain dismal but apart from a near-vertical snap up to VWAP, AAPL has been going the opposite way all day (down!)... Or perhaps, now that Europe is closed, someone just leaked the election results given that ridonculous surge in S&P futures?


Is ES trying to snag 1429 (the 50DMA) again? or just playing catch up with Gold?


we've seen this before... vertical ramp and then parabolic dump...


and AAPL - finding comfort among the VWAPs...


Equities are all alone again in their risk-on over-zealousness...


Charts: Bloomberg and Capital Context


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Tue, 11/06/2012 - 12:50 | 2952058 GolfHatesMe
GolfHatesMe's picture

33 Liberty Partying like it is 1999

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 12:58 | 2952098 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Fiat currency has no value. Zero. Nada.  The dollar and all fiat is in a perpetual deflationary spiral due to the lack of intrinsic wealth.  This is why other assets are increasing in price.

When we talk about hyperinflation what we should really be discussing is the deflationary spiral of fiat.  Fiat has lost, is losing, and will lose.  The end game will be that everyone will be holding paper in their hands while tears stream down their faces thinking that it was possible to throw paper at goods and procure wealth.  Instead people hoarde it like brain dead rats waiting for a day to spend it at DJ 6k.

That day will never come.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:00 | 2952115 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Correct Mr. Hendrix, but try explaining to the average sheep what "fiat" is or what a "federal Reserve note" really is.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:22 | 2952211 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Meanwhile, Silver and Gold have gone vertical.

Full-Retard Day?

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:35 | 2952280 e_goldstein
e_goldstein's picture

The JPM put-monkey must be standing in line waiting to vote.


Tue, 11/06/2012 - 16:59 | 2953111 Muppet of the U...
Muppet of the Universe's picture

You know.  I fucking tell everyone here yesterday, buy.  buy it, fuck it, even buy bonds and stocks and correlated items.  Starting to wish i had remembered oil...

Point is, fuck u guys.  Also, point is, This is the last one. QE loosing steam, can't save the market after this lil tugboat peters out.  Better just hope Q4 and Q113 don't suck.  You got a few months, and this lil jimmy johnson might just flop harder than bob doles dick.  All one can do is hope the training wheels were enough, and that the market will ease into its precarious, rehypod, credit-cluster shitfuck of a bed.  Goodnight,

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 17:28 | 2953216 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

If Obamney wins, I'm going uber long Webvan and

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:13 | 2952135 JPM Hater001
JPM Hater001's picture

So last week I watched the Vid on spotting bubbles- really well done.

What makes apple not a bubble?  That really looks like the BTFD just after the peak...and just before the catastrophic plunge south.


Look at the 5 year chart.

Update: really, right here;range=5y

Grant Williams (must see)

Extraordinary Popular Delusions And The Madness Of Markets

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 17:11 | 2953150 Muppet of the U...
Muppet of the Universe's picture

I gotta be honest, it does.  Just look at BDSI. Bought that shit at 2, sold 3 80.  Came back for more @ 5, sold at 6.50,  shorted to 495, n then tried to buy it at 490... Bailed on that shit 475.  & bdsi looks and feels just like aapl.  stupidly huge bubble based on 'potential'...  Massive sharp peak, bearflg during support, and giant flop?  Who knows, but tomorrow will be a critical day for aapl.  Least I think it will.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:08 | 2952150 GrinandBearit
GrinandBearit's picture

Most sheeple dont' know any better... why would they?  They've been programmed from the time they were kids to believe those green rectangles are real money.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:13 | 2952169 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

All I know is the store takes them in trade for a chocolate bar and I get some coins back. It's been that way for me since a chocolate bar was 5 cents. 

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 17:14 | 2953165 Muppet of the U...
Muppet of the Universe's picture

How else is one supposed to buy all the bubble gum in the world?

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:10 | 2952162 Orly
Orly's picture

"The dollar and all fiat is in a perpetual deflationary spiral due to the lack of intrinsic wealth.  This is why other assets are increasing in price."

Hmmm.  Seems to be a strong dichotomy from one sentence to the next.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:16 | 2952182 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Fiat deflates and goods inflate via price. Simple supply/demand, nevermind that fiat has zero value.

Food has value. Shelter has value.  Hard assets have value.  Fiat has no value other than percieved value.  Percieve value in one hand and shit in the other and see which fills up first.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:38 | 2952304 ATM
ATM's picture

Fiat has value - for now. That's why we are still able to trade it for real goods and services. But, as you explain, it is losing value over time as it has done for 100 years.

What I believe is coming is a final explosive collapse in all value of fiat. The slow trickle downward is one thing, it is entirely another when the rest of the accepted value evaporates overnight.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:51 | 2952355 SeverinSlade
SeverinSlade's picture

To be fair, he said the dollar has no INSTRINSIC value.  That's absolutely correct.  The actual value of the US dollar is essentially worthless.  It current holds value only because people are willing to accept it for goods and services.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:29 | 2952246 knukles
knukles's picture

Correction: 1929

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 12:51 | 2952062 GrinandBearit
GrinandBearit's picture

Algos runnin' everything up today.  

It's all fake, so who cares.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 12:59 | 2952105 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

The dollar is fake.

Do you care?

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:05 | 2952143 GrinandBearit
GrinandBearit's picture

Do I care about the  USD... no.   Holding lots of phyzzz allows me not to care.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 17:23 | 2953202 Muppet of the U...
Muppet of the Universe's picture

This shit is running on fumes, I know.  But still, the fumes get u high bro

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 12:53 | 2952071 Lost Wages
Lost Wages's picture

By the end of the day, EVERYONE can retire.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 12:54 | 2952077 monopoly
monopoly's picture

Very strange day. But what else is new.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 12:54 | 2952079 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Well yes, if you are talking about physical gold.  If you are talking about paper, then you should have bought already and you should be selling ahead of the upcoming bond auctions.

especially true for any equity priced in FRNs, same as it ever was.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 12:55 | 2952080 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Whatever is not the worst, make sure to pile into it and buy to all-time record highs. Yea this is gonna last real long. 

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 12:59 | 2952113 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Using inflation adjusted metrics we are nowhere near all time highs in any good.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 12:54 | 2952081 caimen garou
caimen garou's picture

algos dont know weather to shit or go blind and as usual the traders on the floor of the nyse are telling election jokes and wondering if they will have a job in the near future as computers run the show!

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 12:57 | 2952094 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Yea why even have a 'trader' on a 'floor' today....just for 'old timey' things to show on TV as if theres some actual market that exists? Hell just use life size cardboard cut-outs.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:28 | 2952236 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

all they do is watch the algos bounce prices around

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 17:31 | 2953227 Muppet of the U...
Muppet of the Universe's picture

LOL, no.  Algos fire trades off, so you don't have to manually.  It means u can sell or buy in an instant, that's pretty much it.  But algos don't handle the market complexities.  people do, for now, and a while still to come.  The only thing that has died off in trading is the pit, b/c there is no need for pit trading anymore.   The algo is just the gun, if you will.  The human is still the operator of said gun.  The gun will do what you want it to.  For now.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:31 | 2952255 knukles
knukles's picture

Guess the traders are just traditional barbarous relics.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 12:55 | 2952083 PUD
PUD's picture


Tue, 11/06/2012 - 12:55 | 2952084 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

Would they know that Romney has won because of early polling samples? It's good if true. Despite the magic underwear and all that, it would be good to have a new start. I'm not even worried about WWIII.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 12:57 | 2952102 Orly
Orly's picture

I wouldn't waste my fret credits worrying about WWIII.  It'll be over in a flash.


Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:01 | 2952122 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture


The candidates are two cheeks of the same ass.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:18 | 2952196 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

You're right but it is hard to get it through my head because it means everything is a lie.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:32 | 2952262 knukles
knukles's picture

Hah ha ha ha ha ha

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:26 | 2952228 caimen garou
caimen garou's picture

HA HA MR L H, made tea come out of my nose! your right, thoes two cheeks would'nt make a good ass!

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 12:55 | 2952088 Orly
Orly's picture

The Brits and other Europeans have been going all-in after their close for the past few weeks; I guess after they got the request from us to not let anything go down before the election.  They've been ramping everything after their close, including risk-on 4X pairs.

One can only sit and wonder in awe.


Tue, 11/06/2012 - 12:57 | 2952100 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Well, if true, then we have 1 more close in this 'its all for the election' paradigm we've apprently been running on for 12-18 months or so.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 12:56 | 2952096 monopoly
monopoly's picture

Agree, a new start. At least we would have hope for 3 or 4 weeks. With Obama back to the pits.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:06 | 2952146's picture

Why would a brand new lash in the hand of the overseer give you hope?

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:22 | 2952210 Amagnonx
Amagnonx's picture

+1 made me chuckle.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 12:59 | 2952106 Manipulism
Manipulism's picture

Sorry what nasty econ bomb from Germany?


Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:06 | 2952144 Orly
Orly's picture

German factory orders came in at -3.3% on expectations of -0.3%.

European recession in full swing now and not a whole lot anyone can do about it.

But that's all right!  Party on, dudes!

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:08 | 2952154 Orly
Orly's picture

P.S.  There goes the USDJPY ramping right on schedule...

Now, back to our regularly scheduled programming.  (And it's going to get ugly...)

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 17:39 | 2953243 Muppet of the U...
Muppet of the Universe's picture

charts agree with you.  But the weakness of the euro may just offset the dollar's precipitous drop?  Makes me wonder.  Plus I don't like shorting my own currency with my currency.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 18:40 | 2953391 Orly
Orly's picture

No, it means the USD is going up.

Wed, 11/07/2012 - 00:17 | 2954147 Muppet of the U...
Muppet of the Universe's picture

....  ummm..  wait what?  Going up?  Cus I don't see what ur talkin boot.

All I see is us dollar down 30 ticks in a few hours...  U still solvent after that?

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 12:59 | 2952111 Frank N. Beans
Frank N. Beans's picture

my beans are itching

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:00 | 2952114 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

I think the markets are stating that Romney will win......or we are fuckass'd and people are making as much as they can before meltdown.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:10 | 2952158 GeorgeHayduke
GeorgeHayduke's picture

Yeah, a Romney win will mean an attempt to go back in time to a phony reality that never existed, but does in the minds of so many sheep. He will ensure that this bitch goes off the cliff at top speed! More wars, more corporate welfare, more talk about freedom while taking them away, heck yeah!

Obama on the other hand means a slow roll off the cliff. We'll still get the wars and diminished freedoms with the corporate welfare, he'll just keep it at a low roar instead of the whole patriotic fervor the Rethug sheep will whip themselves into over Romney's wars. We lose either way, it's just a matter of how the show is presented.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:36 | 2952289 knukles
knukles's picture

But we'll just be going back to a phony reality never existed from a phoney reality don't exist now, either. 

Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle tied to Eddy Bernays Godly Works, financed by Goldman Sachs on the Taxpayer's dime.


Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:00 | 2952121 vote_libertaria...
vote_libertarian_party's picture

So the business network script is:


Stocks are up because it looks like _______ will win.



It doesn't matter what name the put in there.  It will be some script to read.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:01 | 2952123 GeorgeHayduke
GeorgeHayduke's picture

"Or perhaps, now that Europe is closed, someone just leaked the election results given that ridonculous surge in S&P futures?"

Let me quess, either the Democratic or Republican fascist corporate butt-sucker will win, As if this phony, media-created, so-called cliffhanger really matters in any sense beyond trivial. It's just a matter of which of these two losers gets to drive the short bus off the cliff.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:13 | 2952167 jdelano
jdelano's picture

+1 for short bus off the (fiscal) cliff

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:01 | 2952124 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

can we get an ES comparison to "model" for the last 12 months? is it somewhere in the neighborhood of 600 points too rich???

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:02 | 2952126 LongSoupLine
LongSoupLine's picture

Fade this fucking pig!

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:03 | 2952130 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

This all will be incredibly profitable to SHORT on the morning after.  

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:07 | 2952147 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Obama is going to win. The market doubled in his first term. Why would it not double again? Earnings? Really? The S&P gave up 50pts and that is fundamentals returning? This is inflation nation baby. Dow 20k By 4th of July.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:05 | 2952137 monopoly
monopoly's picture

Would the markets be acting like this if they were expecting an Obama win? I am confused. 

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:11 | 2952165 GrinandBearit
GrinandBearit's picture

Maybe it's being pumped in preparation for an Obama win (?)

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:17 | 2952190 gjp
gjp's picture

Why wouldn't the markets love an Obama win?  More Bernanke, more Benny Bux, more love for Wall Street.  The markets love nothing more than confetti and couldn't give a rats ass for real production or physical investment.  Physical is a four-letter world in market la-la land.

Of course, markets would love a Romney win too, because they know he'll love Wall Street even longer and stronger.

The American 'city on a hill' just sinks lower every day.  It's an underground bunker now.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:24 | 2952220 optimator
optimator's picture

Maybe it's being pumped up - to be pumped out last hour. 

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:24 | 2952218 vix is for kids
vix is for kids's picture

Gold, stocks and bonds have risen almost every month since BO has been in office.  Why not expect more of the same in the future?

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:07 | 2952151 pragmatic hobo
pragmatic hobo's picture

so, if obama wins are we stuck with eric holder for another 4 years?

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:39 | 2952310 knukles
knukles's picture

And Timmah, Benji, Nancy, Harry and Joey the Plugs.

Have I missed anyone?

Oh yeah, Beyoncee, Jay-Z and the Reverend Wright, Arab Spring, Afghanistan, Iran and increased transparency, freedoms and lower taxes.

Have I missed anything else?

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 14:12 | 2952440 Orly
Orly's picture

The ubiquitous Ryan Seacrest...

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 14:39 | 2952534 Mary Wilbur
Mary Wilbur's picture

"Have I missed anyone?"

Benghazi, Lybia disaster

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:10 | 2952160 Tango in the Blight
Tango in the Blight's picture

Vote Gold for President and Silver for Vice president!

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:11 | 2952163 rajc
rajc's picture

what bomd did it drop?  for real i cant find any news

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:42 | 2952316 knukles
knukles's picture

me neither....

... mayhaps the imagery, perceptions management that (whatever happens) everything is good, as it should be, a shining light upon the hill that cannot be extinguished, freedom, happiness....

... and all that assorted horseshit

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:12 | 2952166 sunny
sunny's picture

What German "econ bomb"  Nothing on Reuters, nothing on Bloomberg????   WHAT!?!?


Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:15 | 2952176 Shizzmoney
Shizzmoney's picture

They are pumping up the market before the thing dives.

It won't dive right after Obama wins....that would be too fishy.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 14:52 | 2952598 sunny
sunny's picture

That makes no sense, have they been pumping the markets for the last 3+ years--"before things dive?"  I've hard that over and over again.  


Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:16 | 2952180 malikai
Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:18 | 2952184 monopoly
monopoly's picture

Well, we know the only ones that will NOT print going forward are the Christmas Elves. Everyone else will print into eternity. Maybe the markets are waking up to this. Sure would like Tyler to chime in. I am still confused. Hah, as usual.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:18 | 2952188 Divine Wind
Divine Wind's picture



An O win means we move our company offshore.

An R win means we wait 6 months and reassess.

Stopped caring when I was asked for ID to by cold medicine but not to vote.

Would rather juice an economy supportive of business instead of providing for the suckling, worthless gibsmedat crowd.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:32 | 2952266 TideFighter
TideFighter's picture


We are too (looking offshore). Suddenly, "Su, Tow r choo today" doesn't seem so bad. 

I spend 3/4 quarters of my working life and the last ten years of my career in reg meetings.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:18 | 2952193 Bobbyrib
Bobbyrib's picture

Gold is going up, the market must think Bernanke is not going anywhere.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:20 | 2952198 tennisfan2
tennisfan2's picture

give an UP vote if you voted for Gary Johnson

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:24 | 2952223 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

The only logical vote is a vote for NOTA.

Anything less, is to be an accessory to a crime.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:23 | 2952213 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture



". . . someone leaked the election results"

Front running the HFV algos?


Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:23 | 2952214 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

One out of three ain't good.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:26 | 2952229 monopoly
monopoly's picture

. someone leaked the election results" OK Bastiat.....But which clown? lol

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:30 | 2952245 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

The one with the big rubber nose and size 22 shoes.  It will be a coup. He'll walk up to the podium and squeeze the rubber bulb on his brass horn.  Then he'll say:  I'm in charge now.  Don't try anything funny.


Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:27 | 2952233 TideFighter
TideFighter's picture

Bernanke ahead in all the prolls. Fuck you, Bernanke.

Someone had to say it, our daily Rx.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:28 | 2952235 fuu
fuu's picture

Money now vertical.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:28 | 2952237 Silver Bully
Silver Bully's picture

Europe loves Obama (compared to the US). If Europeans were voting, the Kenyan would win by a veritable landslide. Therefore, it would make perfect sense for European markets to want an Obama win. That may not be a predictor and more of a desire being expressed on the tape.

FYI, it is expected that gold would surge if Obama won, and likewise gold would decline with a Romney win. Some people think a gold/S&P/bond surge NOW presages an Obama win. However, that could just be smart money setting each other up for a take down after hours/tommorrow if Romney wins.

Either way, you really can't foresee anything from this type of action . . . yet.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:30 | 2952251 walküre
walküre's picture

4% of Germans would vote Romney. That's the average mentally deranged part of the population. Every country has those. But why is it supposedly a close race in the US? Are that many so deranged here? USA! USA! USA!

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 14:10 | 2952431 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

Thank God europeons can't vote here.  You want four years of Barry, you can have him!  We'll just say he was born in Berlin.  "Find" a birth certificate and off you go...

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 16:15 | 2952956 Ropingdown
Ropingdown's picture

I have to laugh when I read opinion pieces by Europeans who speak about how much they like Obama, and would vote for him.  Yes, just as long as he's not running for office in their nation: Frenchmen will not vote for someone "of sub-saharan background" for President. You'll never see a British Prime Minister of Jamaican or Pakistani background.  And on it goes.  Just makes me laugh.  Go ahead, Germany, elect a Turkish-origen Chancellor.  We would vote for him or her, too! laugh.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:28 | 2952238 walküre
walküre's picture

Germany factory orders miss big time.

PRINT FEST is coming. Merkel has no choice now. Gold is cheap.

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:28 | 2952240 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Markets to the upside... Au up 31 as I type...

Obama victory being priced in...

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:28 | 2952241 Mrmojorisin515
Mrmojorisin515's picture

I don't know what is going to happen, be it deflation or inflation, but i do find it quite arrogant to suppose that you do.  Zerohedge has had many good articles over the years, and been right on many counts, but i've read just as many good arguments in favor of deflation as i have inflation.  We'll just have to wait and see now won't we?

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:32 | 2952257 CashIsTrash
CashIsTrash's picture

Deflation is occuring now when you price assets to assets. However, inflation is what is happening to our currency because we still live in a fiat money system...The politicians will continue to print print print until they can't anymore!

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:29 | 2952244 CashIsTrash
CashIsTrash's picture

Gary Johnson Bitchez!!

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:30 | 2952249 monopoly
monopoly's picture

This is one hell of a time for Tyler to go to "lunch". Anyone know what the fuck is going on. LOLOL

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:38 | 2952300 youngman
youngman's picture

It must be the Greeks that are on strike buying all this crap.....

Interesting to see how the bond sale went today......

And I knew the gold and silver drop last week was a farce...bought some more....

And Europe closing green with all their bad do they do that????

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 13:50 | 2952357 Rearranging Dec...
Rearranging Deckchairs's picture

Buy Gold: yup makes sense the dollar is doomed no matter which Robamney is elected.

Buy Stocks: Sure one of the only ways to hedge for inflation is owning dividend paying shares in companies that can survive

Buy Bonds: WTF? what moron is buying treasuries. Are these the same morons who still believe the CPI is an accurate reflection of the cost of living?

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 14:24 | 2952482 zrussell
zrussell's picture

I can just imagine the flurry of knob twisting and lever pulling going on in the secret computer room of the NYFR.


Casinos crankin' : PLACE YOUR BETS!!!!

Tue, 11/06/2012 - 14:33 | 2952512 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture


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