This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.
Europe's Scariest Chart Hits Peak Scariness Levels, And Rising
Things are rather unsurprisingly going from worse to worserer in Europe. Perhaps it is the anecdotal evidence we see in the now weekly riot-cams from Spain and Greece but just as we warned over a year ago, the truly scariest chart in Europe remains that of youth unemployment. The correlation (and causation) that runs from extreme levels of youth unemployment to general social unrest and anarchy is stunning throughout time (as we noted here and here). With Greek 'youth' unemployment jumping to a disheartening 58% (for August) - by far its highest ever - and Spain rising inexorably at 54.2%, the under-25 populations in these nations is truly set to burst (with overall unemployment rates of 25.4% and 25.5% respectively). Euro-zone youth unemployment overall has risen to 23.3% and while Greece jumped the most, Italy was close behind with a 1.2ppt rise to 35.1%. We are sure the austerity voted for last night by the politicians will 'help' - someone...
Data: Bloomberg and Greek Statistics Office
- 36834 reads
- Printer-friendly version
- Send to friend
- advertisements -



Meh. Still could be worsererer.
Cat's gonna die anyhow....no reason to tell him now.
Central planning exposed
Crap....I knew the death panels were real.
When are doomer libertarians going to apologize for their shameless fear mongering about Europe and the peripheries? Despite this doomer hypothesizing, the European Union is stronger than ever and nobody cares about apocalyptic end-of-the-world predictions about Greece and Spain anymore. If need be, the European commission can simply issue Eurobonds and the ECB can monetize this debt in order to suppress interest rates and stabilize the union. Respected finance professionals and the media have totally forgotten about Europe, and are focusing on how to profit from the global recovery. Libertarians need to stop fantasizing about the apocalyptic scenarios and rejoin the rest of society.
Don't touch anything....MDB is currently winning.
Go baby go.
"Respected finance professionals and the media have totally forgotten about Europe, and are focusing on how to profit from the global recovery."
MDB is back on his game.
Got Bailout?
I think the election has reenergized him, he had been in a slump.
I agree totally. Keep giving people free money as this is the best motivator to make them look for work.
The statistics are not reflecting reality. Most Greek & Spanish girls work as hookers here in Frankfurt!
If you see my sister would you tell her to call mom?
Sorry she can´t talk right now. A great white bavarian sausage is keeping her from talking.
More is always better!
"The rest of society." That sums it up. Sitting around and gaining weight while watching television. Have a nice rest.
Libertarians need to stop fantasizing about the apocalyptic scenarios and rejoin the rest of society
Greek 'libertarians' are following your advice as we speak, rejoining the rest of Greek society in burning down Athens.
The ships loaded with small arms and explosives will be offloading their deadly cargoes soon.
With Greek 'youth' unemployment jumping to a disheartening 58% (for August) - by far its highest ever - and Spain rising inexorably at 54.2%, the under-25 populations in these nations is truly set to burst (with overall unemployment rates of 25.4% and 25.5% respectively).
MDB paints the picture of what the elites intend to do about the PIIGS.
Like here at the FED, the ECB intends to monetize the debts and keep kicking the can.
The amoral finance professionals and the media deliberately ignore reporting on Europe and are legitimizing the rape of the planet.
One of your better posts MDB. Funny shit!
What the hell does libertanianism have anything to do with this?
Issuing Euro Bonds? Fighting the dept crisis with more dept? Great idea.
Ben Bad Banky...is it you?
I dub MDB the official "Molotov Cocktail" indicator.
A hopium post like this, ignoring +25% unemployment and debt to infinity, is bullish for Molotov Cocktails.
Clever troll is clever.
MillionDollarBonus
Q. When are doomer libertarians going to apologize for their shameless fear mongering about Europe and the peripheries?
A. When talk of Million Dollar Bonuses is just Folklore.
And when they tell the story of our freedom from the trolls it will sound like this: http://youtu.be/YKfwwlEcowk
Is that you Barroso?
Why have I been so stoopid for so long? Yep, Europe is all fixed. Long baby long, leverage and buy buy buy. Thank you MDB. I think I'll name my next child after you.
So, what you're saying is that this time is different?
10/10
Grand slam!
Except that Germany, Austria, Denmark, etc. will not go along with monetizing the debt.
At this point it might be better for the northern Europeans to go it alone with their own currency.
"Respected finance professionals and the media.."
LOL. There are none of the former, and the latter wouldn't understand what the ECB was doing if you put it on fucking flashcards.
You realize that this has been tried before, right? In Zimbabwe? And did you hear how well it went?
MDB you are in great shape today.
Witnessing this destruction in the society for the purpose of centralizing planning and control is everyday becoming so obvious: it just doesn't make sense. When will the people wake up and realize that which they rely upon couldn't care less about them and that their only salvation is to decentralize and take care of themselves, even if it means at a lower standard of living, such as in Greece.
Sounds like a higher standard of living to me.
Yep, and imagine if life were not based on paying off interest on fractional reserve debt money?
Like filling up a bucket when they keep punching more and more holes in the bottom.
Reminds me of the parable of the mexican fisherman and the investment banker:
http://financialmentor.com/true-wealth/the-parable-of-the-mexican-fisherman-and-investment-banker/2422
pods
You and GF make a good point: if the people cast off the parasite that is the fractional reserve system, they very well may end up with a BETTER standard of living.
One thing is sure: they would be moving forward and feeling the sense of progress as opposed to having a helpless feeling of being stuck in the mud. And nothing feeds the soul and revitalizes communities more than a sense of making progress.
tyler, I think your gonna need a bigger chart ...
I thought GetZee went to hide. Everyone ready to bug?
What....and miss all this fun?
More contestants for the riot cam games! They need to start their own version of the Hunger Games!
Go long RST
Looks like a lot of EU kids need to learn German!
Hey but Spain sold a bunch of bonds...
Yeah.....to themselves....show me anyone else crazy enough to buy them.
If you want to make a bank bonus omelet you have to break some eggs.
Parabolic is the new flat.
Yes, but I would take flat real returns over parabolic nominal returns from monetization any day.
"Your face is kind of scratchy Mrs. Draghi (?)."
Are those real?
Great stuff
10.17 The Greek unemployment rate hit another high of 25.4pc in August, official figures show.
This means that there are now almost 1.3 million Greeks out of work, according to El.Stat. The August rate compares with 18.4pc a year ago and 24.8pc in July 2012.
There were also 3.37 million Greeks classed as "economically inactive" in August. This means that they were not working or looking for a job.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/debt-crisis-live/9662732/Debt-crisis-live.html
So, if 1.3 million are unemployed (equalling 25.4%) AND 3.37 million are "economically inactive" does that mean that only about 10% of Greeks are working ?
Yes and they are out for lunch.
Just to correct, if the figures above are accurate then only between 7 and 8% of Greeks are working
Most of them are just pretending to work.
All of them for the Government.
Nope, but I'm sure you can find some estimates following these links.
Greece and Spain can solve that easily. Get them back in university. Train them for those high paying jobs which are on their way any day now.
/s
+10 Astute read on the scam perpetrated on America.
And the loans required to do so will almost pay off themselves with your new earning power!
pods
what does reality and real people's situation have anything to do with banks maintaining their bonus pools?
It's all good, Germany is holding up well.....I wonder just what might be different between Germany and Spain.......What big Spanish companies can I think of?,,.....none...Now how about Germany? BMW, Volkswagon,Audi, Siemens, Mercedes...to many to list. I wonder why that is.?
Perhaps because Spain is very focused on Latin America (where they are the second biggest foreign investor), on Europe and Asia
Good luck with that. I don't think they're gonna get a dime from Latin America
It is funny but Colombia just had a big meeting with Spanish companies and embassy officals and were trying to get them to invest down here...lol....In the meantime they are dying at home.....
Right, because Colombia is such a bastion of peace and stability and thus a great place to invest billions of Euros.
Just ask Repsol about their engagement in Argentina.
And we see where that is getting them. I wonder how many more of their companies will get nationalized. Here is a thought..how about creating an environment friendly to investment and innovation in their own country. Similar to what we used to have.
Because Germans are just mean and haters! They are working hard just to make the rest of Europe look bad. Everyone knows in our new progressive world that the truly good, nice and smart people don't really work. It interferes with their creative thinking time. Unemployment leads to creativity and technical as well as social advancement. All these working people are stagnating the world.
The big Spanish firms I've worked with include OHL, Ferrovial, Repsol & CASA, so they do exist, but not to same the degree as in Germany.
Riots accomplish nothing - storm the palace and get the job done.
No, storm the banks.
I think the strategy is storm the palace first, ie, cut off the head of the monster.
the under twenty five are ALL employed in Europe, they get minimum wages for being unemployed which are 20-50 times a Foxconn worker in China. Thats globalisation pay scale for you today.
What Euroezone cannot do is pay its youth at Chinese levels, in or out of work. That would mean revolution.
I didn't realize Obama was president of Europe also
One of the causes of high youth unemployment is high minimum youth wages. That prevents companies from hiring young people. And older workers don't leave the workforce so that there in no movement in the labormarket.
Unrestricted child labor and debtors' prisons: great old ideas whose time has come again!
Yes because young working people in Europe and the US are really poor. But at least they show solidarity with their Chinese counterparts by buying the latest phones, buy Hilfiger cloths, the latest sneakers, etc. All made in China!
I get the sarcasm. Well played.
The whole idea that the peasantry in the US and Europe (and NZ and OZ, and Canada, etc.) is at all "poor" is bullshit. Until the peasants in the West learn their place and get back to work competing with the Chinese (et al), the Lords will simply keep their castles in the East.
The rabble has had it good for a long time, a new day is dawning and they better get used to it. The Lords are sick of this shit.
I arrowed you up for getting the sarcasm.
Through globalisation, the local elites around the world (whether capitalist/fascist or socialist/communist) found out they have a lot in common with eachother so they joined forces to keep the rabble at bay. The way to do this is to wipe out the middle class. That happens in the US, it happens in Europe. China does not have a sufficient middle class to begin with. If the sheeple wake up, just create some war or conflict. The times they are a changing alright.
Chinese labor is out competing the rest of the world. If American labor was more competitive (easily achieved through improved education), they would be happy to pay the producers to work. They could put it on their credit cards.
If American regulations & taxes were more competitive (ideally zero) then business would relocate here in droves and the rest of the world's labor force would be fucked, especially the Chi-commies.
Exactly.
Rivers on fire.
Have you ever ran a company in Europe? Minimum wage in Belgium is 20k a year. for that money, 11k goes right to the government. Plus, on everything you buy, there is a 21% value added tax (soon to go up to 25% if the socialist piece of shit president of Belgium has his way).
Now, I know China ain't great, but c'mon, there has to be a middle ground between the insane labour costs of Europe and organized slavery? Can't you at least admit that the costs of labour in Europe are a problem?
Middle ground is for pussies, and really - who's to say what it is?
The Enlightenment was nice while it lasted - kudos, world, for the experiment. Now it's time for the peasantry to get the fuck back to work.
edit: and sorry - no; I've never run a European company.
Please qualify "out competing". I've been to China over a dozen times and so I have some insight on the subject.
They compete by offering their labor at lower cost.
Maybe one of the reasons why the US govmint is so willing to issue mountains of student loans is simply to keep the kids off the streets. I wonder if similar demonstrations would happen here if student loans were suddenly non-existent?
Duh... That's also why we have unlimited warfare. The young ones have to be given something to do so they don't attack the power structure. Of course it only works until the USD loses all value.
Good question. Awful quiet around here all of a sudden. I say "calm before the storm" as well. Clearly this site should cheer more than most as it was the banks that lost big in this election...and yet no one wants to break out the confetti. Hmmmm. "Government Blues" here we come...
"Futures signal higher open......."
What a disconnect.
Must. Pump. Futures.
Is is me, or has this turd we call the world economy passed the event horizon and is now accelerating towards the now black hole sized fan we call society?
The only thing to fear is fear itself, right?
The indicator for that event will be very clear - hyperinflation begins and causes shortages of everything
I think in Rome, they couldn't pay the mercenaries.
The rest to follow ...
Greek Brid pop-ups, I'm still waiting to see Greek Bride ads on my screen.
Where are they?
so 30 seconds ago
Try looking here http://alpha-dog-food.com
Nothing like a big ass world war to reduce the excess inventory of disaffected young people.
Cue false flag attack in 3 2 1.....
Can we please start with a real attack on the Fed Reserve and UN ?
They just bought up the gun treaty again.....thanks Bam Bam....if they're gonna attack us I'd say we should attack back.
Hell it's just in the Consitution....but that's been ripped to shreds.
Jumped right on that problem right quick didn't he? Almost laser focused you might say.
Remind me again...how did WWI and II start?
Er, politicians getting really scared about what a bunch of young men might get up to with nothing to do all day other than look for the right people to blame (so therefore need 'distracting' in case they tried to take power and/or wealth away from those who were holding it)?
The Greek bankster omelet with feta cheese, coming up.
Why in the fk are we torturing Greece like this? What is the real purpose here? Is it just to get their gold? They don't have that much debt and they aren't doing anything the rest of Europe is not also doing. This is just getting stupid. There has to be something else going on.
Quinvarious, why do you pose the question this way?
Greece - it's elected parliament for which we followed here in ZH the elections - wants to stay in the eurozone. Some 60% to 70% of the Greeks want to keep the EUR. and this means abiding to the rules of this club.
may I remember you that the Greek gov originally cheated on their numbers - thanks to the Squid - and was happily spending like a drunken sailor on what amounts to a credit card for which the others were half-liable.
the eurozone countries are - intelligently or stupidly as commenters go - on the way of balanced budgets. As an answer to the crisis, etc. See the European Fiscal Compact http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Fiscal_Compact.
Greece tells it's peers: pls, we want to stay in the club, we just have this or that to pay and we'll catch up.
meanwhile as long as those damn CDSs are still legal nobody knows how many banks go bankrupt again if Greece defaults
so the others (not only Germany) are helping. and the Greek gov has to find a way to balance the bloody budget
yes, it's painful, but it's fundamentally a Greek sovereign decision
but of course near all Keynesianists of this world want to picture this as a torture
OK, so why is Europe so keen to have them stay? Seems like a bad deal. Seems really stupid.
on a practical side there is this problem with the CDSs and a possible PR fallout
on a strategic side there is this thing between the UK and Russia about Greece going on since the times of Lord Byron and the Greek Independence from the Ottoman Empire. and the interest in Greece as a NATO partner
side remark: on a constitutional/legal side the eurozone and the EU are both clubs where any sovereign member can leave whenever it wants, or join if it conforms the parameters - as several countries are still preparing to
but the main thing is: Greece is important for europeans, on a very sentimental side. It's something like the cultural grandmother, or the crazy old aunt that nevertheless teached you how to read and write
when you set up a new confederative setup for several countries you have to allow for "the special case". hence patience with the other crazy aunt, the UK (which is still undecided and more of a drag than anything else) or for other sensibilities, including the "Greatness of France". and patience for the special needs of several others, including those who just emerged back from behind the Iron Courtain
but keen to have them stay? no. this is pure propaganda from several sources, including Rupert Murdoch's goons, the UK conservatives and libertarians, people who are looking for the next crash as a possibility to profit including several banks, lots of people who hate all things euro, etc. etc.
The Greek majority in their Parliament is keen to stay, they just showed it again with the last vote. And as long they are keen to stay it would be shameful not to help them
of course on the side there is a lot of corrupted deals and other garbage, but this is the answer about why - on the political will side
we might call it stupid and a bad deal, but it's based on a sentiment similar to family, which also leads to many economically "stupid" moves, including feeding ungrateful brats and crazy aged aunts
Thanks.
Very interesting.
Agree 100% with this. The problem is they can't afford it long term. There is no good reason for them to be tied to the same currency as Germany. It makes no economic sense for them at all, aside from a point of pure hubris.
While they are trying to be part of the big EU experiment, people are literally starving on the street while they need to devalue their economy via wage and asset deflation, and productivity increases (like we'll ever see the latter).
I understand the solidarity argument, but really, it is literally destroying the fabric of Greece.
this is the same argument against gold. the basic question is: balanced budget? Yes or No?
a lot has been written on "the big EU experiment", but funnily the eurozone is a separate club. they could leave the EUR and/or default (and still use the EUR, informally, as several small countries in europe do) and still be part of the EU
and there is the not-so-small-thing about Greek Pride (sounds nicer than hubris)
and a lot is being reported on "people literally starving on the street" but note that the Greek Parliament just voted 168 (of 300) for austerity.
propaganda about starvation or "do the elected representatives know better"?
remember that "the fabric of Greece" is a different matter from the society you encounter in any AngloSphere country, be it the US or any Commonwealth country.
Greece is a nation indipendently from the current status of their society, due to the unique culture, language and history. their common ties are different
put it in a different way: Greece suffers from deflation. some pundits say 30%. now if they had the Drachma, they could inflate it by 30%.
or they could have their labour market adjust. This means all paychecks (and social security checks) would have to go down by 30%.
All in all Greeks are behaving as all the other continental europeans would do: they are more scared of inflation than deflation and are quite confident that eventually the EUR will inflate anyway
But the problem of having a currency that is not fundamentally aligned to your economy will NEVER go away for Greece. Sure, they can deflate, but eventually there will come a time when the productivity will need to align with Germany in order for the interest rates to make economic sense for the Greek economy.
You and I may disagree, but I do not ever see that day occurring, regardless of how much they deflate, as I never see the Greeks competing head-on with Germany long term. There will always be an economic disequilibrium between Germany and Greece that will require a divergent monetary policy.
Greece is only the most obvious example, but Italy, Spain, and Portugal are in the same situation.
The US manages this situation by having a transfer union. For the last 50 years, California was subsidizing a lot of other US economic activity. I just don't see the Germans standing up for this.
As for Greek politicians, I may be cynical, but I see them as pigs at the trough, sucking up Germany's billions.
On the most basic level, we have paper money instead of gold so we can print our way out of these problems. That is the system of rules we have chosen. The human suffering being imposed here is largely sadism. This is a small problem, easily solved by printing as the system was designed to solve these problems, being enflamed to unnatural size.
It is not that I am a Keynesian. I just recognize we use monopoly money and not gold. There is no point to pretending the Euro or the USD have real value. The game has rules.
I am not sure who is more disgusting. The Greek government for not defaulting or the global banking system for not just forgiving the debt. The debt is never going to get paid. So lets end this and let Greece start over from zero.
Greece can make a bunch of promises about budget reform again, just like all the other broke dick nations on the planet. Then in 20 years they can default again. That is just the way it works when you use vapor money.
I'm not pretending that the EUR is something else than a fiat currency
but the "laws of economics", or, better, of markets make any gold backed currency a losing proposition as long as there is a fiat global reserve currency - bad money drives good money away
please remember that all USD outside America were covered by gold until 1968, one to one, one million bucks = one ton of gold
after August 1971 we all knew where this would lead - and that it would take at least twenty years to go there, particularly after the other trick with gold from 1974 (US legalization) to 1980 (spike and crash)
the primary point of the EU was and is still to prepare for a possible trade war, the secondary to provide "continental size" solutions
the primary point of the eurozone is to prepare for a possible currency war or the return of gold
and you can't have gold without balanced budgets - hence the Fiscal Compact
all defensive moves, like prepping on continental size
the Greek debt is not the issue. it's the habit of balancing the budget that is the issue. and the Greeks know this
------------
btw CHS was mentioning 14% of Greek tax revenues for debt service. the high water mark is 20%, no country was ever expected to pay more since very, very long
I agree that it's a disgusting situation on several sides, but don't forget that sovereigns are supposed to be the "ultimate grown-ups", and Greece does not want to default and does not want to leave the EUR Club
the banks want the gold.
which the firms short, but the bank managers go long.
then they let it all crash....who then makes the rules (if they don't already)?
Actually, that is pretty much what I think is going on too. The easy cure for the entire global mess is to push gold up well over 10k an ounce, where it actually belongs, so everyone has an asset to back their crap debt. But naturally, the bankers need their gold back first, and then some.
backing the USD with gold - independently from the price - would mean losing the so-called Exorbitant Privilege
it would lead to either sovereing bankrupcies or balanced budgets and fiscal conservativism - something not everybody is keen to achieve
finger pointing to several parties including the MegaBanks of this world
we are torturing the greeks so that the bond and shareholders of banks don't take a loss on their investments. simple as that
And watch that orange French line go on up too. At least it won't have to change direction.
2016 Olympics in RIO will be great fun as Team Rioting and Individual Rioting events are added and will be held in the city's slums.
Early betting has Greece winning the gold, London rioters taking silver, and Egypt's Team Arab Spring getting the bronze. Occupy Wall Street was DQd as they all moved to Colorado to smoke weed and didn't pass the drug tests.
We will all be out of a job soon.
No problem. We got big daddy Barak to take care of us. Get yo EBT, O-care, O-phone, O-disability check, 16 oz mt dew - all good.
Root hog or die...
And Cue the Fascists leader who will emerge to scapegoat the elderly and older people in general in three two one.
Wait a minute. Demographic scare mongers tell us that the youth are needed to work double hard to care for the elderly. And if that isn't true can't the EU drum up a war with someone and send them all off to be slaughtered?
Funny thing is....the People actually do have the power, but are scared to use it-
Its like being robbed by a thief in your house while you're holding a gun, but too scared to fire...
AMAZING
It's not just fear stopping Americans, it's also greed.
FEAR and DESIRE
The good news is that the chocolate ration has been increased from 4 ounces to 2 ounces per week.
The chart needs more shades of blue to make it even harder to read.
yep, greens and reds too, pretty darn near impossible to allocate the colours to the countries and then find/differentiate them on the chart!
the one take-away from the chartology however is the more educated (cough) the students the less likely they are to find jobs
another State turkey factory malinvesting, mis-allocating resources and no ability to match supply with demand (same as it ever was)
"Don't stop the production line, we've got no demand for the end-product but we're just going to churn them out anyway ...channel stuffing students, it's a twist on the all-the-rage new concept at General Motors!!"
See the chart in super large version:
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2012/11/20121108_EUunemp.png
If U click on Tyler's charts, they usually open separately.
The causes of all this unemployment in the 'developed world' are quite simple: Technology and relatively cheap oil and outsoucing to the developing countries. Remedies are simple enough, but are politically difficult to implement, because the gravy train for the '1%' is just too sweet to abandon.
This is why the whole FORWARD meme never resonated with me.
its "FOWARD"
Actually it's Vorwarts.....
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q6Ryt0JbDa0
We need some Obama Youth.
Well done.
"Vorwarts" indeed.
Wrapped in the stars and stripes no doubt.
It is becoming increasingly clear that just like the book/movie Fightclub, the banks and credit institutions all need to be brought to the ground and turned to dust. All debt needs to be wiped away and those responsible for this mess need to be hung and their property confiscated. Dismantle their empires.
communism is very popular in europe carl marx would love it.
http://covert.ias3.com/expose/
Marx is 'winning' at the moment in Europe, America and Japan ..the ignorant theories that State can run anything either 'fairly' or for societies good health
stealing (taxing) productive people to prop up lazy, corrupt, ignorant toerags in Govt is just theft dressed up as socio-economic claptrap
expecting the parasitical turkeys of Govt to vote for Christmas isn't even worth hoping for
Crash & Burn, that'll teach 'em coz no fucker else stands a chance
The Greek and Spanish youth are all employed..."the unemployed" became rioters. There labor statistic fudgepacking with lots of BS and PhDs
maybe people are realizing that older employees are more productive and hold the knowledge in a company :)
no chance you're over 45 and skewed the survey results???
;)
"Things are rather unsurprisingly going from worse to worserer.."
Go Long 'er' ...there's going to be massive demand for those 2 letters.. you'll be raking it in over the next few years
Shouldn't we be at worsererererererererer..er
Since symbols preceed realities, we are looking at the mass unemployment preceeding the mass murders.
This situation has occured multiple times in past. Check global employment pre-1944, also in between continental wars in europe. A vast number of untrained young men. Enter the "new" crusades, and off they go to die for God and country.
They'll never get jobs wearing those cheezy euro warm up suits.
jumpstyle!