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Europe Squeezes Back To Wednesday's Reality

Tyler Durden's picture





 

Quite a shocker of a day in FX and European corporate bond and stock markets as shorts are squeezed back up to last Wednesday's levels. Sovereign bonds - which one would think the beneficiary of all the exuberance are flat as a Gaza-strip apartment building: +/-2bps in the last 4 days (aside from Portugal which rallied over 30bps today). The following four charts gives a sense of the anxiety both ways in this market with the low volume this week likely to help all those hoping for a final solution. Credit markets gapped tighter and kept going (one of the biggest moves of the year with XOver -35bps) with financials outperforming (more life-lines for the over-levered?); equity markets all retraced last week's losses in large part (aside from Greece); EURUSD broke back above 1.28 and its 200DMA; and Europe's VIX has collapsed from over 22% to 19.6% at the close today.

 

European Sovereign bonds unimpressed...(apart from Portugal)

 

European Stocks reverted back...

 

and corporate and financial credit soars/squeezes back to Wednesday's levels...with financials outperforming

 

As EURUSD rallied to two-week highs...

 

and Europe's VIX cliff dives...

 

Moves feel very squeeze-like wherever we look - not sustainable - and in general equities have considerably outperformed broad risk assets.

Charts: Bloomberg

 


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Mon, 11/19/2012 - 12:58 | Link to Comment Abitdodgie
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You have to love the Jews                                                                          http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=YhJwdLi5wfw

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:02 | Link to Comment slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

All the German institutional TA guys were calling a correction to DAX 6750.  Guess they were off by 200 points.  Oops.  

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:30 | Link to Comment Titus Flavius C...
Titus Flavius Caesar Vespasianus Augustus's picture

 

  • The nationalist not only does not disapprove of atrocities committed by his own side, but he has a remarkable capacity for not even hearing about them.
  • Actions are held to be good or bad, not on their own merits, but according to who does them, and there is almost no kind of outrage — torture, the use of hostages, forced labour, mass deportations, imprisonment without trial, forgery, assassination, the bombing of civilians — which does not change its moral colour when it is committed by ‘our’ side.

George Orwell - Notes on Nationalism (1945)

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:01 | Link to Comment mewenz
mewenz's picture

so much good stuff here...sure I'll be flamed but don't understand the gratuitous need to fan the fire of hatred

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:40 | Link to Comment NooooB
NooooB's picture

The only people I hate are Racists..... And the Dutch....

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:40 | Link to Comment Titus Flavius C...
Titus Flavius Caesar Vespasianus Augustus's picture

You know,  I suspect that civilians blown up or maimed by bombs from fighter jets or drones don't give a particular fuck whether the guy pulling the trigger hates them or just feels a cold detachment.

 

I'd worry less about hate, and more about who's causing suffering.

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 15:18 | Link to Comment mewenz
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"who's causing suffering"...yep, just far too often seems to be "the guy in the other uniform" according to far too many.  Someone "not like me" is the bad guy.  Guess I don't see it that way all the time.

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:02 | Link to Comment Flounder
Flounder's picture

Wouldn't be surprised to see the equity avgs flat or neg today by the close.

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:13 | Link to Comment TeamDepends
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My advice to you is to start drinking heavily.

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:03 | Link to Comment Everybodys All ...
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Very predictable Thanksgiving week short squeeze. It happens over and over again on lighter volume days and weeks. Which will be setting up for a much larger correction once again testing lower lows this next time down imo.

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:26 | Link to Comment Jonas Parker
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Gotta squeeze the stuffin' outta dem turkeys...

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:04 | Link to Comment slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Here comes 200DMA on ES at high noon.  Boehner and Pelosi seen holding hands outside a cinema?

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:08 | Link to Comment ebworthen
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Go light on the corn dogs and bring your syrup of ipecac, this roller coaster is a doozy.

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:11 | Link to Comment slaughterer
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Corn dogs?  Got to keep it light: Twinkies.    

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:10 | Link to Comment OldE_Ant
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bad is good!  Every 1-1.5% up and down day is simply p-replay of 2008 where 1-2% up/down days turned into a 20-30% market drop.  This week has to be up so thanksgiving goes well and next week the booze wears off.

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:12 | Link to Comment slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

OldE_Ant: next week correction is consensus.  Be brave, be contrarian, be a a robo-bull.  

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:13 | Link to Comment geewhiz190
geewhiz190's picture

the touts were out in force in the weekend press..  puff pieces on AAPL had to be an all time record.  wonder what Einhorn is doing today

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:14 | Link to Comment LouisDega
LouisDega's picture

Spider update: Spider says im not ok Spider

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:15 | Link to Comment ekm
ekm's picture

Do not be fooled.

This is my definition of the current stock market: A PERENNIAL HOPE/EFFORT TO LURE SUCKERS.

 

What's happening has got nothing, absolutely nothing to do with Israel or housing data or anything else.

The only current issue for primary dealers is that nobody else has money to buy the crap they've purchased and they are stuck. Hence Primary Dealers are FORCED to buy and buy and buy and buy.

Hence, stocks markets have no other way to go but to go FORCIBLY up until one or two primary dealers collapse.

The scheme never changes: Bear Stearns, Lehman, MFG, always the same.

Do not be fooled. Any news is irrelevant.

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:15 | Link to Comment slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

WTI up 3%

Guess people figured out there is a war going on in Middle East and industries need oil to produce things.

Gee, who would have thought?

 

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:16 | Link to Comment BraveSirRobin
BraveSirRobin's picture

"What we have here is a failure to communicate."

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:16 | Link to Comment fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

one of the fast money people just suggested apple is stuck in a trading range. it was a woman. that was the only thing that kept the four guys from beating her to death on the air.

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:19 | Link to Comment ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Or the guy who said Apple is up 45% this year, so people are cashing out before capital gains taxes go up.

What?  Taxes affect behavior?  People taking profits?  What is CALPERS to do?  What will the Wall Street equity circus do if they pitch a big tent and no one comes?

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:24 | Link to Comment slaughterer
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FB EOY tax selling will be a spectacle, I guarantee.  

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:30 | Link to Comment nonclaim
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GRPN could offer year end discounted securities for FB, AAPL and what else.

(and yes, grpn is still listed)

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:55 | Link to Comment SheepDog-One
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'Apple up 45% this year, so theyre all cashing out'....once again we're supposed to believe 'the greater fool' theory that theres an endless line of real dumb rich guys to offload your stawks to whenever, and also they dont mind taking the tax hit that the 'smart guys' didnt want to take. All just pure bullshit.

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:25 | Link to Comment slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

AAPL has strong technical average at $666.  Brings out the best in everybody.  

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:19 | Link to Comment dwdollar
dwdollar's picture

Time for the Bernanke Santa Claus cartoons...

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:24 | Link to Comment q99x2
q99x2's picture

per CNBC: The Federal Reserve Bank of New York won the dismissal of former American International Group Chief Executive Maurice "Hank" Greenberg's $25 billion lawsuit accusing it of acting unlawfully in bailing out the insurer during the 2008 financial crisis.

On another note: Goldman told clients to expect an 8% S&P drop. So, there is the confirmation of a stock market ramp.

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:34 | Link to Comment slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

All types of people today complaining today about the D-bag bulls they see on CNBC and BBG and ... everywhere.  What if Kostin (GS) is the biggest D-Bag of them all?  We have Rosenberg and Janjuah both short -term bull right now, and ONE (count it, ONE) equity strategist at GS calling for 1250 EOY?  To top off the confusion at GS: we have the chief economist of GS calling for earnings momentum in 2013 and a base case scenario of a rally.    GS is like a faculty club where the staff like to debate each other through their wild forecasts after gourmet lunches.  It is like the "business card scene" in "American Psycho."  Clients, I mean muppets, be damned.  

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:30 | Link to Comment tooriskytoinvest
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EU is doomed for a long time

 

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 14:29 | Link to Comment inevitablecollapse
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we are all doomed for a long time

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:47 | Link to Comment SmoothCoolSmoke
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US.shoppers.must.feel.happy.on.Black.Friday

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:48 | Link to Comment LongSoupLine
LongSoupLine's picture

MSN online "money news" headlines:

there you have it...recovery is here.  unfucking real.

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 13:58 | Link to Comment SheepDog-One
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Looks like desperation to find some bagholders.

Mon, 11/19/2012 - 14:18 | Link to Comment LongSoupLine
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bingo.

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