Wall Street Responds To The French Downgrade

From buy French bonds and the EUR, to sell French bonds and the EUR, every possible opinion is included in the list below.

Commerzbank

• Wider OAT/bund spreads may attract investors after the rating downgrade, head fixed income strategist Christoph Rieger says
• Cites January move in spreads
• Sees risk of downgrades in other core countries

Citigroup

• France downgrade is an omen for Germany’s rating
• Netherlands and Austria may also face rating action

Credit Agricole

• Strong buying of French debt to continue, strategist Peter Chatwell says
• Model shows 7-year non-German core debt expensive vs shorter maturities

RBC Capital

• Keep buying 5-year French debt after rating cut; move was priced in, note to clients says
• French spreads were already wider to other top-rated countries
• Expect EFSF’s Aaa rating to be downgraded by Moody’s in coming days

BNP Paribas

• EFSF may be downgraded by Moody’s in a few days, BNP says
• Cites French downgrade, says ESM is different

Nomura

• French downgrade highlights rating risks posed by Spain, which Nomura thinks will lose its investment-grade rating

Investec

• “Massive selling pressure” unlikely in event of EFSF downgrade

Societe Generale

• Luckily for France, global sentiment is “risk on”
• Prudence is a good strategy going into year-end
• OLOs will re-converge with OATs, note to clients says

Morgan Stanley (in note before latest rating downgrade)

• French downgrades may not lead to forced selling
• No Index-driven selling seen

Source: Bloomberg

Comments

[Shizzmoney]

Luckily for France, global sentiment is “risk on”

For some reason

[GetZeeGold]

We threatened we'd tax them to death....so they left.

Can they do that?

[buzzsaw99]

good job boyz take another bonus from petty cash

[ZippyBananaPants]

"What's in the box?"

[ziggy59]

Hopium Koolaid Punch refill...

[falak pema]

musical chairs, whom do we clobber next in this "fixed" market; anything to make a crazy buck before the ship goes belly up.

Hollande loves cheese. He wil have to defend his camembert. "Mutti, Mutti where are you when I need you?"

"Ha you socialist, down on your knees, and get your competivity package in place or I'll sing : Nein, Nein, Nein....

I am now into Ost politik big time. So puleeze my time is very precious." 

Meanwhile on the Eastern front, this : La Russie prévoit d'investir 125 milliards d'euros dans l'Extrême-Orient

Not only was Mutti in Moscow but also Sarko on private visit. Putin has such big Keynesian plans : "all to be financed in EUROS", (hint hint), "that there is place for everybody here! "

I see Hollande taking the next train to Moscow. 

[Julian]

word cloud

http://www.wordle.net/show/wrdl/6039073/French_Downgrade

[BraveSirRobin]

It's like the White Star line doubling up on efforts at selling non-refundable tickets on the Titanic as they listen to the distress calls on the wireless. 

[GetZeeGold]

....and the band played on.

[El Viejo]

Yeah, lemme guess. The VIX is still unmoved. (Not a very representative formula, huh?)

[EscapeKey]

CCC is priced in already.

Rally.

[youngman]

actually it is not.......but by then...that will be a flight to safety bond.....as the others will be FFF or EEE by then

[LongSoupLine]

I respond to Wall Street:

Eat shit and die assholes!