What Happened In The Fall Of 2010?

Tyler Durden's picture

A funny thing happened in the fall of 2010. Global equity markets went from the relatively 'normal' reflection of fundamental trends in earnings to an entirely disconnected 'keep equity valuations high at all costs' centrally-planned environment divorced of fundamental support (no matter how many times we are told 'stocks are cheap'). What happened and who broke the markets 'saved the world'?



Hint: ryhmes with 'who he blew'


Source: Bloomberg Chart of the Day

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climber's picture

Our kids will be playing with squirrels...

Winston Churchill's picture

Our kids will be eating squirrels.

Fixed it.

Jason T's picture

That's what they ate in the last great depression...who knows how many starved to death.  

zebrasquid's picture

The squirrels will be eating our kids.

Cursive's picture


Post of the month.  Easily.

monogratis's picture

Save the Acorns and the Planet!  Kill the squirrels and eat the children!

Cursive's picture

@Winston Churchill

Here in Louisiana and much of the South, squirrel is the first date on the fall hunting schedule.  I don't know how many people enjoy it, but I can assure you it is eaten regulary every September.

Winston Churchill's picture

Don't care for it myself.

Can't get it out of my head that its a tree rat.

Live in the South myself.Love rattlesnake and gator,frogs ,but draw the line at rat.

Had dog once,didn't know it the time.The Indian curry house was raided next day,

and an Alsation was  found in the fridge.

Conman's picture

Blame it on the algos, they have made the market a complete farce. It no longer represents companies future earnings, but is just a reflection of expectation of future bailouts.

archon's picture

It's like the ugly girl who wears too much makeup - just enough to hide her true ugliness, but no amount of makeup can fix that kind of ugly.

fonzannoon's picture



(Jumping up and down clapping hands)

jim249's picture

The most important shopping days of the year coming up. No way the fed is going to let the markets drop. Got to get those sheepel out spending!

scatterbrains's picture

Catch yall niggas down around 1250ish..  but thinking 1403 first...


oldfruit1's picture

ina drew? why the fuck would she want to keep the market up?

conspiratoiral BS to explain you faulty analysis and forecasts tyler ? ;)

benbushiii's picture

The algos / HFT are allowed to exist because they enable the direct tranmission of market manipulations by the FED.  Whom was buying the Euro last night and printing dollars to protect the markets?

slaughterer's picture

It really is the overnight futures market and the graveyard shift at the NYFED which is responsible for this splt since Fall of 2010, after the massive dead cat from ES 666 petered out.  

Cognitive Dissonance's picture

When confidence/perception is reality, man the CON.

<Aye aye Captain Ben.>

nolla's picture

Well, all this whining and crying about stupid algos and stupid momos and stupid this and stupid that...

So, are you really thinking that the UST 10y or German 10y Bund are the Best Investments around? With a yield under 1 3/4%? If not, then buy equities, simple as that.

oldfruit1's picture

exactly .. the fuckwits here dont get that flattening the yield curve means you need to chase return in equity. there doesnt have to be a hidden conspiracy .. the fed openly just crushes the yield curve .. so your grand conspiracy is actually right under your nose .. its just you dont fucking get it. 

fonzannoon's picture

i think zh put it better when it said u buy bonds now for total return and stocks for income. complete reversal. performance seems to bear that out. the 10yr could outperform stocks all the way to negative yields. seems like a lot of people have not figured that out.

hussaifa's picture

Uh...that does not explain the massive equity fund outflows and correspondingly large bond fund INflows from the ICI fund flow data, the supposely large amount of money market fund cash reportedly "on the sidelines", yestreday's post on ZH about large amounts parked in savings accounts, nor the lack of equity daily trading volume (though its hard to trust any data these days). If it is not in some way manpulated, then I think we would all love to hear your obviously rational explanation so that we can shed our "fuckwitdom" for your relative "genius". 

Savyindallas's picture

You're kind of a dumbass, aren't you?

Conman's picture

What was worse buying HP stock or staying in cash or those crappy treeasuries like you say.

nolla's picture

Good point with HP, but that's not my definition of a diversified portfolio.

Look, I don't like too much what the CB's are doing, I don't. But today, when I thought that here in Europe the stock market is a bit ahead of itself I thought that instead of shorting stock futures I did my habit of buying Bund instead. But it's not fun! Bund future is in a ridiculous level at 142 and change, meaning a yield of 1,43%. Huh, come on, it's just one week of equity bull and the Bund future drops to a massive and critical support level of 138 - huge losses already there. But 138 is still LESS than 2% yield for a 10 years investment. Not my game. 

Conman's picture

HP is just 1 example. FB, zynga, nflx, gmcr. chk. list goes on and on and on and on.

nolla's picture

HD, DIS, even (god forbid) TOL.. no, still not the point. The point is this:

If Santa Claus is giving you a portfolio that you must keep the next 10 years, which one you would take: QQQQ (or SPY) vs. UST 10y?

I think the answer is simple.

TheSilverJournal's picture

Not so simple. Equities are set to boom in nominal terms and crash in real terms. Buy silver. Silver is set to rise 30X in real terms.

SeanJKerrigan's picture

Check out this picture from a town in New Jersey. The place is falling into tribalism. Total chaos. Our future I fear.


mrdenis's picture

I live about 30 mi from that town ...it's very blue collar ,this sign was put up after Sandy people were patrolling the streets with shot guns and the police did't stop them from doing so ...

Go Tribe's picture

Defending your home against loser fucks is tribalism and that's a bad thing?  Didn't see any tribes in that picture, just a sign painted by good, wholesome Americans fed up with loser fucks.

SeanJKerrigan's picture

I'm not saying it's bad, but that it's necessary is bad.

falak pema's picture

QE2 and the massive increase to BOT algos; We know that; we have been educated by ZH.

TY, lets move on to 2012. >Two years later the inevitable meltdown has not occurred as CB QE shenanigans now have put the whole planet on that trajectory in unsion. Global subterfuge.

Until it hits the asymptote...but when? 

We all seemed to believe that the current US reserve/FED system would lose its resilience in 2015-17 period...At least that was what was felt as when the debt accumulation in current paradigm would lead us to the wall.

Winston Churchill's picture

I'm planning on the end of 2014 being TSHF date.

If its later no matter.But by then is the time to have all your ducks

in the proverbial row.Better too soon than a moment late.


kralizec's picture

Can I take that date to the bank?  Shit, wrong word, my bad!  ;)

aerojet's picture

You sound like one of those doomsday cults.  They predict the end of the world, get it wrong, and then come up with some bs reason why they were wrong and it's still 1-2 years from the mistaken date.  Heaven's Gate at least created their own localized end of the world.

Winston Churchill's picture

Financial Armageddon.

Math, not misguided faith, predicts that future.

Go back  to sleep,you will need it.

csmith's picture

QE2 happened and everybody saw it coming.

QE1 was different. It was stealth. It had happened before anybody really KNEW it was needed (And it WAS needed - if only to keep the system from collapse)

Today people act like each episode of QE was a natural, perfectly foreseeable progression. They weren't.

QE1 kept things from flying apart. QE2 was an ADMISSION that the system was still badly damaged. QE3 was more of a hope-laden booster shot for an economy that people recognize is not really going anywhere, but is at least stable.

e-man's picture

Everyone keeps using that word. I do not think it means what they think it means.

Ctrl_P's picture

By the way, you do not happen to have 6 fingers on your right hand?

Jam Akin's picture

If the Devil is 6, then God is 7.  This market's going to Heaven....

Disenchanted's picture



"What happened in 2010?"


Wall Street went full retard?

aerojet's picture

IIRC, it was the second time that money were about to break the buck and all hell was going to break loose.  So they fixed it--for good.  It's not a market in any real terms anymore, though.

holgerdanske's picture

So what is it going to be?

I have expected a collaps for 4 years, still nothing. My brain tells me it has to come, but history shows it can take a while.


I am getting so tired of all of this. I could have doubled my money investing in stock. Hang on, I did buy gold and did double my money.


Rant over :-)