This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.

"In Regione Caecorum Res Est Luscus"

Tyler Durden's picture





 

Via Mark J. Grant, author of Out of the Bix,

“In the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is king.”
 
[In regione caecorum rex est luscus.]
 
                       -Desiderius Erasmus
 
I have been following the Greek saga since January 2010. I have seen more mis-information, more lies, more deceit than I ever read about in some spy novel. This has all been coupled, of course, with more promises, more absolute guarantees that tax loopholes would be closed and revenue collected and more assurances of the sale of the nation’s assets. I think many of these people used to be under the care of Nurse Racthed and the Big Chief just never got them out and they ended up in politics.

 

Last Friday the stock market went up, some have speculated, based upon some new, new Greek deal. I am awaiting the outcome and I will not speculate this morning but the one thing I know, with certainty, is that unless someone or another forgives one heck of a lot of the accumulated loans that Greece couldn’t pay their debts without Zeus bringing down the crown jewels from Mt. Olympus. I suspect that the Troika will hand them more money because they are frightened of the consequences but I await the decision. It was rumored, over the weekend, that the Prime Minister of Greece was studying the old mythology and when asked why exclaimed, “I am looking for loopholes.”

 

We are in a time, a different time than in the recent past, when decisions will have to be made. The central banks have done everything from hand out money to provide “save the world” speeches but their day is now minimized because there is almost nothing left they can do. As an investor it is important to note the changing of the guard as the central banks’ influences wanes and the next moves center upon political will and national interests. If we regard America’s fiscal cliff or the pending decisions about Greece or the separatist movement in Spain or the lack of a budget for the European Union; it is all politically centered and the battlefields are rife with perhaps surprising decisions. In each of these four arenas the easy answers have now come and gone. The “can kicking” if you will is over. The road has found its way to the crossroads and new directions will have to be chosen and it is in the choosing where the risk resides.

 

The world has been flooded by the cash created by the central banks but that water is now receding.  Even with all of the cash created Europe is sinking deeper and deeper into a recession with China in a major slowdown and America a whisker away from being in a recession as well as affected by the global economy. The real numbers, the real liabilities are beginning to tell on Europe in serious ways and all of the made up numbers, the falsification by methodology of counting Europe’s debt to GDP ratios is coming to a head. Choosing not to count liabilities does not mean that they are not there and recession always spurs nationalism as it detracts equally from grander ideals.

 

We are in a “different moment” now than in the past several years and that is the point of my commentary today. Promises have come and gone, the central banks have supported the fiscal system as political decision making waned with indecision and the difficulties of the choices. Complacency took hold as a kind of “everything will be fine” mentality inundated the market places. Soon, in my opinion, everything will not be quite so fine as the politicians in America and Europe have to earn their salaries and the ramifications of many decisions are going to be unpleasant as they are released.
 
“When complacency reigns it is the smallest of sparks that often reignites the fire.”
 
                        -The Wizard

 


- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:33 | Link to Comment TheCanimal
TheCanimal's picture

The path of least resistance is more kicking the can down the road and more money printing.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:35 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Correct.  Can kicking can and will continue until the fiat is worthless and people still accept it in exchange for their labor, so we have quite a ways to go. Hedge accordingly.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:41 | Link to Comment Thomas
Thomas's picture

But winter is coming.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:49 | Link to Comment ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

Hah, I like how that phrase has inserted itself into pop culture (being a GoT fan).

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:11 | Link to Comment French Frog
French Frog's picture

"The “can kicking” if you will is over"

I fear that you haven't realised that 'practice makes perfect' and with years of training behind them, most politicians have become better at it than a few years ago. They can also start kicking a different can ....

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:19 | Link to Comment odatruf
odatruf's picture

Perhaps this different need only fly a different flag...

 

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 14:08 | Link to Comment Treeplanter
Treeplanter's picture

The can was kicked to the ice wall.  Meanwhile, a trebuchet was brought up to toss it over.  The can is still moving, kicked up and down various trails known only to the wildings and the ECB.  The Watch went to Davos to party.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:12 | Link to Comment CPL
CPL's picture

Hurry up and wait.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:40 | Link to Comment NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Wow, someone believes this time is different?

Did history start today?

 

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:08 | Link to Comment mind_imminst
mind_imminst's picture

Ditto. Can-kicking will absolutely continue until there is a revolution of some sort, or the vast majority of the population is "enslaved", by which I mean they (the masses) have enough "bread-and-circuses" to remain pacified. I think politicians and central planners are making a bet on continued technological progress. Every year we get more GDP for less energy input. If this continues, then can kicking will continue. Bet on it.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:11 | Link to Comment SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Can kicking CAN'T go on forever, and thats not the plan anyway they just want you to think it is.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:20 | Link to Comment odatruf
odatruf's picture

That may be true, but on a long enough timeline it might as well be forever.

 

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:34 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Hogwash. I'll believe it when I see it,Grant.  Clear the bad fucking debt and execute those who profitted from the fucking fraud.  Nothing changes until real consequences for bad behavior returns at all levels of society.  In the meantime, people will do whatever it takes to meet ends meet.  Hedge accordingly.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:05 | Link to Comment MachoMan
MachoMan's picture

A bit of a narrowing...  virtually everyone profitted from the fraud, albeit in different amounts and different ways...  this is, in part, why nothing has been done.  I'd narrow it to the people who actively and knowingly perpetrated the fraud... 

Of course, there is also the morality of confiscation to discuss...  knowing that virtually everyone has received some spoils from the printer.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:09 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

"knowing that virtually everyone has received some spoils from the printer."

----------------------------------------------------------------

Bull fucking shit.  Inflation (as a direct result of printing) has destroyed many who were formerly in the middle class.  How in the fuck have they benefitted?

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:19 | Link to Comment CPL
CPL's picture

The middle class is nothing but an abstract.  When a single human can out make in interest (even at 1%) in a day what a town of 20000 productive people can make in a year.

 

The scale is so far off that the crumbs that fall off the table of the owners of the printer is hardly even worth mentioning.  We've got MSM spouting about black friday TRAFFIC, not sales, people occupying the space in a store as the "good" news.  It's unbelievable anyone running the show would allow that garbage to be printed.

 

Smoke and mirrors.  Next week I expect to see articles about how breathing increases a countries GDP by recycling oxygen and offering plants the needed CO to photosynthesize sunlight and sugars.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:53 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

It's all about perspective. Humanity itself is abstract from many perspectives.  So what, have faith, that which cannot be sustained, won't be.

 

Details matter by the way.  Plants fix CO2 into sugars using energy from captured photons of specific wavelengths, but they need or require a whole lot of other elements in the correct oxidation state in order to grow.  (CO or carbon monoxide is toxic to plants as well as you or I)

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 12:27 | Link to Comment CPL
CPL's picture

(CO2>CO, shit my bad.  nickle for a beer next time)

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:23 | Link to Comment odatruf
odatruf's picture

Laws and Macho - I think this is the unspoken but central question people must face.

Cui bono?  As it ever was.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 14:35 | Link to Comment MachoMan
MachoMan's picture

Pension payments, retirement benefits, social security, medicare, medicaid, tax credits, welfare, SNAP cards, obama phones, guarantees for virtually every business given the guarantees at the top, make work programs, home equity loans, the ability to get a formal education, police and fire systems, you name it.  You act as though the printing press only benefits one particular class...  it does not.  That is not to say that the benefit is exactly equal, given among other things the cantillon effect staring us in the face, but everyone has benefitted to some extent.

Again, I'm simply asking you to narrow the scope of your thesis for accuracy.  The issue isn't that everyone has benefitted in some form or fashion, the issue is that some people are disproportionately benefitting in a punitive way.  (ignoring the fact that the entire concept is predicated upon the free lunch).

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:36 | Link to Comment ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

Totally agree, I'll believe the can-kicking is over when they can no longer kick the can. Until that point, they (the politicians) will keep trying to kick the can and up until now it has worked fabulously well for them. With Central Banks in complete control of the financial systems, stock markets, and interest rates, I see no evidence that the "moment of truth" is upon us.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:07 | Link to Comment MachoMan
MachoMan's picture

Once the can is incapable of being kicked, we'll be kicking up dirt instead and pretending there's still a can...  I can't fathom that normal people had any idea of the degree to which we can delude ourselves and willfully live in denial.  It's pretty incredible.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:25 | Link to Comment odatruf
odatruf's picture

Macho, it is incredible.  I'd be stunned if I hadn't seen it too many times before.

And to Elvis' point: it isn't the sin of the central banks or politicians that is to blame. Not at the end of the day. That honor is on us all who enable it or are waiting for someone else to take a stand.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 14:28 | Link to Comment MachoMan
MachoMan's picture

Absolutely.  However, no one wants to be the lead gazelle to wade across the crocodile infested river to get to the greener pasture on the other side...  call it survival instinct if you will.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 14:46 | Link to Comment odatruf
odatruf's picture

Survival instinct, game theory, prisoners dilemma, or tragedy of the commons. Any of those fit. But just like in those nature documentaries, the heard WILL stampede once that first brave (and most always doomed) first mover starts. A Great Migration of our own, if you will.

But who would be our brave gazelle or wildebeest? A fund manager? A banker? A CEO? A rogue trader?

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 19:37 | Link to Comment MachoMan
MachoMan's picture

There have already been a few...  it's just that their sparks didn't catch fire.  The simple answer is that we have no idea how, when, or where it will come...  only that it will. 

There are a lot of banksters, military brass, politicians, and everyone on down the line trying to hedge both ways...  There are also some folks, like Bill Gross, who publicly routintely criticize the hand that feeds, but then promptly continue the charade like usual...  this, in and of itself, sets the sands in the hourglass to begin running out.  Credibility and perception are the key battleground, for once these go in earnest, the change will be rapid (compressed spring).  This is basically what the FED is spending untold amounts of currency to fight... [it's the only arrow in its quiver]

but then again, if we made trading decisions (life decisions) based purely upon fundamentals, then we'd all be broke.

 

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:37 | Link to Comment fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Grant would not know it if he got hit in the head with a kicked can. Him and Graham Summers.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:15 | Link to Comment Tinky
Tinky's picture

He and Graham Summers.

C'mon, you should know the ZH anthem by now:

Gold, Guns, and Proper Grammar

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:26 | Link to Comment Jreb
Jreb's picture

Yes. We may be ranting radicals by the estimation of many but we are not ignorant red necks.... should that be one word????

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:39 | Link to Comment forwardho
forwardho's picture

Well,.. then,.. ahem,... Boy the sun sure is bright today.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:40 | Link to Comment buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

It's different this time, LULZ LULZ LULZ

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:40 | Link to Comment kito
kito's picture

The “can kicking” if you will is over...........

 

bullshit.....bullshit.......bullshit............

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:45 | Link to Comment fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Kito, Grant has made it clear you better buy those treasuries quickly because when the can stops being kicked that's where you want to be. Yup.

I wonder if he stares up at the sky every night looking for asteroids while screaming "IT'S COMING RIGHT AT US!" until he passes out.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:00 | Link to Comment kito
kito's picture

guys like him fray my already frayed nerves............................

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:27 | Link to Comment odatruf
odatruf's picture

Would that be frontrunning the dread?

 

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:40 | Link to Comment insanelysane
insanelysane's picture

I had a thought over the weekend that may have been brought on by too much turkey and too much alcohol but....

What if Consumer Confidence is really up?  What if consumers have adjusted to the "new normal" of poor employment numbers, inflation, non existent leadership from government?  I am starting to believe that consumers are confident that they can manage the current economic situation therefore confidence is up.  However, in the old days, increased consumer confidence meant increased spending.  I believe this has decoupled and that increased consumer confidence will not translate into an increase in spending.  There may be an increase due to inflation of prices but the number of widgets purchased is going to be flat at best.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:44 | Link to Comment GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Can you say "corporate revenue"?

Sure you can! (but that doesn't mean much if you can't back it up)

If the consumer is "confident" in anything, it's that they can get a better deal next year.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:49 | Link to Comment Snidley Whipsnae
Snidley Whipsnae's picture

Why would 'consumer confidence' matter much if the consumers wages are stagnant?

Why would 'consumer confidence' rise if the consumers wages are stagnant?

Perhaps we have some manipulated numbers in consumer confidence?

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:29 | Link to Comment odatruf
odatruf's picture

Many consumers are confident that they will be able to slide some plastic, sign a slip of paper and walk out of the store with iShit even if their wages are stagnant.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:50 | Link to Comment fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Insanely if you carve off the large percentage of people who have completely fallen off the map, then for everyone else, it's possible confidence is up. That's the rub. The more people become convinced that things are better the more they will demand the fed start to normalize and start raising rates. That's why Bernanke was sweating his bald head off at his last speech. when he finished he downed a jug of water and almost stumbled off teh stage. He is trapped. If you do too good of a job convincing people that you saved their ass, eventually they will want thing to get back to normal. Eventually they will be curious why they need to keep pumping the recovered patient full of drugs. So my guess is some crisis pops up somewhere. Europe, ME...somewhere, that will cause us to go back into recession. But luckily we know how to fix it. Because it was ALMOST fixed before something broke again. This could go on for a while.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:04 | Link to Comment Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

 

  " Europe, ME...somewhere, that will cause us to go back into recession"

That's just it Fonz...we have never left the recession. The propoganda machine would like people to think so, but that just isn't the case.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:11 | Link to Comment fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

First off good to see ya Doc, and Kito. Of course i agree about the recession. it's a depression. i am saying that even in a depression apparently you can convince the masses that a shit sandwich tastes good. who knew.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:17 | Link to Comment Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

It's good to see you too. I took a few days off from the Hedge over the weekend.....it was like going through withdrawals. I agree it's pretty amazing. People I talk to say."yeah it's bad ,but I guess it could be a lot worse". I am astounded at how people just accept it.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:30 | Link to Comment CPL
CPL's picture

The average person can't find their own country on an unmarked world map.

 

You have faith in that?  You might be correct though.  I've known lots of idiots in my life that mistake credit availability and debt as part of their lives.  I should mention that was also the case in Japan, until the idea you could not only inherit wealth from your parents, but also their debt. 

 

When it turns to that again, I'll be first in line to purchase a fleet of indentured servants, I need farm labour and I don't see Canada arguing too much with the US once it comes to that. 

So if slavery is fine with you, then slavery will become a norm.  Again.  Memories are short on the original terms and conditions of slavery.  There are the spoils of war slavery (like the African slave trade), but the majority of it was because people didn't manage their debts.  So they sold themselves and sold their offspring.

Greek and Roman history show that this further tore apart the employment situation for anyone that was a citizen and willing to work.  On top of their currency debasement (they made coins thinner and thinner.).  On top of their expansion and lack of maintenance of their core.  

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:59 | Link to Comment AynRandFan
AynRandFan's picture

Check out the partisan divide on economic confidence numbers.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/158888/americans-confidence-economy-recedes-p...

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:41 | Link to Comment q99x2
q99x2's picture

Hell no the can kicking hasn't stopped. We have QE infinity and creative accounting and the Rockefellers and Rothschilds have more money to spend on Obamaphones and missles.

When the can kicking stops it will probably stop with an EMP and then we will know for sure.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:46 | Link to Comment TideFighter
TideFighter's picture

99.1% of the dollar lost value compared to the new 99.6% lost dollar value doesn't mean jack shit when

the lowest form of change you can give is still a penny. 

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:46 | Link to Comment Snidley Whipsnae
Snidley Whipsnae's picture

TPTB can continue this course until commodities priced in fiat currencies go balistic. As long as the central banks can control the commodities mkts with paper contracts, they will. Even so, slowly rising prices in PMs and all commodities show that the controllers cannot put a total lid on rising commodity prices. With wages remaining stagnant push will come to shove when the world consumers can no longer feed themselves with their incomes. We have already seen this outcome in some areas of the world... just not in America yet and primarily because of the SNAP program... nearly 50 million Americans are receiving SNAP cards. Politicians know one thing for sure... do not let the population get hungry if you want to keep your office and your head.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:48 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

TPTB can continue this course until commodities priced in fiat currencies go balistic.

-------------------

This has been what has happened in every single societal collapse throughout history, in most cases, war follows.

Hedge accordingly.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:57 | Link to Comment Aurora Ex Machina
Aurora Ex Machina's picture

Ad Graecas literas totum animum applicui; statimque, ut pecuniam acceptero, Graecos primum autores, deinde vestes emam.

 

If you don't like the latin, how's about some Monty Python ~ the architect sketch; bleeding Masonic handshakes

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:47 | Link to Comment LouisDega
LouisDega's picture

Is there alink to Rosetta Stone?

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:47 | Link to Comment credo
credo's picture

Check the Latin of the title:  not "res" "thing" but "rex" "king"

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:37 | Link to Comment Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

Exactly.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:48 | Link to Comment tradebot
tradebot's picture

Until "Joe Bag of Donuts" is no longer able to pay his way...send his crumb snatchers to school, fund the light bill, pay for the car and oh, don't forget the little hormonal shopper at home...this will go on until old Joe raises his head from the sand and says to himself..."WTF!"

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:48 | Link to Comment CrimsonAvenger
CrimsonAvenger's picture

Saying the can-kicking is over reveals a distinct lack of imagination.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:49 | Link to Comment Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

In the land of the impotent, Obama is King!

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:51 | Link to Comment youngman
youngman's picture

I think the can kicking is going to be replaced at least in the USA with "the Blame Game"...its all their fault we ___________......you can fill in the words..

But in the background we will still print money ....they have to ...who is going to cut food stamps...no one...who is going to cut Social Security...no one..who will cut Medicare..no one...who will cut the thousands of other government programs...no one...government is going to grow...and the deficits will continue to rise...I think to two trillion ecah year.....but it will be no ones fault as they play the "Blame Game"

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:51 | Link to Comment Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

The can will continue to be kicked until the market finally says enough.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:57 | Link to Comment buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

the market. funny.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:06 | Link to Comment youngman
youngman's picture

I think 80% of the markets today are Central Banks....we will never know...but it sure smells what is going on...low volumes..but it keeps going up and up..

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:07 | Link to Comment Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

There are more markets than the policy tool called the stock market. Either the fx markets or the derivatives market will put an end to this madness. 

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:16 | Link to Comment buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

double funny

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:37 | Link to Comment odatruf
odatruf's picture

I think the Dr. is right. But the markets can and will do so only when there is an alternative. As of today and into the short term future, there isn't.

China and others might get there at some point, but they are far enough off that there isn't any other game in town on today's viable timeline.

And by the markets, it isn't equities that will be the one to drive the nail. Bonds and derivatives will drop that hammer. Currencies will have predrilled.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:59 | Link to Comment MiltonFriedmans...
MiltonFriedmansNightmare's picture

The can kicking will end when the middle class has been robbed of its last collective cent.  The elites will refuse to continue the social programs. That is the end-game...that is the day the FEMA camps will be populated.

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ocPB19R3_Cs

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:43 | Link to Comment Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

The expectations of the bottom 80% of the West are being managed down very carefully so there isn't a concurrent reduction in confidence. When the plebs lose confidence, revolutions tend to happen.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 10:59 | Link to Comment NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

When we see a hard default somewhere (a semi-major bank, or a Sovereign, for instance) I might begin to believe something's different.  Until then....extend and pretend.

These sons of bitches ain't ever gonna stop on their own.  Never.  Something they can't control (external) is what it's going to take.

 

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:20 | Link to Comment Snidley Whipsnae
Snidley Whipsnae's picture

I know one thing for sure.

Negative real interest rates are pushing PMs higher.

When the Fed announces they are going to jack interest rates then I will begin to watch closely.

The one scenario I am concerned about, not sweating, is that the Fed jacks interest rates on a Sunday.

The choices for the Fed are clear:

1) Jack interest rates and strengthen the dollar, but destroy the world financial system. Bad for PM holders... not a play for time. 

2) Keep real interest rates negative, keep printing dollars until the dollar is destroyed at some future date, try to continue controlling all mkts with paper contracts and unaudited funny money creation... a play for time.

I believe that the odds the Fed chooses 1) are slim.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:48 | Link to Comment optimator
optimator's picture

You should get hints of a Sunday raise in rates by watching the insiders on Thursday and Friday!

 

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:06 | Link to Comment Oldwood
Oldwood's picture

Why is it that I feel like its my can that's getting kicked?

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:08 | Link to Comment Professor Fate
Professor Fate's picture

Of course the can kicking will continue.  It's all that is left.  And the IMF / Troika will cave and bail as will "Boner" and the Repubs sitting on the cliff.  But what started out as just an ACE hardware mini-trash can is now a big, black dipsty-dumpster.  The Central Bank's feetsies on both sides of the pond are starting to swell.  Incredible as it may sound, there is an end to this.    

"Push the Button, Max"

Fate the Magnificent    

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:16 | Link to Comment SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

I observe almost everyone totaly convinced the 'can kicking' state of suspended disbelief will just keep going on....that tells me that the time to pull the rug out is near. I just cant wait to see the look on peoples faces one morning as they're M.F. Globalled 'OMG what happened we were to kick the can some more! Where's my moneez!' lol ok.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:52 | Link to Comment AynRandFan
AynRandFan's picture

When?  Being wrong every day is expensive.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:14 | Link to Comment MaggieL
MaggieL's picture

In the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is a thing.

Dude... "rex", not "res".

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:17 | Link to Comment buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

you never heard of tyrannosaurus res? ;)

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:18 | Link to Comment Sigep0612
Sigep0612's picture

"Carpe Diem!   Rejoice while you are alive; enjoy the day; live life to the fullest; make the most of what you have.

It is much later than you think."  

-Horace, Ancient Roman Poet.  

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:47 | Link to Comment Jugdish
Jugdish's picture

Carpe Diem means seize the pussy. Go re-read Horace's poem.

Repeat something long enough people think it's true. Horace isn't talking about make the best of today, he's talking about doggin out wolf muffin.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:36 | Link to Comment eddiebe
eddiebe's picture

Wow! You know Latin?

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 12:02 | Link to Comment Jugdish
Jugdish's picture

Apparently not well because he doesn't understand what Horace is saying. Horace's poem is clear. It's not art, it's not subjective,

On Another note, can-kicking, shit-festering continues. It will not end because the vast majority of people do not want it to end. There is no real immediate need to end it according to the vast majority of zombies. De-evolution, destruction of the planet, corruption of the soul, brainwashing of the mind, and degradation of the human physique shall continue. It feels good right now.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:37 | Link to Comment Antifederalist
Antifederalist's picture

Tyler, WTF?   I can live with advertisements.  I can live with pop ups.  But this morning my computer started playing music from one of the advertisements.  Isn't enough--enough?   So now i have to turn off my speakers when I go to Zero Hedge.  Stop the madness.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 13:50 | Link to Comment Aurora Ex Machina
Aurora Ex Machina's picture

NoScript / AdBlock / Ghostery will stop that.

You can also edit the "white list" for ZH in particular, so that some advertising gets through (and thus generates revenue) while still blocking auto-play ads. Adblock Plus comes with this feature enabled by default. i.e. it will police the irksome ones while still giving ZH fair use money.


Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:39 | Link to Comment eaglerock
eaglerock's picture

The only hope we have on the fiscal cliff gridlock is that the fear of being blamed trumps the desire to screw the other party. 

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:45 | Link to Comment odatruf
odatruf's picture

But since neither of those motivations trumps getting theirs, we are headed in the same direction: Forward!

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 11:50 | Link to Comment AynRandFan
AynRandFan's picture

It will never be over.  Exhibit A:  Japan.

If there was a way out, Japan would have taken it.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 12:10 | Link to Comment eaglerock
eaglerock's picture

I think it will be like the final scene of Scarface- Al Pacino knows he's doomed, but comes out with guns blazing as he is getting taken down.  TPTB will keep the game going until it goes out in a blaze of glorious collapse.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 12:18 | Link to Comment Anglo Hondo
Anglo Hondo's picture

Ok, when did Mark's Box become a Bix?   Perhaps it is, as the Brits say, a biscuit (bix) box.

 

The Greeks are in a bix fix anyway, so most appropriate.

 

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 12:17 | Link to Comment stiler
stiler's picture

everyone says collapse is immanent, but collapse of the economy, no; collapse of the paper, yes. and also continued collapse of empires. like the us.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 12:24 | Link to Comment 1eyedman
1eyedman's picture

....the smallest of sparks....  lets start talking about potential sparks. Greece is so old...ecb could payoff/takeover their debt no contagion.    

japan could have taken another road, but the rest of the world didnt force it.  now all are on that road and it will be different...relative levels of hyperinflation AFTER to collapse...collapse/deflate first THEN the fiat kindling...

sparks:  dollar-pegged country renegs on debt, goes off dollar?

            natural disaster of course

    any number of items out of china (see #1 too)

            war/terror act blows up oil lines, oil to 140, recession occurs

            fiscal cliff 'solved' but the math doesnt work, gdp contracts 4%

...put some others up here and we can put some socratic method to use...

 

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 14:55 | Link to Comment odatruf
odatruf's picture

Rogue trader triggers huge naked exposure rush to the doors on bonds, which drives prices down and yields up. Which forces the Fed and other CBs to raise rates. Taxmageddon is a budget piker by comparison.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 13:00 | Link to Comment ATG
ATG's picture

The “can kicking” if you will is over.

And thus beginneth the arse kicking...

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 13:15 | Link to Comment woggie
woggie's picture

the beast is on the gobble
and all that matters is we're all headed for it's belly
http://youtu.be/ntmthFyaYzY

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 14:14 | Link to Comment Angry White Dude
Angry White Dude's picture

I am in the external-event-as-spark camp. As much as it pains me to say as a card-carrying pessimist who wakes up every day hoping for the Great Reset, I think the TPTB have a pretty good handle on kicking the can and maintaining a long glide path into decay, absent an external event. The US really just needs two things to control the muppets - food and energy. The US is pretty much self-sufficient for food, and could be much more self-sufficient if there weren't restrictions on coal, fracking, nuclear and drilling. I fully expect that if the US ever faces another true energy crisis, such as long term oil supply disruptions, that the federal gov't will nationalize oil and declare emergency powers to set aside any and all legal restrictions on other energy technologies. So whilst an oil shock would be distruptive, I think the US would stabilize relatively quickly, at least in terms of being able to maintain civil order.

Everyone says that you can't suspend reality forever, but I think you can disguise it. When corporate earnings fail to reflect the preferred narrative, the gov't just needs to change the accounting rules some more. Enron accounting will become the norm. And why not? There is no real investing anymore, only trading. So it really doesn't matter what the rules are when the rules no longer serve (and have not served for quite some time) their original purpose of providing investors with transparency. 

Food is the place to be. Taken to the extreme, if all 300MM+ people in the US go on the dole and get SNAP cards, the gov't need only print the money to pay ADM, Conagra, Monsanto, etc., which will get round-tripped back through taxes, less all the usual slices. Indeed, I expect that we will start to see PE buying up entire sectors, like Apollo has done in education. You'll have PE oligopolies in all key industries, not answerable to public shareholders, not subject to much in the way of public disclosures or oversight. Continued revolving door of financiers into gov't and back. About as close to the perpetual motion machine as they can get - gov't prints, muppets get regularly fed and watered and put back in the barn, PE takes their healthy cut, sends some back to gov't as taxes, pays employees just enough to prevent their escape from wage slavery.

Only thing I see disrupting that trend is external event that is sufficiently disruptive on a regional or global level that exceeds TPTB's ability to contain it. I don't think a Greek default, another Argentina default, or any other default is enough. If Bear Stearns, Lehman, AIG, GM and Chrysler taught us anything it is that the public will bitch and moan about bailouts, and maybe go camping in Zucotti Park, but they won't riot in the streets over them. Which means they will continue, and be ever more large and cover ever more industries. The big bugaboo is the alleged apocalypse in the CDS market if there is a default. Bollocks. Anyone with exposure will get bailed out just like Goldman did with AIG. 

Anyhow, the best we can hope for is an EMP, war, maybe global famine and pestilence. Otherwise it will just be a long, slow decay.

Mon, 11/26/2012 - 14:51 | Link to Comment odatruf
odatruf's picture

AWD - I think you have put into words the most probable glide path we are on.

The only hiccup has to do with where PE gets their cash. Too much comes from pensions, especially public ones, to escape oversight for long.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!