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Chart Of The Day: Deja Boo

Tyler Durden's picture




 

As an update to our comment last week on the three 'F's of US fiscal-policy-making; it seems we are following the path of last year's debt-ceiling debacle ever more closely. Once again - do we need a 20% drop in US equities to spur the politicians into action? As they try and wedge a square peg of higher taxes into a round peg or spending cuts, we suspect so...

 

 

Chart: Bloomberg

 

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Wed, 12/05/2012 - 11:44 | 3035717 JPM Hater001
JPM Hater001's picture

"do we need a 20% drop in US equities to spur the politicians into action?"

Let's hope.  I'd even be ok with a 50% drop.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 11:45 | 3035728 Super Broccoli
Super Broccoli's picture

I'd be ok with a 100% drop !

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 11:57 | 3035772 common_sense
common_sense's picture

          Me TOO !!

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 12:02 | 3035788 idea_hamster
idea_hamster's picture

You know, I was gonig to make some comment about how TD had messed up the metaphor by saying the people dealing with the fiscal cliff were trying to fit a square peg into a[nother] round peg, rather than a round hole.

But really, looking at the jackass-ery going on in DC, that really may be the best description.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 13:13 | 3036137 French Frog
French Frog's picture

Looks like your chart is upside down; markets still going up

:-(

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 11:59 | 3035789 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

I hope AAPL goes there.  It would be funny to watch the liberals squirm that their number one money maker (after their homes) is going up in flames.

You know it is funny.  The liberals have Chief Seattle posters on the walls of their houses that say "The earth does not belong to us, we belong to earth" but they think about those houses as assets and that "their" land is super sacred to them.

They will die and they will be buried elsewhere.  Their kids will sell the land to the next duchebag.  And the cycle will go on.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 13:50 | 3035738 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Who will stand in for Hank "As The Former CEO Of Goldman Sachs, Let Me Warn That There Will Be Tanks In The Streets & Martial Law If Wall Street & My Bankster Buddies Don't Get a Blank Check Within 24 Hours" Paulson this time?

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 11:49 | 3035743 Inthemix96
Inthemix96's picture

Dont do that mate, dont spur the fucking lunatics at all.  Everything they touch ends up fucked.

They are either criminal, or they are criminally insane, one or the other.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 11:49 | 3035744 HD
HD's picture

Goldman promised 1250 on the S&P...and we all know how often that works out for the muppets.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 11:44 | 3035722 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

to tylers:  the US markets dropped AFTER the debt ceiling was increased last yr.  not before.  look at the calendar.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 11:57 | 3035778 Village Smithy
Village Smithy's picture

The debt ceiling increase on July 31st caused the credit rating downgrade August 5th. Then Geronimo.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 12:03 | 3035804 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

look at aug 3 & 4th last yr.  before the US was even downgraded.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 14:31 | 3036447 Village Smithy
Village Smithy's picture

Do you really think that GS, JPM et al didn't know the downgrade was coming?

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 11:46 | 3035729 fwchiro
fwchiro's picture

So this is bullish?  /sarc off

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 11:46 | 3035733 the not so migh...
the not so mighty maximiza's picture

Put your helmets on , we are crashing through that ceiling.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 11:47 | 3035734 thesecondslowes...
thesecondslowestantelope's picture

I would raise the debt ceiling for this guy...

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DL-a-r7iJIU&feature=g-high

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 12:03 | 3035805 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

He be 3rd year collidge strudent KEEP OBAMA PRESDENT!! OBAMAPHONE!

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 11:47 | 3035735 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Looks like we know when the Senate will sell out of their positions and reinvest into the market then.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 11:57 | 3035768 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Goldman already advised them on the latest takedown in gold too. They'll be BTFD on that one as well.

Next to the Wall St banksters, the US Senate just might be the most corrupt institution on the planet these days.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 12:04 | 3035811 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Luckily for us they are probably using GLD.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 11:54 | 3035745 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

The thing is, good luck recovering 20% after losing 20% in todays markets....already nervous holders of equities and funds would mash the sell buttons if they drop it, and never come back either. Its like trying to hold them hostage with a double barrel hair trigger shit machinegun, and the barrel is pointed right at their own heads.

Double Barrel Shit Machine Gun - YouTube

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 11:54 | 3035761 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Peak panic is still a long way off. And I ain't talking fiscal cliff panic or even debt ceiling.

<This is just pre-panic.>

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 12:00 | 3035791 wagthetails
wagthetails's picture

Agreed.  as much as i know this will fall apart, i'm frankly honest of the amoutn of people cheering fro an utter collapse.  they must be all self sufficient farmers with excess funds to trade in the market. 

Thu, 12/06/2012 - 16:33 | 3040371 helping_friendl...
helping_friendly_book's picture

I've been holding the SPXU. The rest in cash. That's why I cheer when I see a drop. 

Some people are short.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 11:57 | 3035777 john_connor
john_connor's picture

Or 1.62 * 20% = roughly 32% drop for a nice fibonacci scale-up

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 11:59 | 3035787 mess nonster
mess nonster's picture

The fiscal cliff is shuffling the money around in your wallet when the gas gauge says "empty".

Bottom line, going off the cliff is in everyone's best interests in Washington. This is an economic false flag. 

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 12:00 | 3035794 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Three topics that I''m sick of hearing about ...Greece, the fiscal cliff , and the debt ceiling. I wish Greece would default...we would drive off the cliff....and we would let the "market"determine the debt ceilng.

Thu, 12/06/2012 - 16:13 | 3040288 helping_friendl...
helping_friendly_book's picture

Greece defaulted last Summer. Where were you?

They gave everyone a "voluntary" haircut of 50% and extended maturities if I recall.

 

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 12:01 | 3035798 realtick
realtick's picture

How Can People Take This Total Fool @TFMetals Seriously? http://chartistfriendfrompittsburgh.blogspot.com/2012/12/how-can-people-...

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 12:15 | 3035849 Schmuck Raker
Schmuck Raker's picture

I urge you to seek counseling.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 12:32 | 3035921 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Remember guys, the fundamentals don't matter any more.  We have solved the "gravity" problem once and for all.  It won't matter if we go off the fiscal cliff because the issue will at least be RESOLVED.  Good, bad, doesn't matter.  Just resolve it and fire up the printing presses.

Compare that to Europe where they have aready resolved their problems.  How's that?  Well, Greece, Spain, etc. has already been resolved by resolving to not resolve it (endless can-kicking).  That's why Europe is fixed right now, the Euro is soaring and we're drifting lower.

When you let go of sanity it stops hurting and things make sense again.

 

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 13:16 | 3036124 earleflorida
earleflorida's picture

another buying opportunity,... the big boys could give a fuck-- easy to time the bottom on this laugh, even for mindless algos

if you want to get rich... just, go over the cliff, period!

...all the casino chips will be easy picking at the wells'p[l]ump bottom? 

Jam it in... and break the M`fucker off!

;-)>

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 15:27 | 3036705 one_fell_swoop
one_fell_swoop's picture

OVERLAY TWO CHARTS.  PREDICT DOOM.  NEXT POST.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 16:20 | 3036940 woggie
woggie's picture

the beast is on the gobble
and all that matters is we're all headed for it's belly
http://youtu.be/ntmthFyaYzY

Thu, 12/06/2012 - 16:10 | 3040279 helping_friendl...
helping_friendly_book's picture

WTF? What chart is that? Doesn't appear to be the S&P 500?

You could, at least, label the source of the chart.

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