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A Market Full Of Uncertainty

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Presented with no comment...

 

Which market do you trust?

 

and summing it up into two indicators (stocks appear a little over-excited relative to risk):

 

Charts: Bloomberg and Capital Context

 

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Wed, 12/05/2012 - 14:36 | 3036473 otto skorzeny
otto skorzeny's picture

AAPL is doing swell today

Thu, 12/06/2012 - 07:52 | 3038670 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Yeah.....new Beatles box set is coming out for Christmas.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 14:38 | 3036481 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

AAPL does not look "over-excited" today.

Maybe it is the one stock today reflecting the other changes in the value of other asset classes. 

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 14:40 | 3036495 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

The debt ceiling is going to be eliminated and we are heading to NIRP and we are going to spend money until cardiac arrest. I don't see how anyone could be heavily short this market.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 15:02 | 3036588 Everybodys All ...
Everybodys All American's picture

cardiac arrest happens at a moments notice. So longs are just as if not more nervous.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 18:55 | 3037482 saturn
saturn's picture

Guys, can you mark Vol VolX (as indeX) in the chart? Coz Vol suggests rather volume at first, anything other latter.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 15:20 | 3036669 kridkrid
kridkrid's picture

What cardiac arrest looks like when it gets here, when it will get here, who and what will be blamed when it gets here is anyone's guess.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 14:46 | 3036520 walküre
walküre's picture

Samsung, baby

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 14:52 | 3036552 LouisDega
LouisDega's picture

They make a kick ass HDTV.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 14:38 | 3036486 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Markets....heh heh funny.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 14:40 | 3036487 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Usually, we get an overnight pump on AAPL when a decline of more than 4% takes the hotel guests down below their comfortable exit points. 

With this logic, AAPL open at $560-563 tomorrow. 

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 14:40 | 3036496 gjp
gjp's picture

AMZN is the new AAPL.  Minus the cash, cash flow, and IP.  But it's hot, and it's going up, every day!

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 14:41 | 3036498 alp
alp's picture

Think about this: The Ultra Bull Case for 2013. Keynesians getting to a whole new level, i.e., "markets sovereignty"?

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 14:44 | 3036513 youngman
youngman's picture

I think currency wars will have an impact next year...

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 15:49 | 3036813 Nothing To See Here
Nothing To See Here's picture

You mean on forests being depleted and the cost of paper rising?

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 14:47 | 3036517 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Thank goodness we've solved the "gravity problem" or this could end badly for the markets moving forward. 

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 14:45 | 3036518 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Seasonally, both AAPL and AMZN should be heading higher with speculation of their Christmas seasons. 

Technically, however,

AMZN is heading for a re-test of its $260  top

and

AAPL is heading for a death cross of 50DM and 200DMA.

These two stocks looks really unattractive,

therfore,

with Constanza logic,

they are both BUYs.

We, in particular, think that AMZN P/E of 3,400 is excellent value.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 14:48 | 3036535 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Is it me or are the two longest held securities probably aapl and gld? Therefore they are both probably being sold heavily to lock in gains?

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 14:46 | 3036521 Hedgetard55
Hedgetard55's picture

Choomboi gave a very positive speech today to small business owners, THAT is why market is up.  :~)

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 14:47 | 3036529 walküre
walküre's picture

Who is buying FB all the way up to $28? What a crock of shit to get muppets excited.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 15:06 | 3036608 michiganmaven
michiganmaven's picture

front running the QQQQ inclusion next week - happens all the time. FB is added to Nasdaq 100 I think on the 12th or 13th.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 14:58 | 3036564 PeeramidIdeologies
PeeramidIdeologies's picture

Debt deal hope? lol Wait until they show that it's taxes up for the big boys, or over the cliff we go. Why? Because anything less would be unsocialized...

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 14:57 | 3036568 LongSoupLine
LongSoupLine's picture

i'll comment...

 

1) it's not a fucking market.

2) the algos are programmed to react to certain parameters.

3) bernanke feeds them.

4) the parameters have gone full fucking retard.

5) the algos don't know what the fuck to do.

6) Bernanke still feeds them.

 

fuck you Getco and Bernanke you fucks. 
Wed, 12/05/2012 - 16:34 | 3036981 JPM Hater001
JPM Hater001's picture

I feel your pain brother dont hold back.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 18:00 | 3037330 Catflappo
Catflappo's picture

don't beat around the bush - tell us what you really think

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 14:56 | 3036569 Cursive
Cursive's picture

If Europa when on a indefinite holiday, it would take the SPX about 2 weeks to reach 1800.

Thu, 12/06/2012 - 02:46 | 3038433 SeattleBruce
SeattleBruce's picture

So the FED can't totally rule the world?

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 14:57 | 3036571 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

This "market" is making a DUFUS of everybody who trades it.

How is Bidermann from foggy Sausalito doing these days anyhow?

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 15:02 | 3036590 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Maybe today was the day Greece finally sold its AAPL to raise cash to buy back its sovereign bonds from the hedge funds.

The hedge funds will then use their cash from this deal to buy AAPL. 

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 15:02 | 3036593 Bastiat009
Bastiat009's picture

Who will finance the economy now that the financial world has seceded from the rest of the (real) world?

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 15:06 | 3036597 q99x2
q99x2's picture

I trust the Bernanke Index. He owns it. Who can argue.

Howdgu like that Dow 13,000 move. Pretty slick eh?

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 15:06 | 3036607 Bokkenrijder
Bokkenrijder's picture

And where is gold? Oh wait...gold is down today right?

Hmmm.....

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 15:12 | 3036640 Karlus
Karlus's picture

People are catching on to their little reindeer games just before the open. I think they will need to switch up their timing at some point soon.

 

Just slapping the market down will catch up with them soon...

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 15:12 | 3036638 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Crude is downer than gold. 

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 15:16 | 3036651 905ozs
905ozs's picture

ZH & ZH good folk....
There is certainty, Rothschild.

You can delete me, bar my comments, I will continue to ask...
Lemmings like Osborne, Ben, the BIS etc have a master.
The Master is Rothschild Inc.

Why you so scared to start a proper discourse on whom is/has been manipulating everything for 200years, ww1, 2 & soon 3

Please tell us you aren't also bought
Why won't you deal with the core of the problem facing the 99%, Rothschild utter control???

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 15:51 | 3036817 Panafrican Funk...
Panafrican Funktron Robot's picture

You must be new.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 15:22 | 3036678 BullyBearish
Wed, 12/05/2012 - 15:26 | 3036688 mdtrader
mdtrader's picture

The gold price seems to be suggesting that we go over the cliff. I'm not sure WTF stocks are suggesting. A bullish deflationary orgy of higher taxes and spending cuts perhaps??? 

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 15:35 | 3036744 magpie
magpie's picture

Bizarro bank short squeezes

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 15:39 | 3036768 Boilermaker
Boilermaker's picture

Like Johnny 401(k) has any clue or cares about this.  His statement is going to be larger.

He knows:  Up is good.  Down is bad.

Wed, 12/05/2012 - 16:35 | 3036987 Lost Wages
Lost Wages's picture

Stocks are the new bonds. 

Thu, 12/06/2012 - 10:24 | 3039029 jaybny
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"Presented with no comment..."  

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