A Millisecond Analysis Of The Latest Gold Smackdown
On December 4th, 2012 at 47 minutes and 13.1 seconds after midnight, 2,035 February Gold Futures contracts GCG3 took the market down $10 as fast as the exchange could execute the order. This invisible hand that decided that that was the perfect time to execute a trade for over 200,000 ounces and $345mm notional of gold is exposed in oh-so-visible a manner by Nanex's eagle-eyed millisecond-by-millisecond charts below. As the day wore on, there were more of these sudden 'unexplained' price moves. Cue 'Twilight Zone' music...
1. 30 Second interval chart showing trades for the first 9 hours of trading in the February 2013 Gold Futures Contract (GC.G13). The midnight crush in the first drop on the left.
2. Zoom of chart above showing about 45 seconds of time. Thin gray line is quote spread.
3. Using a 1 millisecond interval to zoom in on one second of time. The trades are the squares. The Bid/Offer is the dark gray shading. When trades first execute, then the quote follows, it's because the entire book was swept.
4. Later than morning at 3:45:05 Eastern time, a jolt to the upside.
5. Later that morning between 8:36 and 8:40am Eastern, more sudden buying and selling events took place. The chart below is an overview of these events.
6. Zoom of Chart 5 showing first event.
7. Zoom of Chart 5 showing second event.
8. Zoom of Chart 5 showing third event.
9. Zoom of Chart 7 above showing 1 second of time.