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From High Frequency Trading To A Broken Market: A Primer In Two Parts

Tyler Durden's picture





 

One of the topics most often discussed on Zero Hedge before the wholesale takeover of capital markets by central planners was finally accepted by everyone, was the domination of market structure (first in equities, and now in commodities, FX and even credit) by new technologies such as High Frequency Trading as a result of a shift in the market to a technological platform domination, away from the specialist model, and one where the entire concept of discounting, the primary role of the market in the Old Normal, has been made redundant courtesy of a race to be the first to react to events (i.e., backward looking, and direct contravention with the primary function of markets) courtesy of milli- and nanosecond, collocated servers which collect pennies in front of steamroller and generate profits purely by "virtue" of being the first to trade.

This new "technology paradigm" developed in the aftermath of the regulator complicit adoption of Reg NMS (and to a smaller extend Reg ATS) which unleashed a veritable cornucopia of "SkyNet"-controlled algorithmic traders, even as regulators did not and still do not, to this day understand all the evils that rapid technologization of the stock market has brought, most vividly captured in the May 2010 flash crash, and daily subsequent mini flash crashes, which have achieved one thing only: the total collapse of faith in the stock market by ordinary investors, who now see it for what it is (and always has been but to a far lesser extent) - a gamed casino, in which not only the house always wins and the regulators are either corrupt or clueless, or both.

And while more and more "dumb money" Joe Sixpacks awake every day to the farce that is the stock market, one entity that continues to ignore it, whether due to its own incompetence, due to conflicts of interest, due to corruption, due to co-option, or for whatever other reason, are the regulators, in this case the Securities and Exchange Commission: arguably the most incapable entity to handle the topological nightmare that the current market landscape has become. Which is to be expected: after all only an idiot would expect that when the SEC invites a GETCO, or a DE Shaw to explain and observe the fragmentation of the market, and the evils brought upon by HFT, either in a closed session or before congress, that they would voluntarily expose their business for the parasitic fallout of what once was known as capital formation. After all, it is their bread and butter: to expect them to commit professional suicide by truly showcasing the ugliness beneath it all is beyond stupid. And the flip side are various fringe blogs, which must be relegated to the tinfoil crackpot ranks of conspiracy theorist (even as conspiracy theory after conspiracy theory becomes conspiracy fact after conspiracy fact).

So instead of uttering one more word in a long, seemingly endless tirade that stretches all the way to April 2009, we will this time let such dignified members of the credible, veritable status quo as Credit Suisse, who have released a two part primer on everything HFT related, with an emphasis on the broken market left in the wake of the "high freaks", which is so simple even a member of congress will understand (we would say a member of the SEC, but even at this level of simplicity its comprehension by the rank and file of the SEC is arguable). As Credit Suisse conveniently points out "market manipulation is already banned", but that doesn't mean that there are numerous loophole that HFT can manifest themselves in negative strategies that have virtually the same impact on a two-tiered market (those that have access to HFT and those that do not) as manipulation. Among such strategies are:

  • Quote Stuffing: the HFT trader sends huge numbers of orders and cancels
  • Layering: multiple, large orders are placed passively with the goal of “pushing” the book away
  • Order Book Fade: lightning-fast reactions to news and order book pressure lead to disappearing liquidity
  • Momentum ignition: an HFT trader detects a large order targeting a percentage of volume, and front-runs it.

So to all those who still foolish believe in a fair and efficient market: read on, because that concept died long ago, and every day you keep money in the market is one more in which the deck is stacked entirely in the house's favor, and on a long enough timeline, a total loss of capital is virtually assured.

And for all the regulators, who are somehow still uncorrupted, unconflicted and uncoopted - those very, very few of you - and who still harbor a hope that one day retail investors may regain their faith in the stock market (a critical milestone needed to enable Bernanke's plan of rekindling the "animal spirits"), read on so you too can now what should be the focus of both regulation and enforcement in a world in which government supervision is several decades behind the curve.

 

Part 1: High Frequency Trading – The Good, The Bad, and The Regulation

 

Part 2: High Frequency Trading – Measurement, Detection and Response

 


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Sat, 12/15/2012 - 15:30 | Link to Comment kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Yes.  I never believed there was any money to be made grabbing hundredths of a cent in micro-seconds.

Running stops?  Now there's a profit center!

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 15:39 | Link to Comment Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Fear - the ultimate profit center.

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 17:32 | Link to Comment Matt
Matt's picture

"Momentum ignition: an HFT trader detects a large order targeting a percentage of volume, and front-runs it."

I thought Momentum Ignition is when an HFT triggers a large order, hence the ignition. The trading volume is not predicted by the HFT, it is created by it.

At least according to part 2 page 6.

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 19:07 | Link to Comment rocker
rocker's picture

The most important thing they said that has me busting a gut:  "Market Manipulation is already banned.

Of Course market manipulation in any form - whether high or low frequency- is already banned."  ROTFLMAO

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 20:52 | Link to Comment holdbuysell
holdbuysell's picture

Even Baghdad Bob would be impressed by such blatant obvious lying.

Sun, 12/16/2012 - 17:08 | Link to Comment malikai
malikai's picture

It's true. Manipulation is banned.

Enforcement, on the other hand...

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 19:24 | Link to Comment RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Momemtum ignition kinda reminds me of lighting farts.  Sure stinks up the place.

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 22:50 | Link to Comment ToNYC
ToNYC's picture

That "Momentum Ignition" actor was called the NYSE Specialist not ten years ago. GE comes to mind. Status!...Status!...ad infinitum.

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 17:25 | Link to Comment overbet
overbet's picture

Really? look at Jim Simmons

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 20:57 | Link to Comment Perpetual Burn
Perpetual Burn's picture

Where can i download these pdfs?

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 23:07 | Link to Comment Matt
Matt's picture

On a PC:

1) open fullscreen

2) right-click, save as

repeat for the other one, choosing a different file name. Will save as .htm

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 21:50 | Link to Comment ball-and-chain
ball-and-chain's picture

I blame the Ivy League Mafia.

No kidding.  Princeton, Yale, Harvard.

They took over porno.

They took over gambling.

They took over the markets.

They took over the government.

They took over the world.

Next time you meet a Harvard boy, kick him in the nuts.

Peace.

http://www.angrysinner.blogspot.kr/2012/12/yesterday-i-hiked-ten-miles-through.html

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 15:37 | Link to Comment Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Control of gold is control of world power.

- Chris Powell, GATA, Secretary/Treasurer and Director

 

KWN Interview w/ Chris Powell, 12.13.12:

http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/Broadcast/Entries/2012/12/13_Chris_Powell.html

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 15:36 | Link to Comment Ralph Spoilsport
Ralph Spoilsport's picture

ZH is the best source for info on HFT and its effects on the market. Ditto for Shadow Banking. Keep the hits coming Tylers, you're essential reading for a lot of reasons.

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 15:40 | Link to Comment Misean
Misean's picture

I rather suspect HFT firms have recruiters delivering lunch and applications for high paying "jobs" at their firms to most SEC offices.

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 15:42 | Link to Comment icanhasbailout
icanhasbailout's picture

So... anyone want to start a real market where none of this bullshit is permitted? It seems that there's a market for such a market, just waiting to be tapped.

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 15:56 | Link to Comment kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

What the cat said;)

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 16:14 | Link to Comment TraderTimm
TraderTimm's picture

Be still my beating heart.

It is a good question though, but it would have to overcome a few things - namely, captured regulators and a system intent on keeping the worst aspects.

It isn't impossible. If someone decided to sit down and write a decentralized exchange that could scale and handle the quote/volume requirements, but at the same time ban quote-stuffing and other strategies, I think that person would easily be the most famous person in the world.

It may be time to comprehend such a solution.

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 16:35 | Link to Comment imbrbing
imbrbing's picture

I kinda like this market, as a matter of fact it gave me a new idea for a new board game. I think I wil call it "Game Over". Sorta like monopoly but each person represents

a country and it is based on REPOS, REVERSE REPOS and CDS's. Each country has entitlements they must pay and taxes they have to collect when they pass go. When they don't

have the money to pay the entitlements they just borrow it, and repo, reverse repos and cds fly everywhere. if you roll a certain number your interest rates go up. blah blah blah.

The object of the game is to see how long it is before "game over" FOR ALL PLAYERS.

Sound fun? Any investors out there wanna get involved? :)

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 20:31 | Link to Comment Debt-Is-Not-Money
Debt-Is-Not-Money's picture

 

What, no jail?

This is a reality game!

Sun, 12/16/2012 - 09:48 | Link to Comment Waterfallsparkles
Waterfallsparkles's picture

You get sent to the SEC.  Must pay a fine to get a get out of Jail card.

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 15:55 | Link to Comment cdude
cdude's picture

The Equity Markets have gotten so far astray of their original purpose and intention that it is now a parody of itself. It is only through incrementalization that the absurdity of it all is not seen as glaringly surreal. It was not all that long ago (60's?) when the practice of equity "derivatives" was first introduced. At that time many traders balked at the concept of packaging equities as commodities to be traded via "futures" contracts. Today, the trading of stock derivatives is mundanely "de rigueur" as MUCH more esoteric(and risky) instruments and practices have evolved. 

THIS IS NOT PROGRESS!!

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 16:04 | Link to Comment ThisIsBob
ThisIsBob's picture

Real men don't trade for pennies.

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 17:35 | Link to Comment Matt
Matt's picture

$1 million in a day is just $0.01 every 100 milliseconds.

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 18:14 | Link to Comment kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

But when I tried to take 1 cent out of millions of bank accounts...

OK, I really didn't, but it has been tried, and no one has a sense of humor about that.

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 21:19 | Link to Comment mean divergent
mean divergent's picture

Did you get the memo about the new coversheet on the TPS reports?

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 22:11 | Link to Comment kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

I had a great father, but as  Dear Old Dad said, always a day late, and a dollar short.

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 16:21 | Link to Comment falak pema
falak pema's picture

this whole thread is focussing on effects, not focussing on root causes.

When you say that "central planning took over the economy" you momentarily forget what preceded that truth : Under Reaganomics and deregulation the "free market", aka Oligarchy order, took over the world economy in fiat dissemination mode; based on "unlimited economic growth" meme decreed by NWO, under its military hegemony of massive overkill imposed on world subsequent to Berlin Wall fall, and USSR meltdown world. 

The Central planned economy was the KNEE JERK reaction by Oligarchy to take over OVERTLY de facto the reigns of central  government (under the WMD financial gun; aka Paulson TARP blackmail). After the 2008 fall of free-for-all Oligarchy "asset on steriods" mayhem of which Subprimes was only a trigger.

WE ARE ALL KEYNESIANS IN RECESSION TO AVOID THE 1929 TYPE DEPRESSION, AS THE recent BRUCE KRASTING article points out so eloquently. SO Central planning is the only way to avoid the depression caused once again by the thieving free enterprise head-up-their exuberant ass Oligarchs; now gone viral into deep rehypothec criminality and Libor rate wanking, and ZIRP fed speculative levitation. VOODOO finance! 

Now in control, both of private sector, deep in derivative concocted debt, but deep in off-shored profit as well, and Oligarchy imposed government sector siphoning of the shadow banking debt like a huge oligarchy phallic suction whore, we have got the regime of central planned economy to socialise the debt and privatise the profit in all of first world.

It has been the privilege of ZH to have exposed this SCAM  of unimaginable magnitude of western civilization wealth to the world.

SO it is surprising to see the same people who have exposed this mechanism of global rip-off, now ONLY addressing the issue of the central planned suction pump result; without also including in that sequential analysis the origin of the Oligarchy scam which is home and dry; sitting in Caymanista land, and ready to come back and rule the world once its statist surrogate shills have run out of fiat bullets...whatever the consequences they win unless there is rule of law and legal consequences for past ill doers; KAFKAIAN FANTASY IN CURRENT POWER CONSTRUCT. 

Is there an ideological shift in the perception of ZH? 

Yes, its essential IMO is to keep sanity and sequential balance on this awesome global mayhem thread called Pax Americana unwind. 

The issue is NOT the effect of Central planning fiat inflation, its the root of Oligarchy evil sitting in the aisles, hoping against hope that the imposed austerity cum inflation of fiat pump will somehow save their stashed wealth, like the gold of the Aztecs/Incas robbed by the Spanish COnquistadors of old. Its not FDR who caused the 1929 crisis it was the Oligarchs and it had unimaginable consequences on the world. The same is true today, and its four times more lethal. 

Lets keep things in perspective; cause and effect.

Not that i do not enjoy your analytical skills, but it lacks synthesis and overall perspective.

They, the Oligarchs,  DONT want to go down the Zero Hedge road for sure. Lets not forget that ORIGINAL SIN and its origins. 

I apologise for using colourful biblical metaphors to make my point.

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 16:05 | Link to Comment Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

sounds like cheating

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 16:31 | Link to Comment Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 HFT aka NANO trading, invades all "body/market parts" by the billions, and consumes them with pre-programmed efficiency.

  Just like parasites, HFTs don't kill the host, they slowly consume it <>

 

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 16:43 | Link to Comment Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

 

 

Confusion in her eyes that says it all.

 HFT lost control.

 And HFT clinging to the nearest passerby,

 HFT lost control.

 And HFT gave away the secrets of her past,

 And said I've lost control again,

 And of a voice that told HFT when and where to act,

 HFT said I've lost control again.

 

And HFT turned around and took me by the hand

 And said HFT lost control again.

 And how I'll never know just why or understand

 HFT said I've lost control again.

 And HFT screamed out kicking on her side

 And said HFT lost control again.

 And seized up on the floor, I thought HFT died…….

 HFT said I've lost control.

 HFT lost control again.

 HFT lost control.

 HFT lost control again.

 HFT lost control.

 

Well I had to phone her friend to state my case,

 And say HFT lost control again.

 And HFT showed up all the errors and mistakes,

 And said I've lost control again.

 But HFT expressed herself in many different ways,

 Until HFT lost control again.

 And walked upon the edge of no escape,

 And laughed HFT lost control.

 HFT lost control again.

 HFT lost control.

 HFT lost control again.

 HFT lost control.

 

I could live a little better with the myths and the lies,

When the darkness broke in, HFT just broke down and cried.

I could live a little in a wider line,

When the change is gone, when the urge is gone,

To lose control. When here we HFT come.

 Bit of a joke & half truths… :) 

Joy Division – High Frequency Trading Has Lost Control

/bwahahahaha

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 17:11 | Link to Comment Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 Good job Atomizer/ I liked it ;-)... This HFT stuff is fascinating,once you start to understand what it's intensions are, and how it's used. I'll tell you one thing! HFT does not increase liquidity in the markets. It's all just an illusion, with ghost bids and asks that never get filled/ until the airpocket hits a top or bottom<>

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 16:46 | Link to Comment geno-econ
geno-econ's picture

So who are these Oligarchs ?  Come on Tonto, lets form a posse and go find them and lynch them !  Hi-ho Silver , away  (William Tel overture music in background).  However, in real Wall St life the bad guy always wins---- until we form a posse.  The SEC is more like the Town's intoxicated Doctor who is supposed to take care of the citizen's health needs but would rather stay at the bar drinking with the polititians. 

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 17:08 | Link to Comment Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

I always enjoy watching my above video. The shaken pistol holder turning the gun on himself. Priceless!

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 17:03 | Link to Comment Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

thank god i got my etrade acct and all those fancy market tools to help level the playing field with those algos....

i too can trade like a algo....

disclaimer: fuck Wall Street and FUCK YOU BERNANKE, CFTC AND THE BITCH ASS SEC....

physical Silver and Gold my Bitchez..........................................................................

 

 

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 19:19 | Link to Comment Godisanhftbot
Godisanhftbot's picture

 Ameritrade has even more tools. And I'm not talking about the customers.

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 18:18 | Link to Comment DonutBoy
DonutBoy's picture

The fix is so simple.  New market rule: any bid or ask submitted must remain open for 30 seconds, and cannot be cancelled in that time.  Game over on quote-stuffing. 

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 23:56 | Link to Comment Godisanhftbot
Godisanhftbot's picture

 The whole concept of co location was , is , and remains, a BLATANT admission that the exchanges are in the business of robbing the public of every possbile cent they can.

 

 Yep, we need to have a minimum life on an order to nullify , or partially nullify, this absurd , bought and paid for , unfair advantage.

 

 2 seconds would be about right. you're not willing to trade for 2 seconds, stay the fuck home.

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 20:16 | Link to Comment patb
patb's picture

1 tax all orders at 1 basis point.  

2 Tax all cancleled orders at 10 basis points.

 

that will end most of this BS

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 20:46 | Link to Comment Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

patb,  transaction taxes are not the answer!  Your overlords can't even decide on how to bail out Cyprus/

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 21:48 | Link to Comment q99x2
q99x2's picture

HFT's eat pension funds. Bernanke's PPT feed pension funds. HFT's eat pension funds. Bernanke's PPT feed pension funds. So why doesn't Bernanke cut the banksters a check and quit beating around the bush.

Sat, 12/15/2012 - 22:41 | Link to Comment Never One Roach
Never One Roach's picture

Thanks for this excellent article! Primers are great!! I send them onto my nephews so they better understand what's going on.

Sun, 12/16/2012 - 09:49 | Link to Comment cosmyccowboy
cosmyccowboy's picture

these guy's (HFT's) trade for free? i do not understand how picking up pennies in front of the steamroller pays off if you're having to pay the 9.99 per trade?

Sun, 12/16/2012 - 09:50 | Link to Comment Waterfallsparkles
Waterfallsparkles's picture

Now if the Government could set up a huge HFT system we could pay off the National Debt in no time.

Sun, 12/16/2012 - 10:37 | Link to Comment max2205
max2205's picture

I have lost $100 a lot ! Of trades to HFT ing. It like a transaction tax

Fucking so obvious after a fill. Price moves .1% opposite in a heart beat.

Now I am really sick of HFA A as in advertising As on this site.

It's one thing that I have to snub a ad click on e I arrive but then every page move?

I contribute at least 50 false pay clicks a day to ZH. Enjoy the money T

Sun, 12/16/2012 - 15:03 | Link to Comment Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

Hello Max,

Your internet ads reflect your own surfing behavior. Perhaps you should clean your computer and stop blaming others.

http://www.filehippo.com/download_ccleaner

Sun, 12/16/2012 - 16:31 | Link to Comment moneybots
moneybots's picture

 

  • "Momentum ignition: an HFT trader detects a large order targeting a percentage of volume, and front-runs it."

What is the dark pool institutional investor doing?   Hiding their large share block trades so that they don't spike up price, to front run later news that will later drive up price, after they finish accumulating.

Does Buffett announce he is going to buy XXX?  No, he buys XXX, then lets the public know he bought XXX, sending them to spike up the price.

 

 

Sun, 12/16/2012 - 17:15 | Link to Comment moneybots
moneybots's picture

Is the market broken?

 

The market has moved up in how many waves since the March 2009 low?  From the March 2009 low, where has the market moved to?  Overhead resistance at the previous high.

Have chart patterns disappeared?  Candlestick formations?  No.  When bearish sentiment rises to extremes do bull moves fail to appear?  When bullish sentiment rises to extremes, do bear moves fail to appear?  No.

If the market is broken, when did it break?  Were people saying the market was broken when 20% annual gains were the norm?  Or is the market only broken when it is in a secular bear market and isn't only going up?

Markets evolve over time.   Pit traders give way to electronic traders.  Human psychology does not evolve.  Greed and Fear.

The greater fool.  Someone always gets in ahead of someone else.  Virtually no one buys at the exact bottom.

Buy the break out.  Well what has to happen before one can buy the break out?  The price has to come up to the break out point.  Someone else gets in early.  But what is the trader trying to do?  Make money.  If one buys low and the price drops lower still, has any money been made?  With CANSLIM one buys high and sells higher.  They are not looking to get every penny.

If a stock goes from 10 to 40 and HFT's have been playing the stock all the way up, if one bought it at 14 and sold it at 36, how much money has one made, with or without HFT's in the market?

 

 

 

Sun, 12/16/2012 - 17:27 | Link to Comment moneybots
moneybots's picture

"WE ARE ALL KEYNESIANS IN RECESSION TO AVOID THE 1929 TYPE DEPRESSION, AS THE recent BRUCE KRASTING article points out so eloquently. SO Central planning is the only way to avoid the depression caused once again by the thieving free enterprise head-up-their exuberant ass Oligarchs; now gone viral into deep rehypothec criminality and Libor rate wanking, and ZIRP fed speculative levitation. VOODOO finance!"

 

How is that depression being avoided?  Food stamp recipients just hit a new all time high at 47.7 million.

How is the FED manipulating interest rates, free enterprise?  In free enterprise, the market sets the rate through price discovery.  ZIRP is not free enterprise.  You are blaming free enterprise whn you should be blaming market manipulation.

Sun, 12/16/2012 - 18:37 | Link to Comment Archduke
Archduke's picture

Great set of articles. good of AES to highlight the difference between Algorithmic Trading from brokers

and market makers versus speculative HFT program trading.   Good insights on categorizing various

algos per effect on price discovery.  some anti-HFT articles seem to see see algo trading as some arcane

dark pool conspiracy.  It's not that simple.  Algos became necessary to make sense of liberalisation and

of opening up, of an attempt at more transparency.  Legislative deregulation especially but not only in europe,

competition in markets and exchanges, and consolidation of smart order routing frameworks opened multi trade

venue MTFs like BATS CHI-X, or Turquoise.  Turquoise itself was once a dark pool, so in a way we are seeing

a move to more structured, more open markets.  while chaotic for now, algos just reflect the arbitrage inherent

in the process of smoothing out and levelling the playing field.  it will and should stabilise eventually.  this is

not just entropy, there is an interia. that inertia is in the form of fees and friction from transaction ratios, taxes,

and liquidity rebates or penalties.  we just need everybody to get together and agree on the same structures, and

as all structural arbitrage eventually disappears, we should be left with fairer pricing.

 

here's a good paper on MTFs.

 

http://www.efmaefm.org/0EFMAMEETINGS/EFMA%20ANNUAL%20MEETINGS/2010-Aarhu...

 

 

 

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