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The Two Charts That Matter From Smith And Wesson's December Investor Presentation

Tyler Durden's picture


Presented without commentary.



National Shooting Sports Foundation, Published December 3, 2012 –

NOVEMBER NSSF-ADJUSTED NICS CHECKS UP 38.5%... Powered by the largest single day ever for background checks on Black Friday, November 2012 is now the record holder for the most background checks conducted in a single month. The November 2012 NSSF-adjusted National Instant Criminal Background Check System (NICS) figure of 1,525,177 is an increase of 38.5 percent over the NSSF-adjusted NICS figure of 1,101,076 in November 2011. For comparison, the unadjusted November 2012 NICS figure of 1,997,703 reflects a 30.8 percent increase from the unadjusted NICS figure of 1,527,454 in Nov. 2011. This marks the 30th straight month that NSSF-adjusted NICS figures have increased when compared to the same period the previous year. The number reported for November 2012 eclipsed the previous high in December 2011 by 8.1 percent.”

Source: SWHC December Investor Presentation

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Mon, 12/17/2012 - 20:39 | 3073248 Stoploss
Stoploss's picture

It's the damned boar hogs.

Speaking of which, the current leadership is about as useless as tits on a boar hog.

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 22:27 | 3073539 imbrbing
imbrbing's picture

Yea, someone is going to have to "duck" when this blows.

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 23:27 | 3073677 Freddie
Freddie's picture

SWHC and Ruger are the new bubble stocks.

The AR15 is the new iPhone 5.  ;-)

Tue, 12/18/2012 - 00:16 | 3073779 Tijuana Donkey Show
Tijuana Donkey Show's picture

I find the features of the AR-15 never go out of style, and and I love to SMS with it, even if the range is a bit limited because I'm not in a tower. 

Tue, 12/18/2012 - 02:09 | 3073964 A Nanny Moose
A Nanny Moose's picture

Ha! nursery rhymes FTW!

Hickory Dickory Dock....(feel free to add your own flair here)


Tue, 12/18/2012 - 07:43 | 3074181 Disenchanted
Disenchanted's picture





"This is my rifle

this is my gun

this is for fighting

this is for fun"



Tue, 12/18/2012 - 08:16 | 3074212 DanDaley
DanDaley's picture

Remember that one well running around the squad bay at Edson Range with 80 other guys and our M14s, hahaha.  Too much fun.

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 19:31 | 3073066 stant
stant's picture

a modern day ft sumter would be instant death to the dollar. lets hope cool heads prevail

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 20:08 | 3073164 ball-and-chain
ball-and-chain's picture

I don't own guns.  I'm afraid my wife would blow my head off.

She has a bad temper.



Mon, 12/17/2012 - 20:18 | 3073194 WestVillageIdiot
WestVillageIdiot's picture

I thought I was the only one with that fear. 

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 21:18 | 3073368 AmericanFUPAcabra
AmericanFUPAcabra's picture

No one here cares if you went hiking yesterday. Stop pimping your blog on every thread. People might start to confuse you with Spiritoftruth...oh wait that seems to be what everyone does now. /Silverbug. Okay im done.

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 20:20 | 3073199 dobermangang
dobermangang's picture

The way food prices keep on going up, hunting for many is not just a sport anymore, but a matter of survival.  Got food???

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 21:05 | 3073283 Widowmaker
Widowmaker's picture

It is far more probable that the smart are insulating against Holder-justuce, ignorance, and liberal fact-fabrication.

People know the current "rule of law" is a total fucking joke on the enforcement/executive side.

The intelligent also know that with modern government marvels such as Homeland Insecurity that it is every man for himself against said incorporated government enemies of the people.

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 22:07 | 3073498 Omen IV
Omen IV's picture


the USA is an open air insane asylum !

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 19:06 | 3072998 The Gooch
The Gooch's picture

Short, Bolsheviks.

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 19:09 | 3073008 xtop23
xtop23's picture

Long, cavitation.

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 22:50 | 3073586 hannah
hannah's picture

long 1:7 twist...

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 23:22 | 3073662 ZeroAvatar
Mon, 12/17/2012 - 19:10 | 3073012 caimen garou
caimen garou's picture

the triple "G" effect

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 19:16 | 3073024 toady
toady's picture

Time to pick up some S&W stock?


Mon, 12/17/2012 - 19:58 | 3073107 sunaJ
sunaJ's picture

Congratulations, Toady, you just proved you are a fairly sensitive human.  The thought occurred to you days after the tragic event.   A sociopath would have had that idea the moment he saw breaking news of a mass shooting at an elementary school.  It would have been his first thought.  But even the sociopath is too late, for only miliseconds after the breaking news, all the sophisticated algos lit to life and began forming the groundwork for profit-taking, whereby sophisticated and proprietary investment instruments are installed into the system, to make money both on the way up and on the way down. 


DO. NOT. PLAY.  Go 'direct investment' into Smith & Wesson, if that's your 'stock' of choice.

Tue, 12/18/2012 - 02:17 | 3073977 A Nanny Moose
A Nanny Moose's picture

If you can't hold it, you don't own it.

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 19:23 | 3073039 HelluvaEngineer
HelluvaEngineer's picture


Mon, 12/17/2012 - 21:43 | 3073433 zorba THE GREEK
zorba THE GREEK's picture

SW 686 has been around for a long time. I bought a new 686 this year and later bought

a 28 year old 686. Both 357s, but the old one has wood grip.

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 19:23 | 3073040 The Miser
The Miser's picture

I am going to buy an AR15 to rid my property of mice. 

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 19:39 | 3073093 ghengis86
ghengis86's picture

Mine was for all specie of vermin. But I lost it.

Oops! Just found it again. It was hiding under my bed and seems to have asexually reproduced!


Don't live in fear

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 19:55 | 3073142 The Gooch
The Gooch's picture

or dread.



Mon, 12/17/2012 - 21:47 | 3073445 zorba THE GREEK
zorba THE GREEK's picture

I bought a 44 mag to shoot cans. AfricaCANS, MexiCANS and Porta RiCANS, and possibly some AmeriCANS.

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 22:56 | 3073604 Uncle Sugar
Uncle Sugar's picture

Get a 22 conversion kit for you AR if you're hunting mice. At least you'll have some meat left after the kill and it's a lot more economical.

Tue, 12/18/2012 - 01:05 | 3073888 ZeroAvatar
ZeroAvatar's picture

Best be trappin' those mice.  Might make a good mouse stew.

Tue, 12/18/2012 - 02:53 | 3074032 Redhotfill
Redhotfill's picture

Black Rifles work waaay better than Black Cats.

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 19:27 | 3073051 stant
stant's picture

been checking the big online shops, out of stock beside every item i have or would have

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 20:02 | 3073154 klockwerks
klockwerks's picture

Buy large quanty of ammo for all that you have. I would bet that might be the first thing they go for (idiots in Wash) You can always bater for it.

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 20:14 | 3073181 Salon
Salon's picture

Buy reloading gear. It is cheap right now.

Buy a #10 can seamer for 800 bucks and seal lots of ammo with O2 absorbers and dessicators. It should still be perfect in 50 years provided the can doesnt rust through.

Never let a crises go to waste

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 20:18 | 3073196 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Proud to say my son did that for me.

I hear there are a billion rounds of hollow points up for grabs.  Any hot rumors of locations?

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 19:31 | 3073054 darteaus
darteaus's picture

Gee, I wonder what changed?


-- Favorite: Python

Tue, 12/18/2012 - 01:07 | 3073893 ZeroAvatar
ZeroAvatar's picture

--Favorite: Python


Baked, barbequed or fricasseed?

Tue, 12/18/2012 - 15:15 | 3075520 darteaus
darteaus's picture


Colt - Six inch barrel, stainless

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 19:33 | 3073069 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

Foreign banksters still think they are going to steal American houses ?

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 19:33 | 3073070 Theosebes Goodfellow
Theosebes Goodfellow's picture

~"NOVEMBER NSSF-ADJUSTED NICS CHECKS UP 38.5%... Powered by the largest single day ever for background checks on Black Friday, November 2012..."~


One can only conclude that Santa is bringing a lot of good little boys and girls firepower. (Bad little boys and girls get coal.) Whether this is a reflexive social commentary on the current administration is another matter, but the numbers do invite speculation along those lines.

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 20:37 | 3073243 Creepy Lurker
Creepy Lurker's picture

If I'm sort of neutral, can I get both?

Tue, 12/18/2012 - 00:18 | 3073789 Freddie
Freddie's picture

This is an insane number. I think the NICS checks have been around 15 million a year for the last 4 years.   This is roughly about 50 million new gun sales over the past 4 years.  Talking about expanding your market or shifting the demand curve.

People are not as afraid of crime as they are afraid of tyranny and/or SHTF.  

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 19:41 | 3073098 absente reo
absente reo's picture

Sick America.

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 19:45 | 3073119 HelluvaEngineer
HelluvaEngineer's picture

Right.  So get the fuck out!

Tue, 12/18/2012 - 09:58 | 3074396 CoolBeans
CoolBeans's picture

Really.  But Americans are like the "Second Coming" when you need us, right?  So take your Anti-American B.S. and shove it.

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 19:48 | 3073127 way-out-west
way-out-west's picture

I don't want to be a kill-joy (I carry daily myself) but what happense if you normalize the above charts for population growth? I don't have the data, but it seems like there might be a little more to it. After all, the intersting part is the %change YoY normalized for those entering the 'legal' age to purchase.

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 21:09 | 3073330 Salon
Salon's picture

You told your kids Santa wasnt real didnt you?


Tue, 12/18/2012 - 06:53 | 3074153 flattrader
flattrader's picture

Good question.  I wondered about that myself initially.  But, then I noticed the big climb to the top for both types of guns began immediately post 9/11.

The long leg up looks event driven...with a dip in sales due to market implosion post 2008...and then a healthy resumption of sales when people figured out the still had disposable income.

Prior to '02 you could porbably overlay that chart with the age distribution of the male population 18+ and get a pretty good correlation of age distribution moving through to sales.

Mon, 12/17/2012 - 19:52 | 3073133 batz
batz's picture


Short butter!



Mon, 12/17/2012 - 19:52 | 3073134 besnook
besnook's picture

there is a pretty significant correlation with the rise of the bankster economy.

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