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Silver Slumps To Biggest 3-Day Drop In Over A Year

Tyler Durden's picture




 

On the back of no news and no fundamental shifts in demand and supply, Silver has cliff-dived 7.5% in the last 3 days, its biggest drop in over a year, as the precious metal heads back towards unchanged on the year. We suspect that, just as with the NatGas story earlier this year (when it went bidless and was justified by endless chatter over what it meant, when in fact it was John Arnold unwinding his positions and closing shop), the moves we are seeing in not just precious metals but copper and across FX are liquidation-related (as we noted yesterday) as fundamentally facts remain the same, given central bank buying of gold into reserves and the Fed set to hit a $4 trillion balance sheet within the next year). Into the 2011 year-end we also saw dramatic 'liquidation-like' plunges in Silver (and gold) as it is very clear that whoever is 'selling' is entirely price-insensitive.

It's beginning to look a lot like H1 2012...

 

Silver broke below its 200DMA (red), and saw the biggest 3-day drop in over a year (lower pane)

 

yet another 2011 echo...

 

S.S.D.Y!!!

 

Chart: Bloomberg

 

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Thu, 12/20/2012 - 12:12 | 3082855 punxsutawney phil
punxsutawney phil's picture

the best thing about gold is that on any given day up or down $50 is possible.  this shit is just plain fun

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 12:17 | 3082876 fuu
fuu's picture

We were told there would be volatility.

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 12:19 | 3082886 Dagny Taggart
Dagny Taggart's picture

Oh my gosh, another Christmas sale!! I am giddy.

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 12:22 | 3082896 virgilcaine
virgilcaine's picture

Going to the coin shop and then have a po boy hero.

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 12:25 | 3082907 mdtrader
mdtrader's picture

Looks like bankers decided it was time to go after all those precious metals profits.

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 12:29 | 3082939 muppet_master
muppet_master's picture

yawn !!

wake me up when Au < $300 and Ag < $3.75 = ME LOAD UP ON PHYSICAL...

THEN

wake me up when Au > $10k and Ag > $200...= dump it all and buy 10 yr treasuries @ 20%+....

yawn......enjoy life in the meantime...

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 12:39 | 3082991 SilverDoctors
SilverDoctors's picture

Interestingly, with silver hammered under $30, and gold under $1650, James Turk revised his 3 year gold outlook today....UPWARDS to OVER $8,000/oz!

http://www.silverdoctors.com/james-turk-revises-his-8000-gold-target-i-n...

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 12:44 | 3083023 NEOSERF
NEOSERF's picture

And this is the point with PMs...the "price" is so arbitrary that regardless of how bad inflation and the world is, if there is a collapse, PMs will collapse worse as it so highly leveraged and margined.

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 21:18 | 3084953 akak
akak's picture

One might easily mistake such facile talking-out-of-your-ass as simple flatulence.

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 12:47 | 3083029 mdtrader
mdtrader's picture

Mayan Heaven only accepts dollars, hence the sell off.

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 12:47 | 3083031 Antifederalist
Antifederalist's picture

Hey Cartel, is that all you have got?   We laugh at you.

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 12:51 | 3083065 ActionFive
ActionFive's picture

They retrace prices >100% on the second,minute,hour,day..

They want to pull you under if you try to hold.

They short what is new.

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 12:51 | 3083066 mark mchugh
mark mchugh's picture

I don't know about "price insensitive"

Retail papersilverbugs are getting ass-raped on their January SLV call options.

(Never liked papersilverbugs much anyway)

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 12:58 | 3083097 JPMorgan
JPMorgan's picture

Lovin the PM action today.

My only regret is I couldn't buy more physical.

 

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 13:00 | 3083119 Oldballplayer
Oldballplayer's picture

I had to check the URL.  I thought I logged into the Yahoo bulletin boards by mistake---and traveled back in time to 1999.

To the Moon!!!!!

Aren't we beyond that yet?

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 13:07 | 3083146 All Out Of Bubblegum
All Out Of Bubblegum's picture

JP Margin is shorting paper silver and buying bargain physical silver to hold onto for when the dollar is sucked dry. This isn't their first rodeo.

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 13:14 | 3083173 Irelevant
Irelevant's picture

Jess has a interesting take on the subject. This same thing happend last year.

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 13:20 | 3083188 devo
devo's picture

If you want physical, good luck finding it for 29/oz.

Eagles are 34 on Gainesville and high 30s on ebay.

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 14:07 | 3083375 AlphaHunter001
AlphaHunter001's picture

 

 

that's a good spread. if there is a spread like that, take advantage and sell physical and buy futures!

 

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 13:26 | 3083209 devo
devo's picture

Last night I was looking at a tube of 20 Eagles on Gainesville. It was 674. Today it is 671 after a $2 drop.

I know I would not sell any silver below 30, if I were selling. Seems the weak hands are getting rarer and rarer. There is a guy on CL I'm trying to deal with, who might sell Eagles at $31 each. That's the best I can find despite this price crush.

I'm thinking about day trading some SLV since it has no premium and this price is ridic if you look at what physical silver is selling for...

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 13:24 | 3083210 Caracalla
Caracalla's picture

I'm glad that last week I switched some of my inflation hedge from silver (PAAS) to uranium (CCJ).  I think there will be a huge move there in the next few years.  But I'm not buying physical!

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 14:39 | 3083500 ActionFive
ActionFive's picture

Somebody is buying/take a clue.

I know of someone waiting for paas silver since Sept. Told Rep said sales exploded since July/Quadrupled sales needing doubled output to even meet demand. Comex must be similar.

Even the daily pounded wti is up/get some rounds while they can still manage to stuff retail outlets.

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 13:27 | 3083225 shovelhead
shovelhead's picture

"If this doesn't make em dump PM's and buy AAPL, nothing will."

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 13:28 | 3083229 Handyman
Handyman's picture

Paper selloff.

 

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 13:33 | 3083252 debtor of last ...
debtor of last resort's picture

Paper prices. And trav is one of the biggest physical stacker s in da house. Promise you that.

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 13:49 | 3083312 Cult of Criminality
Cult of Criminality's picture

When you can print or receive as much counterfeight currency that is in use why,would you need Gold or Silver ?

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 14:04 | 3083363 AlphaHunter001
AlphaHunter001's picture

 

why is anyone surprised? this was a classic parabolic move, that always ends the same way - where it began

trading-wise, not really a surprise as $32 was a stop loss for many programs and technical traders. $31 was the 200 day, another sell signal.

if support breaks $27.50, i'd continue going short until next support at $18. That will most likely fail and we'll see support come in again at $8-$9

I know some people don't 'believe' the charts, which is funny since talk is cheap and action counts. lower price means more sellers than buyers, basic stuff LOL

 

 

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 15:46 | 3083807 sixbilliondollarman
sixbilliondollarman's picture

Not going to happen on the street...maybe in you "hockus pochus paper market John Corzine futures trading world"...criminals are bartering Gold & Silver on the street as if it were tender. And Criminals are taking possession of it at their central banks in large quantities.

That's the fundamentals [real world fundamentals now] which will overpower your "built into the price" technical trading system" because this ain't 1997 homey. This is the ROAD WARRIOR /Police state world now.  These markets are ready to impode from corruption & manipulation.

THERE IS NO FINANCIAL INTEGRITY IN THE FUTURES MARKETS NOW SINCE MF GLOBAL. THERE NEVER WILL BE.

So your drop maybe correct but for dif reasons..

REGARDLESS, gangmembers will not ACCEPT YOUR $8-9 "support line" as a transaction price...nor will the COMEX deliver @ that price to you.

What we do have in common is this: we are both stupid enough to keep trading the paper markets as if they were legit.

Nobody said I was smart.

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 14:16 | 3083421 Bansters-in-my-...
Bansters-in-my- feces's picture

Well I guess people are selling silver hand over fist,you can lease the stuff and they pay you +5.80% for a year lease.

 

We can lease silver ,right...?

 

No,only certain people.....

Oh.!

Ps   fuck yous banker scum.

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 15:29 | 3083739 sixbilliondollarman
sixbilliondollarman's picture

There are no Pawnshops nor Craigslists ads for Gold & Silver being "for sale"...only Buy ads.

There are theives ripping chains off the necks of anyone in parks in Stockton Calif. And if you don't "give it up" to the thief...then you get shot. [You get shot & maybe murdered over some cheap ass 10 karat shit chain of some gold]

OK?

so Physical is out of reach basically or supply is low.

YET THE FRAUD CRAMER CORZINE WASSENDORF BERNENKE GOLD MARKETS DROP!

Once again, the paper markets are a SCAM. Just like the FUCKING DOW keeps going higher just like the crime rates in our never-ending depression we are in no matter WTF the dickface on CNBC says...

 

Just like bullets are now the "new Silver"...the guy at the counter of Walmart won't "say that" ...just look over his shoulder & see there's none left on the shelves!!!

 

CORZINE + TV WATCHING + GOLD PAPER MARKET DROP = DUMBED DOWN AMERICAN.

Let metals go to ZERO...nobody on the street will sell them to you at that price. hahahahaha

 

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZPRt6Tt6RyM

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 17:22 | 3084139 suckerfishzilla
suckerfishzilla's picture

I was fortunate enough to buy the smackdown today.  Last year's low in December was $28.50/oz.  We'll see if they are diving off of the Acapulco cliffs by morning.   

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 23:34 | 3085472 DowTheorist
DowTheorist's picture

Today silver by violating its Nov 2 lows has flashed a primary bear market signal for both silver and gold.

 

Manipulated or not now the odds favor lower prices for precious metals in the coming days and weeks.

 

http://www.dowtheoryinvestment.com/2012/12/dow-theory-update-for-dec-20-...

 

Thu, 12/20/2012 - 23:55 | 3085529 tradewithdave
tradewithdave's picture

Wait a minute.  Your basis for "odds favor" when prices move on low volume, that's not considered a market view for Dow Theory?  Am I missing something?  Wouldn't the contrary be the case? 

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