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European Stocks Ignoring Everything (Like The US Until Last Night)
While Italian and Spanish sovereign bonds weakened notably today, the equity markets across Europe decided that the limit-down move in US futures was a storm in a teacup and ignored it. EURUSD has broken its inexorable 10-day linear ramp leaving the USD almost perfectly unchanged on the week. Italy and Spain equity indices are up 2.6% and 3% respectively while Italian and Spanish bond spreads are around 16bps tighter. Rather like what we witnessed this week in the US, Europe's VIX exploded today (biggest jump since July) as protection was sought in a hurry but the underlying indices did not drop as (just like over here) they are simply too illiquid to cope with the kind of selling that is desired. This leads to the game-theoretical first-mover dilemma - and the preference was to hedge via bonds, FX, and options as Europe closed - because think of the optics if Spanish stocks were to fall?
Spot The Odd Market Out!!
Charts: Bloomberg
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get your facts straight, it was not limit down , that requires a 5% drop , trade was halted for 10 seconds
Yes it's 5% but it's also rounded to 10 points...
from another thread - for the current Quarter it requires a 70 pt drop to go limit down
http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/equity-index/files/PriceLimitGuide.pdf
That's because the Euro died in the Mayan collapse and this is the liquor fueled wake.
<Monday will be when the hangover hits.>
It's easy to ignore reality....
You CAN NOT ignore the consequences of reality....
Like anyone even knows what reality is these days! We only know what isn't real and that is just about everything.
Capital flight from the USA. Repatriation. Just like 1987 when we devalued by 40%.
Its all Kabuki theater to make you think something other than the Fed and algobots are in this market and the Dems and Reps are actually "deliberating"......MSM condition the peeps for their "austerity" and the wash rinse repeat cycle continues unabated......now back to you football....nothing to see but the hand
The river DeNial runs through European Markets.
The river Ponzi flows thru the whole world.Please accept that nothing will change.
Someday, everyone in the world will ignore the US "equity market". But then the European "equity markets" are fraud in their own rights.
Yes and EUR.USD's making new daily lows as we converse. It is likley that many fear the trap door affect!
Lastly, it would be quite facinating to see a creeping meltdown in exchange for all those levitating meltups! Bring it on, we've got time.
I almost wrote a note asking what folks thought of yesterdays action
I expected a fade in the afternoon, but kept my shorts in which paid off today. was very confused. I didn't mnd buying into some s and p yesterday at the low because I figured I had a 50% chance of payback
*It made no sense as we hit the top of weekly trend on tuesday. often I buy 1/2 of my long again, but my short purchase was very large and the market has been funny s and P is now where I expected it to be yesterday
Now now, you must always keep your shorts. Thanks for sharing your approach but we're just having fun here.
The financial world has been ignoring the rest of the world for years now except when it needs to be bailed out, which is every other week. In the end, the financial world cannot lose anyway ... so ignoring everything is irrelevant.
wrong post
I thought we were big on "decoupling issues" here? Like "if equities move one way and sovereign debt another" that "we're looking at a head fake here"?
I think it's simply a matter of too many traders short Europe and long US out there