Are Stocks Catching Down To Gold?

Tyler Durden's picture

Year-to-date, the EuroStoxx 50 (Europe's Dow) is the best performing of the major asset classes of the developed world - besting the S&P 500 by over 300bps now. What is perhaps more interesting than this apparent dirty/clean shirt bet is that the S&P 500 was outperforming Gold by more than 850bps last week. It appears that since reaching that 2-sigma 'richness' that stocks and gold have begun to converge back to a more normal 'average' spread for the year. Gold remains +6.4% for the year versus 12% for the S&P (with recent historical vol considerably higher in stocks than gold) but the question is - is the long Gold, short Stocks pair due for a renaissance?

 

S&P 500 performance over Gold YTD - peaks and troughs around 2-sigma...

 

Stock vol rising relative to Gold vol...

 

Charts: Bloomberg