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The Non-Premature Death of the U.S. Consumer
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/30/2009 19:05 -0400Paul Kedrosky has captured some great statistical data from mint.com about how the average U.S. consumer is faring. In a nutshell - plain horrible.
Straight from the horse's mouth (Aaron Patzer, CEO of Mint):
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Lehman Bankruptcy Judge James Peck Arrested for Beating Wife
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/02/2009 18:47 -0400
The stress of the "biggest bankruptcy in history" and all those fee applications must really be getting to him.
Ari Kiev On CNBC Right Now, Providing Profound Psych Insight For Free
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/28/2009 18:45 -0400
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Who Says Nobody is Issuing Debt
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/29/2009 15:11 -0400A statistic that may surprise some, is that January 2009 has seen a record amount of new Investment Grade issues: $104 billion so far. This easily surpasses the 2008 total of $83 billion. Granted, of this tally $61 billion is FDIC-guaranteed paper, but the $43 billion non-financial balance is still much higher than the $28 billion comparable in 2008 and $11 billion in 2007. Even more surprising is that 56% of new issues were BBB rated, up from 25% in December. This is summarized below:
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Intelsat New Bond Issue Faring Very Well In Weak Credit Market
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/29/2009 21:27 -0400- Read more
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Nassim Taleb's Facebook Accountability Initiative
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/30/2009 20:53 -0400
Nassim Taleb of Black Swan and fat tail fame, has created a Facebook site called "Make Bankers Accountable." It is feasible that this could become the 21st equivalent of the million man march on Washington. We fully endorse the initiative. Maybe eventually Obama will realize just how angry the general public is becoming.
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First Lehman, Now Goldman Saying Run For Cover
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/02/2009 19:37 -0400A report released earlier by Goldman thinkers Krag Gregory and John Marshall discussing volatility and options strategy, is recommending loading up the boat on S&P puts. The GS "portfolio strategy" team (we assume this is not the guys on the prop side who usually execute the opposite of whatever the sellside guys preach) expects the market to retest the 750 low in Q1, pretty much what Lehman said over the weekend.
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Private Equity Firms About To Get In Line For TARP Handouts
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/28/2009 19:45 -0400It The Boston Consulting Group and Nassim Taleb are right, and the latter has been right over the past 2 years where everyone else has been massively wrong, then private equity firms are about to get in line for government bail outs.
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Who Says Nobody is Issuing Debt
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/29/2009 15:11 -0400A statistic that may surprise some, is that January 2009 has seen a record amount of new Investment Grade issues: $104 billion so far. This easily surpasses the 2008 total of $83 billion. Granted, of this tally $61 billion is FDIC-guaranteed paper, but the $43 billion non-financial balance is still much higher than the $28 billion comparable in 2008 and $11 billion in 2007. Even more surprising is that 56% of new issues were BBB rated, up from 25% in December. This is summarized below:
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- 801 reads
Goldman Prices $2 Billion 10 Year Notes Without FDIC Backing
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/29/2009 21:42 -0400In what many expected to be a test of whether financial companies can raise capital without the implicit guarantee of the government, Goldman managed to price $2 billion of non-FDIC insured notes at 500 bps over comparable treasuries. In absolute terms, the notes priced with a 7.5% coupon to yield 7.779%. While the rate is high, the fact that it could even price is notable as all capital raises by financial institutions in recent months were backed by the full faith of the Federal Reserve's printing presses. The pricing is even more remarkable as today GS stock is down a little over 5%.
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- 729 reads
Nassim Taleb's Facebook Accountability Initiative
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/30/2009 20:53 -0400
Nassim Taleb of Black Swan and fat tail fame, has created a Facebook site called "Make Bankers Accountable." It is feasible that this could become the 21st equivalent of the million man march on Washington. We fully endorse the initiative. Maybe eventually Obama will realize just how angry the general public is becoming.
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- 1408 reads
Fed Releases Senior Loan Officers Survey - Ugly Results
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/02/2009 20:00 -040014:00 *FED RELEASES QUARTERLY SENIOR LOAN OFFICERS SURVEY
14:00 *FED SAYS BANKS REDUCED LIMITS ON LINES OF CREDIT
14:00 *FED SAYS NEARLY 60% OF BANKS TIGHTENED CONSUMER-LOAN TERMS
14:00 *NET 80% OF BANKS TIGHTENED COMMERCIAL REAL-ESTATE LOAN TERMS
14:00 *FED SAYS NET 60% OF BANKS SAW REDUCED BUSINESS-LOAN DEMAND
14:00 *BANKS CITED DETERIORATING ECONOMY IN TIGHTENING LOAN TERMS
14:00 *FED SAYS 90% OF U.S. BANKS INCREASED BUSINESS-LOAN MARGINS
14:00 *FED SAYS 65% OF BANKS MADE IT HARDER TO GET BUSINESS LOANS
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Fed Rate Kept at 0%; FOMC Full Statement; Vague On Treasury Purchases
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/28/2009 20:16 -0400Release Date: January 28, 2009
For immediate release
The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to keep its target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent. The Committee continues to anticipate that economic conditions are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for some time.
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December New Home Sales Insanely Low: 331,000 Annualized
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/29/2009 16:00 -0400"New home sales drop to lowest level on record", down 14.7% from 388,000 in November (revised)
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Is Fortress Investment Group On The Edge Of Insolvency?
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/29/2009 22:24 -0400How the mighty have fallen. According to Bloomberg, Fortress (ticker: FIG), which was the first hedge fund to IPO in the heydays of the credit bubble in the summer of 2007 is trying to raise $80 million to fund margin calls associated with its investment in Gagfah, a German residential property operator, as well as two other real estate investment funds, Eurocastle and Nationstar.
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