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Putting America's Tax Hike In Perspective

Tyler Durden's picture


One of those occasions when one picture really does speak a thousands words.

Houston, we may have a spending problem.


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Tue, 01/01/2013 - 16:49 | 3112765 devo
devo's picture

It's only a problem if you don't own stocks, gold, a house, etc.

So just buy those things (or save for them) instead of consumer goods/junk that Americans waste money on. I mean Bernanke isn't hiding the script from anyone.

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 17:00 | 3112777 alfbell
alfbell's picture

I don't have stocks, gold or a house. I've liquidated everything and use my cash to do private lending at excellent returns. Can do this all from home with a computer and phone. Gonna keep doing this, and amassing cash, until I need to go into tangibles because the USD is truly going away (velocity picks up and the final and last debasement occurs). I still have a while before that happens.

Then I guess I'll go into farmland and multi-family income properties.

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 17:03 | 3112788 devo
devo's picture

How do you protect yourself as a private lender? Do you ask for equal collateral?

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 17:25 | 3112829 alfbell
alfbell's picture

I protect myself by requiring high quality real estate as my collateral (although never a person's primary home... has to be a rental, vacation home or other type... I don't want to take someone's primary home from them if they default). Never go above 65% LTV. These are short term loans to real estate investors (rehabbers who remodel and resell).

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 17:30 | 3112838 devo
devo's picture

Yeah that is a pretty good idea. What type of interest rate do you charge, and how do you deal with all the legal paperwork?

I have ~80k in cash and something like that sounds interesting since I have no interest in owning any more stocks or PMs right now. How much capital did you start with?

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 18:45 | 3113025 alfbell
alfbell's picture

Sorry Devo, I can't get into this on public communication lines. Violates SEC rules. Go onto Amazon and order the books on private lending and trust deeds and educate yourself. Then you'll know if this is for you. Just tap into real estate investors in your area that are using hard money (most all of them do) and find out what rates and loan structures that they are working with. Contact hard money lenders and do the same. If it looks good, get organized and go for it.

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 19:08 | 3113049 devo
devo's picture

Will look into it, thanks

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 20:57 | 3113304 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Too lazy to run drugs and guns?

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 22:12 | 3113595 cbxer55
cbxer55's picture

That is against the law, ya know?  ;-)

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 22:47 | 3113692 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

So is loan-sharking, but what isn't these days?


Tue, 01/01/2013 - 17:12 | 3112807 NaiLib
NaiLib's picture

Full execution of Fiscal Cliff still the best for US. Let it roll and and lay off 50% of all in Washington, they are not needed.

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 17:27 | 3112832 Herdee
Herdee's picture

Everyone agrees that it is a spending problem.The real issue is the type and the methods of taxation.All the Washington politicians want to stick to payroll taxes which is a very primitive method.It dates back to the first world war.IMO,they need to build it in to the whole economic system if they want to pay for their military and health care.Payroll taxes need to be transformed into consumption taxation.There was never any income tax until WW1 so get rid of it and become more efficient,the way the U.S.A.was before it became the worlds' policeman.There's not a lot of brain power in Washington.

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 17:29 | 3112835 Dre4dwolf
Dre4dwolf's picture

Haha raising taxes is futile.

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 17:47 | 3112883 knowless
knowless's picture

The line for projected revenues obviously goes strait to the top right corner. Well, parabolic depending on how you format the x-axis.

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 17:55 | 3112901 I am Jobe
I am Jobe's picture

XCLUSIVE: Senator’s husband’s firm cashes in on crisis

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 18:07 | 3112919 cbxer55
cbxer55's picture

That story is from 2009. Hows about something a littler more current. Everyone knows the bitch's husband, and herself, take advantage of every crisis they can. That is what Denninger is ranting about on his latest post today.

Not only that, the damn link stalled my computer. I had to shut it off at the power source and restart the thing. Pisses me off.

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 18:09 | 3112938 Dineroguru
Dineroguru's picture

Let's call a spade a spade or in this case a WHORE a WHORE!

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 18:04 | 3112920 mr_bad
mr_bad's picture

smells like hope and change to me...


Tue, 01/01/2013 - 18:19 | 3112963 Monedas
Monedas's picture

Million Dollar Booger .... roll it up and save it under the flap on your pocket protector !

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 18:37 | 3113003 Fix It Again Timmy
Fix It Again Timmy's picture

Captain Boehner orders all screen doors on the submarine to be secured, then DIVE, DIVE, DIVE!!!!

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 18:38 | 3113004 QE49er
QE49er's picture

Even the simplest chart can't wake up the people, like running right through detour signs and driving straight off a back to the Mad Max marathon on AMC...

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 19:10 | 3113082 Downtoolong
Downtoolong's picture

Congress is arguing over who pays the tip after they already skipped out on the bill.

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 19:13 | 3113085 yogibear
yogibear's picture

The Rebublicrats have voted. King Obama wins.

Obama Deal Adds $3.97 Trillion to Deficit Over 10 Years; Only 5 Republicans Voted Against; White-Flag Surrender




Tue, 01/01/2013 - 19:19 | 3113102 I am Jobe
I am Jobe's picture

Pain is lingering for many . Just a matter of time.


Tue, 01/01/2013 - 19:36 | 3113137 JamesBond
JamesBond's picture

so this is the 'real' fiscal clif....



Tue, 01/01/2013 - 19:48 | 3113151 NuYawkFrankie
NuYawkFrankie's picture

"Is that the Budget Deficit in your pocket... or are you just happy to see me?" - Mae West (updated)

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 20:08 | 3113207 WmMcK
WmMcK's picture

You can visit me between the holidays - Mae West?

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 21:14 | 3113373 egoist
egoist's picture

Better to be looked over than overlooked - MW

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 20:01 | 3113189 NuYawkFrankie
NuYawkFrankie's picture

Q. Whats the difference between A Fox In The Henhouse and a Debate in Congress

A. A Fox In The Henhouse  makes for Flustered Clucks....

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 20:11 | 3113204 akak
akak's picture

Q: What's the difference between a politician and a rapist?

A: The rapist usually fucks his victim only once, and never tries to claim that the rape is to the victim's own benefit while then demanding payment for his "services".

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 20:33 | 3113255 Simplifiedfrisbee
Simplifiedfrisbee's picture

With the sound of water splashing, a toilet is now the temporary owner of compacted fecal matter and tainted urine water. With the sound of a flushing drain, the toilet refills with "fresh" water again and awaits the following assholes to continue the cycle.

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 20:45 | 3113275 nector_collecter
nector_collecter's picture   guillotine footage  or should I say headage


Tue, 01/01/2013 - 20:48 | 3113281 nasdaq99
nasdaq99's picture

Evo Morales, Bolivian president, confiscates electric utility assets of spanish utility Iberdrola.  9 months ago, Bolivia confiscated electric utility assets of Red Electricidad, anothe Spanish utility and has never mentioned paying for them.


the future of multinationals?

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 20:52 | 3113290 Zaphod B.
Zaphod B.'s picture

I can't stand when people can't even understand the proper use of door knobs and drawer pulls. In many new top end kitchens, idiots are using door knobs on drawers and drawer pulls on's insane. Why, I ask? A door knob is a frigging door knob. A drawer pull is a drawer pull. It's just wrong. And nobody life just goes on...and your kitchen is all fucked up....and you dont even know it.

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 20:59 | 3113308 just_askin
just_askin's picture

Houston, we also have a taxing problem. You need to add an extra bar for the estimated $205 billion in extensions of corporate tax breaks - for such life necessities as casinos, sports areans and offshore tax havens for banks and insurance companies.

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 21:03 | 3113317 hooligan2009
hooligan2009's picture

so lets get this straight..the whole shouting match has been about just one side of the equation with zero work done on the side with the problem...spending.

this beggars belief - this is the time when the politicians should be moved aside and a referendum held with two questions

"we are broke -

1. do you wish to reduce spending or increase taxes to balance this years books?

2. do you wish to reduce spending or increase taxes to pay off the national debt?"

the voters can then decide how they want to pay for the shitheads they voted for. if 60% vote (in either case) for tax increases, then that is the amount of deficit or debt reduction that is met by tax increases; the rest is made up from spending cuts.

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 21:11 | 3113354 egoist
egoist's picture

A "thousand words"? You mean a thousand-billion words.

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 21:26 | 3113392 alfbell
alfbell's picture

My understanding is that never in history have tax revenues ever exceeded 17-20% of GDP, no matter how high tax rate margins have been raised (even when FDR and others raised taxes up the ying yang). Corps and the people just always figure out how to not pay, or avoid or diminsh their payments.

You've got to be kidding me... the Dem dominant Senate passes a bill that taxes but doesn't do anything about spending, which IS our problem and everyone with a brain cell knows that. There is so much more to all of this than meets the eye... yet the lumpen masses just accept this as the rational work of our representatives and leaders... the best that they can do.

The voters always get what they deserve. The people always elect their executioner. Sad.

Nothing can be this ridiculous unless it is intended.

The cost of freedom is constant vigilance and the willingness to fight back. We the sheeple lost that a lonnnnnnnnnnnng time ago.

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 22:14 | 3113608 MyBrothersKeeper
MyBrothersKeeper's picture

While it's true that corps and rich find loopholes etc (created by govt I might add) in added taxation, in the bigger picture taxes take money out of more efficient private sector and this reduce gdp...which is why revenues as a percentage stay roughly the same no matter the tax rate.

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 21:41 | 3113494 maliciousmalefactor
maliciousmalefactor's picture

Let the Lemmings follow the the Pied Piper "O'le The Great ChairSatan" off the Fiscal Cliff as lemmings shall always do. As for the rest of us prepare with Food, Guns, Bullets, and friends. But above all Love Thy Neighbor, especially if shes hot.

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 22:04 | 3113564 thedrickster
thedrickster's picture

Is Trav banned again?

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 22:11 | 3113593 akak
akak's picture

One can always hope.

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 22:28 | 3113649 Miffed Microbio...
Miffed Microbiologist's picture

I feel guilty to admit I've enjoyed your Trav battles akak. True artistry really. But I take no joy in your mental anguish. A good fight in fight club is great to behold. Being raised in a debating family has made me a sucker for a good debate. However there is certainly a difference between debating and just being an asshole.


Tue, 01/01/2013 - 22:39 | 3113679 akak
akak's picture

Thanks Miffed, and I appreciate your posts as well.

But if you like MY fights with Trav, you really should have been around here a couple of years ago when he mainly did battle with tmosely (who is still a member, but who rarely posts here anymore) --- now THOSE were some heated exchanges!

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 23:17 | 3113741 Miffed Microbio...
Miffed Microbiologist's picture

Yes, I actually lurked here a full year before I joined. I witnessed a few of tmosley and travs exchanges. Frankly it did scare me off ,not that I lack the cajones.... welI I guess in reality i do lack them:-)...but I felt I didn't have the financial background to adequately defend myself if attacked. Then I started to notice these attacks weren't facts being volleyed back and forth but just vicious name calling and wild generalizations. Kind of like playing speed chess with someone... wild unpredictable moves to disturb your opponent is the only strategy, no love of the game or the beauty that unfolds as you play it. When I joined I made a pledge to myself never to take an attack from anyone here personally, I've come to the conclusion assholes are one of the constants of life. Good people too I should add...I've found both here.


Tue, 01/01/2013 - 22:09 | 3113584 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

NHL players should ask for a larger cap tonight.

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 22:22 | 3113629 stlouistrader
stlouistrader's picture

This market goes much higher...Printing money and kicking world debt down the road will prop up world markets for several more years.  I love ZH but one must read this blog by remembering that one cant fight the tape.  Eventually, the world financial markets will crash and it will start through massive social unrest and the incompetance to recapitalize banks in Europe.  ZH will be righ but it could cost the shorts a lot of money in the meantime...

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 22:29 | 3113656 MyBrothersKeeper
MyBrothersKeeper's picture

Quite possibly you are right.  Look at Japan...debt 240% of gdp and their markets are posied to surge due to more stimulus.  The problem is with global debt at 300% of global gdp there are going to be more and black swans...any of which are capable of collapsing the system.  With S&P futures up 36 pts it looks like a it's ramp up city.  History, however, has been pretty consistent in when people go from being hopeful to euphoric...espeially with little basis that things turn very quickly.  We'll see.

Wed, 01/02/2013 - 00:49 | 3113992 Savyindallas
Savyindallas's picture

those are fridays numbers on futures. Wouldn't be surprised if they were that high when they open in the morning  -but remember when TARP passed  - everyone expected a huge ramp, but after 10 minutes the Dow fell about 700 points

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 22:55 | 3113706 alfbell
alfbell's picture

Yes, stlouistrader and mybrotherskeeper I agree. And, I think to extrapolate from that... there is still plenty of time to work within the USD and make as much of it as one can before it eventually slides as the reserve currency, as well as starts to seriously lose its purchasing power. But TPTB will keep propping the system up and keep it going for a long time (a la Japan). This is the biggest economy in the world with a lot of assets, momentum and powerful people in the corporate, financial and political worlds that don't want to face the music or lose. It will be a demise in slow motion.

The bond vigilantes won't come soon and push interest rates up. If they did it would be game over... the government couldn't pay the debt... the wealthy and the financial sector won't allow it.

The more debt, the more volatile the economy and the markets and people will just get used to it. I believe it will take a lot more volatility, uncertainty and black swans before the majority of population become aware, become concerned and then the BIG influence/catalyst hits and unravels things almost overnight (that big influence being CONFIDENCE). When CONFIDENCE goes and the pendulum swings from faith in the government to faith in the private sector... then the markets go down, the value of the USD goes down, all hell breaks loose with a combination of (or alternating sequence of) deflations and inflations.

I say make lots of cash and be prepared to transfer it into hard tangible assets down the road when it is actually required.

Do you agree with this?


Tue, 01/01/2013 - 23:20 | 3113754 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

I do.

Tue, 01/01/2013 - 23:24 | 3113760 blindman
blindman's picture

you never know just how far "down the road" you may be.
that seems to be a reliable truism.

Wed, 01/02/2013 - 16:32 | 3115995 stlouistrader
stlouistrader's picture

I do agree with your investment thesis.  Most of the larger maoney management firms are looking at hard assets.  I know TIAAF CREF, Harvard Endowmwnt Fund, BOA Asset Mngmt, Passport Capital, Rogers Holdings, Soros are all investing in land but much of it in Latin America. Brazil seems to be the country of choice, especially in the Cerrado region.  Investing there is very complicated and absolutely MUST be done through Brazilian firms that have been doing it for years as the regulatory and poliical environment is extremely difficult to navigate.  Hoever, most of the aforementioned firms have been successful in land conversion to agricultural use by partnering with the right Brazilian firms.  Land in the region goes for roughly $1500/usd/hectare and yields have been phenomenal.  Land here in the U.S. has become way too expensive.  IMHO Eveyrones portfolio should be heavily weighted to hard assets.

Wed, 01/02/2013 - 00:02 | 3113825 zombiebank
zombiebank's picture


Wed, 01/02/2013 - 00:05 | 3113840 Lord Of Finance
Lord Of Finance's picture

All this political puke has caused me to quit drinking. It has forced me to take up opiates instead. Yeah, a little peyote and morphine will do the trick to dull your senses to all this madness!

Wed, 01/02/2013 - 00:52 | 3114005 bunnyswanson
bunnyswanson's picture  Morphine - Cure for Pain

In spite of me - Mark Sandman - (I know you did it all inspite of me)

Wed, 01/02/2013 - 00:41 | 3113962 technicalanarchy
technicalanarchy's picture

Yee Haw! NASCAR got a fuckin tax break in the cliff deal! I cant take much more.

Wed, 01/02/2013 - 03:03 | 3114029 resurger
resurger's picture

The markets are going crazy over the posted chart. Ferbus does not read ZH

Wed, 01/02/2013 - 01:12 | 3114056 hairball48
hairball48's picture

"The House worked its will." So says the Republican Asst Whip who voted Aye on this "legislation". I can't wait to see "The Market" work its will.

Half a league, half a league,
Half a league onward,
Off Death's cliff
Ambled sheeples by the hundred.


Wed, 01/02/2013 - 01:20 | 3114073 innertrader
innertrader's picture

I've been writing letters, both of support and resistance, to congress and the president for over 40 years.  However, as of tonight, I shall NEVER again vote or spend one second of my time concerning the politicians or this country.... I am finished!  From this point forward, ALL I'm going to do is make as much money as I can, period!!!  Therefore, how can we make money on the demise of the United States of America?  It's the ONLY thing I am absolutely sure of, so lets have some fun and make a LOT of cash!

Wed, 01/02/2013 - 01:46 | 3114131 thedrickster
thedrickster's picture

I'm guessing shorts of size are not the answer.....

Wed, 01/02/2013 - 02:58 | 3114201 resurger
resurger's picture


Wed, 01/02/2013 - 03:29 | 3114226 hooligan2009
hooligan2009's picture

stop being a spartacus and go galt!!! viva zapata!!!

Wed, 01/02/2013 - 01:43 | 3114129 Dineroguru
Dineroguru's picture

These bastards have ZERO credibility.  The reality is that these political hacks don't know whether to shit or go blind when it comes to helping the economy.  Deal me out!

Wed, 01/02/2013 - 03:15 | 3114212 alfbell
alfbell's picture

2013 is going to be a great year. Ignore these clowns and evil doers. Live your life the way you want to. Make your own economy.  Figure out how to profit off of the actions of The Fed, Congress and the Supreme Court. It's one big movie, a tragi-comedy, and you don't have to be a part of it.

Wed, 01/02/2013 - 06:11 | 3114315 10044
10044's picture

Forget all these fuuny 1s and 0s
Any idea when basel iii is coming out recommending au as tier 1 asset?

Wed, 01/02/2013 - 07:45 | 3114351 DollarDive
DollarDive's picture

Mastercard, Visa or AMEX ? .....CHAAAA - CHINGGGGG...... lol - "Priceless"

Wed, 01/02/2013 - 09:05 | 3114457 HawkEye123
HawkEye123's picture

Beauty is only skin-deep. tubal reversals

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