Vol Curve Mangling Continues As March Debt Ceiling "Drop Dead" Day Looms

Tyler Durden's picture

We explicitly noted that the purchase of vol steepeners across the debt-ceiling deadlines was the short-term trade as soon as the ATRA deal was approved. In the brief period since, the VIX term-structure has smashed from its flattest (most inverted) in 2 months to its steepest now in 5 months as hedgers roll out to March and beyond. Of course, all algos know is that they can lever VXX (and other synthetics) in the short-term to ramp equities higher - and sure enough the S&P 500 just hit highs above the highest close since December 2007.

 

Spot and futures curve steepening...

 

Short-term...

 

Medium-term...