VIXtermination: Vol Banged To Lowest Close Since June 2007

Tyler Durden's picture

Instead of a full recap of the market today, which did nothing all day on the lowest NYSE volume day of the year, we will present just one chart to show how it is that once again the market got its nearly miraculous green close and last hour ramp to avoid a red close for the day, and possibly week. The chart is, as has been so very often the case recently, that of the spot VIX, where the now usual gimmick of dumping oodles of VIX futures served to do one thing only: bang the close (a technical term, one which used to be illegal) so hard that the market's algos took the reflexivity signal implied by the evaporation in volatility as an all clear signal and bought risk in what is becoming an expected daily occurrence.

And while the spot slid to close at 13.36, the lowest closing print since June 19, 2007, it was the dump in the last 25 seconds of trading that just had to be seen to be believed. Luckily, it can be seen below on the Bloomberg QR page showing it taking a step move lower from 13.38 to 13.22 at 15:59:35, before "recovering" to 13.38 just after the close.

VIXtermination full frontal:

And the promised QR screen.

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LawsofPhysics's picture

Who runs bartertown?  FUCK YOU Bernanke!!!!!

 

Now about those treasury yields....

 

Must not alarm the sheep (and their pension funds), all is well...

slaughterer's picture

It is not just the Fed selling VOL.  There are other accomplices in this gang bang.

FL_Conservative's picture

Selling VOL and buying ES.  I guess that's how you make green....in the new normal.  Glad there's NOTHING to worry about.

bania's picture

why bang the close when you can bang dae ho!?

whstlblwr's picture

Of course, the Jews did it!

LawsofPhysics's picture

sure, some of the participants don't even know they are at a gangbang, aside from the slight discomfort they feel from time to time.

Joe moneybags's picture

The Fed may indeed sell VOL (using futures or options on those futures), but that doesn't influence the underlying VIX.  The VIX is computed by quants and algos at the CBOE, using option premia on the latest sales of S&P index options to come up with an implied volatility number. VIX is not directly bought or sold. Any small hiccup in the CBOE data, which occurs in increments less than a second, might produce a bad tick.  This miniscule fluctuation hardly rates an investigation.

ArkansasAngie's picture

Butcher's thumb?

Cut that sucker off!

SnobGobbler's picture

not yet, these volumes are high compared to what can happen.  ZH has already surmised the timeline to a "no-bid" market volume btw.

Deacon Frost's picture

Who runs bartertown?

It has the hallmarks' of Bernanke being 'Master' to Simon 'Harry' Potter being 'Blaster'.

The Axe's picture

The pattern day trading in friday's market(which has been absent for years) reappeared in RIMM  NOK BBY and of course FB....this wild non-algo based trading is been long gone....Helped by the weekly options    

Dollar Bill Hiccup's picture

God Bless America!

Land of the ... ?

electricgorilla's picture

All we need is Tilson to short the VIX then we'd know a crash is near

Boilermaker's picture

Well, it works and they don't give a fuck what we think about it.

Why would this stop?

spastic_colon's picture

S&P 1500+ at all costs! - Ben

debtor of last resort's picture

After the close... Nice term.

Cdad's picture

Kevin Henry should write a book: "How to fool the dumbest algorithm in the room"  How all these stat arb hedge funds make any money at all...is a mystery to me.

It is all so patently obvious...there is no longer a market.  Thank you, Ben Bernanke, for this wasteland you have created for us.

This is not the first time I have seen that closing pattern on the VIX.  Don't remember when it was...but that pattern did, indeed, mark a reversal.  Of course past is not prologue...but since there is no market, and I am talking to myself, what does any of it matter?

AldoHux_IV's picture

In a world of algos, correlations, and grougthink who woulda thunk you can own the world with one button? Hint: marriner eccles

Martdin's picture

I'm gonna make a mental note of this for the next time the world is ending.

Ham-bone's picture

Since 2010, every new spike low in the vix descending lows has correlated w/ the short term S&P tops (each Vix low correlating w/ a new S&P post '09 high)...6 for 6, seems likely this will be 7 for 7.

LawsofPhysics's picture

That would be a useful chart.

Ham-bone's picture

just cross reference S&P 500 vs. vix on any charting service or Marketwatch or Yahoo finance.  However, just cause it has been working doesn't mean it will continue...be careful.

Funny thing...although vix spike lows have actually correlated perfectly w/ S&P tops since '09 (within days), vix peaks have not correlated w/ S&P bottoms...hmmm.  Vix peaks seem to have come several months prior to S&P bottoms.  Even funnier is every major vix spike low in '10, '11, '12 all saw within about 3 months a minimum doubling to tripling of the vix from spike low to peak.

disabledvet's picture

I feel as though I have impugned the honor of people in what is perceived as a public space. While I still feel like I "hanging out with the smokers" from back in my school daze being here...sorry for personal offense. Now excuse me while "project vix" takes a nap too.

dirtyfiles's picture

looks like this index will be replaced by some new centrally planed and more stable by re balancing maybe?

Quinvarius's picture

If you hae infinite money, you can set paper wherever you want...at the cost of the real economy.  That is why I prefer stuff they can't control with a printing press or a margin account.

Lord Of Finance's picture

3/4 of a trillion flowing out of stocks and piling into bonds while the DOW flirts with all time highs is a recipe for great disaster. Probably not this year though. I believe the vix is always late to the "party". 

We clearly see this slow train wreck a commin'.

 

Forget the useless vix

otto skorzeny's picture

CNBC was touting all of the $ pouring back into mutual funds today-?????

LongSoupLine's picture

Like I said previous, nothing the fuck stick fed does shocks me anymore. Fucking corruption and collusion beyond fucking comprehension.

Fuck off wall street dickheads.

Say What Again's picture

Tyler,

Is it possible for the HFT Algos to perfom their "quote stuffing" tricks on the VIX futures, VXX, etc.?

Joe moneybags's picture

VIX futures and the VXX, like stocks, ETF's, and futures, can be and are easily influenced by HFT algos, and big traders.  There can be discounts and premiums in the VXX, as well as its underlying, the VIX futures, and those certainly can be influenced by large and multiple stuffed quotes.

disabledvet's picture

Oil and gasoline futures...that's where the big boys lurk. There is a point where the media will say the word "glut" and the term will stick. What's holding up that price given the ridiculous manipulation of GDP numbers is beyond me. From Ben Bernanke "shoving everyone into equities" to "bog oil shoving everyone into transports...with orders to do 90 mph."

smiler03's picture

 "VIX futures and the VXX, like stocks, ETF's, and futures, can be and are easily influenced by HFT algos, and big traders."

 

Like I thought, the VIX is rigged.

MeelionDollerBogus's picture

EVERYTHING is rigged.

I thought that would be obvious by now.

otto skorzeny's picture

at this rate TVIX will be due for another 10-for-1 split in a few weeks

alangreedspank's picture

No VIX = fully centrally controlled command economy. It would have been awful to lose WW2 or the Cold War because we might have been under a fascist or socialist dictatorship #irony...

no life's picture

Steve The Fuckbag Liesman likes it!

Say What Again's picture

Here is another interesting tidbit of info.

Look at the close for $VIN.X and compare that to $VIF.X.

VIN does NOT seem to have been slammed at the close, but  VIF WAS slammed.

ForWhomTheTollBuilds's picture

You know, I sometimes think the best argument that gold is not manipulated is that compared to all the other market charts, its not really that bad.

MeelionDollerBogus's picture

so very true, look at the miners for rare earths, gold, silver, tell me those aren't each manipulated. May or may not be HFT involved but it's a great way to lose all your money.

Super Broccoli's picture

selling to green ? NO buying to green ! But does sell or buy makes any difference to an algo that drives the market up or down 1 to 2 % in a few miliseconds ?

ekm's picture

This is what happens when primary dealers are bouncing the same stocks over and over and over and over in dark pools.

 

We're close to the pooooooooooop.

 

El Hosel's picture

Bernanke has said the Fed targets volatility, wants orderly markets, wants the wealth effect.... Rigged markets plain and simple are the new  normal policy. Nobody but us doom and gloomers here at ZH gives a shit?

sablya's picture

I mystified by the explanation given for the drop in gold and silver today: 

Gold prices fell on Friday after investors sold the yellow metal to take profits, especially after Chinese inflation rates came in higher than expected.

(http://www.investing.com/news/commodities-news/gold-drops-as-investors-s...)

Since when is higher inflation a reason to sell gold?  The further explanation is: 

Gold prices rallied to levels ripe for profit taking especially after Chinese inflation data came in stronger than expected, quelling expectations for Beijing to stimulate its economy, a potentially bullish event for gold.

The reason that stimulation is bullish for gold is because it is inflationary!  Right?? RIGHT??  So, wtf are these morons thinking _selling_ gold because inflation is too high to stimulate the economy?