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Malgeria Crisis Update

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The situation in MalgeriaTM continues to remain uncertain but the following updates should provide some color as to where they stand currently (and a primer on the initial French intervention). Critically, Stratfor warns that the escalation in Algeria will possibly lead to further militants crossing the Mali border, further endangering Westerners and energy infrastructure (which is important as Algeria is one of the largest exports of light, sweet crude oil in the world and a significant natural gas exporter to Europe).

 

Stratfor 3-minute Primer:

 

Update:

1) In general there is chaos as FranceTV put it "it is very confusing, with no official confirmation of any of the actions being reported on"

 

 

2) Up to 35 (of the 44) Hostages have apparently been killed in the Algerian rescue (retake) operation, with hostages freed (one Irishman);
2a) All 8 of the hostage-takers have apparently been killed

Who is Mokhtar Belmokhtar?

 

3) A US Drone is now on site to take a look for the first time;

4) The UK's Cameron was not informed before the Algerian operation (and wanted to be consulted);

5) Stratfor's concern is that Algeria's action will bring more militants across the border and threaten more Westerners and energy production

There are hundreds of smaller oil and gas fields in between, to the west of In Amenas and around the central desert region surrounding In Salah. Algeria lacks the capacity to provide a robust security presence for all of these sites, nor can it afford to suspend operations given the aggressive oil and gas production expansions planned for 2013. Algeria cannot maintain a permanent security presence at every production site across its territory, but as evidenced by the Jan.16 attack, they are capable of quickly organizing regional security forces at sites of unrest.

 

6) BP is pulling all non-essential staff out

 

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Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:03 | 3162706 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

The battle for control of Africa's resources continues.  A non-event.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:07 | 3162728 bigdumbnugly
bigdumbnugly's picture

(and a primer on the initial French intervention)

 

asses and elbows?

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:09 | 3162735 Zymurguy
Zymurguy's picture

Oh shit, are we following the French into another conflict?  Time to burn the draft cards.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:16 | 3162765 Desert Irish
Desert Irish's picture

Go long white flags...

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:28 | 3162835 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Algeria, the next 33rd paralle country in NA to go.

 

As predicted in March 2011....

Clear plan the globalist bastards are working towards...

http://aadivaahan.wordpress.com/2011/03/09/axis-of-evil-doing/

ori

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:56 | 3162991 redpill
redpill's picture

Supposedly the ring leader of this Al Qaeda sect is named Lennay Kekua

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:04 | 3163034 Stackers
Stackers's picture

Nice call on trade marking Malergia, Tyler .... ROFL

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 15:31 | 3163434 RafterManFMJ
RafterManFMJ's picture

Supposedly the ring leader of this Al Qaeda sect is named Lennay Kekua

 

Can't be! She died last year of a Brain Cloud after inspiring Obama to score 7 goals in the Supper Bowl.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:04 | 3163033 magpie
magpie's picture

I have no idea what crew you are working with, but certain people will remember a pamphlet with a bullseye drawn on it.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 15:30 | 3163428 Panafrican Funk...
Panafrican Funktron Robot's picture

In the event anyone would like to know some other shit at stake here:

http://www.spyghana.com/the-war-on-mali-what-you-should-know-an-eldorado...

I have read a couple of other posters (esp. CPL) comment on the uranium mining/processing, but let's also not forget, there's a lot of gold to be had here too. 

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:33 | 3162860 Never One Roach
Never One Roach's picture

white flags?...sorry, all my money is tied up in Japanese diapers.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:50 | 3162955 Divided States ...
Divided States of America's picture

Well honestly, the Westerners were never invited and shouldnt have been there in the first place so...yeah everyone is fair game if he's standing in the middle of the room in a full blown bar fight.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:57 | 3162985 trav777
trav777's picture

oh so the west invaded to put all that infrastructure there? 

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:11 | 3163063 Divided States ...
Divided States of America's picture

Youre right Trav but its all qpq, and dont forget the chinkos too.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:13 | 3163075 trav777
trav777's picture

wtf are you talking about?!!?

ZOMG we're oppressing the africans with running water and electricity

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:55 | 3163276 taxpayer102
taxpayer102's picture

 

Until the Story of the hunt is told by the Lion, the tale of the hunt will always glorify the hunter.  
                                                                                 - African Proverb

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 15:35 | 3163450 RafterManFMJ
RafterManFMJ's picture

And then my Jug-Eared God gave me a magic rock that speaks and allows me to speak with those from another tribe many day's walk away; until said day when my magic rock is taken from me, I'll worship at the voting booth, forever.

-African Proverb

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 16:51 | 3163765 lemonobrien
lemonobrien's picture

those people arn't as stupid as you think; they just niggas trapped by the gun, like us, but no benefits of the dollar hegemony; they on the other-side of the stick.

 

your attitude is american arrogance and the reason the niggas will succeed in freeing themselves from our bondage.

 

long live da nigga, may he prosper and live in peace.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 17:00 | 3163799 RafterManFMJ
RafterManFMJ's picture

We're all niggas now...

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 19:10 | 3164303 lemonobrien
lemonobrien's picture

that's why i use the word so much. seems fitting.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:12 | 3163067 dbTX
dbTX's picture

Irish, do you mean long false flags?

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 17:00 | 3163801 OpenThePodBayDoorHAL
OpenThePodBayDoorHAL's picture

Can anyone say "pretext"?

There are still a small number of countries where the US Military does not yet have a base, isn't invading, and isn't yet bombing. We're trying for a .1000 batting average here folks.

I heard there are some people in Greenland saying anti-American shit...and there are some dodgy emails coming from Easter Island. Invade.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 15:54 | 3163523 CompassionateFascist
CompassionateFascist's picture

French Army has longest losing streak in the history of human institutions. Will they break it here? So exciting. 

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:21 | 3162795 old naughty
old naughty's picture

In French, they'd say; 'Deja vu'.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:27 | 3162823 TPTB_r_TBTF
TPTB_r_TBTF's picture

Whenever Europe starts a war,

they call on the US to help.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:50 | 3163250 King_Julian
King_Julian's picture

Cue Gorgon Stare deployment, now,now,...now.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gorgon_Stare

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:49 | 3162947 SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

Oh shit, are we following the French into another conflict?  Time to burn the draft cards.

For sale: used French military rifles, never fired, only dropped once.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:56 | 3162986 Volaille de Bresse
Volaille de Bresse's picture

"For sale: used French military rifles, never fired, only dropped once."

 

Well WE've never done this... :

http://www.google.fr/search?num=10&hl=fr&site=imghp&tbm=isch&source=hp&b...

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 15:40 | 3163244 Terminus C
Terminus C's picture

never?

The French never slaughtered innocent people?

hmmm...

The benevolant empire of France...  Right.

I too sometimes get tired of the jeuvenile "France always surrenders or runs away" meme because it displays a lack of intellectual fortitude that plagues our society.  But to suggest that France has never committed a similar atrocity demonstrates the same close-mindedness.

 

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 16:40 | 3163721 Panafrican Funk...
Panafrican Funktron Robot's picture

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1038453/The-French-Fuhrer-Genoci...

Haiti around 1800 was the world's richest colony, a slave-powered export factory which produced almost two-thirds of the world's coffee and almost half its sugar. 

The black slaves were lashed and beaten to work and forced to wear tin muzzles to prevent them from eating the sugar cane. 

If the slaves were fractious, they were roasted over slow fires, or filled with gunpowder and blown to pieces.

When the slaves began to fight for their freedom, under the leadership of a charismatic African military genius called Toussaint L'Ouverture, Napoleon sent 10,000 crack troops under the command of his brother-inlaw, General Leclerc, to crush Toussaint and restore slavery.

In 1802, a vast programme of ethnic cleansing was put in place. Napoleon banned inter-racial marriages and ordered that all white women who'd had any sort of relationship with a black or mulatto (person of mixed race) be shipped to France. 

He further commanded the killing of as many blacks in Haiti as possible, to be replaced by new, more docile slaves from Africa.

The French troops were under orders to kill all blacks over the age of 12. However, younger children were also killed - stabbed to death, put in sandbags and dropped into the sea.

The Haitians fought to the death for independence, which they finally declared in 1804.

Prisoners on both sides were regularly tortured and killed, and their heads were mounted on the walls of stockades or on spikes beside the roads.

Non-combatants, too, were raped and slaughtered. According to contemporary accounts, the French used dogs to rip black prisoners to pieces before a crowd at an amphitheatre.

Allegdly on Napoleon's orders, sulphur was extracted from Haitian volcanoes and burned to produce poisonous sulphur dioxide, which was then used to gas black Haitians in the holds of ships - more than 100,000 of them, according to records.

The use of these primitive gas chambers was confirmed by contemporaries. Antoine Metral, who in 1825 published his history of the French expedition to Haiti, writes of piles of dead bodies everywhere, stacked in charnel-houses.

 

'We varied the methods of execution,' wrote Metral. 'At times, we pulled heads off; sometimes a ball and chain was put at the feet to allow drowning; sometimes they were gassed in the ships by sulphur.

'When the cover of night was used to hide these outrages, those walking along the river could hear the noisy monotone of dead bodies being dropped into the sea.'

A contemporary historian, who sailed with the punitive expedition, wrote that: 'We invented another type of ship where victims of both sexes were piled up, one against the other, suffocated by sulphur.'

These were prison ships with gas chambers called etouffiers, or 'chokers', which asphyxiated the blacks, causing them terrible suffering

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 16:52 | 3163757 akak
akak's picture

 

Allegdly on Napoleon's orders, sulphur was extracted from Haitian volcanoes and burned to produce poisonous sulphur dioxide, which was then used to gas black Haitians in the holds of ships - more than 100,000 of them, according to records.

Somehow, I feel compelled to point out that there are NO volcanoes in Haiti, either active or extinct.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 16:47 | 3163748 Panafrican Funk...
Panafrican Funktron Robot's picture

Funny that you fail to mention the reason WHY THE FUCK FRANCE WAS IN VIETNAM TO BEGIN WITH.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 17:01 | 3163806 Panafrican Funk...
Panafrican Funktron Robot's picture

Dear French guy,

Where did Michelin get all the rubber for it's tires?

Hint:  Not from the fucking French countryside.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 15:36 | 3163456 RafterManFMJ
RafterManFMJ's picture

I like you SWRichmond, I admire your honesty! Hell, you can come over to my house and **** my sister!

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 18:18 | 3164097 deKevelioc
deKevelioc's picture

Don't be ungrateful to the nation that made the US possible.  You don't believe in the fairytale of George Washigton's army beating the British.  Do you?

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:21 | 3162766 falak pema
falak pema's picture

Nope this is definitely escalation bigtime. The Algerian event indicates they are going for the big targets; oil/gas fields.

Its like the Tet offensive in Nam. I'm surprised, as since the 90s the Algerian army has protected its oil/gas sites very well during their civil war with the GIA/Salafists. 

According to french sources a whole regiment is supposed to guard this EN AMenas site; and they didn't.

This guy Ben Mokhtar is supposed to be an Algerian secret service agent reinflitrated into the Salafist movement by the Algerian secret police; as posted in this article :

How Washington helped foster the Islamist uprising in Mali -- New Internationalist

This attack knocks a big hole into that thesis. We don't know who is fifth column and who is true Salafist. Every man for himself or a concerted cross continent nebulous with a coordinated Al Qaeda type organisation in Sahel?

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:22 | 3162793 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Just wait for the Call of Duty version to come out and clear things up... No later than next Christmas....

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:26 | 3162812 NidStyles
NidStyles's picture

I like how you always 'appear' to be an expert on random foreign geo-political entanglements. That sort of makes me wonder what it is that you do, and who pays you.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:32 | 3162854 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Lord knows, nobody would be stupid enough to consider paying you to pose as an expert in anything...

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:39 | 3162895 otto skorzeny
otto skorzeny's picture

excellent playground banter

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:50 | 3162957 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Yeah, it's a slow day... And based on his comment below re: oil wells, it is entirely appropriate...

 

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:07 | 3163052 walküre
walküre's picture

Speaking of "experts" and "oil" and so on and so forth .. Der Spiegel ran a story today on a supposedly "secret" study conducted by BND about how the US will be a net oil and gas exporter by 2020 due to the massive exploration in shale oil and gas. BND (the German equivalent to CIA) is making the case that China would be the biggest loser in this scenario and how the US would eventually stop all imports from the ME. What's your take on this?

http://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/bnd-studie-zu-oelvorkommen-der-usa...

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:24 | 3163081 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

Speaking of "experts" and "oil" and so on and so forth...What's your take on this?

http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/2012-12-17/fracking-responsible-big-boost-us-crude-production

I am going to go out on a limb and guess that there is big shale in Malgeria.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:40 | 3163198 walküre
walküre's picture

Is fracking any better than extracting oil from bitumen (tar sands)? Neither is sustainable very long because of the high cost of production and the relative quick depletion of the resource. How many acres of shale fields can be liquified ongoing without causing massive damage to the environment is what I'm thinking. Nevermind the question on how to purify the polluted water from the extraction process. How long are we talking here? Maybe 20 years tops. Then what? By then the convential oil fields are also nearly depleted.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:15 | 3163083 trav777
trav777's picture

possible with gas.

Oil?  We'd have to be consuming WAY less.  Our import gap is 10mbpd+.

If someone is trying to convince you that shale is a 10mbpd resource, short them with both fists.

Perhaps they assume massive substitution of oil btus for gas across our economy.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:47 | 3163160 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

If someone is trying to convince you that shale is a 10mbpd resource, short them with both fists.

...and do not look at this Crude Oil Production chart chart:

http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/2012-12-17/fracking-responsible-big-boost-us-crude-production

 

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:56 | 3163279 walküre
walküre's picture

Covering "Malgeria" and the Sahara Desert with solar panels should be our primary goal. Instead of wasting our collective time and productivity to extract oil and gas from rocks, we could have infrastructure and technology in place to either store the photovoltaic energy or transport without incurring the losses we have with conventional landlines for example.

The sun shines in the desert. It's hotter than hell and our only obstacles are distance, wind and sand. It's fucked up that we're stuck in this unsustainable paradigm where all bets are on fossil fuels.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 15:54 | 3163529 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Far too reasonable an idea, but FWIW  Spain works just as well...

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:56 | 3163280 walküre
walküre's picture

Covering "Malgeria" and the Sahara Desert with solar panels should be our primary goal. Instead of wasting our collective time and productivity to extract oil and gas from rocks, we could have infrastructure and technology in place to either store the photovoltaic energy or transport without incurring the losses we have with conventional landlines for example.

The sun shines in the desert. It's hotter than hell and our only obstacles are distance, wind and sand. It's fucked up that we're stuck in this unsustainable paradigm where all bets are on fossil fuels.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:38 | 3163193 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

I won't comment on any geopolitical implications but the claim of the US being net oil and gas exporter by 2020 is hardly secret... CITIbank recently put out a horribly flawed study with much the same conclusions a while ago....

As it currently stands US NG producers are losing money at a prodigious rate because shale gas needs ~$7-8 to break even (ignoring possble NGL production)... A little realized fact is that wells producing at a loss are rarely shut in because the cashflow is critical to pay for the next round of drilling... And you do realize that despite this massive boom, the US is still a net importer of NG. It may well be that the US does become a net exporter of NG in 2020, but I seriously doubt it...

As for oil, the following presentation at the recent AGU meeting sums up the shales very nicely..

http://www.econbrowser.com/archives/2012/12/future_producti.html

The salient point is that once the locations are saturated, it is game over... I don;t care to quibble over when that happens... And you do realize that the shales are not new, they have mapped out and poked extensively for years and I can assure you that they ain't drilling the marginal prospects first....

Finally to give you an idea of the games played with the statistics, the US currently counts ~700,000 bpd arising from refinery gains stemming from *imported* oil as *domestic production*. Refinery gains refer to the volumetric gains, not real energy....

To sum it up, the guys putting out these analysis are like the brokers who used a ruler to extrapolate the internet stock boom and we know how that ended...

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:34 | 3162868 Super Broccoli
Super Broccoli's picture

he works for Al Jazeerah ;-)

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:56 | 3162980 MillionDollarBoner_
MillionDollarBoner_'s picture

...so he's a terrist, yah?

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:55 | 3162982 MillionDollarBoner_
MillionDollarBoner_'s picture

...so he's a terrist, yah?

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:46 | 3162925 falak pema
falak pema's picture

this is a blogsite where we debate on all issues on the world stage. Having opinions and expressing them  in words is an inalienable right. Unless you happen to be illiterate.

Nobody PAYS you to express your free willl unless you be a worm masquerading as a human. 

So look at yourself in the mirror and ask yourself what being free means.  Do you work for the Inquistion, do you deny freedom of expression? 

Or are you just a  wiggly thing that slides on the floor.? Sorry if i've stepped on your ego. 

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:36 | 3163180 AnAnonymous
AnAnonymous's picture

Having opinions and expressing them in words is an inalienable right.
__________________

All part of the 'american' natural rights theory?

Oh yes, so it is all about being denied.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:42 | 3163214 TheFourthStooge-ing
TheFourthStooge-ing's picture

.

All part of the 'american' natural rights theory?

Oh yes, so it is all about being denied.

Another non sequiturd from the dog roasting, curb crapping, failed academic propagandationist.

Entertain me, but don't forget to finish the laundry.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 16:05 | 3163558 akak
akak's picture

And I am STILL waiting for that eggroll!

Chop chop Chang!

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:53 | 3163255 NidStyles
NidStyles's picture

So much flowery BS from a statist pretending to be for Liberty.

 

Geopolitics is not the focus of this site, but you often bring up obscure information involved. As if you were somehow connected with an agency that deals with information.

 

We all know you haven't a clue about Economics, so it must be true you work for Al-J then?

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 16:41 | 3163727 falak pema
falak pema's picture

open your mouth n put your foot in it; you just rant about negatives never about reality. 

Another believer that freedom is not based on balance of power; thats history, finding the balance for each age and each paradigm change, fed on the tree of knowledge

But you wouldn't know that you just knee jerk. 

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 15:16 | 3163378 AnAnonymous
AnAnonymous's picture

How Washington helped foster the Islamist uprising in Mali -- New Internationalist

This attack knocks a big hole into that thesis. We don't know who is fifth column and who is true Salafist.
____________________

The only relevant question is to know whether he is an 'American'.

Fifth column, muslim, it does not matter.

All that matters is to know whether he is an 'american' or not.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:18 | 3162777 CPL
CPL's picture

Anyone notice that the terrorist in the right hand side of the screen is computer generated?

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:27 | 3162822 NidStyles
NidStyles's picture

Yes, and I noticed the he looks like the guy that played Dr. House as well.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:29 | 3162839 CPL
CPL's picture

belmokhtar mokhtar  Serious.  Google image it.  

 

That clip has been around since Dec 5th 2012.  

Appearently can't be bothered with making new media now.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:37 | 3162888 CPL
CPL's picture

The medium is the message.  Who's the guy they are broadcasting then?

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:54 | 3163265 NidStyles
NidStyles's picture

I am not sure, maybe France's OBL?

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:19 | 3163096 Aurora Ex Machina
Aurora Ex Machina's picture

Umm, wrong guy? That's clearly labelled as Nabil Makhloufi:

An al-Qaeda-linked commander known as the Emir of the Sahara, Nabil Makhloufi, has died in a car crash in Mali, an Islamist spokesman has said.[10th Sept 2012]

 

Not to be confused with this Nabil Makhloufi either. Although, yes, I tend to agree that the stiff in the BBC clip looks about as Arabian as M Jackson.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:56 | 3163275 NidStyles
NidStyles's picture

That is an image that came up when I searched for the guy, there's about 6 different guys pictured as the same guy in there.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 15:08 | 3163332 Aurora Ex Machina
Aurora Ex Machina's picture

http://www.liberte-algerie.com ... 2-nabil-makhloufi-dr_200_150.jpg Implies: [2nd picture] Nabil Makhloufi [image size]

In fact, this picture is pulled from this piece, which is clearly labelled: "Nabil Makhloufi meurt dans un accident à GAO", dated 11 Sept 2012 (which coincides with the BBC piece) and which has only a single picture. You reached the conclusion you did because the piece goes on "Encore un coup dur pour Aqmi. Cette organisation terroriste vient de perdre deux de ses éléments. Il s’agit notamment, de Nabil Abou Alqama, adjoint de l’émir d’Aqmi, (Mokhtar Belmokhtar dit Laouar), nommé chef de la région du Sahara."

 

Please learn how search engines work a little before jumping to the wrong conclusion.

 

You'll note that the fishy thing you've almost hit is right in front of you: I'll let you spot it. You hit pay-dirt entirely by accident.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:13 | 3163073 walküre
walküre's picture

when I do that, does it redirect me to pages with explicit images involving goats?

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:34 | 3163171 CPL
CPL's picture

Only if you add goat fucking to the search.  There's all sorts of crap online.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:44 | 3163226 TheFourthStooge-ing
TheFourthStooge-ing's picture

...and watch out if you add "goatse" to the search.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:49 | 3163243 CPL
CPL's picture

blue waffle as well.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 16:21 | 3163593 tony wilson
tony wilson's picture

Anyone notice that the terrorist in the right hand side of the screen is computer generated?

 

 

is not true godamit.

he looks almost 3d to me

der bbc and fox say he reel see so he reel.

bbc is der truht sea

he looks like a scary mushlim to me.

we need ar marines on der ground wid der brits cos dem frenchys are always to busy makin love wid each others.

we need men in the marine corpse not french faggots.

der guvmint say der bin lardin crew are behind dese outrageus things eye say it true.

if ya cant beliefs yur guv mint are we ment to beliefs der brown folks wid beards and guns.

i say killum all if brits and frogs gets in der way hay colateral damage dats all

freedomes dont cum cheap but it smells good wants the smell of burnin flesh as gone

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:36 | 3162882 CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

The number is 1.5ish million barrels/day of light sweet, down from the peak of about 1.8ish mbpd in 2007. 

Looks like a geology peak; not a political one.

 

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:38 | 3162889 Clayton Bigsby
Clayton Bigsby's picture

2 words: Drone Strikes

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:48 | 3162945 CPL
CPL's picture

2 things:  

Too far inland to safely pilot from a boat off shore

And no point of presence on the ground.  Remember, they were run out and left their dead behind?

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:03 | 3162707 maxmad
maxmad's picture

Oh noes!   This won't end well!  Ruh-Ro!

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:03 | 3162708 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

Speaking of drones, why are the French still fighting like it's the 20th century?  Haven't they been paying attention?  Or can they just not afford drones of their own?

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:09 | 3162730 kridkrid
kridkrid's picture

France is about 20 years behind in first person shooter training programs, I mean video games.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:27 | 3162824 Peterus
Peterus's picture

The horror of games!

I've heard they also don't play with stick-guns when they are kids and they only play cops and cops - no one is the robber.

BTW By voting for an entilment a person is actively supporting violent robbery in actual society, in real life. By playing a game the same person is playing a game. Which of these actions contributes more to accepting forceful "solutions" to real life problems?

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:36 | 3162880 Super Broccoli
Super Broccoli's picture

France has drones ... just not a lot and not working much ;-) Europe is currently developing drones so as not having to by it from uncle sam

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:40 | 3162903 otto skorzeny
otto skorzeny's picture

krauts are working on sharks with laser beams to shoot down US drones

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 15:34 | 3163444 mercenaryomics
mercenaryomics's picture

I bet l'armee has a union. Can't have drones stealing all the jobs. 

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:04 | 3162713 Divided States ...
Divided States of America's picture

This is cue for the US to once again stick their noses into other people's business and in the process, get their foot further into Africa.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:13 | 3162751 Sophist Economicus
Sophist Economicus's picture

PLEASE - DO NOT HELP THOSE INSUFFERABLE PEOPLE - NO AMERICAN BLOOD FOR FROGS.    LET THEM GET THEIR OWN JUST DESSERTS, JUST THIS ONCE.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:47 | 3162877 falak pema
falak pema's picture

so your worst enemy is the frog? 

who needs friends with enemies like that!

I thought your worst enemy was the Keynesian. So now the bogeyman becomes : Keynesian frog!

Lol,  paranoid, ideologically inspired head in the oil sands logic is something that no amount of history can disprove. 

'Our american life style is non negotiable.'

Amen to that! 

Having said that the Françafrique construction is behind this flare up in the Touareg enclave of Mali, now a continental fire. the USA is not the only country with greedy economic interests that blinds its sense of resposibility over forty long years. 

 

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:46 | 3163230 TheFourthStooge-ing
TheFourthStooge-ing's picture

America's worst enemy is Vichy DC.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:47 | 3163239 AnAnonymous
AnAnonymous's picture

Having said that the Françafrique construction is behind this flare up in the Touareg enclave of Mali, now a continental fire.
_________________________

The current crisis is a direct consequence of the invasion of Libya. This is where they got the weapons.

But hey, 'americanism' is as 'american' does.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 17:34 | 3163941 akak
akak's picture

But hey, trolling Chinese shitizenism is as roadcrapping shitmongery does.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 18:26 | 3164118 Freddie
Freddie's picture

What else does an Kenyan Muslim NWO CIA Mockingbird marxist puppet do?   This is his home continent.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:04 | 3162714 LongSoupLine
LongSoupLine's picture

What the frak?!

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:16 | 3162717 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

My political geography is weak.  Does Stratfor say how far south before the arabs (brown people) become negros (black people), and thus we must call off the bombing and drone stikes, and begin the foreign aid drops?  I think this is referred to as the Clinton/Netanyahu line.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:19 | 3162780 Desert Irish
Desert Irish's picture

Hope the drone operators don't see this map or the Aussies are fucked...

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:05 | 3162853 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

Diplomacy by the numbers is indeed a bitch, but I am sure Hillary has been using the most up-to-date data, so Australia is probably safe. 

It is Texas I am worried about, now.  We have got to be in that same 18-26 range as the MENA.  To paraphrase what Taleb says about Gaussian averages, "We're screwed."  I hear tell that Iceland isn't so bad this time of year.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:55 | 3163074 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

prior to 1940?... Slick Wille was born in 1946... You mean to tell me he was scheming with Bibi 6 years before he was born?... Why not show those drones the "pre-10,000 BC" chart where North America was pinned down by the glaciers & full of Clovis Indian people... That would give them an excuse to fly the drones over US cities...

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 15:28 | 3163421 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Re: the Aussies, don't get fooled by the tanline...

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:19 | 3162781 Peterus
Peterus's picture

Days of such barbarism are well over.

Now it's the president that approves who's going to be killed, not some chromatic scale calculation.

Anyway, it would be counterproductive to dehumanize them anymore. It's time for domestic enemies and they won't have darker skin, but maybe different accent or just different ideals.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:36 | 3162884 Never One Roach
Never One Roach's picture

somehow, Hedgelss, Detroit and LA don't show up on your map....

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:59 | 3163002 trav777
trav777's picture

uh...the former are caucasians...they are a different evolutionary lineage.  Skin color is but one superficial difference between races and many indians are dark as well.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:06 | 3162719 deKevelioc
deKevelioc's picture

Chad is near, too.  Approximately one billion barrels of crude deposits demonstrated by Exxon.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:13 | 3162753 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

The fact that 1 billion barrels even makes the news nowadays should be a clue...

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:31 | 3162843 NidStyles
NidStyles's picture

The problem with Peak Oil is that they only measured specific wells without understanding that world supply has never came from just one single well.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:36 | 3162881 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Yes... that would explain Texas, the North Sea and Indonesia very well... 

/Face palm....

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:59 | 3163000 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

...and that single well up in Alaska.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:06 | 3163047 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Yeah and that one too.... ;-)

I would have mentioned the Ploesti but he probabaly never heard of it.... 

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:11 | 3163062 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

There was a single well down in Mexico, too, Cantarell maybe?

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:58 | 3163283 NidStyles
NidStyles's picture

I have, doesn't change that Peak Oil has holes.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:01 | 3163014 trav777
trav777's picture

wow...just...wow....world production is the sum of a bunch of individual wells, isn't it?

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 15:01 | 3163291 NidStyles
NidStyles's picture

Interests shift often, and likewise so do production values. There's more going on than just wells running out. Oil is cheaper now than in any point of history, but Peak Oil says that this should not be happening. Explain it...

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 16:56 | 3163782 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

...this should not be happening. Explain it...

If the oil markets were true markets, and the petrol dollar was not totally manipulated, then it would not be be happening.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 19:16 | 3164326 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

As for it being cheaper now than ever before, extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, and alas, I think you might be hard pressed to provide it...

You never used to simply make shit up, something happen recently that we should be aware of?

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:08 | 3162729 Zymurguy
Zymurguy's picture

I heard one report about bombing going on at the facility... here's a newsflash for you dumb fuckers on the hostage rescue team over there.  Don't fucking bomb the place until AFTER you get the hostages out you stupid shits... doh!

Motherfucker those hostages were better off without your help!

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:21 | 3162792 busted by the b...
busted by the bailout's picture

Oil/gas/money, relevant; hostages, irrelevant.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:09 | 3162736 evolutionx
evolutionx's picture

**Prepare for the Worst: Celente on 2013 - Have your own guns!

Video**

http://www.homment.com/jHTBQnDGS4

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:09 | 3162740 Michelle
Michelle's picture

Off topic but I have to get this off my chest:

I'M MAD AS HELL! IMPEACH OBAMA!

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:32 | 3162857 mess nonster
mess nonster's picture

Sorry, but an illegal office holder cannot be impeached.

Just drag his ass outta there in handcufs.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:57 | 3162989 TPTB_r_TBTF
TPTB_r_TBTF's picture

You want Biden to be President?

 

What changes after the big O gets impeached?

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:12 | 3162749 q99x2
q99x2's picture

CIA's Al-Qaeda, funded by cuts to my mother's social security persciption drug medicine, up against the black folk.

Where's Tarzan?

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:14 | 3162755 stiler
stiler's picture

MalgeriaTM

you heard it here first... and maybe last

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:15 | 3162759 sgorem
sgorem's picture

DIVERSIONARY TACTICS from maybe the DEBT CEILING, GUN CONTROL, GERMANY'S RE-POSSESSION OF IT'S GOLD, ETC., ETC., ?

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:21 | 3162790 Peterus
Peterus's picture

Do you say that local Al-Kaida commander got an order from CIA to get on with this attack?

This is some reverse delusion of grandeur, where USA is directly responsible for every single thing that goes on in the World.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:46 | 3162928 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Conspiracy theories are more comforting to the psyche than having to face the utter chaos that is humanity and existence.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:31 | 3162842 Randall Cabot
Randall Cabot's picture

And ramp stocks with huge injection...

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:33 | 3162862 walküre
walküre's picture

Yes diversionary tactics but not in favor and masking America's rotten political and financial situation.

The French have made their beds with the Rothschilds and the Rothschilds are financing the French invasion in Africa - again. The Rothschilds and their ilk have probably financed the insurgents as well.

War - has always been good for the Rothschild's balance sheets. The French are in a bind. Their economy is crashing, their finances are dire and their wealthy are leaving. Where do you turn for help in such dire times? Well, the moneychangers and their warlords of course.

The Rothschilds - they got your back.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:52 | 3163251 AnAnonymous
AnAnonymous's picture

DIVERSIONARY TACTICS
____________________

Nope. To phrase it like the 'american' general Powell, famous for his works at the UN, 'americans' had some miscalculations in their way.

'Americans' used to name Gaddafi mad dog as they felt he was unpredictable.

The man most 'americans' welcomed the progression in Mali as it served their best interests, is for sure a mad dog and provided a move 'americans' did not expect, pushing a lot of 'american' nations that would have welcomed the creation of a new state in a delicate situation.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:15 | 3162761 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

I wonder what fraction of French uranium is sourced from the area...

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:23 | 3162802 falak pema
falak pema's picture

60-80 % comes from Niger, neighbour to Mali. 

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:54 | 3162977 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Grazie....

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:03 | 3163021 trav777
trav777's picture

better get started on those LFRs...the once-through cycle of enriched stuff should have been abandoned in the 60s

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:16 | 3162764 ziggy59
ziggy59's picture

Oil, and gold... Yesssss, my preciousssss, they export..

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:16 | 3162767 spankfish
spankfish's picture

Hmmm in Der Spiegel: Germany is eager to prove it is a reliable ally, particularly after it snubbed France and stayed out of Libya. Wary of getting pulled into the violence in Mali, it has instead offered two planes to transport troops.

What?... and the flight home to bring back gold to Germany?

http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/french-mission-in-mali-puts-ge...

 

 

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:18 | 3162770 Jason T
Jason T's picture

The West uses bullets backed by printing presses, China uses RMB backed by the sweat of their brow for Africa's resources.  Who is Africa going to open up to?

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:02 | 3163016 TPTB_r_TBTF
TPTB_r_TBTF's picture

<--- guy with bullets

<--- sweaty chink

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:12 | 3163071 trav777
trav777's picture

i paid for sh!t in zimbabwe last week with USD. 

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 15:05 | 3163307 NidStyles
NidStyles's picture

I bet they will take anything. Only a fool would think they would only take one foreign currency. Don't believe me, go to a US bank with Yuan, Yen, or any foreign currncy. They will take it all.

 

You're a moron, are you aware of that? You running around with your dick out thinking you are the shit, without realizing how short sighted and ignorant of your surrounding's you really are.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:18 | 3162771 busted by the b...
busted by the bailout's picture

The spice must flow.

How can widespread war/revolutions between Islamists and everyeone else in the middle east be avoided?  And if they begin to focus on oil and gas wells, things could "explode" quickly.

Bad news for spice prices.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:18 | 3162775 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

The fog of propaganda

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:19 | 3162778 mdtrader
mdtrader's picture

The FED has made it impossible for the markets to go down, so this won't affect things. 

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:19 | 3162782 shovelhead
shovelhead's picture

Why can't the 'Religion of Peace' use bicycles like the Mormons?

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:32 | 3162851 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

They need pickup trucks with machine guns and AK-47's to convert you to their peaceful religion.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 14:04 | 3163037 W74
W74's picture

When you have Toyota Hiluxes to use as technicals?

(BTW, ever driven a Hilux? They're fantastic.)

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:20 | 3162784 markar
markar's picture

The French have drawn a Maginot line in the sand

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:20 | 3162788 BandGap
BandGap's picture

I'm heading over, been practicing on Call of Duty for weeks now.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:22 | 3162791 THE DORK OF CORK
THE DORK OF CORK's picture

 

According to Reuters Italy currently receives 35% of all its Nat gas imports from Algeria.
Spain has built the Medgaz pipeline to reduce its LNG imports in 2011 but if no flow comes from Medgaz ………………….
It cannot buy LNG on the market as Japan & to a now much lesser extent sov UK is eating all the Qatar LNG pies….

http://www.medgaz.com/medgaz/pages/datos_significativos-eng.htm

 

 

 

The second older Algerian – Spanish gas pipeline.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maghreb–Europe_Gas_Pipeline

 

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:22 | 3162794 Zymurguy
Zymurguy's picture

Looking at point number 6 above... glad to hear that BP is making such a bold decision.  My ass would have been flyin' outta that shit after the first shots were fired.  I don't need permission from my boss when it comes to saving my skin, but thanks anyway.

Thu, 01/17/2013 - 13:22 | 3162796 Squid Vicious
Squid Vicious's picture

Did they borrow that setting from The Road Warrior?

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