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The Chart That Keeps RIMM Shareholders Up At Night, And BlackBerry 10 Launch

Tyler Durden's picture





 

As the world awaits the launch of the iBlackberry 10 this morning, we thought some reflection on the hope that is priced into RIMM's shares in comparison to the reality on the ground. The trends below will need violent distortion if the new BustBerry is to win and Thorsten Heins dreams come true... if you build it? Though, as Bloomberg notes, IDC estimates that RIMM will only have 4.1% of the market by 2016 - little changed from today..."The low-hanging fruit is the BlackBerry faithful, after that, they bump up against the Android and  Apple users out there."

The live webcast can be seen here:

And for everyone who is curious what RIMM's plan to combat this collapse in market share is, here is Wired's live blog of the reveal event.

 


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Wed, 01/30/2013 - 10:49 | Link to Comment Say What Again
Say What Again's picture

BULLISH!

Dow to 14,000

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:03 | Link to Comment Say What Again
Say What Again's picture

What do you call a new employment opportunity at iRIMM?

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:07 | Link to Comment Texas Ginslinger
Texas Ginslinger's picture

A rim-job.......

You could have said it....

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:11 | Link to Comment trav777
trav777's picture

MS had almost half of the smartphone market in 2007...things in this product space can go sideways or dowwwwwn in a big hurry.

Right now the droid phones are riding high because of Samsung's hardware and pricing.  But only MS is making any money of this OS.

At some point, when does "doing it for free" become an issue for google?  It'd be like FB trying to charge people for something they won't pay for.

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:16 | Link to Comment Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

The sheep don't buy code, they buy plastic and electronics.

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:19 | Link to Comment redpill
redpill's picture

The Blackberry 10, RIMM's death gurgle.

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:26 | Link to Comment Say What Again
Say What Again's picture

The morning / pre-Europe-close selloff is underway.

Should I BTFD?

 

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:36 | Link to Comment Mark Carney
Mark Carney's picture

I do wish RIM the best, I love my Torch, but will never get a new phone until this one break 4EVA.  I willl not be a subject of having to always buy brand new.

 

 

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:19 | Link to Comment Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

They buy Beiber, Kutcher, Kardashian, Kobe...experts each in all things sheeple.

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:28 | Link to Comment Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

American royalty. Minor royalty.

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 12:22 | Link to Comment ExpendableOne
ExpendableOne's picture

Repeat after me.  There is no free lunch (or smart phone os, or search service).

Google does nothing for "free".  You trade your privacy for the service.  In turn, google markets and tracks you mercilesly.  

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:32 | Link to Comment Ruffcut
Ruffcut's picture

Changed name to blackberry. Rimm shots no more.

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 10:53 | Link to Comment firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

"Means things can only get better right" says every current RIMM shareholder

 

In other news, Obama says that GDP numbers are too volatile to pay attention to and we should only look at ISM/PMI/CPI/Housing/ADP, cause those never have wild inflated flucations.

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 10:59 | Link to Comment gamera9
gamera9's picture

Maybe they should be prohibited from publishing GDP numbers for 18 months.

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 14:23 | Link to Comment smiler03
smiler03's picture

And also =ABS(GDP)

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 10:52 | Link to Comment q99x2
q99x2's picture

If it includes a privacy from government switch it will be a game changer.

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 10:56 | Link to Comment Desert Irish
Desert Irish's picture

RIMM still has investors?

 

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 10:58 | Link to Comment Inthemix96
Inthemix96's picture

Read that heading all wrong Tylers.

It came across as "RIMMING, kept shareholders awake at night", mind, if the poisened dwarf benank and the geethner were in bed together, it made pefect sense.

Fuckers.

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 10:58 | Link to Comment Shizzmoney
Shizzmoney's picture

Wait, people still use BlackBerry phones (that are under 40)?

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:10 | Link to Comment frenchie
frenchie's picture

oui

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:00 | Link to Comment Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Rimm? What's a RiMM?

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:03 | Link to Comment Say What Again
Say What Again's picture

Correction; iRimm

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:11 | Link to Comment Lewshine
Lewshine's picture

Chart SHMART!! Means nothing!! All that matters is if whether WS "chooses" to make Rimm their new savings account stock!

Rimm was $450.00 a share 2 years ago., two years before that, $35.00 - Priceline, Amazon and others like them are used to take loser stocks and turn them into winners by sheer colaboration. WS parks a bunch of free money in heavily shorted stocks, public jumps on, and when enough bagholders are in - SPLAATTTTTT!! They kill the goat. They've done this with RIMM, 5 times in 10 years. Amazon will be a $35.00 stock again, after the next bloodletting retraction. Rimm is now on course to run to $125.00 in the next 6 to 8 months. Fundamental are created - and don't mean SH**! Watch!

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 12:07 | Link to Comment Real Estate Geek
Real Estate Geek's picture

looks like all 4 engines flamed out. Not a good situation at that altitude. .

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:11 | Link to Comment AssFire
AssFire's picture

The BlackBerry curve is of older people who learned that technology, but are terrified by the newer phones that have so many functions.

I hear them make excuses like "I can use it with only 1 hand as I walk through the airports".

Knowing some of the old dogs and seeing the curve decay tells me they are leaving the workforce- they could not learn new tricks.

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:16 | Link to Comment trav777
trav777's picture

the iphone and droid UIs are junk...this is why

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 12:00 | Link to Comment AssFire
AssFire's picture

True, so buy the insurance- one bad landing even with the protective cover and the droid and iphones crack.

All part of our disposable society...Hell I knew a guy who trashed rental cars so bad he never returned them- he told me he was pioneering the disposable rental car.. He was a real piece of shit but a lot of fun to drink with. I suppose he must be pretty high up in the Secret Service by now.

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:16 | Link to Comment PeeramidIdeologies
PeeramidIdeologies's picture

It's no wonder you people are forever complaining about these markets, you wouldn't know a buying opportunity if I slapped you in the face with it. Had you had any connection with the real world you would know this brand has a strong following and is poised for a robust comeback. But hey here at ZH everything is going down. All the time. Forever.
BTFD.

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:24 | Link to Comment Desert Irish
Desert Irish's picture

MDB that you?

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:31 | Link to Comment PeeramidIdeologies
PeeramidIdeologies's picture

Are you the guy that needs a cell phone to get laid?

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:40 | Link to Comment MillionDollarBogus_
MillionDollarBogus_'s picture

Beetlejuice.....Beetlejuice.....Beetlejuice.....

Say my name and I show up...

No, I'm not Peer.....

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:15 | Link to Comment Defenestratus
Defenestratus's picture

BUY BLACKBERRY!

 

So many RIMMjobs depend on you!

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:15 | Link to Comment Desert Irish
Desert Irish's picture

Blackberry users are last to get laid and first to get drunk according to this....

http://www.cbc.ca/news/offbeat/story/2012/02/01/tech-smartphone-dating-s...

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 15:54 | Link to Comment Ljoot
Ljoot's picture

Article neglects mention of my Nokia windoze phone, whose users are 75% most likely to buy a box of Kleenex.

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:17 | Link to Comment Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

All it will take is for some celeb to tweet something about a new BB device like "It's really kewl" for a billion students to use their loans to get a new phone.

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:33 | Link to Comment jtlien
jtlien's picture

Ah yes.   The cellphone craze.   Does anyone remember the CB radio craze and how it went bust back in the 70's?

Apples production alone is enough to give every family in America a new smartphone.

Half of the people in China make less than 2 bucks a day and they are all to have smartphones.

Chinese phones made in Szchenzen are taking over that market there.

Next year they will be giving out smartphones as door prizes.   When the market is saturated prices will collapse.

 

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 12:25 | Link to Comment ExpendableOne
ExpendableOne's picture

Smartphone == personal tracking device that the "sheeple" pay for.  Saves a lot of time on "branding" when we willingly buy such devices and make full use of them.

Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:42 | Link to Comment Eally Ucked
Eally Ucked's picture
You must be total idiot to pay (700$ for phone+at least 100$/mth for your plan) for device which is spying on you, makes you work for 24/hr a day (you're always on call), waste time on useless FB, reading stupid emails 24/7. And what you get from it? Oh, I know now it's your life.  
Wed, 01/30/2013 - 11:44 | Link to Comment BurningFuld
BurningFuld's picture

If you arn't watching the new Blackberry launch. Let me update you...HOLY FUCK! 

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