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The Market's Schizophrenic Reaction To Payrolls

Tyler Durden's picture





 

The markets cannot make up their mind what to make of the Payrolls data this morning. Gold (and Silver) spiked and are holding gains; Treasury yields plunged and are trading lower in yield on the week now; EURUSD spiked then faded rapidly (not helped by Italian banking fraud); and stocks surged and are (for now) holding gains through the US open...as it awaits UMich confidence...

 

 


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Fri, 02/01/2013 - 10:58 | Link to Comment Nid
Nid's picture

Was Equities' response NFP based? Futures accross all US EQ mkts spiked immediately after yesterday's close, and were up big prior to 8:30 AM...DOW futures were up 76, S&P were up 7, Comp were up 15...simply more Ponzi scam.

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 10:58 | Link to Comment Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

Mmm ponzi spam.  It's what's for breakfast, lunch and dinner!

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 10:59 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Indeed.  meanwhile, in the real world, look at those sorbean, wheat, and corn go!

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 11:06 | Link to Comment fuu
fuu's picture

BOOM, headshot. Retrace nearly complete.

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 12:17 | Link to Comment SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

There are no "markets", there are only interventions.  When you have limitless "money", you can make "markets" look like anything you want.  Until you can't.  We are simply waiting for real money to say "no mas".   Does anyone still believe these "markets" are allocating real capital?

Patience, grasshopper.

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 13:11 | Link to Comment fuu
fuu's picture

Krugman?

I certainly don't.

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 11:06 | Link to Comment Say What Again
Say What Again's picture

These days one needs to start very early in the morning if one wants to "front-run" the rest of the crowd.

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 11:11 | Link to Comment tip e. canoe
tip e. canoe's picture

go-go-GMO-a-go-go!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hkionqWPc-Q

(from the creators of Meet Your Strawman)

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 11:00 | Link to Comment Cursive
Cursive's picture

@Nid

My take is that we've got first-of-the-month 401(k) funding, so the market makers were bidding this market up to have those retailers purchase at higher prices and the market makers plan to sell into that strength all day today.

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 10:58 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Where is this "market" you speak of.  By the way, I'd say it is more cognative dissonance than schizophrenia.

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 11:00 | Link to Comment buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Does this mean Ann Margaret is NOT coming?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FpO0OV4mfvo

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 11:01 | Link to Comment lunaticfringe
lunaticfringe's picture

Its POMO magic!

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 11:04 | Link to Comment fuu
fuu's picture

Schizophrenic? I thought this was the new normal.

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 12:23 | Link to Comment TheCanadianAustrian
TheCanadianAustrian's picture

"Schizophrenic" means paranoid. Why do people use that word when what they're really trying to say is "confused and inconsistent"?

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 13:13 | Link to Comment fuu
fuu's picture

The "market" shows a remarkable amount of waxy flexibility.

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 11:06 | Link to Comment fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

I just took a piss and gold is down $12 in that  minute...wtf?

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 11:09 | Link to Comment viahj
viahj's picture

well, don't pee again pleaze!

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 12:03 | Link to Comment Colonel Klink
Colonel Klink's picture

Talk about a gold-n-shower.  Or was that Goldman shower.  Keep getting them confused.

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 11:07 | Link to Comment disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

"there is no recovery." period. yet inflation trades are VERY hard to unwind...they never really are actually as the entire business enterprise must be looted before the equity will finally succumb. having said that i think many US banks and financial institutions are going to be net importers of gold soon which should be both dollar supportive and gold supportive as well. "the claws of deflation" are starting to dig in and with so much "excess everything" sloshing around i think the idea that "you can just print your way out of this" is fast becoming an illusion as "now nobody has any money." Long Columbus, Ohio...and Columbus Georgia too.

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 11:22 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Well put.  Long anywhere you can grow your own food, keep your tribe organized, fed, and armed.

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 11:06 | Link to Comment MFLTucson
MFLTucson's picture

This is fraud, the US markets are courrpt and out of control.  Deception seems to be the moving target!

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 11:08 | Link to Comment Squid Vicious
Squid Vicious's picture

Just put on my Dow 14000 hat, woohooo 15000 next!

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 11:09 | Link to Comment rogeliokh
rogeliokh's picture

What happened with GOLD again? Both GOLD and Silver Candles on 30m are Jumping up and down
like this is a 1 min chart.. Got up $20 and immediately down $20 ones get dangerously
close to $1700/oz mark. I'm pretty sure that this level gets defended by FED+Banksters from
JPM and GS.. Every time Gold nearing $1700/oz there is Ben with the sledge hammer getting
it right in the head. When this manipulation is going to stop? If ever?

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 11:21 | Link to Comment Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

When the demand for physical delivery overwhelms the paper manipulation.

How much unencumbered gold is left in Ft. Knox ?

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 11:10 | Link to Comment thismarketisrigged
thismarketisrigged's picture

gdp contraction , bad fed data, unemployment rises, non farm payroll jobs below expectations= we ignore it.

 

ok ism data, decent consumer confidence,- we shoot up to near new highs.

 

u cant make this shit up.

 

dont worry, we will see a massive sell off next week, the dow may lose a total of 5 pts, and the s&p may lose 1 pt. that will be our massive correction, than a big uptrend to down 15550 and s&p 1600

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 11:21 | Link to Comment Artful Dodger
Artful Dodger's picture

Market: you win. I am baffled with bullshit. Every day. You will go up 3% a week forever. You are not a bubble. A 20 cent drop in SPY is a "buying opportunity".

Edit: oh yeah, and nothing is EVER priced in. Even at 5 year highs. If it's bad, it's good, if it's good, it's good, if's it neutral, it's a reason to sell volatility.

It's a POMO day.

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 11:29 | Link to Comment rogeliokh
rogeliokh's picture

Fed Bullard Constantly jawboning around QE, which effects Gold. Just couple of weeks ago on Interview with Liesman he said: " Who sad we targeting exact date or Year with QE? We targeting 6.5% Unemployment rate.." And just now he said: DJ FED's Bullard: Favors Idea of "Tapering" QE ???? What? Unemployment just rise to 7.9%? That's what cause metals to drop sharply right on the spot.
Those guys in such mess, they cannot even make their minds..

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 12:22 | Link to Comment dragoneyes74
dragoneyes74's picture

So much for a topping stick.  Luckily I've already learned the hard way not to catch tops.  The most reliable pattern in trading is divergence between price and RSI.  I'll wait patiently for that setup.  Maybe it will be well timed with the seasonal springtime short. 

The dollar's looking weaker every week.  I'd love to see it run down to its lows at 72 later this year, which would mean a truly retarded Euro price, but I guess it truly is all relative.  

 

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 12:45 | Link to Comment Archetype
Archetype's picture

Dollar is about to krasch.

Fri, 02/01/2013 - 14:05 | Link to Comment Smuckers
Smuckers's picture

Their stats for consumer confidence is probably captured by counting the number of happy fat zombies buying half-priced iphone cases at Walmart.

Of course, also conveniently placed beside the tins of cat food.

 

 

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