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Art Cashin Previews The February 15 Close Encounter Of A Meteor Kind

Tyler Durden's picture




 

While UBS' Art Cashin sees the 'uptrend' in stocks as largely in tact, though warns of the start of what appears to be a stalling formation, there is another 'bigger' potential crash on his mind. Having survived the Mayan apocalypse, and a Papal resignation, our home planet is due for a record setting space encounter on Friday (Feb. 15) of this week... which means it is now too late to even send Bruce Willis (or better yet, Bob Pisani) into space for an Armageddon sequel. We are told to keep calm and carry on - Bernanke-like "there is nothing to worry about", but no known asteroid has traveled this close to earth in recorded history. Let's hope the slide rule guys have it nailed - or the grand central planner.

 

Nothing To Worry About They Assure Us – Here's a bit on the incoming asteroid by Ken Kremer in "Universe Today":

Our home planet is due for a record setting space encounter on Friday (Feb. 15) of this week, when a space rock roughly half a football field wide skirts very close by Earth at break neck speed and well inside the plethora of hugely expensive communications and weather satellites that ring around us in geosynchronous orbit.

“There is no possibility of an Earth impact” by the Near Earth Asteroid (NEO) known as 2012 DA 14, said Don Yeomans, NASA’s foremost asteroid expert at a media briefing. Well that’s good news for us – but a little late for the dinosaurs.

At its closest approach in less than 4 days, the 45 meter (150 feet) wide Asteroid 2012 DA14 will zoom by within an altitude of 27,700 kilometers (17,200 miles). That is some 8000 km (5000 miles) inside the ring of geosynchronous satellites, but far above most Earth orbiting satellites, including the 6 person crew currently working aboard the International Space Station.

Although the likelihood of a satellite collision is extremely remote, NASA is actively working with satellite providers to inform them of the space rocks path.

The razor thin close shave takes place at about 2:24 p.m. EST (11:24 a.m. PST and 1924 UTC) as the asteroid passes swiftly by at a speed of about 7.8 kilometers per second (17,400 MPH)- or about 8 times the speed of a rifle bullet. For some perspective, it will be only about 1/13th of the distance to the moon at its closest.

“Asteroid 2012 DA14 will make a very close Earth approach, traveling rapidly from South to North and be moving at about two full moons per minute,” said Yeomans, who manages NASA’s Near-Earth Object Program Office at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, Calif. “That’s very fast for a celestial object.

No known asteroid has traveled this close to earth in recorded history. Let's hope the slide rule guys have it nailed.

 

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Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:43 | 3236469 Water Is Wet
Water Is Wet's picture

PSA:  A black asshole with a history of murdering Americans (not Chris Dorner) will be spamming all the statist broadcast channels this evening.  You are advised to throw away your televisions.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:46 | 3236484 tsx500
tsx500's picture

i'd rather listen to Mike Tyson recite Shakespeare than spend one minute watching that cj tonight

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:48 | 3236491 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

Put DORNER on it... He's a sneaky little shit...

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:54 | 3236506 Dr. Richard Head
Dr. Richard Head's picture

Any way to nudge this bitch towards the Federal Reserve HQ?

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:01 | 3236537 redpill
redpill's picture

Sorry in order to do that you'd need to connect your iRoid to iTunes, and unfortunately we're fresh out of cables that have our proprietary iRoid connector.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:13 | 3236572 Manthong
Manthong's picture

Hmm.. I wonder..

Really, this has been pretty much a non-event since it was first revealed.. kind of like Benghazi or the birth certificate or the social security number.

Not much has been made of it at all and there is no chance it could hit, none at all, like a credit rating downgrade or a monetizing of the debt.

Still, I wonder where the very last comment Brian Williams made last year in this short clip came from.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EmxPD_kQgh4

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:16 | 3236588 BLOTTO
BLOTTO's picture

Sun Worshippers have been tracking and following the movement of stars for ages.

.

Egyptians, Mayans, Sumerians, the Vatican and even the Royal Family...

.

Astronomers Royal

.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Astronomer_Royal

.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vatican_Observatory

Their is way more going on than the eye can see...

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:21 | 3236607 CommunityStandard
CommunityStandard's picture

Has anyone said "if it were to hit", where that would likely be?

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:24 | 3236619 redpill
redpill's picture

It's not if but when. The tough parts are where and how long from now

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:44 | 3236648 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

Well, you could read several books such as The Long Emergency, Reinventing Collapse, One Second After, Alas Babylon, Patriots, and Lucifer's Hammer to gain an understanding of what some recent authors believe TEOTWAWKI might look like, and then try to formulate a plan on your own.

 

When wealthy soap company heir and amateur astronomer Tim Hamner codiscovers a new comet, dubbed Hamner-Brown, documentary producer Harvey Randall persuades Hamner to have his family's company sponsor a television documentary series on the subject. Political lobbying by California Senator Arthur Jellison eventually gets a joint Apollo-Soyuz (docking with the second flight-worthy Skylab) mission into space to study the comet, dubbed "The Hammer" by popular media, which is expected to pass close to the Earth. Despite assurances by the scientific community that a collision with Earth is extremely unlikely, the public, fueled with religious fervor by the evangelist Henry Armitage, begins to hoard food and supplies in anticipation.

 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lucifer's_Hammer

 

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:47 | 3236698 espirit
espirit's picture

Read that twice, many years apart.

Some valid defensive tactics to be taken seriously.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:55 | 3236713 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

Some valid defensive tactics to be taken seriously.

Indeed, like finding an excuse to not be in the LA Basin at zero hour.  Camping in the Sierra Nevada Mountains anyone?

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:00 | 3236740 espirit
espirit's picture

Actually, the entry control mechanism is most interesting.  At least from a security minded pov.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:19 | 3236787 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

Do you mean the defense of the ridge leading up to the valley?

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:20 | 3236819 espirit
espirit's picture

Much earlier. When establishing the encampment.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 16:18 | 3237633 Badabing
Badabing's picture

Everything will be OK, the FED can print up money and bribe NASA to change the numbers!

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:11 | 3236785 ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

Well, except if the meteor were to impact in the Sierra Nevada mountains. Plus, there's not a lot of food available in those mountains and the water is contaminated with giardia. Other than that, it's a good plan.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:22 | 3236823 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

In the book there is plenty of fresh water and fresh meat.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:24 | 3236834 goldfish1
goldfish1's picture

People. 150 feet? This doesn't appear noteworthy. Something three times bigger than my house hitting earth? C'mon. What am I missing here?

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:44 | 3236899 pods
pods's picture

Seems it is about half the size of the Tunguska event asteroid/comet. 
Large enough to ruin your day if it lands in your area code.

pods 

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:45 | 3236905 viahj
viahj's picture

physics - if this thing hit your house, it would take out most of your city as well.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 13:23 | 3237033 SilverRhino
SilverRhino's picture

So would a nuke and we have detonated 2000+ on earth already.   

Sucks to be under it but I won't stress about a 50 meter asteroid. 

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 15:19 | 3237426 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

Look on the bright side... If it does hit your house ~ the chances of it occurring a 2nd time would then be astronomical...

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 17:41 | 3237881 smiler03
smiler03's picture

No. The chances of a second impact would be identical to the first.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 04:12 | 3239702 Parrotile
Parrotile's picture

 - and the chances of one specific asteroid hitting one specific house are pretty "astronomical", so the statement is actually correct. (But so is yours, since the probability of such an event remains essentially the same (actually VERY slightly less, since we now have "one down, N - 1 millions or billions to go!")

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:57 | 3236945 LFMayor
LFMayor's picture

what you don't have in mass you can make up for in velocity.  This thing is moving how many meters/second?  How many joule does that translate to?

see also:  PR24 baton vs traditional nightstick or 5.56x45mm vs. 45/70.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 13:11 | 3236994 zelator
zelator's picture

C'mon.  Understand the physics, fish.  Momentum (mass times velocity)  is the kicker.  Even if the mass is not so great, it still packs a lot of energy traveling at the speed of over 17,000 MPH.  Look up the Tunguska event

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 16:59 | 3237745 ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

It's not the momentum, it's the kinetic energy = 1/2m*v*v. The kinetic energy will be converted to thermal energy and a blast wave when it hits the ground. The blast wave is the more dangerous of the two. When the space shuttle launched, anything within 1/4 mile would be killed due to the heat but the blast wave killed anything within 1/2 a mile.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 14:02 | 3237148 RafterManFMJ
RafterManFMJ's picture

Well goldfish the thing to worry about is they had the CBO measure it 11 months ago, so it could be bigger than the moon by now.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 03:51 | 3239688 Ar-Pharazôn
Ar-Pharazôn's picture

inform yourself before making stupid assumptions.

 

a 100 m meteor, if hit, could cause mass instinction

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 13:58 | 3237129 aardvarkk
aardvarkk's picture

I seem to recall that in that one, an asteroid or something came along while it was swinging around the sun to deflect it JUST ENOUGH to impact.  So is anybody checking near space to see if anything else is headed toward this thing?  Talk about your basic black swan...

And I do suspect that if this impacted anywhere in the ocean, It Would Not Be A Good Day for a lot of people...

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 15:45 | 3237537 sunnydays
sunnydays's picture

I read that online.  That is one scary book in how and what things could look like.  That story has stayed with me, since I have read it. 

 

 

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:49 | 3236705 fourchan
fourchan's picture

if it were sailing in to hit the usa do you think congress could get together to act on a course of action?

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:17 | 3236800 ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

Honestly, I don't think it would be a planet-wrecker if it did hit. Half a football field is not that large and 7-8 km/s is not a particulary high entry velocity. It's more or less what the the Space Shuttle would enter at. A lunar-return object like Apollo enters at 11 km/s and energy is a function of of the square of velocity. Also the meteor would slow down and ablate (get smaller) as it went through the atmosphere.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 03:52 | 3239691 Ar-Pharazôn
Ar-Pharazôn's picture

a 100 m meteor can cause mass instinction. inform yourself before saying stupid things like. I THINK.

 

the world is not running on yours "i think"

 

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 04:24 | 3239704 Parrotile
Parrotile's picture

Both the Space Shuttle and the Apollo CMs were designed for a smooth re-entry, AND their re-entry trajectories were carefully calculated.
Large masses of space rocks / ice / whatever tend not to follow these rules, and will probably break up on impact with the denser parts of the atmosphere. If we're lucky it'll bounce back into space; if we're not, then assuming a 10 to 70km/sec speed, even at the "bottom end" velocity, we're looking at a lot of kinetic energy, and the probability of an explosive mid-atmospheric breakup (as was presumed to happen with the Tunguska meteorite). For a 70km/sec incomer, things could get "quite interesting" for everyone, not just those in the immediate impact vicinity.

"Global Ice Age" anyone??

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:13 | 3236789 1100-TACTICAL-12
1100-TACTICAL-12's picture

What happens if said roid hits some space junk or a sattalite. Will that not deflect it & changs its course? So I guess we don't have a clue where this thing is going.. just odds and %'s..

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:30 | 3236634 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

If they knew do you really think they would tell us?

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:33 | 3236646 espirit
espirit's picture

Of course. The Gubbermint never "lies".

/snark/

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:36 | 3236656 Undecided
Undecided's picture

Indonesia

 

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:46 | 3236694 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

I wonder how long it would it take a tsunami of that size to get to Los Angeles from Indonesia?

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:00 | 3236742 Undecided
Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:04 | 3236760 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

It would only have a regional impact.

So, like The Valley would be, like, totally ok?

 

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:25 | 3236827 ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

It would only have a regional impact

Correct. See my post above. Energy is 1/2m*v*v.  Let's say it's mass is 10000 kg. At 7.8 km/s that equals 3.042e+11 Joules. The Hiroshima bomb delivered 6e+13 Joules or 200 times more. So, even if the meteor weighed 2000 tons it would only equal the effect of Hiroshima and that is assuming that it doesn't slow down in the atmosphere (which it would) and would not ablate (which it would). So, yes, it would be bad if you were within a few miles of the impact but it would not be "the end of times"

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:51 | 3236925 Freedom In Your...
Freedom In Your Lifetime's picture

The estimate its mass to be 143,000 tons so you may need to revise your calculations a bit. It won't be the end of times, but it will be just a bit larger than hiroshima if it hits.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 14:30 | 3237257 TPTB_r_TBTF
TPTB_r_TBTF's picture

"a bit larger", lol

 

"Should an object of that size hit Earth, it would cause a blast with the energy equivalent of about 2.4 million tons — or 2.4 megatons — of TNT explosives, more than 180 times the power of the atomic blast that leveled Hiroshima."

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 14:35 | 3237271 ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

Okay, here you go. Assuming the meteor is spherical with a radius of 50 yards and made of pure iron, it would have a mass of about 117000000 kg. If if impacted at 7.8 km/s it would release 3.6e+15 Joules of energy, which is equivalent to a little less than a 1 megaton nuclear device (or approx 60 Hiroshima nukes). So, yes, it would be more than Hiroshima but a 1 megaton nuclear bomb is still not the end of the world.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 15:40 | 3237519 BooMushroom
BooMushroom's picture

Pardon me while I get my tinfoil hat on...

How about if it hits Washington DC? Or if it hits a mile offshore from DC, New York, Manhattan, etc.? What if it hits Senuaku Island ;)

How about if someone's computers interpret it as a nuclear attack on their country, and retaliates automatically?

How about it hits a nuclear power plant/waste dump, dead on? How about Hoover Dam? Lots of places it could cause some major issues.

Odds of any of those things is essentially zero, but so are the odds of any two particular objects in space colliding, right?

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 04:44 | 3239713 Parrotile
Parrotile's picture

You may need to revise your atmospheric impact speed upwards. The observed distribution is between 10 and 70 km/sec, so the mean would be 35km/sec.

http://csep10.phys.utk.edu/astr161/lect/meteors/impacts.html

The "surface impact velocity" ignores the fact that ALL the energy (kinetic and potential - remember it's also affected by the planetary gravity) will be absorbed in our global system. Localised atmospheric heating will certainly be significant, and will contribute to the net overall effect. As to the magnitude of the final effect, far too many variables to provide real info, however the Tunguska event has been guesstimated as being caused by a 100 metre diameter comet.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tunguska_event

Mind you, seeing as we all have to go someday, it would be a far more interesting demise than being stuck in a Residential Home.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 13:18 | 3237017 Peachfuzz
Peachfuzz's picture

sort of like the earthquake/tsunami in Fukushima? That kind of regional?

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 14:30 | 3236712 Albertarocks
Albertarocks's picture

Thumbs up for you just finding that clip.  What in the world would inspire you to find that?  In any case that clip is most appropriate this week.  It's interesting... thanks.

 

Yeah, Brian's last sentence could be kind of a general 'common sense no brainer' but one can't help but to wonder if there was some hidden meaning in it.  I'd say it was just a reminder that to "have one's business in order" is just a general good rule of thumb.  It's not a rule I follow, but nonetheless....

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:00 | 3236534 Al Gorerhythm
Al Gorerhythm's picture

I'd rather put Droner on it. 

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:47 | 3236487 Enslavethechild...
EnslavethechildrenforBen's picture

I'm making a T-shirt "I am not Barack Obama, DON'T SHOOT"

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:18 | 3236598 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

I'M NOT OBAMA, so whatever it is... I probably did it...

 

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:41 | 3236678 Dr. Richard Head
Dr. Richard Head's picture

if you are not Obama, then you did NOT do that. 

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:51 | 3236497 BandGap
BandGap's picture

Correction - half black asshole

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:30 | 3236635 Iriestx
Iriestx's picture

So the asshole bleaching didn't take?

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:11 | 3236575 pods
pods's picture

You kidding me?  I will be panning for gold. 

Found my first flake and I have the fever.

pods

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:23 | 3236616 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

I see flakes walking around Walmart all the time.

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=fvwp&v=ghrDIQ-K8mg&NR=1

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:45 | 3236472 Enslavethechild...
EnslavethechildrenforBen's picture

Asteroid Party!

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:46 | 3236482 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

Here Art ~ I hope this helps...

~~~


HARDCORE 1-UP Loop

Begin a new game with any ship with the HARDCORE as the diffiuclty. Destory the big astroid as well as the two medium ones, but not clearing level 1 in Zone 1. Now get killed, as soon as your ship explodes, press ESCAPE (do this before your life counter goes down). Now select RESTART ZONE. Your live counter will stay the same as before. Destory the big astroid again, now watch your life counter when you destory one of the medium ones, your life counter will go up by one. Get killed again (w/o your life counter going down). and RESTART the zone. You will 3 lives instead of the default of 2. Repeat this process 4 lives, and so forth

Begin a new game with any ship with the HARDCORE as the diffiuclty. Destory the big astroid as well as the two medium ones, but not clearing level 1 in Zone 1. Now get killed, as soon as your ship explodes, press ESCAPE (do this before your life counter goes down). Now select RESTART ZONE. Your live counter will stay the same as before. Destory the big astroid again, now watch your life counter when you destory one of the medium ones, your life counter will go up by one. Get killed again (w/o your life counter going down). and RESTART the zone. You will 3 lives instead of the default...


 

All Weapons

For all power-ups type "issallgood" while playing.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:20 | 3236605 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

It sounds like you've played this game a few times. Do you care to interview for Obama's drone strike team?

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:41 | 3236677 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

I'm just trying to stay off the hit list...

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:06 | 3236557 asteroids
asteroids's picture

I will be at my observatory Friday night doing exactly that. In the mean time I suggest:  http://www.purdue.edu/impactearth/

I leave it up to the student to fill in the numbers to see who big of a whole 2012 DA14 would make if it fell on the FED's head.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:38 | 3236659 mvsjcl
mvsjcl's picture

Sorry. Dup.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:36 | 3236660 mvsjcl
mvsjcl's picture

Hopefully not the same Purdue team that produced the "scientific" study which concluded that the planes, in and of themselves, brought down the twin towers.

http://www.purdue.edu/uns/x/2007a/070612HoffmannWTC.html

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:41 | 3236887 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

And scared Bldg 7 so bad that it just collapsed out of fear.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 14:14 | 3237188 Taint Boil
Taint Boil's picture

 

 

Let's hope the slide rule guys have it nailed.

Too funny - LMAO


Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:37 | 3236652 Chuck Norris
Chuck Norris's picture

Anyone remember Thundarr the Barbarian?

 Directly inspired by comic books, with the likes of R.E. Howard's Conan the Barbarian and Flash Gordon, Thundarr the Barbarian is set in a future (3994 AD) post-apocalyptic wasteland divided into kingdoms or territories — the majority of which are ruled by wizards — and whose ruins typically feature recognizable geographical features from the United States, starting in New York City and working itself to Los Angeles, Las Vegas, Mount Rushmore, San Francisco or Washington, D.C.

Another notable feature of this future Earth is that the Moon was broken in two pieces, but the gravity of the pieces drew them back together, orbiting at roughly the same height as the intact Moon once did. The shattered moon and the ruins of the former human civilization were caused by the passage of a runaway planet (more resembling a comet) between the Earth and the Moon in 1994, which, from scenes shown in the opening sequence, caused radical changes in the Earth's climate, geography and tidal effects. However, by the time period in which the series is set (2,000 years later), the Earth and Moon seem to have settled into a new balance. Earth is reborn in a world of savagery, super-science, and sorcery.

They predicted this back in the 80's...

 

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:10 | 3236779 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

There are already modern day sorcerers; they are called central planners aka Banksters.  They can steal your money, start wars, break the law, brainwash and kill people without you even noticing.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:29 | 3236849 goldfish1
goldfish1's picture

That's not sorcery.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 13:13 | 3236997 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

There are already modern day sorcerers; they are called central planners

The term is prestidigiflationist.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:44 | 3236475 taniquetil
taniquetil's picture

Is this part of the US government's new drone bombing campaign?

 

We may have obliterated Iran, but at least we got all the brown people!

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:45 | 3236476 Super Broccoli
Super Broccoli's picture

Damn ! couldn't it hit the fed ?

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:57 | 3236516 unrulian
unrulian's picture

hopefully NASA didn't use BLS statistics to calcualate its rate of speed

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:45 | 3236477 Inthemix96
Inthemix96's picture

Lets hope it has bernank nailed to the floor shortly after.

And that twat geethner, and Bamster, and Cameron, and Osbourne and.........

Fuckers

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:45 | 3236478 GolfHatesMe
GolfHatesMe's picture

Is this from regular NASA, or subcontracted out to Russian NASA?

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:49 | 3236704 SokPOTUS
SokPOTUS's picture

Sharia-Compliant NASA.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:45 | 3236479 PUD
PUD's picture

I suggest a "seasonal adjustment" to its orbit...

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:59 | 3236525 toady
toady's picture

I'm really surprised no one is going to do something. I mean, at least try to get a tracking device or something on it. Hell, it's going to be close enough to get there by weather balloon!

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:54 | 3236480 Azannoth
Azannoth's picture

I really question the ability of NASA to predict the exact trajectory of an object 50m in size traveling at 10x the speed of a bullet years in advance, using optical measurement, those boys are good but not that good, just 0.001% error in this trajectory means an order of magnitude bigger variance in the "passing distance" than what they are predicting

They probably only even admit the existence of this Asteroid because too many hobby astronomers know about it.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:59 | 3236526 toys for tits
toys for tits's picture

+1

I hope they didn't fuck up their calculations like they did in the late 1990's, which caused a $125M Mars orbiter to crash because one team used metric measurements while the other team used english.

http://articles.cnn.com/1999-09-30/tech/9909_30_mars.metric.02_1_climate...

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:38 | 3236667 espirit
espirit's picture

It's Earths gravity that is the wildcard here, so give +/- 17,200 miles for error.

Oops!

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:58 | 3236736 TheCanadianAustrian
TheCanadianAustrian's picture

I'm pretty sure their ability to predict the trajectory of an asteroid is made a few orders of magnitude easier by the fact that outer space is a place where what exists is jack shit and what happens is fuck all.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 13:52 | 3236791 Azannoth
Azannoth's picture

That is probably exactly what the scientists making those predictions are thinking to them selves with their fingers crossed

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 18:19 | 3238034 thisandthat
thisandthat's picture

To put things into perspective... make it just over 2 Earth diameters: http://farm5.static.flickr.com/4090/5183873651_fab1762377_o.jpg

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 18:40 | 3238131 New World Chaos
New World Chaos's picture

By now, all those hobby astronomers would have figured out if the thing was going to hit us.  The math is rigorous (unlike economics), and the asteroid is now close enough that the tracking data is good enough to predict a miss this time.  The main risk is a small chance that it will come back around in the future.  We won't know this until after it has left and its deflection by Earth has been measured, but there are too many people watching for there to be a screwup/coverup in this regard.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:46 | 3236481 Lost Wages
Lost Wages's picture

If this is Nibiru, it is 2 months late.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:47 | 3236488 bill1102inf
bill1102inf's picture

Maybe N Korea can nuke it and save the planet

 

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:47 | 3236489 icanhasbailout
icanhasbailout's picture

How long exactly is our history of tracking near-Earth asteroid passes? "All of recorded history" makes it out like we've been able to do that for thousands of years, when the reality is more like 15-20 years.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:20 | 3236604 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Your D-K is manifesting itself....

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:48 | 3236490 Dagny Taggart
Dagny Taggart's picture

Somewhere at the BLS there is a room full of PR guys trying to spin this to effect the jobs numbers.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:56 | 3236513 Dr. Richard Head
Dr. Richard Head's picture

Krugman is secretly hoping there is an alien space craft behind it that is about invade our planet or possibly break a bunch of windows in general. Fingers crossed!!!

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:50 | 3236493 Whoa Dammit
Whoa Dammit's picture

Don't worry the LAPD will shoot it down. 

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:55 | 3236512 yabyum
yabyum's picture

LAPD can't find it's ass with both hands.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:57 | 3236517 Dr. Richard Head
Dr. Richard Head's picture

They only shoot people delivering newspapers and ram their cruisers in surfers looking to catch some waves.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:32 | 3236642 rqb1
rqb1's picture

It was a joke

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:56 | 3236515 MachoMan
MachoMan's picture

If they do, then it would only be because they were aiming at something else...

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:57 | 3236520 grunk
grunk's picture

Nah, they'll either miss or shoot the wrong asteroid.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:01 | 3236533 toys for tits
toys for tits's picture

Only if it is a white or asian asteroid.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:50 | 3236494 Laser Shark
Laser Shark's picture

Anyone know of any "prophecies" involving a passing asteroid around the time the supposed second to last Pope resigns?

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:05 | 3236554 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

I don't know of any prophecies, but lightning did strike St. Peter's Basilica yesterday.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 14:48 | 3237308 TPTB_r_TBTF
TPTB_r_TBTF's picture

Simple-

 

this pope donT want to be the last pope, so he resigns before the asteroid hits.

But then, the damage is so bad that conclave cannot take place, so no new pope, ha ha!

Been-a-dick is indeed the last pope!

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 00:50 | 3239547 hoos bin pharteen
hoos bin pharteen's picture

No, but Revelation describes a large mountain that falls out of the sky into the ocean and shellacks a huge chunk of the earth's surface in the process.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:51 | 3236498 Jim in MN
Jim in MN's picture

The basic structure of our capital markets and the possibility of productive investment has already been destroyed by corruption.

The national and global moral center has been destroyed by corruption.

Our childrens' hopes and dreams have been coldly strangled by monsters in gleaming suits.

The meteor strike would just be an afterthought.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:39 | 3236675 Manipuflation
Manipuflation's picture

I'll say.  There is still a foul odor in the air around here after Obama's visit last week to boot.  I have to remind myself to go vote for a state representative today in the special olympics election.  My candidate choices are between worse and worst.  Hmm, decisions...  One fucking vote at the endorsing convention could have changed all that.  I think I will vote for an asteroid impact.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:41 | 3236886 e_goldstein
e_goldstein's picture

Just think of an asteroid strike as the ultimate Keynesian broken window...

ManKrugPig does.

 

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:51 | 3236499 jhalmos
jhalmos's picture

And so how do we trade this?

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:51 | 3236500 Hedgetard55
Hedgetard55's picture

"No known asteroid has traveled this close to earth in recorded history."

 

     How would we fucking know that? Did they have radar 5,000 years ago?

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:57 | 3236521 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

IT'S TRUE!!!

not counting the Siberian meteor that destroyed allmost all of Siberia which is almost as big as America....

NOW ASK YOURSELF THIS QUESTION:

DOES A NUCLEAR EXPLOSION MAKE A SQUEEKY SOUND WHEN THE BOMB FALLS 1 METER NEXT TO YOU?!

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:21 | 3236609 mick_richfield
mick_richfield's picture

Sorry, Little Green Man -- but the Tunguska Event only destroyed an area as large as -- are you ready for this? --  Belgium.

Which is a little smaller than the state of Maryland.

Have a nice day.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:34 | 3236638 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

OnLy?

I don't like what you're implying here dude...

I'VE DEFRIENDED PEOPLE ON FACEBOOK FOR LESS!!!

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:28 | 3236730 mick_richfield
mick_richfield's picture

Well, look, at least there aren't any counties in Texas that are the same size.  ( Although Brewster is about half the size. )

And there is one organized "Borough" in Alaska that's a little bigger.   Denali.

( And several others that are quite a bit larger. )

 

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 13:18 | 3237015 W74
W74's picture

San Bernardio is the largest county in the contiguous states and about 1.6x the size of Belgium.  Not quite double. 

Ok, Geography Quiz Time:  Which is the only County in this United States which Borders counties in 5 different states (Hint: one of it's own + various counties in 4 other states)?

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 13:04 | 3236978 goldfish1
goldfish1's picture

Wiki sez:

The Tunguska explosion knocked an estimated 80 million trees down over an area covering 2,150 square kilometres (830 sq mi). It is estimated that the shock wave from the blast would have measured 5.0 on the Richter scale. An explosion of this magnitude is capable of destroying a large metropolitan area.

Different studies have yielded widely varying estimates of the object's size, on the order of 100 metres (330 ft)

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 13:12 | 3236999 W74
W74's picture

Oh Lord.  I live in MD and I hope it wipes out Annapolis.  Maybe it can land in the bay and fuck up the coastline, I live far enough inland/above-sea-level.  Come 2016 y'all MFers better hope our Beloved and Esteemed Guv'nor Mr. Martin Owe'Malley isn't going to run for President.  If he wins you're going to wish for Obama back.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 18:11 | 3238004 thisandthat
thisandthat's picture

Actually, apparently it was just about a 46x46 km area - hardly the size of even Belgium...

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:52 | 3236717 SokPOTUS
SokPOTUS's picture

Yes.  But not for very long.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:08 | 3236555 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

The keyword to that statement is " known". Apparently Siberia was a non-event.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:43 | 3236896 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

More of a WTF moment.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:54 | 3236504 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Maybe the guys with the slide rule are a little off......Washington seems like a good strike zone to me. I always thought the the state of the union would be a perfect time..take them all out at once, but I'll settle for the majority of them.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:54 | 3236505 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

WOULDN'T YOU THINK THAT THE GUYS WHO INVENTED COLD FUSION HAVE GOT THIS ALL FIGURED OUT?!!

Relax... we're save...

and IF YOU WOULD SEE A METEOR CRASHING DOWN ON YOU, CALL : 0800/FUBAR

 

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:54 | 3236508 youngman
youngman's picture

Well I have my football helmet on and my baseball glove in hand.....but how come I get this vision of Italian Lawn Bowling in my head...as this rodk collides with all those satellites out there that no one has reported on or denies their existence....hmmmmmm...gonna need more beer

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:59 | 3236528 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

Just bend over and spread your cheeks next to a golf flag.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:44 | 3236901 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

I'm thinking bubble-wrap. Lots and lots of bubble-wrap.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:54 | 3236510 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

If it was going to hit, do you think they'd tell us?

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:59 | 3236529 Super Broccoli
Super Broccoli's picture

no of course !

 

imagine if people were told : "in 4 days that giant rock is gona hit earth somewhere we don't really know" ... i would say it would take something like 10 minuts before people started looting, rioting and killing each others !

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:55 | 3236511 Super Broccoli
Super Broccoli's picture

it's too bad, if only it could have hitted us somewhere we could have blame it for a lame Q1 !

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:56 | 3236514 spanish inquisition
spanish inquisition's picture

Maybe this is how the matrix resets. Anyway, I am no scientist, at 17,400mph won't it get sucked into the earths orbit or at least massively deflected by gravity? Takes 25K mph to get out of orbit.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:00 | 3236530 Super Broccoli
Super Broccoli's picture

takes 25k mph when coming from earth mate, not when passing by

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:22 | 3236613 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Looks like Dunning-Kruger is running rampant today...

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:28 | 3236629 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Why yes...yes it is.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:27 | 3236624 Overfed
Overfed's picture

It's at just the right speed to orbit the earth (depending on altitude), but if they're telling the truth, the trajectory is wrong.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:57 | 3236522 Whiteshadowmovement
Whiteshadowmovement's picture

Where is Krugman to explain the benefit to GDP from the asteroids impact?

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:44 | 3236691 espirit
espirit's picture

We need WB7 to do a workup on "aSStrOiDs".

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:58 | 3236523 Miss Expectations
Miss Expectations's picture

...no known asteroid has traveled this close to earth in recorded history.

Not sure if this.  I think the last one smashed into Russia in 1908.

http://www.nasa.gov/topics/solarsystem/features/asteroidflyby.html?fb_ac...[260229287442195]&action_type_map=["og.likes"]&action_ref_map=[]

On the bright side, at least it's not Geithner saying, "no chance of that."

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:01 | 3236532 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

...no known president has fucked up the entire economy on earth in recorded history....

NOW MEET OBAMA!!! THE BOEHOEHOEHOE "I DIDN'T DO IT" PRESIDENT!!!

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:46 | 3236907 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Not known beforehand.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 10:58 | 3236524 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

I'M SELLING MDS!!!

METEOR DEFAULT SWAPS!!!

WITH A HEDGE OF 5000/1 IF IT GOES WRONG!!!

 

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:45 | 3236544 darteaus
darteaus's picture

You think they'd tell you if it were going to hit? HAHAHA; sure.

I was on a plane that experienced an "uncommanded movement of the rudder".  They said NOTHING until we landed, and the fire trucks followed us down the runway.

Lesson learned: When dealing with a crisis, the last thing the authorities want is a bunch of screaming idiots.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:27 | 3236841 espirit
espirit's picture

...or screaming intellectuals.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:04 | 3236546 TheInfoman
TheInfoman's picture

Hmmm.  No taxes, no fiat currency, no self-serving politicians and their media friends.  Did anyone plot where this thing is going? 

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:04 | 3236548 Divine Wind
Divine Wind's picture

 

 

"No known asteroid has traveled this close to earth in recorded history."

 

A June 30, 1908 explosion in the skies over Siberia debunks this statement. This event leveled trees for hundreds of miles in every direction.

I really would like to know where Obama, the Cabinet and most members of Congress will be on Friday.

Weather Mountain or one of the other underground Continuity of Government facilities?

If POTUS is in the White House or otherwise accounted for, there is nothing to worry about.

If POTUS flies out somewhere on Thurs or our leaders are otherwise nowhere to be found, I strongly suggest entering into deep prayer.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:43 | 3236686 FeralSerf
FeralSerf's picture

That one was an unknown asteroid.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:25 | 3236833 matrix2012
matrix2012's picture

Watch out if Obama pays a sudden visit to Denver, Colorado.

Last time upon the passing of Comet Elenin between the Earth and the Sun, between the 26th and 28th of September 2011, Obama paid a visit to Denver, Colorado on September 27th. It is well known within some circles that Denver International Airport (DIA) is the home to a large DUMB (Deep Underground Military Base).

Take a look at following underground photos of DIA.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:32 | 3236858 espirit
espirit's picture

Hmmm.  Nasa fatcat and h/w across the street are leaving the coastline and heading to their place in the mountains the morning of the 14th., and they hate cold weather.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 12:57 | 3236946 toys for tits
toys for tits's picture

Then '"they will say to the mountains, "Fall on us!" and to the hills, "Cover us!"'

Luke 23:30.

Tue, 02/12/2013 - 11:09 | 3236567 Peter K
Peter K's picture

Just think of the economic growth can be generated from a direct hit?

Broken windows....... exponential, baby. :)

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