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Guest Post: Don't Worry; Be Resilient

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Submitted by Charles Hugh-Smith via Peak Prosperity,

At some point, absorbing more information about the unsustainability of modern society yields diminishing returns. It becomes emotionally draining and thus counterproductive.

Part of this exhaustion results from recognizing our powerlessness within the Status Quo, where independent thinking and structural innovation are intentionally winnowed out as threats to existing institutions and industries.

Another part arises from the burden of knowing that the supposedly permanent Status Quo is far more vulnerable than generally believed. I have described the psychology of knowing what lies ahead in The Burden of Knowing.

A related factor that is never publicly discussed is the negative impact on our mental health of all the propaganda that we are force-fed by the Mainstream Media (MSM).  When truth is incrementally undermined by massaged data and behind-the-façade manipulation, we lose faith in key State and media institutions and suffer from a propaganda-induced disconnect between what we see and what is reported as fact. 

These 'burdens of knowing' can diminish the small but real joys of the present: work we like, a home-cooked meal, and time spent with our friends and family. As a result, many smart, well-informed people consciously refuse to dwell on our systemic problems because doing so “is a downer.” These folks hold the perspective that anxiety about the future should not get in the way of the simple pleasures of living.

This attitude can be described as “don’t worry; be happy.” And it certainly makes sense when life is still comfortable and enjoyable.

But the philosophy of “thinking about the future is a downer, so I live in the present” ultimately rests on a false confidence that the future will take care of itself, regardless of what happens to the large-scale systems of State, finance, and resources.

It overlooks the reality that not all responses to instability or devolution are equally successful. Those who are totally dependent on the Central State and speculation-based markets will have a much more difficult time maintaining their "happy” view if the systems they depend on erode or fail.

Perhaps the wiser response is “don’t worry; be resilient.”  The resilient household can be happy not only in the present surplus of energy, entitlements, goods, and services, but can also thrive in a future where the current surplus of cash, credit, and speculative gains has dried up.

What is Resilience?

What is resilience?  A dictionary definition is “an ability to recover from or adjust easily to misfortune or change.” In other words, it is on the other end of the response spectrum from fragility, brittleness, and vulnerability.

In terms of individual psychology, resilience can be characterized as being able to roll with the punches, maintaining a positive attitude through difficult times, and focusing on developing successful responses to misfortunes and challenges.

American culture extols individual resilience, and we are taught to think that the individual can overcome anything and everything with the right attitude. But if the Status Quo is vulnerable to disruption on a systemic level, then it is prudent to think of resilience in a systemic way as well.

One way to describe the difference between systemic vulnerability and resilience is to conduct a thought experiment:

What if it didn’t matter to you and your household if the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) was 14,000 or 4,000? Or if gasoline cost $3.50 or $7.50 per gallon?

What if it didn’t matter to you and your household if Central State entitlements were slashed by half, or vanished altogether?

What if it didn’t matter to you and your household if your land and house were worth $1 million or $100,000?

In other words, what if the machinations of Wall Street, the Federal Reserve, the Central State and, indeed, all of Central Planning’s promises and speculation-boosting had little effect on your life or well-being? Would this make your household more resilient or more vulnerable?

Clearly, the less we are dependent on systemically brittle Central Planning systems, the fewer adjustments we will have to make should these large-scale systems devolve or fail.

The important point being made here about resilience is that it does not require a sacrifice of present happiness. Nor does it profit from the devolution or failure of Central Planning. The resilient household is perfectly able to enjoy the present surplus of energy, credit, State entitlements, and consumerist abundance, but it doesn’t rely on it.

If the Status Quo is indeed as permanent as it is presented, the resilient household has the same measure of happiness as the household that is totally dependent on Central Planning promises and boundless credit. The difference between fragility and resilience is how much security and happiness will be available to the two households should the Status Quo credit-based consumption and speculative wealth turn out to be decidedly impermanent.

Debt, Fragility and Vulnerability

The easiest way to increase resilience is to reduce fragility and vulnerability.

We can understand the dynamics of what we might call anti-resilience—debt, fragility, and vulnerability—with another thought experiment:  

Household A’s gross income is $5,000 a month and their net income (less Federal, state and local payroll and income taxes) is $4,200 a month.  The mortgage is $2,000 per month, both wage earners have substantial monthly payments on student loans, and the household also has an auto loan. The household’s healthcare insurance is partly paid by payroll deductions, and the household remains responsible for a percentage of any major medical costs.  Basic living expenses eat up the rest of the net income; the household saves nothing and has minimal savings.

Household A hopes housing valuations keep rising, as they plan to borrow money off this resurgent home equity to fund a vacation, something they haven’t had for four years.

This household’s financial situation is precarious because its expenses equal its income, and most of these expenses are debt-related and cannot be trimmed. This greatly increases their fragility to financial misfortune; any reduction in take-home pay or any increase in expenses will push this household into default.  To increase consumption, they plan to borrow more money once their only collateral—their home equity—increases enough to support more debt.

Household A has a high and inflexible cost-basis. Any significant reduction in income cannot be offset with equivalent cuts in spending.

Household B owns their land and home free and clear; the only housing-related payments are property taxes and property insurance.  (Recall that 30% of all homes are owned free and clear in the U.S., so this is not as unusual as you might imagine.)

One wage-earner paid off her modest student loans within a few years; the other never took on student loans in the first place. They own two older vehicles free and clear. They are debt-free. Their gross income is $4,000 and their net income is $3,200. Since they have no mortgage interest deduction, their income taxes are higher as a percentage of income than Household A. Their living expenses total $1,500 per month, so they save 50% of their net income.  If one of the wage earners loses their job, the household can maintain its current budget without sacrifice. Their substantial savings protect them from unforeseen medical expenses not covered by healthcare insurance, and they can pay for vacations with cash, not credit.

Let’s say that one wage earner in each household loses their job and must take a job that pays 20% less. Household A cannot cover its expenses and must default on one of their debts. Household B’s monthly savings decline, but they are still saving a substantial portion of their income.

Which household is vulnerable to even modest financial misfortune?  Clearly Household A. Will a positive attitude be enough to save the family from insolvency?  It will help it transition into and hopefully through bankruptcy, but a positive attitude alone is no substitute for financial resilience.

Though Keynesian economists argue that nations are not like households, in truth debt/financial fragility is scale-invariant, meaning that rising debt, a high cost basis, and zero savings/investment lead to fragility in households, enterprises, communities, and nations alike.

Conclusion

The United States of America shares a lot in common with Household A: It has a high and inflexible cost-basis, and it is dependent on borrowing to fund future consumption and on speculation to create collateral. It is also tied into spending a significant share of its income-servicing debt. History offers few examples of major nations that prospered by borrowing vast sums for consumption.

In Part II: How to Increase Your Financial Resilience, we examine the key strategies for increasing your financial resilience, whether you are an individual, a family or a business. We explore the 5 Rules for Financial Resilience, as well as strategies for the critical goals of lowering your cost basis and creating value that others will pay for.

 

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Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:18 | 3241338 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

Mrs. Horseman pulled some carrots and turnips out of the garden this week.  She is pretty resilient.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:20 | 3241344 Manipuflation
Manipuflation's picture

Awesome, but it begs the question as to what you are planning to do with the turnips?

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:25 | 3241353 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

Mashed the turnips with cream and sauted the greens.  Served with Carbonnade de boeuf à la bière du Nord.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:26 | 3241361 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Your meals look like the pictures on Jesse's Cafe Americain - Gourmet (o.k., I'm officially jealous).

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:36 | 3241380 Hulk
Hulk's picture

I'm officially hungry. Damn that looks good !!!

Thu, 02/14/2013 - 00:05 | 3242063 DaveyJones
DaveyJones's picture

and just think very few oilmen, monsanto execs and central bankers to get that from your backdoor to your plate. And very very little nutrition lost

there's a reason resilient rhymes with brilliant

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:51 | 3241414 Wakanda
Wakanda's picture

I volunteer to taste test.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 19:05 | 3241445 Apostate2
Apostate2's picture

Those look like neeps not turnips. Good choice. Great with lamb, rosemary and so on. In my wee home that plate would feed two.

Now that is resilence.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 21:49 | 3241756 Icantstopthinki...
IcantstopthinkingaboutNINJAs's picture

+1 for the carmelized onions, works like magic on the cheapest cuts of meat or chicken.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:23 | 3241355 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

There's resilience for ya', growing your own food!

BTW - that carrot on the right looks like a "Rabbit".

p.s. - Turnips are good with a Chuck roast as long as you have enough carrot, potato, and onion to balance it out.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:59 | 3241432 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

Ima build a Still.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 19:06 | 3241439 Albertarocks
Albertarocks's picture

That carrot probably looks like a rabbit because Mrs. Horseman's packet of carrot seeds might have accidentally contained one of those genetically modified seeds that Monsanto produces.  You know... the ones where they crossed rabbit genes with some of the genetics from a carrot to see if they could produce a rabbit that could eat carrots and then shit them out as... well as more carrots.  And then they could just eat them again.  You know Monsanto... always greedy for a better way to make more profits at the risk of f'king with nature and at the expense of all the rest of us.  But alas... clearly it just ended up being yet another experiment that produced nothing but another mutated distortion... a carrot that ended up looking like a rabbit.  What clear thinking rabbit is going to eat that one?

 

Don't laugh.  The world of genetic modification is absolutely insane.  Here are 12 examples of what's going on in that madhouse:

http://www.mnn.com/green-tech/research-innovations/photos/12-bizarre-exa...

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 20:13 | 3241556 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

No doubt.

The one that really creeps me out is the Atlantic salmon with genes spliced in from a Chinook salmon and a control gene from an eel that doubles the growth rate.

Um...do we want to be feeding people salmon with control genes from eel that double cellular growth?

Cancer anyone?

Let's say the new genetically modified salmon gets a virus that incorporates the growth control gene into itself.

If we haven't figured out exactly what causes cancer or how to stop the common cold and influenza virus, why are we dicking around with stuff like this?

Not nice to fool with Mother Nature.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 21:20 | 3241671 klockwerks
klockwerks's picture

Just go fishin

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 22:59 | 3241951 goldfish1
goldfish1's picture

FDA closer to approving biotech salmon, critics furious

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/12/21/us-usa-fish-gmo-idUSBRE8BK16O2...

There were also concerns the FDA would not require the genetically modified salmon to be labeled as such, and some critics said they may file a lawsuit to prevent what they fear could be the imminent approval of the engineered fish.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 20:26 | 3241585 msmith9962
msmith9962's picture

I've been learning a lot from this permaculture web site.  www.permies.com

I've been tinkering with the rocket mass heater in the back yard, want to put one in the basement.

http://www.richsoil.com/rocket-stove-mass-heater.jsp

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 23:01 | 3241960 Albertarocks
Albertarocks's picture

Thanks a million for that link.  I never would have heard of this type of heater without it.  Obviously it could be a big hit where I live.  And just for the heck of it, I'll try to return the favor with a couple of links to something darned near as cool.  Using water to pump water. 

This is an older video and this dude's pump works great in spite of the fact that it leaks more water than it delivers.  If he'd just tighten up those joints he'd have more water than he knows what to do with.  But it's good enough to show you the concept:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rY-AQrWOjw4

This one is amazing.  It can pump water 80 feet uphill with no maintenance... ever:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=seNswRYkZdE

And finally, the "Rife Ram" pump that can work for 50 years with no maintenance and no power required.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tMhgqDOqlaQ

Thu, 02/14/2013 - 00:44 | 3242203 tip e. canoe
tip e. canoe's picture

thanks for the rife ram link.   was actually trying to remember what that was called today as i may have a need for one this spring.   gotta love synchronicity.

have fun on the permies forums...it's a gold mine of practical knowledge.

Thu, 02/14/2013 - 01:02 | 3242240 Albertarocks
Albertarocks's picture

You're welcome.  Glad you found it helpful.  For sure, I am definitely going to have fun on the permies forum.  I'd never heard of it before tonight but I love that kind of stuff.  I'm very practical myself and have an engineering background and construction site experience.  IOW, I can build stuff.  So that site is going to be a ton of fun for me.  Another thing I've personally worked with and have found to be stunningly successful is "raised bed" gardening.  The production per square foot out of a garden like that must be at least trippple what we can get out of a simple 20 x 20 foot plot of garden.  Not to mention it's more tidy, easy to maintain, better drainage, soil gets warmer, a piece of cake to control weeds... there are just so many advantages.

Fri, 02/15/2013 - 00:33 | 3245456 DaveyJones
DaveyJones's picture

I knew about the rocket mass heater but not the rife ram pump. Thanks.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 23:10 | 3241977 LosOsos
LosOsos's picture

Dude thanks so much for this. I hadn't heard of permaculture before and I've been looking for something like it to direct my studies towards.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 19:12 | 3241459 booboo
booboo's picture

Two Amish women were digging potato's out of the ground and Sarah say's to Martha, "oooh, these look like Abrahams" as she holds up a couple extra large bakers. Martha blushed and said" oh my, they are that large"?" Sarah say's No!, they are that dirty"

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 23:10 | 3241973 Albertarocks
Albertarocks's picture

There was a convention of many hundreds of people who were believers in ghosts and the paranormal. The host and speaker said "Ok, by a show of hands, how many of you actually believe in ghosts?". Every hand in the room flew into the air. The host then said, "OK folks, please leave your hands in the air. Anybody here who believes in ghosts but who has never actually seen any form of mysterious happening that might have been caused by a ghost, please lower your hands". Many hands fell.

Looking at the dozens of hands that still remained in the air, the host then said "If you've ever actually seen a ghost, please leave your hands in the air. The rest of you may lower your hands". There were still at least a dozen hands in the air at which time the host said "if any of you have actually had a conversation with a ghost, please leave your hand in the air." All hands but three fell. "Wonderful, have any of you three people by chance ever had an intimate relationship with ghosts? I mean, have any of you actually ever made love with ghosts?". Two hands fell, leaving a solitary middle eastern fellow in the middle of the room with his raised arm waving frantically and proudly. "Amazing!", said the host. "Please, come up to the microphone and share your story with us".

The man happily sauntered up to the stage at which point the host said "Please, share with us what it's like to make love with ghosts!". In a thick middle eastern accent the man replied "Ghosts? I thought you said goats!"

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 19:24 | 3241478 Taint Boil
Taint Boil's picture

 

 

Uummmm, that carrot on the right doesn’t look like the genetically modified perfectly symmetrical with a touch of added color that I am use to getting at the super mega chain I shop at – are you sure its ok to eat …. I mean it has dirt on it and stuff.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 20:14 | 3241561 TNTARG
TNTARG's picture

It seems a radioactive carrot.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 20:20 | 3241565 Hongcha
Hongcha's picture

This is what .gov wants to take away from us.  They want a string from the water to their finger; from the food to another finger, from the Internet, from your bank account ... self-reliant people are able to throw them off, while drones must get in line at the food source ... line up at the cheesewagon.

Why is .gov anti-organic, anti-cash, anti-weapons?  .gov does not want a citizenry that can take care of themselves, cuz then they won't need .gov.  This is a hard lesson for Americans.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 20:44 | 3241606 The Heart
The Heart's picture

"Mrs. Horseman pulled some carrots and turnips out of the garden this week."

Holy smokes Mr Horseman, are these from this year, or from the last held over? And if they are this years crop, what part of the region has been warm enough to plant these?

Imagine if every family in America that just bought guns and ammo planted a Victory Garden too.

Thanks for the inspiration!

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 21:42 | 3241732 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Good looking veggies!  I see the missus takes off the jewelry while gardening.  Good practice!

I love turnips processed just like a potato, mashed with real cream and butter.  And the greens done Southern style with a bit o' bacon fat or jowl.  Pan of crispy corn bread, slab of Vidalia onion, sliced tomatoes....   Some of my faves.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:20 | 3241343 medium giraffe
medium giraffe's picture

.............?

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:21 | 3241347 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Well done, thank you.

Resilience is a good word to use here; kind of like "content".

I'd much rather be content than happy.

Resilient contentment after acceptance that the world is full of chaos we have no control over.

Looking forward to the next installment.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:21 | 3241351 Dewey Cheatum Howe
Dewey Cheatum Howe's picture

Learn how to make good hooch, there is always a spot in any community for you when the shtf (except for dry ones).

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:32 | 3241373 Downtoolong
Downtoolong's picture

Now you're talkin. I thought it was interesting how booze sales boomed more than bread sales as the most recent winter storms approached the northeast.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 21:39 | 3241518 Dewey Cheatum Howe
Dewey Cheatum Howe's picture

Even marauders will leave you alone, since you can trade it or buy them off. It works better than bullets. Liquour is like gold, guns and ammo all wrapped into one when the shtf. If you can make your hooch over 90 proof then it can double as fuel and accelerant for moltov cocktails.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 21:55 | 3241777 Decolat
Decolat's picture

But now your IP address has been compromised with the revenooers. First and second rules of moonshining...

Just make sure your still(s) can be quickly torn down into the common kitchen utensils and buckets you built it from, at a moments notice. A big still that's obviously a still is incredibly risky. However, I wish you luck man. I see moonshine's many uses as well.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:23 | 3241352 H E D G E H O G
H E D G E H O G's picture

This world is akin to the old tale of The Grasshopper and the Ant. The problem is, I don't have enough ammo for all the grasshoppers when they come knocking.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:23 | 3241354 boeing747
boeing747's picture

No doubt "Dorner was took out by Drone".

Coming law will  bans private citizen builds own drone.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:25 | 3241357 H E D G E H O G
H E D G E H O G's picture

The New and State of the Art 0U812 DORNER DRONE

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:29 | 3241367 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Anyone else notice the complete lack of stories about Dorner and his demise today?

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:32 | 3241372 falak pema
falak pema's picture

he shot one police and wounded another before they torched him; I guess they are not proud of the result and want to make sure it is he. 

Overkill has a high price.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:57 | 3241429 lakecity55
lakecity55's picture

Oh, and they just happened to find his CA DL; just like they happened to find Mohammed Atta's passport......

uh huh.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 19:02 | 3241441 monad
monad's picture

You do know they found his wallet on the sidewalk by SD airport last week? It had his id in it.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:36 | 3241382 magpie
magpie's picture

It was a bad end for Dorner (if it really was him) and the worst possible end for the Feds.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:54 | 3241419 Tijuana Donkey Show
Tijuana Donkey Show's picture

No one wanted that guy talking about all the dirt in the LAPD. Dead men tell no tales....

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:59 | 3241434 magpie
magpie's picture

There, you have it. Waco Lite and a coverup running splitscreen to the SOTU.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 19:55 | 3241528 CPL
CPL's picture

There was more coverage in every language but English.  French coverage is the best, they actually tell the story because they are French and the French love gossip.  Especially "Black Rambo'.  That's what the media in France is calling him btw.

  • Select anyone of dozens of translator in your addons (unless you are using IE, lol...losers)
  • Turn on Private Incognito Mode.
  • Go to Google.fr
  • Select french (because your browser install is English..assuming it is)
  • Let the translator do it's thing or look for Actualities.

Keep in mind that french news ranges from Apeshit insane right wing views that would make Ayn Rand tell them to tone it down ...all the way over to the Fruitbat Section of the left wing spectrum that believe rainbows can be bottled and the world is nothing but their's alone to consume in a collective of parasites.  So keep that in mind, French news doesn't skip on background so if you haven't read the full story, please do.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:23 | 3241356 localsavage
localsavage's picture

This sounds like a conversation that I have with my Dad every now and then when he is freaking out.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:34 | 3241375 sgorem
sgorem's picture

Don't want to be nosey but, maybe your Dad needs to up his Xanax with that six pack of Schlitz he downs everyday(couldn't hurt). ps., Is he a survivor of the much maligned 60's generation?

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:34 | 3241376 kito
kito's picture

im resilient, i worked really hard at getting my credit score back to the highest level possible. and then i applied for a bunch of new credit cards, a new car lease, home equity line of credit..............................im back baby!!!!! livin large...........................

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:45 | 3241398 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Congrats Kito, I am guessing you have the same serial junker that I have recently attained.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:47 | 3241406 kito
kito's picture

either that or they are taking my words at face value............how do you get that red pill antidote fonz?????

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:51 | 3241413 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

I wish I knew.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 20:28 | 3241471 Shell Game
Shell Game's picture

There's a medicated shampoo for that.

 

edit:  which I'll now be using....

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:35 | 3241379 Irelevant
Irelevant's picture

Growing your own food is a fucking illusion and so is our resilience! Community is what will save us or doom us, its that simple.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:50 | 3241403 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

I am all for community.  However, last night's fucking illusion sure tasted better than the pink-slime and flash-frozen reality we could have purchased at the store or restaurant.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:56 | 3241427 Irelevant
Irelevant's picture

Did you use electricity? Fertilizer? Plastics? Gas for the car? Petrol? Water? If yes, than your home grown food is an illussion. Community is what has humans enduring for ages. You will not able to do everything, not even 50% of what you need. That goes for the folks that stock guns, if you dont have amstrong community you will be overrun. Very simple, 100% guaranteed.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 19:06 | 3241446 Mr. Magniloquent
Mr. Magniloquent's picture

Your message is understood, but you must recognize that a strong community consists of capable individuals. Relatively more self-sufficent individuals will have greater resources to pool. Try not to be too cynical. This very article is about taking your victories where possible. Mr. Horseman's victory is in his reduced dependance of food supply chains.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 19:28 | 3241452 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

Did you use electricity?  Yes, the vacuum pump for the milker and the refrigerator, both of which are a real convenience, but certainly not necesary.

Fertilizer?  Horse manure.

Plastics?  Yes, the solar charger for the hot wire on the deer fence has plastic, but is so much more aesthetically pleasing than chain link, etc.

Gas for the car?  No.

Petrol?  Is that like diesel? No.

Water?  Yes, rain and well water.  Plants need water to grow; Brawndo too moarish electrolytes.

If yes, than your home grown food is an illussion.  No.  Our home grown food is not an illusion, it is real...real taste, real nutrition, real cheap, real reward. 

Community is what has humans enduring for ages. You will not able to do everything, not even 50% of what you need. That goes for the folks that stock guns, if you dont have amstrong community you will be overrun. Very simple, 100% guaranteed.  With your 100% crystal ball you must be worth a fortune.  Where can I find a list of your past predictions that have come true?

 

Now my turn to ask a few more questions relevant to your current reality, not some illusory future... 

What did you eat last night? 

What are you eating tonight? 

What will you eat tomorrow night?

 

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 19:39 | 3241491 Irelevant
Irelevant's picture

Its not a prediction, its statistics. That pump you use, did you manufacture it? Did you manufacture the fence? The PVs? Are they made in the PRC? I can see the pretty picture of your home grown food, that does not change the fact that is dependent of a lot ot things you can't control, and, to that respect as an illussion, not per se, as you look to believe. We live in a complex society and so do you, that is why you are presenting us with your home grown food. I guess we wouldt be chating if that were "home grown food". If you want to get back to basics I can recommend you visit a village, called Viscri, in Brasov county, Romania, to see what 100% home grown food means, in the true sens, to see what it means for a community not to be dependent upon others. That would however depress you, as we would not be presented pictures of your "home grown food" and asked with sarcasm what we ate last night. Last night I ate extras big ass fries, with bronto, as it has electrolites!
Im not saying what you are doing is wrong. Good for you. That looks tasty, however, that does not change anything in the big picture. We need community, we need local sustaining communities, and local communities able to sustain large population centers, that is the challenge. See the big picture.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 19:44 | 3241514 Shell Game
Shell Game's picture

Are you being obtuse on purpose?  WTF comes first, a resilient individual or a resilient community?  Want a Dancing with the Stars, Cheesy-Puff T.V. addict in your community, or a Horseman type?  Get with the program Wilbur, before you get voted out of your community for being such a fucking downer..

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 20:01 | 3241537 Irelevant
Irelevant's picture

Good question, I think you cant have the individual without the community. Ofcourse Horseman would be a great member to any communiy, but that does not chang anything. The main post is stupid, to be resilient means to stand out and get killed. To have a resilient community is another thing all together.
And this changes nothing, as we live in a complex society, we really do not know what would happen in case of a collapse, we would probably be astounded at how stupid and short sighted we are were the collapse to happen tomorrow. There are so many variables that we trully dont know what will work and what will not.
Best fallback scenario I think is community, Mr. Hedgles Horseman makes the vegies, some one else owns the slaughterhouse, another member takes care of the guns. In history, except for mitic figures and legends there were no single resilient people to survive in collapse. There were however communities.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 20:26 | 3241583 Shell Game
Shell Game's picture

Actually, it was a rhetorical question.  The cheesy puff won't make it in community, he will freak out and turn you in or murder you for not sharing more of your private property with him.  By definition a resilient communty is an intentional community.  It is made of up a group of resilient individuals who understand how to make the synergy of community actually come to fruitiion. 

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 20:43 | 3241604 new game
new game's picture

all pipe dreams because people suck and are lazy by nature.

Minimalizm; less work for da man, and more time to garden, relax, smoke a spirt and watch you idiots go off to work because you owe da mon.

u drive a suv and tow snowmobiles or other heavy shit, are stressed out getting gas and all dat shit to go have fun burning more gas.

luv it cause u pay for me as i am a minimalist; own one car(corolla), bike, garden pay very little taxes work 20 hours and come to this site in my free time laugh at you.

ha fucking ha.

and i do this for me and only me - fuck collectivism and your fucked too many people zones

won't see me at city hall hob nobing with you losers cause i'm tending da homestead, grilling, relaxing and best of all plotting more ways to live with less and have more time for me.

less is more and more is time i have that you spend carrying more than your share of the system so i get a pass go and get on with life for a lot less.

if i haven't pissed you off you might start by dumping that stupid phone wasting your time and money doing needless shit.

good luck to that idea cause you gotta have it, no peer preasure here with my candy bar phone. 40/month to buy some seeds and plant food for me, and mrs help and it is all cool here on happy acres-enter at your own risk-gun zone and shooting allowed and encouraged...

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 20:38 | 3241598 CH1
CH1's picture

I think you cant have the individual without the community.

Wow, we don't normally see that kind of abject collectivism here at ZH.

Good neighbors rock - the 'community' can go fuck itself.

Thu, 02/14/2013 - 00:01 | 3242084 DaveyJones
DaveyJones's picture

beat me to it. I have ten neighbors now home gardening and avoiding GMOs. It has to start somewhere. Tyler's blog was small once

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 20:47 | 3241611 Dewey Cheatum Howe
Dewey Cheatum Howe's picture

Community is nothing more than a grouping of individuals. An individual can exist without a community a community can't exist without individuals. This isn't one of those chicken or the egg first type of things.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 21:52 | 3241766 kito
kito's picture

holy crap, Irelevant is a collectivist prepper!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 21:57 | 3241780 Icantstopthinki...
IcantstopthinkingaboutNINJAs's picture

Community serves only one purpose, defense from other communities, to cross train skills so that no one person is the only expert at any one skill and to hedge against disaster with mutually agreed support.

Thu, 02/14/2013 - 09:17 | 3242686 tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

I think you have a serious problem. The ability for you to be independent as you are is dependent on things not falling apart. Yes, you do it yourself for many things that others do not but you are still dependent on the system and other people. Denying this and not acknowledging let alone accepting this is going to hurt you real bad if things ever hit the fan. Resilience is being open minded and flexible and you seem to be neither. The dependent person who knows he is dependent is intune with reality and better off than the person who works real hard into fooling himself he is independent when he is not. Good luck though.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 19:10 | 3241453 Being Free
Being Free's picture

1+1 > 2

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 19:30 | 3241494 spinone
spinone's picture

Don't worry pal, it will be more of a long term crumble than a sudden crash

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 22:22 | 3241859 Teamtc321
Teamtc321's picture

Irelevant you are missing some of the point's that could be possible. I'm not arguing so don't take my comment as such fyi. But, let me share a real world example with you I just went through. In one of my smaller pasture's where I winter cattle and horses. I just recently needed to drag the area's where I spot feed coastal bermuda hay, I spot feed the hay so it knocks the seed from the hay to reduce seed cost or elimates new seeding cost. Feeding this way also get's plenty of horse shit all over the pasture. This method also does not tear up the ground for the horses are always moving around, not just eating in one spot fucking up the grass. 

Now to one of your point's, "Did you use petro?" Take this for example, about a week ago, we had a mega rain storm coming, I needed or wanted to drag the horse shit to knock it down, I could have used a 4 wheeler with a small tire drag, tractor with the big tire drag but I didn't. I saddled up a good roping horse, then put a lead on another with a saddle, tied the small drag off to the lead horse I needed to knock some winter rust off the horse, meaning give him a work out. Then walked the mfer's around knocking down horse shit. They love the attention, I burnt no fuel, got the shit drug in before the rain.

Point is, resilitent people will use what they have or method's we/they are good at. I raise colt's I buy because I like it, I could also give a shit if we have a crash, I will ride one of my buddies if needed. I raise cattle, hay, green houses, have monster ponds, I'm a oil feld completion engineer by trade, I buy and sell crude oil, jet fuel, D-2. I'm a very experienced equipment operator from my younger days, I have stock piles of fencing materials, I know most of my neighbors, we borrow, barter, help each other all the time. I buy my "petrol" at the little country store from a old mfer we all like, buy our Pepsi's there, he sits in the rocker all day.

People will do what they need to do, have the skill's to do, learn what they need to do, we don't need any central planner's to tell us what the fuck to do.

I commend folks sharing pictures of food they have grown, thank you, real world shit that more people should atleast learn to do. I grew up in the mountains in the pacific northwest, hunting, fishing, etc. I am pretty sure I won't starve but that is why we all have some things locally to sustain ourselves if needed. It's like stacking silver, it just makes us feel better and also makes sense imo.

Sure, there is going to be people in our communities who do not know shit, but they will learn or can learn. Might take a EBT card slamming shut but some people are or can be Resilient.

Again, not being confrontational. Thanks for reading my unspell checked rant. 

Thu, 02/14/2013 - 00:35 | 3242175 tip e. canoe
tip e. canoe's picture

makes perfect sense to have the horses help spread their own shit.

imagine if humans would figure that one out?

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 19:10 | 3241454 viahj
viahj's picture

ignore him, he's irelevant and most certainly will be when it collapses, i mean how are you going to hold a community together without feeding them?

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:49 | 3241408 Oldwood
Oldwood's picture

Community is what will eat us....unless of course you have a gun! Admittedly to hold off the whole community I will likely need more than ten rounds. Carrots and turnips until then!

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 20:05 | 3241539 TNTARG
TNTARG's picture

My man, stop and think. "Guns". Under your hypotesis, let's say everybody fights against the others. Then the fucking élite is gonna sit and watch you killing yourselves, clean the shit up for them, the ugly shit they've created for us to eat. So when most of you are properly buried, they'll come to form a "coalition" to "save the country" and run the House again.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=16Kx0QlksZQ

What helped us, back in 2001, was the community. Teachers kept teaching childrens at school and feeding and holding them while everything was falling apart. People sharing food. Roofs. Little markets giving products to the people, farmers sharing milk and meat, SMEs waiting for the payments, local and regional banks refinancing loans (public regional banks, pal)... And yes, yes: Alternative currencies. That kept us going. It is the truth. I saved my business because they waited and refinanced. My relatives in Europe are loosing theirs because banks are taking it all. They were the "rich relatives", owners of companies, beautiful properties... Today they can't pay for the heating. There aren't loans. Nobody is buying houses. Banks don't wait. A fu..ng nightmare.

Alternative currencies are being used in many countries. Such as in Spain:

http://www.economiasolidaria.org/noticias/presentan_en_baiona_el_eusko_l...

I'm courious about one thing: How come that nobody in the US is yet filing a lawsuit against Bush, Chenney, Rumsfeld and others involved in 9/11 deception (gvt terrorist attack)?

 

 

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 22:45 | 3241915 klockwerks
klockwerks's picture

Good luck with that community crap. Very few are prepared for what can happen so you will end up with a community of takers, kind of what it's like right now. No thanks

Thu, 02/14/2013 - 04:52 | 3242456 kurt
kurt's picture

shitballs

Thu, 02/14/2013 - 10:08 | 3242813 L_Conquistador
L_Conquistador's picture

What would be more resilient than a community full of self-reliant people?

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:47 | 3241405 chistletoe
chistletoe's picture

old, but still resiliant ....

 

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:49 | 3241410 Sweet Pea
Sweet Pea's picture

It becomes emotionally draining and thus counterproductive.

 

Ya think - ?  But keep it up. I'm sloughing it all off just fine thanks.


Wed, 02/13/2013 - 21:43 | 3241740 moonstears
moonstears's picture

Happy 1yr ZH b-day Sweet Pea!(you didn't know, didja?)

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 18:50 | 3241412 GubbermintWorker
GubbermintWorker's picture

A couple of tokes and then, what, me worry?

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 19:04 | 3241443 lieto
lieto's picture

Simple isn't it?

Spend less than you take in.

Stop wasting money on endless wars and health care for very old very demented folks who have no shot at getting better.

Yes I said it out loud.

If a family wants to keep there elderly alive past the point that they know who they are they should bankrupt themselves only.

Then how has the US of A gotten so far from these sound principles?

Sort of makes me fel like a steerage passenger on the Titanic.

But I will take a beer or 2 for medicinal purposes, Thank you very much.

PS. Junk away.

Thu, 02/14/2013 - 15:46 | 3243932 JimBowie1958
JimBowie1958's picture

Stop wasting money on endless wars and health care for very old very demented folks who have no shot at getting better.

The problem with that kind of thinking is that it is ambiguous, first of all. Who is to decide what the legal definition of demented witll be? Is it that you cant wipe your own ass anymore? That you cant remember what you ate for breakfast? That you cant understand a written sentence? That you have a functionally les than average IQ?

All the above have serious problems in that they can  be applied to people whom they were  not intended to apply to such as those hindered by a disease that they might recover from, or to children, or to people recovering from stroke or similar temporary disability that they would normally heal from, etc.

A second problem is WHO DECIDES IT IS ONLY 'DEMENTED PEOPLE WHO DONT DESERVE TO LIVE? Some would add blacks, red necks, illiterates, criminals or various religious minorities to that list as well.

Why dont they get to decide these things? What if they decided to wind down any defiant persons life by witholding medical treatment or getting more proactive and just lining them all up and shooting them down?

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 19:11 | 3241444 NuYawkFrankie
NuYawkFrankie's picture

Thou Art Dust, And To Dust Thou Shalt Return

- Today's (Ash Wednesday's) Admonition.

In the meantime, don't sweat it.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 19:07 | 3241448 Wanton1
Wanton1's picture

We can't build resilience taking vaccines and drinking fluoridated water.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 19:17 | 3241466 NuYawkFrankie
NuYawkFrankie's picture

...or a 12-pack of Olde English "800" a day

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 19:11 | 3241456 847328_3527
847328_3527's picture
Man dies after setting himself on fire in front of French employment office

 

 

http://rt.com/news/france-self-immolation-employment-134/

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 19:15 | 3241465 davidsmith
davidsmith's picture

Another little ZH sermonette.  Drop dead!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 22:50 | 3241933 Curiously_Crazy
Curiously_Crazy's picture

Wow. Someone got up on the wrong side of bed thismorning.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 23:28 | 3242013 chindit13
chindit13's picture

I think if I ever had to sit down for a drink with this Smith guy, I'd tell the bartender, "Make mine methanol".  I'd bet the furrows in this guy's brow have more locks than the Panama Canal.

Thu, 02/14/2013 - 00:03 | 3242089 DaveyJones
DaveyJones's picture

the preacher calling the sermon long

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 20:08 | 3241532 Shell Game
Shell Game's picture

Get busy alt-skilling:  baking/brewing, metal smithing, shoemaking, bullet casting-ammo reloading, gunsmithing, 3D-printing, etc.  We all hear a lot of talk on the short term preps, but making a living in a resource-limited world will go a long way in providing for ones family and for your morale.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 20:24 | 3241581 Hongcha
Hongcha's picture

As it gets worse, America will separate instinctively into racial camps.  This is a natural instinct that .gov will fight. 

The Fed will have integrated camps.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 20:37 | 3241588 Radical Marijuana
Radical Marijuana's picture

"Though Keynesian economists argue that nations are not like households ..."

Nations are like households that have been taken over by a home invasion. If we compare a family's finances to any of the nations in the world today, with America being the best known, well-documented example, what we see is the process whereby the best organized gangs of criminals have been able to systematically apply their methods of organized crime to take over the government. Thus, our reality is like a family who had a violent criminal move into their home, and start dictating what the rest of the family must do, or else be violently punished for disobedience.

While it is superficially easy, and sounds like theoretically good advice, to say we should attempt to be more effectively responsive to that predicament ... the more one actually learns about it, the less and less that mental attitude becomes possible to maintain.

THE REALITY IS RUNAWAY PRIVATIZED, GLOBALIZED, ELECTRONIC FIAT MONEY FRAUDS, BACKED UP BY WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION. THAT SITUATION IS SO ASTRONOMICALLY INSANE THAT THERE IS NOTHING SANE THAT ONE CAN DO ABOUT IT!

What I do is attempt to more deeply understand those realities. However, there appears to be no practical point to do that, since the runaway insanity of force backed frauds is going to automatically get worse, faster, anyway. Indeed, the only thing we can do is to wait and watch as this runaway insanity automatically gets worse than we can currently imagine. The only reasons I do not worry more is that I can not imagine better those most probable futures.

What if it did not matter to you that there were more genocidal wars, along with democidal martial law, after the house of cards of a global social pyramid system based on legalized lies, backed by legalized violence, destabilized ???

HAH!!!

The ONLY consolations to learning more about politics, that I am aware of, are philosophical or spiritual ones that amount to similar things as coming to terms with the fact that one will die ...

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 20:47 | 3241610 TNTARG
TNTARG's picture

I agree we the diagnostic but I will never surrender. May they choke themselves with the money the're stealing from everybody, sick fucking assholes.

 

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 21:38 | 3241728 shovelhead
shovelhead's picture

Dying doesn't bother me at all.

I find the idea that I may not be able to come back to freak people out as a ghost or poltergeist a bit disappointing because it's something I'm really looking forward to.

 

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 21:00 | 3241636 Tango in the Blight
Tango in the Blight's picture

So do you think we all should be preppers? When we just can buy food at the supermarket?

I live in a tiny flat but have about a couple of weeks worth of food and water. My relatives have several acres of land but buy their food from the supermarket daily. They think it's weird to store food at home.

Thu, 02/14/2013 - 02:37 | 3242364 The Heart
The Heart's picture

"They think it's weird to store food at home."

Show them this video and check the part about putting your money into food to stay ahead of inflation:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vHjugfczIjQ&list=UUHzM9y-HbV8Gz2uc1vhYobQ...

 

 

 

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 21:29 | 3241691 shovelhead
shovelhead's picture

I used to be plastic

Now I'm elastic

I'm flexible.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 21:33 | 3241697 malek
malek's picture

Great article CHS, but how about another household in between the black and white examples:

Household C rents their home for $1800 a month. While paying almost the same amount as Household's A mortgage, they do not have any property taxes or property insurance on top of that - only gas and electricity.
They are aware that they have to and will do quickly downsize if their income stream decreases substantially.

They own one used car in good shape they bought 6-8 years old with relatively low mileage, and that uses not too much gas (26+ mpg). They buy a second used vehicle only according to absolute needs: a scooter or a banged up Toyota that gets 36+ mpg. They can do most maintenance and repairs themselves.

They are debt-free.

They save 20-30% of their gross income. They have savings that would let them go for at least 3+ months without any income, or 6+ months after downsizing rent and vehicles.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 22:09 | 3241790 silverdragon
silverdragon's picture

Great effort Mr. Hedgeless Horseman, leading by example is the best way.

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 22:11 | 3241817 Jam Akin
Jam Akin's picture

I prepare therefore I am (not worried).

Wed, 02/13/2013 - 23:06 | 3241970 silverdragon
silverdragon's picture

Team TC321, great read thanks for sharing.

Thu, 02/14/2013 - 01:23 | 3242280 silverdragon
silverdragon's picture

Albertarocks,

Agreed ref the raised bed gardening, its the way to go.

Thu, 02/14/2013 - 07:01 | 3242526 dolly madison
dolly madison's picture

Nothing better than owning your home outright.  I saw it from the second I left my parents and started paying rent. 

Thu, 02/14/2013 - 19:40 | 3244847 Poor Grogman
Poor Grogman's picture

Thats why banks must hold inventory off the market to "prop up" housing prices so people have to pay more (a lot more) for that privelidge.

TPTB simply cannot allow all the slaves becoming more resilient...

Fri, 02/15/2013 - 17:59 | 3247903 The Econ Ideal
The Econ Ideal's picture

Is this guy writing a boring personal finance book?

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