Visualizing The World's Megatrends In 2020

Tyler Durden's picture

From 'the resurgence of religion' to 'food price volatility', cyber-viruses, urbanization, quantum computing, and peak water, Richard Watson's table highlights societal, technological, economic, and political trends that the world faces in the next decade. And if that wasn't enough, Bain & Co.'s 'Great Eight' trillion dollar growth trends should provide some food for thought as the US enjoys its vacation (although we wonder how soon until Q1 GDP misses are blamed on not only snow in the winter but also on nationally recognized holidays resulting in completely unforeseeable economic growth deductions: after all something has to be the culprit for the secular contraction, but never, ever the Fed's ubiquitous economic micromanagement and central planning).

 

Via What's Next,

Here’s something to start a few arguments, which is the whole point of the exercise, of course. Briefly, it’s a table of key trends and technologies that are likely to shape the world out to 2020. I’ve used the periodic table, not because the trends are weighted in any way, but by following the basic structure of the table (i.e. the number of categories and boxes) this has forced me to edit what would otherwise be an almost endless list.

The categories themselves broadly follow S.T.E.E.P, which is widely used in scenario planning, but I’ve extended and added to this with the result that we have S.T.E.E.E.P.P.I (Society, Technology, Energy, Environment, Economy, Employment, Population, Politics and Identity). There are also two lines devoted to global risks, both high and low probability.

And, as usual, there are a few jokes so that people don’t take this too seriously.

Bain & Co.'s Great Eight Trillion Dollar Trends

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spinone's picture

Bain?  Fuck you Bain.

Kitler's picture

So a resurgence of religion is in the cards. Looks like a bear market for freedom.

 

"Men will never be free until the last king is strangled with the entrails of the last priest."

Denis Diderot (5 October 171331 July 1784)

CH1's picture

Try telling that to Freeborn John, just after you thank him for the right to face your accusers.

Boris Alatovkrap's picture

Man is work on very high roof top, fix is shingles, and is trip. Man is slide down steep roof and see his fate, begin to pray. Remember his total life in sin and ask is for more time to fix life. Sliding down shingles is hope for answer, plead with God to save from fall. At last seconds, suspender is snagging on nail and stop from fatality. Man is brush sweat from brow and tell God, "never mind, is okay now."

macholatte's picture

 

So a resurgence of religion is in the cards. Looks like a bear market for freedom.

 

“We are going to take England — the Muslims are coming.”

Ridiculing the daily lives of UK workers, Choudary said: “You find people are busy working the whole of their life. They wake up at 7 o’clock. They go to work at 9 o’clock.

“They work for eight, nine hours a day. They come home at 7 o’clock, watch EastEnders, sleep, and they do that for 40 years of their life. That is called slavery.”

 

Muslim preacher urges followers to claim 'Jihad Seeker's Allowance'

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/9875954/Muslim-preacher-urges-followers-...

 

Oldwood's picture

But they're just kidding around. They don't really mean that stuff. Everybody knows that Islam is a peaceful religion and they wouldn't hurt a flea. They are no different than the hispanics in America. Just becasue they want to keep their Mexican flag and live in their Mexican neighborhoods and never learn to speak english doesn't mean they're not good Americans. And even though both groups only embrace cultural diversity to the point that english speakers become extinct doesn't mean they don't like us. They just don't want to be around us, which does seem a little weird in that they are moving into english speaking countries, but hey, we got to be tolerant right?....Right?

Pure Evil's picture

Well, at least when the muslims take over the UK the liberals that caused it all will be taken out and stoned for being infidels.

falak pema's picture

the downward spiral of oligarchy betraying its civilization and letting the barbarian into the gates; perfect combination of the "axis of evil"; mad oligarchs and mad hatter revelatory goof heads. 

What a road to Dante's circles of hot bubble baths. 

EnslavethechildrenforBen's picture

Muslims and Christians agree that usury is unpayable and immoral. The Jew believes it's fine to fuck over Muslims and Christians. The politicians in the United States are known Jews and their system of hypercounterfeiting, tax and usury is a form of violence against us.

By 2020 we will refer to "a Mad Max scenario" as being "in the good old days"

falak pema's picture

just move away from Abraham's legacy and you might see it differently.

You sound like an age old 33" PVC recording. 

falak pema's picture

you must be haunted by ghosts of the devil and the WS variety...sleep tight.

fomcy's picture

"Muslims and Christians agree" 

Sorry to burst your bubble, dude, but Jews are actually much closer to Christians, then muslim barbarians.

12 apostles of Jesus, all Jews, man.

"Muslims and Christians" it's like north and south pole. Jesus - "King of Jews", not sure, if you ever

read the Bible in that matter.

thisandthat's picture

 

Sorry to burst your bubble, dude, but Jews are actually much closer to Christians, then muslim barbarians.

I'm not religious, yet (/because of it?), even I know better than that: Muslims are actually also Christians, as they revere Christ and Mary (and Moses too, btw); Jewish aren't (it's actually an heresy, so they look down on it with despise) - that alone contradicts your claim.

12 apostles of Jesus, all Jews, man.

Well, considering Christianity started within Judaism, that's not a big surprise is it? Fact is it was quickly and fiercely antagonized by Judaism and the Jewish population in general, just to expand to beyond Judaism and into a whole new belief of its own.

"Muslims and Christians" it's like north and south pole. Jesus - "King of Jews", not sure, if you ever

read the Bible in that matter.

Maybe you should ask them about that last claim, but in case you didn't know, Muslim religion, itself, drew significantly from Judaism (case of prohibition of pork, for instance); besides, as Christianism and Judaism, it's just another branch of the same common religion - the Abrahamic religion, reason why the Muslims call them all The People of The Book.

So it's you who should read beyond (a redacted, distorted and misquoted medieval version of) the Bible, in this and other matters.

13thWarrior's picture

Jewish people rejected Jesus. Sent St. Paul to circumvent the Chrisitanity.

Jewish people & Christians rejected Mohammed. Sent Ibn Saba to circumvent the Islam.

Without believing in Moses, Issac, Solomon and Jesus, a muslim cannot be muslim.

 

According to Islam be like someone in middle, not as shrewd and claculated as Jewish people and not soft as Chrisitains to believe everything.

 

Here are some Islamic teaching forgotten by Muslims and not promoted by Zionist Monarchy of Saudi Arabia:

  1. No income tax, only savings tax
  2. No GST/VAT
  3. No price fixing
  4. No monopoly
  5. No fiat money
  6. No usury
  7. No fraud
  8. No lying
  9. No future trading/speculation
  10. Trade instead of financializations
  11. No restrictions on trade
  12. Profit and loss sharing instead of Socialise the loss and privatize the profit

Isn't the Western people like to have this?

Taliban wanted to stop using fiat money, see what happened to them. Saddam, Gaddhafi, Ahmedinijad wanted to end fiat.

It is not war of religion it is about lies and truth.

Mike in GA's picture

Isn't 2020 just 7 years from now?  Did I miss the Mad Max thing or something?

thisandthat's picture

Actually usury is condemned in both the new (Christian) and old (Jewish) testaments, besides the Quran.

thisandthat's picture

 

Everybody knows that Islam is a peaceful religion and they wouldn't hurt a flea.

So is supposedly Christianism, and Judaism, and Hinduism, and Masonry, and etc., and neither would any of their believers, if you'd ask them.

All that shows is they're no different than any of these - just another group trying to leverage their influence for its own agenda - so why singling them out?

e-recep's picture

economic depressions push people to radical conservatism.

Oldwood's picture

Economic depressions are caused by people who will not see the truth, instead buying into the lies of easy money. Radical conservatism is a knee jerk towards reality, sometimes with overshoot. People start to cling to their religion when they realize they cannot rely on their fellow man. When things get bad enough we will return to throwing virgins into volcanos because like congress today, we must do something, regardless of how silly it may be. The economy is collapsing because we are owe more than we own or can pay back, so obviously the answer is to borrow more. Any failure in our methodologies is always due to just not doing enough of it.

DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Pt and Os, bitchez!

NICE graphic!

CPL's picture

The Lanthanine and Antinide, should all represent consumer trends.  Short half life, costs too much to get there.

74, tungsten will be interchanged with 79 and 47, gold and silver....oh wait that's already happening.

Nobel gases...lol...wait a sec.

 

...holy shit.  Someone sent this on purpose...to other people and they haven't been committed yet?  Seriously, find this line and start reading.

 

Macro trend: Everything the  same, but nicer.

 

I'm afraid, but I believe that this document is entirely composed of unicorn shit, puppy kisses and lube.  Lots of lube.  Because there is no way anyone will swallow this crap, it'll have to jammed in people's corn holes...


thisandthat's picture

Speaking of noble gases, where is Hopium, that I cannot see?

Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

2020?

Oil will have peaked production for at least five years, and with no resource able to mitagate the EROEI of light sweet crude we are back to riding horses and bicycles.

Fiat currency was printed ad infinum to save the debt structure but when the dominoes began to fall the fiat currency was left to burn.  Price could no longer be determined and people were selling their houses for food and those that produce food will sell it for silver.

The sun will still set and the moon will still shine and if any of us want to make it through 2020 with our coats on our backs then we will be the ones ready.

Kitler's picture

Chicks on horseback are HOT and I have yet to see a "porker" on a bicycle. This could be just what the doctor ordered.

Tell me more of this marvelous future of which you speak Mr. Lennon Hendrix... tell me more! ;)

Hulk's picture

NONE of the hot horseback chicks will like you, trust me on this one !!!

true brain's picture

they will if you have gold.

hell. they like you now if you have gold. don't need to wait for that future.

Pure Evil's picture

Plus, their vaginas will smell like sweaty horses.

falak pema's picture

have you ever played Buzkashi?

if you have then any honey bun would smell so sweet.

You are not pure...even as evil! 

Jump on a horse n try...the goat skin before the honey bun!

Pure Evil's picture

Will humanity still be bathing by 2020? From one of those pictures from India it looks as if they aren't even bathing in 2013.

Nothin' like the smell of a ripe vagina after riding a horse, even Buzkashi style.

falak pema's picture

did humanity bathe in the 1600s? Nope!

It survived. Change your yardstick. 

We are moving backwards, thats not the same thing as moving from 1500 to 1600! 

Pure Evil's picture

Dude, I think its time for you to go and brush your teeth. You've got all kinds of hairs stuck between your teeth and you smell like a horse that's been rode hard and put up wet.

falak pema's picture

lol, if u say so you must know it all. 

when's the sequel to your movie? 

Buzkashi rides again! wowie! 

Pure Evil's picture

Are you sniffing your own farts to get high?

thisandthat's picture

Calm down, size is not that important.

CPL's picture

It's because a mini-van is slimming.

"Look at the size of that mini-van, but in relation to that woman.  She is a slender reed.  To the full sized van."  

QED 

 

wee-weed up's picture

Agreed... it will all (globally) come crashing down before 2020.

Hedgetard55's picture

Bernanke will ensure there is no 2020. $15 a gallon gas will destroy us.

machineh's picture

Ben is the bain of our existence.

CH1's picture

Vile as he is, Ben is merely a front man. His employers are the ones who matter.

Lore's picture

 

 

There will be no 2020. Central bankers will remove a zero. The year will be 202, with tough times ahead.

"The Crisis of the Third Century (also "Military Anarchy" or "Imperial Crisis") (AD 235–284) was a period in which the Roman Empire nearly collapsed under the combined pressures of invasion, civil war, plague, and economic depression...  Internally, the empire faced hyperinflation caused by years of coinage devaluation..."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crisis_of_the_Third_Century

NoWayJose's picture

Anytime you hear things like 'volatility' and 'prices' in the same sentence it only means one thing - higher food prices. And anytime you hear public-private partnership and decaying infrastructure in the same sentence it means higher taxes, higher fees, and more tolls.

pingpongthesecond's picture

At least you can choose to pay tols or not, taxes are compulsory...

NoWayJose's picture

Look for big hikes in utility bills too. If you don't pay them you won't have electricity, natty gas, or water.

machineh's picture

Plus a new bill you never had before: Obamacare.

Pay a stiff premium for coverage, or a pay a penalty (excuse me, TAX, according Chief Just-ass Roberts).

Bain says U.S. per capita health care spending will stay twice as high as other advanced countries.

It means Bain sees opportunities to siphon off some of the swag. After all, their man Mittens invented the prototype of Obamacare.

Bicycle Repairman's picture

"After all, their man Mittens invented the prototype of Obamacare."

The more I see of Obama-care, it is apparent that it is Mittens-care.  Almost exactly.

Janice's picture

No, taxes are voluntary. The fact that so many choose to voluntarily pay taxes ensures its continued collection.

All Risk No Reward's picture

In theory, perhaps.

In reality, it pays to not pay taxes...  so long as you don't mind being caged and Bubba isn't attracted to you.

We live in a might makes right society - and they will throw your behind in jail for picking the wrong end of voluntary.

ramacers's picture

interesting, considering there'll be no world as we have known it.